Trade Results

All closed trades between 10/01/2011 and 09/13/2013

Trade Statistics

Aggressive Trades		Conservative Trades		Other Trades
Number of Trades	445	Number of Trades	266	Total Trading Days	508
Number of Wins	265	Number of Wins	105
Percent Winning Trades	59.6%	Percent Winning Trades	39.5%	Directional/Bonus Trades	35
Total Winning Trades	260,855	Total Winning Trades	83,449	Avg Directional/Bonus Trade	1,918
Average Winning Trade	984	Average Winning Trade	795	Net Profit Directional/Bonus Trades	67,133
Number Losing Trades	180	Number Losing Trades	161
Total Losing Trades	-134,787	Total Losing Trades	-65,609	Proforma Account Size	50,000
Average Losing Trade	-749	Average Losing Trade	-408	Estimated Margin Required	30,000
Profit Factor	1.94	Profit Factor	1.27
Net Profit	126,068	Net Profit	17,841	Net Profit (All Trades)	211,042
Trade accounting starts 10/1/2011.

DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	STUDY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Update 9/12/13: I'm going to take a few days off to reset as my market calls are not hitting on all cylinders at the moment. In lieu of specific entry and exit recommendations here are a series of four brief market analysis that should give aggressive traders some trades to consider, with some thoughts as to the critical areas to watch. Here are a couple of videos for @GC and the US Dollar crosses with the Euro, Canadian Dollar, and Great British Pound:Video @GC Video Dollar-related trades		Review	Aggressive	Update 9/13/13 A constructive day in USDCAD and EURUSD which are developing the trade as expected; GBPUSD is a bigger surprise. @GC is at a critical junction but so far as not disproved our thesis. See comments on tonight's posting for more.
09/12/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Sept 12 for Sept 13		Date		Date					Conservative
	Various	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 99.84 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 99.66, with a stop going in at 99.52. Our up-side targets are 100.27, 100.62, and 100.90. Dollar/Yen has been revitalized of late, and the weekly C-wave is up for a test, one which we believe it will pass with flying colors. We see dots moving up on the monthly and a reasonably strong weekly envelope slope in support of our thesis. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/12/13: USDJPY We were stopped out in the early going on this one. The only good news is that the stop was reasonably close by and sot he damage was not that high. We take the loss and move on.
09/11/2013		Entry	99.84	Entry	99.66				($463)
		Exit	99.52	Exit	99.52
Sept 11 for Sept 12		Date	Sep-12	Date	Sep-13				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($141)
		Entry	99.66	Entry
		Exit	99.52	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-12	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 107.40 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 108.63, with a stop going in at 109.23. Our down-side targets are 106.40, 105.55, and 104.54. Big moves in the Crude Oil market as the risk premium fades a bit. Technically we see the daily and weekly PLDots lining up for a possible push tot he downside and quite significantly a move from outside to insider the monthly envelope, setting up a target of the monthly dot or lower. Big moves of recent days stretch the geometry out and that, combined with the geopolitical uncertainty make this for a play with some risk and so watch your flow. Possible rewards are high as well though and so let's see how this plays out.Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/11/13: @CL The day played out reasonable well, more or less along the lines we anticipated, except not enough to hit our targets and in the reverse order of what we expected, thus we're not getting much out of this. We'll exit at the close with a small loss.
09/10/2013		Entry	107.40	Entry					($350)
		Exit	107 75	Exit
Sept 10 for Sept 11		Date	Sep-11	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3252 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3275, with a stop going in at 1.3300. Our down-side targets are 1.3228, 1.3201, and 1.3149. Dollar weakness is manifest across the board but the exhaust move in the Euro seems obvious as well, a strong move stopping in key resistance as this near-term energy meets stronger HTP push to the downside. Which side will win? We don't know but there is a reasonably strong possibility of a reaction tomorrow, and perhaps a test of the 6/5, which is a good enough trade for me. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 9/10/13: EURUSD A scratch day. We came within one pip of our target and just barely hit the conservative entry, and at day's end had spent most of time time in this very tight range. We call it a scratch and exit at the closing price. A day for watching paint dry ...
09/09/2013		Entry	1.3252	Entry	1.3275				($30)
		Exit	1.3265	Exit	1.3265
Sept 9 for Sept 10		Date	Sep-10	Date	Sep-10				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$100
		Entry	1.3275	Entry
		Exit	1.3265	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-10	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1391 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1381, with a stop going in at 1379. Our up-side targets are 1400, 1408, and 1418. A key reversal in gold? It sure looks that way, and so we'll try our luck on the long side in gold. At the very least we can say there was a resounding rejection of bearish sentiment and support held strongly, kicking the market right back up into resistance. The question for Monday: will this support remain strong and drive price on up through resistance or no? We say yes. But in these tough markets our monitoring will guide us. Aggressive traders watch the flow as Gold can be a fast-moving and dramatic market and we will exit the trade intraday in the face of a strong adverse move. On balance through we are bullish, with targets of the weekly envelope top and beyond.Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/9/13: @GC Gold essentially did nothing today as it awaits fresh developments in the Geo-political arena. The trade is not developing as we expected and so we'll exit and stand aside. We take a small loss and move on.
09/06/2013		Entry	1391	Entry					($400)
		Exit	1387	Exit
Sept 6 for Sept 9		Date	Sep-09	Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5586 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5629, with a stop going in at 1.5667. Our down-side targets are 1.5554, 1.5528, and 1.5506. The monthly chart is in congestion action and the next move is down; the weekly is also in congestion with a target of the lower confines of congestion around the envelope bottom. And the daily is rolling over after having exhausted into weekly resistance. This adds up to a short bias and so we'll sell this market, looking for lower prices directly ahead. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/6/13: GBPUSD No joy in Mudville as the report-driven volatility took us out. Absent the report, we would still be in the trade. But that's not the game we played today, and wishful thinking gets us nowhere. We close out a nasty week and move forward.
09/05/2013		Entry	1.5586	Entry	1.5629				($1190)
		Exit	1.5667	Exit	1.5667
Sept 5 for Sept 6		Date	Sep-06	Date	Sep-06				Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($380)
		Entry	1.5629	Entry
		Exit	1.5667	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-06	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDACD at 1.0491 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0507, with a stop going in at 1.0536. Our down-side targets are 1.0470, 1.0447, and 10416. The market is rolling over at anticipated monthly resistance, and the monthly is en route to the monthly dot. The weekly bars are marching sideways across the page. Do we expect support to weaken and resistance to grow stronger? Yes we do. What we expect is that the daily dot and the weekly envelope top will drive support on lower, and price will continue down. We anticipate any rally to be short-lived and weak, and moves to the downside to be stronger and more protracted. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 9/5/13: USDCAD This market is hanging fire waiting for the non-farm payrolls report tomorrow, a big economic number that can have a dramatic impact on price. In the meantime we came near our target but did not hit it, and at day's end the trade is essentially a scratch. We'll stand aside and wait for more a definitive trade set up.
09/04/2013		Entry	1.0491	Entry	1.0507				($60)
		Exit	1.0502	Exit	1.0502
Sept 4 for Sept 5		Date	Sep-05	Date	Sep-05				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$50
		Entry	1.0507	Entry
		Exit	1.0502	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1637.75 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1645, with a stop going in at 1653. Our down-side targets are 1631, 1624, and 1615. Tricky and difficult markets these days as heightened geopolitical tensions draw a fresh measure of unpredictability into trading decisions. On the S&P E-mini we see evidence of weakness and believe that on-balance the potential is higher for a down move rather than up, at least if we take the higher time periods' technical signs at face value. It's a somewhat dicey time in the markets -- and in the world at large. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/4/13: @es We hit our stop and are out at that level for a middling loss. Dicey markets indeed. On we go.
09/03/2013		Entry	1637.75	Entry	1645				($1162)
		Exit	1653	Exit	1653
Sept 3 for Sept 4		Date	Sep-04	Date	Sep-04				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($400)
		Entry	1645	Entry
		Exit	1653	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-04	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 131'060 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 131'160, with a stop going in at 131'200. Our down-side targets are 130'260, 130'140, and 130'060. Although we missed entry on Friday's call over the shortened holiday trading I still like this configuration except that now we need to see a retracement to the dot for entry, instead of being able to go in at market. A somewhat harder to trade to get aboard but we can see a reasonable place to put a stop and so we'll give it a whirl. The rationale for the trade as stated Friday stands. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 9/3/13: @US Once again no trade as we were never offered the necessary entry price. Annoying, but these things happen, and that's the nature of the game. I take some satisfaction in knowing that our analysis of direction was spot on. Now we're off looking for another trade.
09/02/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Sept 2 for Sept 3		Date		Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 131'180 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 132'080, with a stop going in at 132'130. Our down-side targets are 131'020, 130'160, and 130'040. Bonds are showing an interesting configuration here, the daily rolling over and losing momentum and this at month's end with the monthly envelope slope in a swan dive. The weekly chart is in congestion and is terminating at the weekly 5/9 down. To me this looks like lower prices lie directly ahead. let's see how this works out. Video Addendum: Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 9/2/13: @US No Trade on this call as the market gapped over our entry price and never regained that level, negating the trade and giving us no opportunity even though we had the direction correct. Despite the shortened holiday trading the market was open for a considerable number of hours, from Sunday evening through Monday noon, and so we count it as a regular day. However I still like the short direction in bonds and will reset the trade as a fresh call for today.
08/30/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
August 30 for September 2		Date		Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.3237 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3217, with a stop going in at 1.3186. Our up-side targets are 1.3283, 1.3308, and 1.3369. We saw a big-time break in the Euro/USD today and while the daily envelope has a steep slope I look at this as a bit of an exhaust, due to the strong weekly and monthly support encountered at today's lows. If so, then we should see a retracement of sorts tomorrow. Perhaps to the upper confined of congestion? Or just to the daily dot? Either way it's not a bad trade. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/30/13: EURUSD No joy here as the market did not retrace even a bit but rather moved into lower levels and hit our stop; we take the loss and move on.
08/29/2013		Entry	1.3237	Entry	1.3217				($820)
		Exit	1.3186	Exit	1.3186
August 29 for August 30		Date	Aug-30	Date	Aug-30				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($310)
		Entry	1.3217	Entry
		Exit	1.3186	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-30	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5523 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5569, with a stop going in at 1.5597. Our down-side targets are 1.5491, 1.5461, and 1.5388. We see this market grinding on down, and are laying a bet that this will continue for another day or days. In the higher timeframe we see the monthly in a congestion with the next move down not up, and the weekly has been playing its part nicely, itself moving into congestion. I particularly like the pattern of the daily dot as it holds resistance to the tick day after day, and pushing resistance ever lower. The GBPUSD is a volatile Forex cross, and certainly today was no exception, but given all that we still did not see resistance breaking. My view: more downside ahead. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/29/13: GBPUSD We had the right idea but never reached the first target. Still, we're in profit and so at day's end or shortly thereafter we will exit at market, taking the closing price as our exit point. Aggressive traders who can monitor closely might choose to stay aboard, but we're out here and off looking for the next trade.
08/28/2013		Entry	1.5523	Entry					$230
		Exit	1.5501	Exit
August 28 for August 29		Date	Aug-29	Date					Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1628 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1638, with a stop going in at 1648. Our down-side targets are 1620, 1615, and 1602. Big move int he @ES today, a major break. Will this move continue? I can make a case for both sides but I like the downside case better. My reasons? primarily the strength of the weekly envelope slope. Yes, we are at an important support level in the weekly PLDot but support can break if the monthly dot has stopped pushing up and is poised to push down, with the help of the weekly envelope bottom and PLDot it looks to me if that is the case. So far there is little evidence that this move is over. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/29/13: @ES Close but no cigar; we came within 2.75 points of the first target but the market then re versed and unfortunately hit our stop. So we're out with a modest loss. Update 8/28/13:@ES Basically we're seeing a weak close, with little evidence that resistance is weak and support strong. I think I will hold this for another day and see what develops. It is a bit of a close call though, and those who choose to exit here at the close (1630.50) and take the modest profit, would not be wrong. If you chose to hold short, then move the initial target to 1625, leave the other targets in place, and move the stop to 1640 above the 1-1 Hi. We're looking for a continued daily c-wave to the downside and should not see a big retracement if we are correct, thus our basic strategy of tightening the stop and reducing our risk a bit, while looking for a bigger profit.
08/27/2013		Entry	1628	Entry	1638				($700)
		Exit	1640	Exit	1640
August 27 for August 28		Date	Aug-29	Date	Aug-29				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($100)
		Entry	1638	Entry
		Exit	1640	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-29	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDACD at 1.0499 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0521, with a stop going in at 1.0546. Our down-side targets are 1.0481, 1.0463, and 1.0435. the dollar turns downward again and we see the effect clearly int he USDCAD Forex. Dots swinging, weekly exhaust pattern, monthly dot-refresh in progress: it all lines up. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/27/13:USDCAD OK we got the direction right, and both conservative and aggressive traders were filled, and we hit our first target. There might be more in this trade in the coming days but for our short-term program here we're out at the level of the first target, booking the profits and off looking for the next trade.
08/26/2013		Entry	1.0499	Entry	1.0521				$553
		Exit	1.0481	Exit	1.0481
August 26 for August 27		Date	Aug-27	Date	Aug-27				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$382
		Entry	1.0521	Entry
		Exit	1.0481	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-27	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 98.72 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 98.38, with a stop going in at 97.77. Our up-side targets are 99.13, 99.39, and 99.81. Dollar-Yen is showing some strength, and we are looking for this move to continue for a bit. The signs we are seeing? The slope of the daily envelope for sure, and weekly dots swinging catch our interest. Further we see the weekly 6/5 setting up nicely and the weekly and daily dots poised to push on through this monthly resistance, continuing the quarterly c-wave to the upside. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 8/26/13: USDJPY The market is not acting as we anticipated and so we will exit, taking the closing price as our exit point. This makes the trade essentially a scratch, as the aggressive trader has a small loss and the conservative trader a small win. We move the the side lines and look for another trade.
08/23/2013		Entry	98.72	Entry	98.38				($122)
		Exit	98.49	Exit	98.49
August 23 for August 26		Date	Aug-26	Date	Aug-26				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$112
		Entry	98.38	Entry
		Exit	98.49	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-26	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5584 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5619, with a stop going in at 1.5694. Our down-side targets are 1.5553, 1.5523, and 1.5500. We're seeing a significant break in the GBPUSD strength, which is a move we were looking for, and now wish to sell into this congestion entrance down. Technically we see the daily envelope rolling over nicely with a solid 6/5 forming, and an outside-inside move on the weekly, the strong monthly resistance with a 5/9 and 6/1 formation at the monthly envelope top and quarterly PLDot, and the quarterly in a move to the downside to boot, thus making the current resistance quite strong, or so we believe. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/23/13: GBPUSD We got our anticipated move and in the correct direction to boot, so all worked out OK on this trade. We hit our first target with both conservative and aggressive traders aboard. It would not surprise me one bit to see more in this trade in the coming day and those so inclined if they are able to monitor the trade closely might choose to stay aboard. But for our purposes here, we are out at the level of our first target, and are off looking for another trade.
08/22/2013		Entry	1.5584	Entry	1.5619				$970
		Exit	1.5553	Exit	1.5553
August 22 for August 23		Date	Aug-23	Date	Aug-23				Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$660
		Entry	1.5619	Entry
		Exit	1.5553	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3355 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3392, with a stop going in at 1.3419. Our down-side targets are 1.3323, 1.3303, and 1.3275. Congestion entrance to the downside finally, and this is concrete evidence that flow is weakening all across the EURUSD charts. Note that we are moving inside the weekly envelope, on the verge of doing so on the monthly and the quarterly envelope top has already laid down the law. Expect some congestion chop but a resolution to the downside, or so it seems at present. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/22/13: EURUSD We hit our second target and are out at that level; not a bad trade. Those who were day-trading may well have done better and of course could also have latched on to the turn-around, but for us, operating under the particular constraints of this daily forecast service, we're content with the win as it is. We book the profits and are off looking for another trade.
08/21/2013		Entry	1.3355	Entry					$520
		Exit	1.3303	Exit
August 21 for August 22		Date	Aug-22	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5663 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5682, with a stop going in at 1.5702. Our down-side targets are 1.5637, 1.5621, and 1.5589. This rally is losing energy as the daily reacts to an old PLDot crest and the zone location on the daily and weekly contribute to the resistance holding and starting to move sideways. The signs accumulate: dots swinging, daily envelope rolling over, resistance moving closer to the PLDot. We see the target for the moment as the monthly 6/5. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/21/13: GBPUSD No joy in Mudville tonight, we were stopped out buy just a tad in report-driven volatility. We're obviously out and off looking for another trade but the GBPUSD trade concept doe not seem invalid nonetheless.
08/20/2013		Entry	1.5663	Entry	1.5682				($590)
		Exit	1.5702	Exit	1.5702
August 20 for August 21		Date	Aug-21	Date	Aug-21				Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($200)
		Entry	1.5682	Entry
		Exit	1.5702	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-21	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1644 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1651, with a stop going in at 1657. Our down-side targets are 1638, 1635, and 1625. The E-mini is clearly breaking down, and the weak close today give no comfort to bottom hunters. I take note of the steepness of the daily envelope, the weak close, and the targets that are growing closer but still far enough away to make for a good trade. Monthly dots swinging give credence to the idea that we will see more than a dot-refresh, i.e.monthly congestion entrance, target 2-3 dots back. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/20/13: @ES The winds are shifting and we are not seeing the trade develop as expected; there is some chance that we could get a better exit price tomorrow if we hold short but the risks is doing that are not small and what we are seeing is bottoming action. When the weather changes we change too. We'll take a small loss now and stand aside.
08/19/2013		Entry	1644	Entry	1651				($350)
		Exit	1651	Exit	1651
August 19 for August 20		Date	Aug-20	Date	Aug-20				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$0
		Entry	1651	Entry
		Exit	1651	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-20	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3326 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3361, with a stop going in at 1.3403. Our down-side targets are 1.3300, 1.3267, and 1.3226. Congestion action or trend run? The Euro is at a mini decision point it seems. I take the weak close, the location within the zone structure, the fact that the weekly envelope is starting to move sideways, and the monthly reacting to the quarterly envelope top all as supportive arguments for a congestion day on Monday. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/19/13: EURUSD A close call but the market is basically not moving with any sense of urgency in our direction, and we have the opportunity here at the close to exit with a very small profit. I prefer not to take the risk of a higher move tomorrow, despite the fact that a very good case can be made for staying aboard here as well. Fielder's choice, or so it seems. We'll stand aside for the moment, and take the small win.
08/16/2013		Entry	1.3326	Entry	1.3361				$210
		Exit	1.3333	Exit	1.3333
August 16 for August 19		Date	Aug-19	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$280
		Entry	1.3361	Entry
		Exit	1.3333	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0301 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0322, with a stop going in at 1.0350. Our down-side targets are 1.0285, 1.0263, 1.0252, and if we get lucky 1.0235. Dollar moves were material across the board today but the Loonie move was not as striking. And yet the technicals are supportive of a further down-move. What do we see? Basically we see support breaking, downward flow easier than upward flow, monthly congestion action driving the train, and the weekly pldot playing a supporting role in these dynamics. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/16/13: USDCAD We were tripped up by congestion action here, instead of the anticipated weakness heading on down. We might have been a bit early on this trade: we'll see what happens. In the meantime we're stopped out and off looking for the next trade.
08/15/2013		Entry	1.0301	Entry	1.0322				($745)
		Exit	1.0350	Exit	1.0350
August 15 for August 16		Date	Aug-16	Date	Aug-16				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($271)
		Entry	1.0322	Entry
		Exit	1.0350	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-16	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1682 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1689, with a stop going in at 1694. Our down-side targets are 1678, 1672, and 1668. The S&P 500 E-Mini continues to play this anemic game of congestion, but with a lot of little signs that the resolution to this drawn-out shuffling will be to the downside. The signs we see? The persistent downward slope in the daily envelope and PLDot, the weekly and daily PLDots locating above price, a general inability of price to make its way though nearby daily resistance, and the general zone location high in the structure on the weekly and monthly. We'll take a shot at the downside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/15/13: @US An excellent trade. For the purposes of our track record we are out at our third target but note that in my movie we called for an eventual target of the monthly live dot, PLdot, or beyond, and so those traders who were monitoring the flow and choose to stay aboard would have had some support in doing so, and could have done considerably better than the $700 we booked for the trade. But for our short-term purposes here we're out, and off looking for the next trade.
08/14/2013		Entry	1682	Entry					$700
		Exit	1668	Exit
August 14 for August 15		Date	Aug-15	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5447 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5478, with a stop going in at 1.5520. Our down-side targets are 1.5403, 1.5369, and 1.5339. Dollar strength across the board tonight, and we will take a crack at "Cable", the old-style name for the GBPUSD Forex cross, a term of affection that harkens back to the mid-1800's when the first trans-Atlantic telegraph cable was laid permitting rapid price quotes from London to New York. We see monthly and weekly refresh moves underway with an ultimate target of the Monthly dot or more. And the daily is supporting and confirming the move so far, adding some confidence to the trade concept. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/14/13: GBPUSD Very annoying, we were wrong and price did go into congestion instead of continuing lower. We hit our stop and are out for a middling loss. On we go looking for the next trade.
08/13/2013		Entry	1.5447	Entry	1.5478				($1150)
		Exit	1.5520	Exit	1.5520
August 13 for August 14		Date	Aug-14	Date	Aug-14				Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($420)
		Entry	1.5478	Entry
		Exit	1.5520	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-14	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 133'270 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 134'050, with a stop going in at 134'250. Our down-side targets are 133'140, 133'040, and 132'150. A sharp reversal in the treasury bonds today results in a congestion entrance bar. Off-hand the strength of this move to the downside seems to ay that the near-term target is an expanded block level in the neighborhood of the weekly envelope bottom, and so that is how we will play this. We may instead see congestion action to the upside, but if so it is unlikely in my opinion to break the upper confined of congestion. In any case let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/13/13: @US This worked out nicely. We called the direction correctly and entered within two ticks of the high of the day and exited within three ticks of the low of the day. I suppose we can't get much better than that on a regular basis anyway. We're off looking for the next trade.
08/12/2013		Entry	133'270	Entry					$1,375
		Exit	132'150	Exit
August 12 for August 13		Date	Aug-13	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1685 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1688, with a stop going in at 1696. Our down-side targets are 1680, 1676, and 1670. The over-extended E-Mini is showing a bit of struggle up here in nose-bleed territory. With this weak close we will once again take a stab at a short. On our side the evidence includeS a close inside of the live monthly envelope top, thus outside-inside is in play for this key metric. Further we now have two PLDots on the short side of the trade. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/12/13: @ES Not bad, we called the direction correctly and price hit our second target before reversing direction. The only regret is that the conservative traders were not filled before targets hit, thus invalidating that conservative trade. Still a win is a win, and so we bank the profits an are off looking for the next trade.
08/09/2013		Entry	1685	Entry					$450
		Exit	1676	Exit
August 9 for August 12		Date	Aug-12	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0324 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0353, with a stop going in at 1.0387. Our down-side targets are 1.0286, 1.0267, and 1.0247. Big turnaround in the USD across the board today, and technically I like the USDCAD the best to play this move. Why so? We are dipping under the daily PLDot and now have three time period PLDots on our side with a target of the monthly Ebot. But will we get rolling to the downside tomorrow? Time will tell but the signs are positive, especially in the weak close and the dot/live-dot structure in the HTP's. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/9/13:USDCAD In my eyes a good trade, though not a large one. It is pretty amazing that we missed getting the conservative traders aboard by one pip. Some may wish to hold short for further gains but I am out here as we have reached support in our target areas. We're off looking for the next trade
08/08/2013		Entry	1.0324	Entry					$369
		Exit	1.0286	Exit
August 8 for August 9		Date	Aug-09	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1688 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1693, with a stop going in at 1699. Our down-side targets are 1682, 1677, and 1674. The E-mini is acting weak and we're in nose-bleed territory on the weekly and daily. the weekly seems to be rolling over nicely and the daily is supporting this move big-time. Momentum is certainly shifting but will we see a resurgence driven by the monthly envelope top? I vote no. But we'll soon find out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/8/13: @ES Too bad on this one; we spent a lot of the day in profit territory but ended up missing our target by only $100. The support and resistance levels for today were accurately predicted but price just didn't quite get there. At day's end the trend is not yet strongly down and is indeed ambiguous for tomorrow. We'll take a small loss and move to the sidelines.
08/07/2013		Entry	1688	Entry	1693				($400)
		Exit	1694.50	Exit	1694.50
August 7 for August 8		Date	Aug-08	Date	Aug-08				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($75)
		Entry	1693	Entry
		Exit	1694.50	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-08	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US at 133'050 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 133'000, with a stop going in at 132'170. Our up-side targets are 133'160, 133'260, and 134'100. Are we seeing a short-term bottom in the US 30-year treasury bonds? the technicals hint that this is the case. We surely see the monthly don-trend but the daily chart is certainly not saying that the immediate direction is straight down. A test of the weekly PLDot is likely, and that's the trade we are fishing for here. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/7/13: @US We called this one correctly and our aggressive traders hit the second target. We're out at that level and off looking for the next trade. Higher prices most likely lie ahead here though and some may wish to stay aboard, monitor closely, and look for higher targets.
08/06/2013		Entry	133'050	Entry					$650
		Exit	133'260	Exit
August 6 for August 7		Date	Aug-07	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0358 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0378, with a stop going in at 1.0395. Our down-side targets are 1.0344, 1.0333, and 1.0317. It would seem technically that we are trapped for the moment between the quarterly envelope top and the monthly PLDot, and this is driving a congestion-entrance pattern on the daily. If this is the case we'll see a move to the daily envelope bottom tomorrow, and at the moment the flow is supporting this view. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/7/13:USDCAD Despite our brilliant strategy for exiting at a scratch the market did not agree and we were stopped out. On we go. Update 8/6/13: USDCAD Hold short but move first target to 1.0359 and leave the all original targets in place. Leave stop as it is. We're slightly under water here but I think we can get a bit better exit.
08/05/2013		Entry	1.0358	Entry	1.0378				($518)
		Exit	1.0395	Exit	1.0395
August 5 for August 6		Date	Aug-07	Date	Aug-07				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($163)
		Entry	1.0378	Entry
		Exit	1.0395	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-07	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.3279 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3262, with a stop going in at 1.3206. Our up-side targets are 1.3315, 1.3345, and 1.3378. A market turn today across the board after the NFP report this morning; is it enough to resume this daily and weekly uptrend that has been in play? Certainly we have the daily-weekly-monthly-quarterly dots working for us, and the possible of a weekly c-wave is straight ahead. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/6/13: EURUSD OK good, our hold-long-for-the-extra-day strategy worked, and we hit our second target of 1.3315, and are out at that level, for a reasonable good profit. Update 8/5/13: EURUSD Essentially there was no significant movement today. Hold long but move first target to 1.3292 leaving the current targets in place. Move stop to 1.3221.
08/02/2013		Entry	1.3279	Entry	1.3262				$890
		Exit	1.3315	Exit	1.3315
August 2 for August 5		Date	Aug-06	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$530
		Entry	1.3262	Entry
		Exit	1.3315	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-06	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 99.54 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 99.11, with a stop going in at 98.19. Our up-side targets are 100.08, 100.42, and 101.08. Big day in the dollar/yen Forex today as the dollar forged a significant congestion entrance bar, and this at significant levels, giving credence to the idea that the quarterly C-wave is valid and holds potential for further moves to the upside. We note the position of the monthly and weekly PLDots as well as the very impressive daily flow. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/5/13:USDJPY This didn't work out very week; we hit our stop by one tick and so we are out with a loss. So much for getting cute with the exit strategy. Update 8/2/13: USDJPY Hold long; we're under water a bit but key levels of daily PLD and weekly Envelope bottom are still holding, and so we'll hold our breath and sit tight. Prudent aggressive traders will want to monitor this carefully though.
08/01/2013		Entry	99.54	Entry	99.11				($2308)
		Exit	98.19	Exit	98.19
August 1 for August 2		Date	Aug-05	Date	Aug-05				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($936)
		Entry	99.11	Entry
		Exit	98.19	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 134'020 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 134'150, with a stop going in at 134'270. Our down-side targets are 133'200, 133'020, and 132'170. Interesting development in the bonds; a test of the downside rejected but then the market could not make any progress to the upside either. Normally one might see this is very bullish but something is not quite right here: I am noting that price held at the daily dot, that there is a strong monthly down-trend in play and we are now entering the new month and the envelope bottom is dead ahead. The double dot formation daily/weekly is also on my mind today. I'm selling; let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/1/13: @US A winning trade, not bad at all. Aggressive traders where were monitoring could have tacked another $500 onto this move in the bonds, as we exceeded our third target by a good bit. Lower prices lie ahead although we may see a small retracement first. We're on the sidelines looking for the next trade.
07/31/2013		Entry	134'020	Entry					$1,531
		Exit	132'170	Exit
July 31 for August 1		Date	Aug-01	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3260 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3290, with a stop going in at 1.3310. Our down-side targets are 1.3241, 1.3210, and 1.3181. The US Dollar is strengthening against he Euro and the daily is thus rolling over, and this at a point of significant higher time-period resistance. A weekly dot-refresh move would bring us to a target of the weekly live dot, and of course lurking in the background is the possibility of a monthly cycle down to lower confines of the monthly congestion. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/31/13: EURUSD A winning trade, and both the conservative and the aggressive trader were able to take advantage. The aggressive traders out there should have done much better than our pro-forma track record since we came with in a hair's breadth of our second target, and those with monitoring skills would have been out close to the lows today. . We book the profits and move onto the next trade.
07/30/2013		Entry	1.3260	Entry	1.3290				$780
		Exit	1.3241	Exit	1.3241
July 30 for July 31		Date	Jul-31	Date	Jul-31				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$590
		Entry	1.3290	Entry
		Exit	1.3241	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-31	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 104.55 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 104.06, with a stop going in at 103.71. Our up-side targets are 105.27, 105.58, and 106.58. Technically we see Crude Oil completing a move down to the weekly envelope bottom but at a location very close to the on-coming monthly envelope top signifying a continuing monthly C-wave to the upside. Supporting evidence for this scenario comes from the daily outside/inside pattern, daily support holding,not breaking, and the weekly envelope moving sideways while the weekly 5/2 is holding. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/30/13: @CL This did not work out as expected and we were stopped out without further ceremony. The down-trend energy is still strong, and support is progressively eroding ans the hours tick by. We're out and looking for the next trade.
07/29/2013		Entry	104.55	Entry	104.06				($1,220)
		Exit	103.71	Exit	103.71
July 29 for July 30		Date	Jul-30	Date	Jul-30				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($350)
		Entry	104.06	Entry
		Exit	103.71	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-30	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US at 134'230 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 134'130, with a stop going in at 133'280. Our up-side targets are 135'010, 135'130, and 136'030. A near-term bottom on the US 30-year bonds? Could be. We see that the daily exhaust to the downside into the weekly PLDot is holding, and with a close above the daily dot and weekly live dot both as well. The weekly chart is rolling up nicely and the monthly is poised for an outside-inside move. At least at this moment support is holding across the board. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/29/13: @US We were definitely wrong on this one as the bonds moved into congestion action and are presently resting at the lower confined of congestion, about where our (too close) stop was sitting. We take the loss and are off looking for the next trade.
07/26/2013		Entry	134'230	Entry	134'130				($1375)
		Exit	133.280	Exit	133.280
July 26 for July 29		Date	Jul-29	Date	Jul-29				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($531)
		Entry	134'130	Entry
		Exit	133'280	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-29	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5380 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5432, with a stop going in at 1.5483. Our down-side targets are 1.5312, 1.5289, and 1.5245, with a further target at 1.5207 should things get volatile. We have a c-wave underway in the weekly but I am becoming a bit skeptical about the strength of this move since the daily envelope is moving sideways across the page, and we are in weekly resistance and monthly congestion. We're try a short here and see how this plays out. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 7/26/13: GBPUSD I believe this trade concept is still valid but given he weekend we will exit for a scratch. Those so inclined can stay aboard or monitor at the opening on Sunday night and see what they wish to do. But we stand aside and look for another trade.
07/25/2013		Entry	1.5380	Entry					$10
		Exit	1.5381	Exit
July 25 for July 26		Date		Date					Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0309 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0285, with a stop going in at 1.0240. Our up-side targets are 1.0329, 1.0349, and 1.0361. the USDCAD charts at the present time are showing a monthly PLDot refresh completed, and with support becoming stronger to shift the energy flow to the upside. Evidence for this is in the lower time period in the daily (move from outside to inside, a precursor to congestion entrance to the upside) and a weekly close so far well off the low. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/26/13: USDCAD I still thing we are seeing a bottom here but will exit with a small loss so as not to heighten the risk over the weekend. Update 7/25/13: USDCAD We're in a loss position on this trade and normally that is enough to send me to the sidelines however this market does look like an interim term v=bottom is on and I am holding long for another day to see how this plays out. Set a new early target at 1.0308 (essentially a break-even target and a safeguard against further congestion here) and leave all other targets intact as well.
07/24/2013		Entry	1.0309	Entry	1.0285				($428)
		Exit	1.0275	Exit	1.0275
July 24 for July 25		Date	Jul-26	Date	Jul-26				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($97)
		Entry	1.0285	Entry
		Exit	1.0275	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-26	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy GBPUSD at 1.5370 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5341, with a stop going in at 1.5307. Our up-side targets are .1.5397, 1.5441, AND 1.5475. It seems as if we have a monthly congestion underway, with the next mid-term target being the monthly envelope top. In support of this concept we see the weekly and the daily PLDots in a supportive not a dismissive stance. If so, then it's up, up and away for the Pound Sterling in the coming days. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/24/13: GBPUSD We came within 2 pips of hitting our target but importunately the market just missed that goal, and price then fell off to hit our stop, and so we take the loss and move on. These near misses are good evidence that the general trade strategy is correct though we can well say that in these cases we suffer from a bit of perfectionism. It would be better if we had a less perfect target but one that was actually hit.
07/23/2013		Entry	1.5370	Entry	1.5341				($970)
		Exit	1.5307	Exit	1.5307
July 23 for July 24		Date	Jul-24	Date	Jul-24				Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($340)
		Entry	1.5341	Entry
		Exit	1.5307	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-24	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.3185 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3165, with a stop going in at 1.3128. Our up-side targets are 1.3214, 1.3254, and 1.3273. Dollar weakness is manifesting itself across the forex spectrum and so it is with the EURUSD cross. Technically speaking we have the daily dot near the weekly envelope top and a weekly c-wave in progress; the daily dot location give us some assurance that support is strong here. Similarly the weekly location on the monthly is supported by the monthly PLDot push to the upside,and the quarterly dot is perhaps what is behind it all. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/23/13: EURUSD This is a bullish market and those so inclined can move their stop to breakeven or a small risk under the 6/5 and hold long. Targets two and three should remain and set a new further out target of 1.3327. However for our short-term purposes here we hit the first target and are out with a good profit at that level, and are now off looking for a new trade.
07/22/2013		Entry	1.3185	Entry	1.3165				$780
		Exit	1.3214	Exit	1.3214
July 22 for July 23		Date	Jul-23	Date	Jul-23				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$490
		Entry	1.3165	Entry
		Exit	1.3214	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0365 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0380, with a stop going in at 1.0417. Our down-side targets are 1.0340, 1.0310, and 1.0285. so of the last four days three of them have shown us weak closes; shall we conclude that the odds are in favor of a downside exit to this congestion? We shall. In support of this we see further room possible for a monthly dot refresh, a possible weekly c-wave down in play, and reasonable targets on offer. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/23/13: USDCAD OK This exit strategy worked out well, and we hit our revised third target. For track record purposes we are out at that level but I suspect we will see lower prices directly ahead, and so those who can monitor the trade may choose to stay aboard. Update 7/22/13: USDCAD Hold Short. We're aboard this trade and have hit our first target. But the market action is bearish today and I believe lower prices lie directly ahead. Hold for further targets. Keep second target in place at 1.0310 but move our third target to 1.0295. Move stop to break-even.
07/19/2013		Entry	1.0365	Entry					$680
		Exit	1.0295	Exit
July 19 for July 20		Date	Jul-23	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3111 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3131, with a stop going in at 1.3176. Our DOWN-side targets are 1.3081, 1.3057, and 1.3009. This congestion has been going on for some time and is drawing to a conclusion, and I am betting on a resolution to the downside. Technically we see the daily rolling over, with all of the associated little signals of a shift in energy. On the weekly we seethe reason why: weekly resistance is proving strong and the next move is to the downside; monthly chart shows us the broader context of the action within the quarterly envelope, and our current placement also supports a move to the downside. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/22/13: EURUSD Annoyingly our clever little exit strategy did not work out. we were stopped out, and take a loss. Update 7/19/13: EURUSD Hold for revised target. The day worked out in a reasonable manner but has definitely not exited to the downside, in fact is showing signs of exiting to the upside. We came within seven pips of target but are not quite there, and closed up somewhat. The question is whether to exit now at a loss or exit tomorrow at a scratch or better;this is fielder's choice but for the purposes of our service track record I will move target to the PLDot at 1.3120, move the stop to 1.3155 and see what the new day brings.
07/18/2013		Entry	1.3111	Entry	1.3131				($680)
		Exit	1.3155	Exit	1.3155
July 18 for July 19		Date	Jul-22	Date	Jul-22				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($240)
		Entry	1.3131	Entry
		Exit	1.3155	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-22	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0400 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0430, with a stop going in at 1.0448. Our down-side targets are 1.0369, 1.0350, and 1.0322. Congestion continues and the dollar rally cannot make the progress some are hoping for. We 're betting on congestion and a test of the lower confines. Evince for congestion is pretty good: envelopes moving sideways, competing moves on different time-frames. Let's see how it plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/18/13:USDCAD We have almost but not quite attained the first target and given the congestion structure that's good enough for me. We exit here at the closing price or at market, and book an OK profit.
07/17/2013		Entry	1.0400	Entry	1.0430				$790
		Exit	1.0374	Exit	1.0374
July 17 for July 18		Date	Jul-18	Date	Jul-18				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$540
		Entry	1.0430	Entry
		Exit	1.0374	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-18	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1671 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1676, with a stop going in at 1682. Our down-side targets are 1667, 1663, and 1654. After many days of up-moves we see a break in the prevailing mood and the E-Mini moves inside the envelope, and closes very nearly in congestion. So if the weather is changing we'll change as well and try a sale here in the S&P. Note the old monthly 5/9 from back in May and the weekly dotted line that also occurred at that time; note also the daily exhaust pattern and our location in weekly, monthly, and quarterly resistance. Let's see how this trade works out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/17/13: @ES Well it is a very small win but we take it with a smile, as a win is better than a scratch or a loss any day. On we go.
07/16/2013		Entry	1671	Entry					$200
		Exit	1667	Exit
July 16 for July 17		Date	Jul-17	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3059 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3107, with a stop going in at 1.3168. Our down-side targets are 1.3015, 1.2990, and 1.2917. Seems to me this is a picture of dot push failing, and the daily rolling over, and all this happening at a logical place, i.e. the vicinity of the monthly PLDot. Odds are we will see the monthly congestion action to the downside gain some strength in the coming days. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/16/13:EURUSD No joy here today as the market did not in any way, shape or form agree with our sterling analysis. We were stopped out without ceremony, and so we take the loss and move on.
07/15/2013		Entry	1.3059	Entry	1.3107				($1670)
		Exit	1.3168	Exit	1.3168
July 15 for July 16		Date	Jul-16	Date	Jul-16				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($580)
		Entry	1.3107	Entry
		Exit	1.3168	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-16	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1283 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1275, with a stop going in at 1265. Our UP-side targets are 1296, 1309, and 1322. Gold is showing strength here and we see it in the daily envelope slope, in the coalescence of the daily and weekly PLDots, in weekly dots-swinging, and in the monthly outside/inside move. I'm all for taking another bite out of this fast-moving market; let's see how this trade plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/15/13: @GC We just missed the gold ring but ended up in the winning column nevertheless. Our aggressive trader scratched, but the conservative traders saved the day -- not with a huge gain but a solid profit, and welcome it is.
07/12/2013		Entry	1283	Entry	1275				$720
		Exit	1282.60	Exit	1282.60
July 12 for July 15		Date	Jul-15	Date	Jul-15				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$760
		Entry	1275	Entry
		Exit	1282.80	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-15	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0369 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0396, with a stop going in at 1.0475. Our down-side targets are 1.0314, 1.0295, and 1.0271. Dollar weakness across the board and it looks to me like the Loonie is a good candidate to take further advantage of this market situation. the obvious shift in momentum is one sign but we also see the monthly PLDot refresh giving us some context and this refresh still has some room to move. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/15/13: OK we throw in the towel on this one as the market is not acting as we anticipated. We take a small loss for both conservative and aggressive traders. Update 7/12/13:USDCAD We're not wrong yet although the market is not making it easy on this trade. Nevertheless I will hold short but add a new first target at 1.0344, leaving the rest of the targets in place. Bring stop down to 1.0445.
07/11/2013		Entry	1.0369	Entry	1.0369				($815)
		Exit	1.0425	Exit	1.0425
July 11 for July 12		Date	Jul-15	Date	Jul-15				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($278)
		Entry	1.0369	Entry
		Exit	1.0425	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-15	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1261 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1258, with a stop going in at 1250. Our up-side targets are 1270, 1277, and 1290. The dollar weakness is showing up big-time in a number of markets and we are also seeing gold respond; perchance there is more in this trade? Signs are supporting a move to break the weekly PLDot to the upside, said signs include the daily rolling up, along with dots-swinging and a move outside-inside on the monthly. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 7/12/13: @GC I am re-classifying this trade as a directional trade after I received several calls from aggressive traders who were able to get aboard this trade despite the gap opening. Their average entry price was 1270 and so we'll take that as our entry and the third target as our exit. Update 7/11/13: @GC Now this is truly annoying; we correctly predicted everything about this trade and by all rights it should have been a $3,900 win; HOWEVER the market gapped a tiny bit on open and those who put in a standing order were not filled. Those flexible aggressive traders who were monitoring would have seen what was happening and were surely aboard for a really excellent win as we hit all three targets. It certainly is a convincing piece of evidence for the quality of the analysis methods. But for the narrow purposes of our track record here we will put this in the books as a "no trade" day. Such is life. On we go.
07/10/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
July 10 for July 11		Date		Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1270
		Exit		Exit	1290				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jul-11				$2000
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 133'150 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 134'040, with a stop going in at 134'200. Our down-side targets are 132'300, 132'130, and 131'150. The question of the hour is: will the daily 6/5 kick prices back into the down-trend or will we see congestion entrance trading? To me the strong slope of the daily and weekly envelopes speak volumes. One notes also today's anemic action: if congestion entrance is on tap, why not more energetic trading and a bigger range today? Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/10/13: @US Not a huge trade but the day did fulfill the geometry and hit the first target; thus we book a solid base hit. On we go looking for another trade.
07/09/2013		Entry	133'150	Entry					$220
		Exit	132'300	Exit
July 9 for July 10		Date	Jul-10	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0560 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0574, with a stop going in at 1.0598. Our down-side targets are 1.0538, 1.0519, and 1.0475. We see the signs, but will we seethe follow-through? Congestion entrance is on the horizon and we are selling in anticipation of lower prices ahead. The relevant signs and indications? Outside /inside on the weekly plus an exhaust pattern on the weekly are the primary elements that are drawing my eye. Certainly there is ample room for a weekly dot refresh. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/9/13: USDCAD We have close to getting both conservative and aggressive traders filled but in the end we missed the con entrance by one pip. Still, we hit our second target and so the day played out pretty much as expected. We are out at that level for a solid base hit.
07/08/2013		Entry	1.0560	Entry					$389
		Exit	1.0519	Exit
July 8 for July 9		Date	Jul-09	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell AUDJPY at 91.65 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 91.82, with a stop going in at 92.34. Our down-side targets are 91.19, 90.74, and 90.21. Congestion is in progress and at the point of a monthly C-wave down: that's the situation here and the question of the moment in the Aussy-Yen market. The prime argument supporting our anticipation of a further move to the downside is that the daily PLDot is definitely not pushing up, but languishing sideways, distinctly energy-less in the face of the monthly move down. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/9/13: AUDJPY Wow again as we came within one pip of hitting our revised target but in the end did not and so we eventually got stopped out. Sophisticated aggressive traders would have exited for a scratch but for our track record purposes here we take the hit. Not a happy camper but then again am amused at how close and thus how "accurate" our numbers were. But, just on the wrong side of the line today. On we go. Update 7/8/13: AUDJPY Wow we came with a hair of hitting our stop but did not, and now price is seeming a bit sickish; those who are concerned might well exit the trade but I am holding short for better (i.e. lower) price tomorrow. Hold the stop as it is and move our first target to 91.75 and retain all prior targets as well. Let's see if we can get something out of this trade, or at least a scratch.
07/05/2013		Entry	91.65	Entry	91.82				($1197)
		Exit	92.34	Exit	92.34
July 5 for July 8		Date	Jul-09	Date	Jul-09				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($514)
		Entry	91.82	Entry
		Exit	92.34	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-09	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1620 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1614, with a stop going in at 1601. Our up-side targets are 1628, 1634, and 1648. The S&P E-Mini looks attractive here due to the triple dot-push now starting to take effect. We see all the usual signs of momentum building: dots swinging, resistance breaking, multiple-time periods pushing, all setting up nicely. The question on the table for today is: will the daily resistance just hit give us a chance to get aboard at a slightly better price or not? I'm betting that it will but hope we do not miss the trade. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/5/13: @ES We did hit our first target and are out at that level. Price crashed after the NFP report this morning but have recovered nicely, thus possibly indicating that more may be in this trade for the coming days. But for our purposes here we are on the sidelines, counting our winnings are and off looking for another trade.
07/04/2013		Entry	1620	Entry	1614				$1,100
		Exit	1628	Exit	1628
June 4 for June 5		Date	Jul-05	Date	Jul-05				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$700
		Entry	1614	Entry
		Exit	1628	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 90.73 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 90.14, with a stop going in at 89.73. Our up-side targets are 91.37, 92.01, and 92.52. The Aussie/Yen has achieved congestion entrance and now the question on the table is: will we see congestion action in the coming days? I say yes and do so based on the retracement to the weekly PLDot (and Daily 5/9 up), which offers some strongish support and thus a possible move to the upper confines of congestion, thus fulfilling a picture-perfect congestion action pattern. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/4/13: AUDJPY Not a big win in today's very slow holiday market action but nevertheless a win is a win is a win and we are happy for the trade. We book the profits and are off looking for the next trade.
07/03/2013		Entry	90.73	Entry					$639
		Exit	91.34	Exit
July 3 for July 4		Date	Jul-04	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0545 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0501, with a stop going in at 1.0475. Our up-side targets are 1.0575, 1.0610, and 1.0655. We see what looks to be a strong candidate for congestion exit to the upside in the USDCAD Forex as the congestion action of the last few days starts to be resolve to the upside. For sure we see confirmed weekly and monthly c-waves in progress, and these with plenty of headroom before targets are reached. Our multiple time-period dot pushes are chugging right along. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/4/13: USDCAD We wiggled our way out of this sticky situation by tightening up our target for a scratch and when also taking the conservative trader's entrance into account, a small win. And a small win is always better than the loss we would have been facing yesterday afternoon had we exited then! On we go. Update 7/3/13: USDCAD The trade is not making progress toward our target but instead is doing the exact opposite. However given the slow nature of the trading due to the holidays today and tomorrow, it seems likely that we can exit at a scratch tomorrow or Friday rather than bailing now, and possibly the original trade concept will become valid after all. Keep the stop in place and move the first target to 1.0545, leaving the current first target as our second target, and so forth.
07/02/2013		Entry	1.0545	Entry	1.0501				$418
		Exit	1.0545	Exit	1.0545
July 2 for July 3		Date	Jul-04	Date	Jul-04				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$418
		Entry	1.0501	Entry
		Exit	1.0545	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-04	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.3065 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3026, with a stop going in at 1.2996. Our up-side targets are 1.3082, 1.3123, and 1.3169. The EURUSD Forex cross is starting to look like a significant reversal is underway, as the envelope rolls to the upside and we can envision a move to the weekly envelope top. Is this the case? Or will we see more daily congestion in this area, at the monthly/quarterly PLDot and weekly envelope bottom? The daily chart (and the intraday charts as well for those who are following along) would argue for the former, a fresh move to the upside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/2/13: EURUSD Instead of heading on up price revisited the bottom of the congestion range and we got stopped out. This action calls into question the reversal strategy and so we take the loss and stand aside to wait and watch future developments in this market.
07/01/2013		Entry	1.3065	Entry	1.3026				($990)
		Exit	1.2996	Exit	1.2996
July 1 for July 2		Date	Jul-02	Date	Jul-02				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($300)
		Entry	1.3026	Entry
		Exit	1.2996	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-02	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5205 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5236, with a stop going in at 1.5296. Our down-side targets are 1.5173, 1.5149, and 1.5113. Dollar strength abounds and so we see the Pound Sterling take the dive. It seems like there is still life in this down-trend, with a target of the monthly envelope bottom. The key to my eye here is breaking the monthly PLDot and the weekly 5/2 up, a bearish sign and that coupled with the unrelenting nature of the daily envelope slope is perhaps enough evidence for today's trade. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 7/1/13: GBPUSD We end the day in the plus column by the barest of margins. This trade is not developing as expected and while we lose nothing we essentially gain nothing either, or at least not much. We exit at the close for a scratch.
06/28/2013		Entry	1.5205	Entry	1.5236				$30
		Exit	1.5214	Exit	1.5214
June 28 for July 1		Date	Jul-01	Date					Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$120
		Entry	1.5236	Entry
		Exit	1.5214	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-01	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 98.40 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 97.99, with a stop going in at 97.33. Our up-side targets are 98.80, 99.14, and 99.71. The USDJPY is looking stronger by the hour as the U.S. Interest rate structure drives up the value of the greenback. Let's see of we can get aboard this move. Of current technical note are the daily dots swinging to the upside, weekly and monthly dots on the right side of the trade, and the up-coming month target beckoning at the on-coming monthly envelope top. Let's see how it plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/28/13: USDJPY Not bad at all; we hit our second target and are out at that level. Those so inclined might examine this market with an eye towards future gains but for the purposes of this service and the associated track record we are out at the second target, booking the profits and are off looking for another trade.
06/27/2013		Entry	98.40	Entry					$792
		Exit	99.14	Exit
June 27 for June 28		Date	Jun-28	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 95.49 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 94.45, with a stop going in at 93.95. Our up-side targets are 96.06, 96.54, and 97.79. Crude is an impressive trading market; it seems as if support is holding well and we are heading on up. Technically we see monthly, quarterly and daily dots underneath us poised to break the weekly dot to the upside. Of significance are the the daily dots rolling up nicely. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/27/13: @CL The day played out as predicted and so we are happy campers here. We hit the second target and are out at that level for a solid win.
06/26/2013		Entry	95.49	Entry					$1,050
		Exit	96.54	Exit
June 26 for June 27		Date	Jun-27	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1581 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1587, with a stop going in at 1596. Our down-side targets are 1566, 1557, and 1545. Just touching congestion entrance in today's market action and looking like the next short-term move will be a re-test of the week's market lows. Of key significance to my eye is the location of the daily PLDot at the weekly envelope bottom, this foreshadowing strength rather than weak resistance it would seem. Ultimately we will likely see higher prices but at this moment the bull/bear struggle is still favoring the downside. Or so it seems.... let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 6/26/13: @ES Not a happy camper; we were wrong on this one and got stopped out in short order. Nimble aggressive traders might have exited sooner on a flow-based stop but for track record purposes we'll take the full hit. On we go.
06/25/2013		Entry	1581	Entry	1587				($1200)
		Exit	1596	Exit	1596
June 25 for June 26		Date	Jun-26	Date	Jun-26				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($450)
		Entry	1587	Entry
		Exit	1596	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-26	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 90.38 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 89.82, with a stop going in at 89.25. Our up-side targets are 91.02, 91.48, and 92.36. Is the long bear journey of the Aussie/Yen finally coming to an end? We've had a reversal day that looks somewhat convincing, and similar moves cross the trading board lend some credibility to the theory. Technically we see the daily envelope rolling up, weekly dots swinging, a convincing move outside to inside, and the monthly is in a completed refresh to the quarterly dot and ready for its own refresh, even overdue for such a move. So it all lines up; let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/26/13: AUDJPY Patience rewarded! although we did not take off like a rocket to the upside we certainly did hit our first target and are out at that level. Not a bad trade after all! Update 6/25/13: AUDJPY It seems that we are a bit early; the market is acting reasonably but we are not quite there yet. Those who are uncomfortable with the trade could exit here for a small profit but I am holding long with the expectation of further gains. Hold stop and target prices and let's see how we do tomorrow.
06/24/2013		Entry	90.38	Entry	89.82				$1,882
		Exit	91.02	Exit	91.02
June 24 for June 25		Date	Jun-26	Date	Jun-26				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,228
		Entry	89.82	Entry
		Exit	91.02	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-26	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3120 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3144, with a stop going in at 1.3225. Our down-side targets are 1.3066, 1.3044, and 1.3024. At the moment anyway this move looks like it has legs as markets across the board adjust to a new reality. The signs are: breaking the daily support, strong down flow, weak close, breaking weekly PLDot, weekly targets not yet reached, etc. No guarantees but the daily 5/2 seems quite reachable in the next trading session. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/24/13: EURUSD Not a bad day, it played out pretty much as expected, and now we are seeing what looks like to be a reversal of energy flow. But we did hit our first target before prices reversed and so we are out at that level, banking the profit. Another solid base hit.
06/21/2013		Entry	1.3120	Entry					$540
		Exit	1.3066	Exit
June 21 for June 24		Date	Jun-24	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1585 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1573, with a stop going in at 1570. Our up-side targets are 1595, 1603, and 1611. Very big day all around and we expect a dot-refresh, especially given that the monthly dot was hit as well as the monthly 6/5. However such volatile days are not easy to predict: we know there will be a refresh but it is not perfectly clear that it will happen tomorrow, so watch your levels and if you are monitoring the market be prepared to act on flow. We've set the stop closer based on money not on geometry as the levels do get majorly strung out in such volatility. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/21/13: @ES The day proceeded about as expected although I thought we would see some higher prices. We hit the first target and are out at that level, an outcome which suits me just fine as the patterns are not bullish at the moment. Hitting an early target invalidated the conservative entry but if some did get filled for a conservative entry an exit at the close is recommended, for another modest profit.
06/20/2013		Entry	1585	Entry					$500
		Exit	1595	Exit
June 20 for June 21		Date	Jun-21	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3291 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3334, with a stop going in at 1.3371. Our down-side targets are 1.3242, 1.3210, and 1.3125. General turn in the market today, with a number of markets reacting to dollar strength as the U.S. interest rates shift a bit higher. In the Euro-dollar cross we see solid congestion entrance, dotted line and block level and all the rest. We can anticipate a test of the live dot, but after such a long run to the upside it may be that the congestive chop up here will be limited. Technically we see the weekly 5/1 and the monthly 5/2 holding, and the daily is of course rolling over very nicely. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/20/13: EURUSD the day played out as expected. We hit the second target and are out at that level. A solid base hit.
06/19/2013		Entry	1.3291	Entry					$810
		Exit	1.3210	Exit
June 19 for June 20		Date	Jun-20	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5639 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5671, with a stop going in at 1.5705. Our down-side targets are 1.5599, 1.5576, and 1.5550. Dollar strength is with us across the board, or at least it looks that way from today's action. After some fifteen days of Sterling rally we see the USD reassert, and the signs are: congestion entrance, no significant bounce off of the weekly envelope top, monthly 5/2 holding, daily envelope rolling over convincingly, and flow shifting. Are we ready for a more definitive short? We'll soon find out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/19/13: GBPUSD We pretty much nailed this trade and both the aggressive and conservative traders were aboard, for a solid win. Sophisticated aggressive traders who were monitoring the post-announcement action may well have harvested much more from this trade, but for the purposes of this track record we are out at the third target. We bank the profits with a smile and move on looking for the next trade.
06/18/2013		Entry	1.5639	Entry	1.5671				$2,100
		Exit	1.5550	Exit	1.5550
June 18 for June 19		Date	Jun-19	Date	Jun-19				Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,210
		Entry	1.5671	Entry
		Exit	1.5550	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-19	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 94.61 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 94.07, with a stop going in at 93.89. Our up-side targets are 95.05, 95.37, and 95.93. It has been a very long time since we called for a buy in the dollar/yen cross; has the right time come? Signs are building. Technically we see dots swinging, nearbys growing closer to the daily dot, favorable zone structure on the weekly with price a long way from the weekly dot, and a monthly 5/9 hit and holding. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/18/13: USDJPY The day worked out pretty much as we expected and we see a turn to the upside in the USDJPY taking place. More is expected here but it might take a day or two or three to materialize. We book the profits with a smile and move on.
06/17/2013		Entry	94.61	Entry					$797
		Exit	95.37	Exit
June 17 for June 18		Date	Jun-18	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1618.25 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1629, with a stop going in at 1637. Our down-side targets are 1612, 1604, and 1593. Chopping through congestion here but with a predicted exit to the downside, and the determinate elements are the weekly envelope rolling over, the location in the zone reconstruct, and the monthly exhaust pattern. Let's see what happens here. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 6/17/13: @ES No joy today as the market showed unanticipated strength. Nimble aggressive traders would have seen the sharp flow against them in the early going but for the purpose of our track record here we take the loss and move on.
06/14/2013		Entry	1618.25	Entry	1629				($ 837 )
		Exit	1637	Exit	1637
June 14 for June 17		Date	Jun-17	Date	Jun-17				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($ 400 )
		Entry	1629	Entry
		Exit	1637	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-17	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 140 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 140'160, with a stop going in at 141'030. Our down-side targets are 139'120, 138'290, and 138'160. We see congestion entrance and a test of the recent PLdot crest. Will the parameters of congestion expand or will we chop around here for a bit? I think the latter scenario is on tap, and the reasons are the consistency of the weekly envelope down-slope, the location of the weekly live PLdot, and the potential here for a monthly c-wave to the downside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/17/13: Patience rewarded! We got the move we anticipated and hit our original first target (revised second target) and are out at that level. A good trade! Further gains to the downside seem likely for those who wish to stay aboard. Update 6/14/13: @US Those who are uncomfortable may exit the trade but I am holding for targets on Monday. Move first target to 139'240 and leave the original three targets stand.
06/13/2013		Entry	140'000	Entry	140'160				$1,750
		Exit	139'120	Exit	139'120
June 13 for June 14		Date	Jun-17	Date	Jun-17				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,125
		Entry	140'160	Entry
		Exit	139'120	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-17	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0207 better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0185, with a stop going in at 1.0154. Our up-side targets are 1.0231, 1.0249, and 1.0300. After a protracted move to the downside are we ready for the USD to show a bit of spine? the technicals would say yes, at least in relation to the Loonie. The signs are starting to line up" support holding and moving sideways, envelope rolling up, weekly support holding, and the monthly is not arguing. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 6/13/13: USDCAD e got our rally but not nearly enough of one to reach any of our target areas, and as the rally failed our stop was hit later in the day. We take the loss and move on...
06/12/2013		Entry	1.0207	Entry	1.0185				($827)
		Exit	1.0154	Exit	1.0154
June 12 for June 13		Date	Jun-13	Date	Jun-13				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($305)
		Entry	1.0185	Entry
		Exit	1.0154	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-13	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 139'100 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 140'060, with a stop going in at 140'160. Our down-side targets are 138'200, 138'080, and 137'050. The very picture of a bear market here and we are looking to get aboard as the break-down through congestion confines takes hold. Seems as if yesterday was the break, today a retracement, and tomorrow another test of the downside. At least that is the way we'll lay it. Yes, granted, we're located in all kinds of support but the key to my eye is the position of the daily PLDot next to the weekly Ebot. This would argue for a c-wave to the downside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/12/13: @US We hit our first target and are out at that level. Chances are good that there is more in this trade for those who wish to stick around but we're off looking for the next trade.
06/11/2013		Entry	139'100	Entry					$687
		Exit	138'200	Exit
June 11 for June 12		Date	Jun-12	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5571 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5607, with a stop going in at 1.5658. Our down-side targets are 1.5518, 1.5476, and 1.5446. Are we about to see a dot refresh on the GBPUSD? Technicals say this is a possibility. We see a weekly exhaust structure in place and the daily rolling over very convincingly. The monthly chart is in congestion and the zone position says it cold easily see a move to the downside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/11/13: GBPUSD A mixed day. Our aggressive trader was filled an dcame within one pip of the first target and then price fell off; our aggressive trader seeing this exited in that area for a small win. Our conservative trader, who has no discretion in these matters, was short from his entry. We did not hit the stop but we do elect to exit at the close, taking a small loss for the conservative trader, as the trade is not going in our favor.
06/10/2013		Entry	1.5571	Entry	1.5607				$460
		Exit	1.5525	Exit	1.5645
June 10 for June 11		Date	Jun-11	Date	Jun-11				Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($380)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3257 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3294, with a stop going in at 1.3316. Our down-side targets are 1.3183, 1.3122, 1.3085, and 1.3050. This looks to be a weekly exhaust formation and if that is the case then this is a sale setting up for Monday's market. Note that the monthly 5/2 down is in play, along with the weekly 5/9 down, and the monthly envelope is slithering along sideways, thus not a trending market. We set the entry a bit away from current price so as to reduce the risk a bit, a necessity in these large-bar extended move markets that stretch the geometry out. Let's see how this plays out. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 6/10/13: EURUSD We called the range of the day perfectly, as the market surpassed the entry price and hit a target. But price did this in reverse order, and thus no trade was triggered, because when the target is hit before the entry is hit the entry order is negated. Such is life. We're off looking for the next trade.
06/07/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
June 7 for June 10		Date		Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1622.75 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1631, with a stop going in at 1634. Our down-side targets are 1605, 1591, and 1581. This is a trade that makes sense on the technicals but also occurs just on the cusp of the month's largest economic report, the non-farm payrolls. So be forewarned and do not play in this trade if you cannot handle a little volatility. Technically we see a daily dot-push reinforcing a weekly c-wave to the downside, coupled with a monthly exhaust pattern and monthly outside-in move. Monthly dots-swinging and a favorable zone location round out the bearish picture. Let's see if the economic numbers play ball with the technicals. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 6/7/13: @ES Non-Farm payroll report and its unpredictability strikes again! We were stopped out in the early going shortly after the report. We take the loss and are off looking for another trade.
06/06/2013		Entry	1622.75	Entry	1631				($712)
		Exit	1634	Exit	1634
June 6 for June 7		Date	Jun-07	Date	Jun-07				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($150)`
		Entry	1631	Entry
		Exit	1634	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-07	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy GBPUSD at 1.5405 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5366, with a stop going in at 1.5306. Our up-side targets are 1.5439, 1.5513, and 1.5605. The question is: will this rally continue? The technical patterns seem to argue in favor of that thought: Strong daily envelope slope, weekly target in sight, daily-weekly-monthly dot push, favorable quarterly zone location. Not a slam dunk but on balance bullish. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/6/13: GBPUSD We nailed the call and price exceeded our third target; we are out at that level for a nice fat win. We smile, book the profits, and are off looking for the next opportunity.
06/05/2013		Entry	1.5405	Entry					$2,000
		Exit	1.5605	Exit
June 5 for June 6		Date	Jun-06	Date					Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1630 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1641, with a stop going in at 1644. Our down-side targets are 1623, 1614, and 1607. The question of the hour is: will the ES show a more pronounced down move or not? Expressed in DG terms, will the monthly c-wave up continue or break? The daily and weekly charts are arguing that the monthly envelope top will indeed break, thus heralding a higher likelihood of more weakness dead ahead. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/5/13: @ES A very good trade; we hit our third target and are out at that level. The day played out pretty much exactly as we expected. We book the profit and move on.
06/04/2013		Entry	1630	Entry					$1,150
		Exit	1607	Exit
June 4 for June 5		Date	Jun-05	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US at 140'100 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 139'230, with a stop going in at 139'060. Our up-side targets are 141-070, 141'250, and 142'050. Bonds are a sell on everyone's list these days and yet we are seeing a technical move setting up for a bullish move, or so it seems. We see the daily envelope rolling up nicely, outside/inside on the monthly, and a reasonably supportive price location in the matrix of zones. We'll take a shot at buying here. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 6/4/13: @US I'm not happy with this trade and wish to move to the sidelines. Exit at market for a very small loss. Those who can monitor the market can play for a better exit at break-even 140'090, but we're out at the closing price.
06/03/2013		Entry	140'10	Entry					($375)
		Exit	139'290	Exit
June 3 for June 4		Date	Jun-04	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0366 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0389, with a stop going in at 1.0405. Our down-side targets are 1.0327, 1.0299, and 1.0252. Congestion reigns in the USDCAD. The next type of trading is congestion action to the downside and the move makes perfect sense as the monthly chart enters a new month and is poised for a dot refresh. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/3/13: USDCAD The direction was right on and we hit our second target and then some, indeed coming within eight pips of our third target. A nice base hit. And on we go...
05/31/2013		Entry	1.0366	Entry					$652
		Exit	1.0299	Exit
May 3 for June 3		Date	Jun-03	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1409 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1401, with a stop going in at 1388. Our up-side targets are 1422, 1436, and 1452. Here's a trade for the courageous. Gold shows a bullish reversal and yet as is somewhat typical in gold the move is sharp and a extended,stretching out the geometry and forcing us to place stops some distance away. Still the structure is there; we see daily an weekly dot pushes developed and monthly dot refresh in play; next month is upon us and this will almost certainly bring outside/inside to the monthly chart. Batten down the hatches, sharpen your monitoring skills, and let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/31/13: @GC Not a happy camper here but the numbers do not lie. We did get the initial direction right, and came close to target, and so those aggressive traders who were alert would have done very well. But for the aggressive traders it goes in the books as a "no trade" as they were not filled before price moved into the target area (within 40 cents of the target!), thus invalidating the original buy order. Just like football is a game of inches, trading can be a game of ticks and pips so very close to wins but not quite there. The conservative trader who had no discretion got clobbered however. We take the loss and move on.
05/30/2013		Entry		Entry	1401
		Exit		Exit	1388
May 30 for May 31		Date		Date	May-31				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		(1300)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2941 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2974, with a stop going in at 1.3007. Our down-side targets are 1.2875, 1.2841, and 1.2815. A clear congestion pattern and if that is accurate then the next move is to the downside. Supporting evidence lies in the location of the weekly PLDot and Live PLDot, the slope of the weekly, the monthly structure, and the established confines of congestion on the daily. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/30/13: EURUSD The dollar was a lot weaker than expected and we got stopped out. Grumpy about it but no alternative but to take the loss and move on.
05/29/2013		Entry	1.2941	Entry	1.2974				($990)
		Exit	1.3007	Exit	1.3007
May 29 for May 30		Date	May-30	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($330)
		Entry	1.2974	Entry
		Exit	1.3007	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-30	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 102.37 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 102.01, with a stop going in at 101.35. Our up-side targets are 102.64, 103.19, and 103.61. We've been waiting for this resumption of the up-move in the Dollar-Yen cross, and today's reversal seems definitive. After three daily closes to the downside today's bar is congestion entrance up; we anticipate a move to the top of the prior dotted line in the 103.50 area. The question is: will this happen immediately or will we see congestion action tomorrow? The monthly envelope slope argues yes, the weekly structure is not strongly against it, and the daily action shows strong up-flow. We'll guess a continued move up is on tap. And we'll see soon enough if we are right. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/29/13: USDJPY Well now! We almost made the first target but a sharp reversal took us out at our stop for a loss. Not happy about this one but not much to do about it. Those aggressive traders with very quick monitoring fingers might have avoided some of the loss but the move was very fast and dramatic. We take the loss and move on.
05/28/2013		Entry	102.37	Entry	102.01				($1662)
		Exit	101.35	Exit	101.35
May 28 for May 29		Date	May-29	Date	May-29				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($653)
		Entry	102.01	Entry
		Exit	101.35	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-29	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5099 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5138, with a stop going in at 1.5176. Our down-side targets are 1.5065, 1.5037, and 1.5014. Technically the question is: will we see a continued weekly C-wave to the downside. The weekly envelope slope argues yes, the daily congestion action anticipated move to the downside argues yes, and the monthly is in support offering only slight encouragement. Certainly a test of the weekly 1-1 low would not be surprising, and that is the eventuality that we are playing for here, Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/28/13: GBPUSD We were correct on the call and we hit our second target and are out at that level for a good solid win. We narrowly missed getting the conservative trader filled but that is the way it goes. We book the profit with a smile and move on to find another trade.
05/27/2013		Entry	1.5099	Entry					$620
		Exit	1.5037	Exit
May 27 for May 28		Date	May-28	Date					Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0321 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0353, with a stop going in at 1.0385. Our down-side targets are 1.0308, 1.0295, and 1.0281, with a possible fourth target at 1.0236. Dollar weakness to continue" we'll find out very soon. This is a big holiday weekend and so volume will be very thin and the action thus possibly volatile but the Forex market never closes and trades will go forward regardless of the U.S. Memorial Day holiday. Technically we see the envelope rolling over nicely on the monthly, weekly and monthly exhaust patterns, and ever-so-slight dots swinging indication on the daily. That, plus a favorable zone location on the daily, is sufficient to give us a bearish tone to the next day's action. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/27/13: USDCAD We missed our first target by two pips and the market is now drifting upward; we'll exit at the close, take the tiny loss (which is virtually a scratch), and move on looking for the next trade.
05/24/2013		Entry	1.0321	Entry					($164)
		Exit	1.0338	Exit
May 24 for May 27		Date	May-27	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2931 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2870, with a stop going in at 1.2802. Our up-side targets are 1.2970, 1.2997, and 1.3037. We're bullish on the EURUSD here for a number of reasons. Technically we see the daily envelope rolling up, and the position within the weekly and monthly zone structure is enticing. We're in daily congestion but he dot is not moving sideways rather is rolling to the upside, foreshadowing a congestion exit to the upside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/24/13: EURUSD Not a big move today but we did hit our first target and are out at that level. A solid base hit and maybe that's not so bad, as lots of base hits win games.
05/23/2013		Entry	1.2931	Entry					$390
		Exit	1.2970	Exit
May 23 for May 24		Date	May-24	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy GBPUSD at 1.5048 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5000, with a stop going in at 1.4975. Our up-side targets are 1.5090, 1.5140, and 1.5215. The breakdown in the GBPUSD continues and the question presents itself: are we done yet? The answer is a good solid "Maybe" and we take the gathering collection of support elements as evidence. Consider: we are at the monthly envelope bottom, have hit the weekly 5/2, are in daily exhaust territory, and are far away from the weekly and monthly pldots and not to forget the daily dot is a goodly stretch away as well. We may go lower to touch more support but that would be our entrance for the conservative trader. I see a retracement to the envelope bottom/live dot area at a minimum. As I say, a good solid "Maybe". Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/23/13: GBPUSD We had the direction right and even if price did not go all that far towards our higher targets we hit the first target handily and so we book the profit at that level and are off looking for another trade. A solid base hit here.
05/22/2013		Entry	1.5048	Entry					$420
		Exit	1.5090	Exit
May 22 for May 23		Date	May-23	Date					Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 144'120 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 144'200, with a stop going in at 145'050. Our down-side targets are 143'300, 143'200, and 143'010. The breakdown of the US Treasure bonds continues, and the slight rally today is belied by the fact that price stopped at the PLDot and did not continue all the way up to the upper confines of congestion. The positioning of the daily PLDot at the weekly envelope bottom is thus suggesting strong weekly resistance at that level and a continued weekly C-wave to the downside seems to me to be the next move on tap. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/22/13: @US This worked out very nicely indeed. The fact that price made a try at breaking resistance but could not get to or through our stop is evidence of the power of these DG methods when our analysis is correct. DG support and resistance levels are really very powerful tools We hit our third target and are out at that level, with both conservative and aggressive traders aboard. A very good day!
05/21/2013		Entry	144'120	Entry	144'200				$2,937
		Exit	143'010	Exit	143'010
May 21 for May 22		Date	May-22	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,594
		Entry	144'200	Entry
		Exit	143'010	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-22	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5257 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5284, with a stop going in at 1.5315. Our down-side targets are 1.5202, 1.5151, and 1.5080. The USD is showing considerable strength across the board and today's failure in the 30-year Treasury Bond will only ad fuel to this fire. And if this is the case then at the very least the congestion action that we are seeing in the GBPUSD will continue for another day, with the expected move to the downside being the next most likely action. Supporting this theory we see a weekly C-Wave to the downside reinforced by the weekly Live PLDot located at the Weekly envelope bottom; we further see a newly energized monthly dot push to the downside and this with room for the next monthly target, which is the monthly envelope bottom, lower confines of congestion, and this with not all that many days left in the month. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/21/13: GBPUSD Not bad at all; we saw the market play out just about as expected although we did not reach our third target. Skilled DG traders who monitored the flow could have in fact done even better but we content ourselves with the solid profit from the trade as predicted: not bad at all we say again.
05/20/2013		Entry	1.5257	Entry					$1060
		Exit	1.5151	Exit
May 20 for May 21		Date	May-21	Date					Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2851 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2879, with a stop going in at 1.2936. Our down-side targets are 1.2798, 1.2756, and 1.2737. The EURUSD chart is a sick puppy or so it seems, and there is yet more to the downside here. Technically we see a strong daily envelope slope, monthly and weekly targets approaching, and all five time periods pushing down. We'll look to enter at the 6/5 and see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/21/13: EURUSD Patience rewarded. Although the win here is not in the least significant it is far better than the loss we would have taken yesterday, and so our strategy of waiting it out with an eye towards a better exit worked out just fine. This goes in the books as a small win, although slight indeed. Update 5/20/13: EURUSD We hit neither target nor stop today and while one option would be to exit now for a small loss I prefer to re-set the first target to near the PLDot, say at 1.2864, which if hit will put the trade at break-even or better. So that is our new first target, and keep the stop the same. Odds are high we will hit this B/E target tomorrow and be out.
05/17/2013		Entry	1.2851	Entry	1.2879				$20
		Exit	1.2864	Exit	1.2864
May 17 for May 20		Date	May-21	Date	May-21				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$150
		Entry	1.2879	Entry
		Exit	1.2864	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-21	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0189 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0204, with a stop going in at 1.0219. Our down-side targets are 1.0164,, 1.0144, and 1.0121. This little dollar rally is running out of steam and we see that across the Forex spectrum, and most attractively to my eye is the USDCAD which is currently located in multiple resistance levels on multiple time-frames. Technically we see outside-inside on the daily, dots swinging, tons of 5/9s, and favorable zone structure on the HTP's. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/17/13: USDCAD We were wrong on this one and quickly and surgically hit our stop and are out at that level. For those who could monitor intraday the key was the strong support at the daily PLDot.
05/16/2013		Entry	1.0189	Entry	1.0204				($438)
		Exit	1.0219	Exit	1.0219
May 16 for May 17		Date	May-17	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($146)
		Entry	1.0204	Entry
		Exit	1.0219	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-17	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy GBPUSD at 1.5230 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5193, with a stop going in at 1.5160. Our up-side targets are 1.5271, 1.5288, and 1.5325. Today's action in the GBPUSD looks like the start of a bottom to me, with the daily support holding and outside/inside pattern and dots swinging as major components of that thought. What else? The weekly 5/2 marks a significant termination point, and it held support without any question at all. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive
05/15/2013		Entry	1.5230	Entry					$580
		Exit	1.5288	Exit
May 15 for May 16		Date	May-16	Date					Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5220 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5293, with a stop going in at 1.5331. Our down-side targets are 1.5195, 1.5173, and 1.5114. The GBPUSD is on a tear to the downside and all signs point to a continuation. Tectonically we see the daily envelope slope and dot push, weekly and monthly dot pushes, exhaust moves on the weekly and daily but with more room to drop before reaching target, and a reasonably accommodating zone location given the monthly downside target. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/15/13: GBPUSD Aggressive traders hit our second target and we are out at that level, booking the profits. We are off looking for another trade.
05/14/2013		Entry	1.5220	Entry					$470
		Exit	1.5173	Exit
May 14 for May 15		Date	May-15	Date					Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1631 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1634, with a stop going in at 1637. Our down-side targets are 1627, 1624, and 1615. Are we seeing the first inklings of a major top in the ES or just the signs of a temporary pause? Certainly the latter is clearly present as we see the daily envelope rolling over, and the weekly key resistance holding again this week. We'll take a shot at this knowing that there is a reasonably high likelihood of some short-term gain and that more is not ruled out either. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/14/13: @ES Not a big trade as the market turned just after hitting our first target and ran tot he upside, but any win is a welcome win and we bank the profits and move on to the nest trade. Those who were close to the market could well have caught the dramatic reversal, but for our short-term service here we are satisfied to have called the initial correctly.
05/13/2013		Entry	1631	Entry					$200
		Exit	1627	Exit
May 13 for May 14		Date	May-14	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2987 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3040, with a stop going in at 1.3097. Our down-side targets are 1.2947, 1.2929, and 1.2889. The dollar is showing a big-time shift in the last day or two, and the Euro is taking it on the chin, and I suspect ore is in store. Technically we see a triple dot push that may be enough in this case to get the ball rolling very seriously to the downside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/13/13: EURUSD A pretty slow day without much movement but our aggressive traders did achieve our first target. We're out at that level and off looking for another trade.
05/10/2013		Entry	1.2987	Entry					$400
		Exit	1.2947	Exit
May 10 for May 13		Date	May-13	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1626 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1631, with a stop going in at 1636. Our down-side targets are 1620, 1611.50, and 1605. We see a bit o weakness in the E-mini and the thought is that a close inside the daily envelope means something, and in this case something bearish. Supporting the concept we see dots swinging, a daily exhaust pattern in formation. To be sure there is terrific strength is this trend and yet nothing goes straight up all the time. Let's see how this weakness plays out tomorrow. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/10/13: @ES Wow, we can within 0.25 of our target but no cigar. Aggressive traders who were close to the marekt and monitoring should have been out near that level. But at day's end this trade is not looking as it should and so we are exiting at the close. Those who wish could stay aboard and likely exit at a better price on Monday but the rationale for a down move is looking a bit less likely and so we are out, and off looking for another trade.
05/09/2013		Entry	1626	Entry					($162)
		Exit	1629.25	Exit
May 9 for May 10		Date	May-10	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell GBPUSD at 1.5534 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.5569, with a stop going in at 1.5594. Our down-side targets are 1.5497, 1.5476, and 1.5446. Looking at the Pound Sterling/dollar cross as a change up today; we see evidence that this congestion will test the bottom of the confines tomorrow, and that with a solid chance of exit to the downside. Supporting evidence? The Daily envelope rolling over, and both the weekly and the monthly having achieved their upside targets. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/9/13: GBPUSD An excellent day, and both aggressive traders and conservative traders were filled and the market then went to the third target and well beyond. We're out at our third target today but skilled traders cold have done much better, and we certainly hoped they did. On we go, and happy to bank the profits today.
05/08/2013		Entry	1.5534	Entry	1.5569				$1,110
		Exit	1.5446	Exit	1.5446
May 8 for May 9		Date	May-09	Date	May-09				Conservative
	GBPUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$230
		Entry	1.5569	Entry
		Exit	1.5446	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-09	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3076 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3107, with a stop going in at 1.3142. Our down-side targets are 1.3059, 1.3020, and 1.3001. This EURUSD congestion is pinching its range down with seemly clear direction for exit to the downside. We see the daily dot, the weekly dot and the monthly dot converging and when this happens the next move out of the area could be explosive since there is what we deem to be pent-up energy on three time periods waiting release. This is generally a "go with" trade signal for a move in either direction and in this case given the weak up-flow and weak closes of recent days we're laying a bet on down-side exit. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/8/13: EURUSD Well we got our double dot push, and it was a go-with trade, but in the wrong direction! We take out loss and move on, grumbling.
05/07/2013		Entry	1.3076	Entry	1.3107				($1,010)
		Exit	1.3142	Exit	1.3142
May 7 for May 8		Date	May-08	Date	May-08				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($350)
		Entry	1.3107	Entry
		Exit	1.3142	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-08	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1468 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1463, with a stop going in at 1454.50. Our up-side targets are 1475, 1481, and 1487. Gold is foreshadowing strength in that the daily dot is not breaking, it is holding above the weekly live dot, the weekly and daily dots have turned up, and we still have room to the upside on the monthly chart for a reasonable retracement of the major dump of a few weeks back. At the moment we're caught between the weekly lilve envelope top and Pldot, but the signs are there for an exit to the upside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/7/13: @GC I was dead wrong on this trade and we chalk up a big loss in the volatile gold market. Not pretty, and we're not happy. There's not much good to say about this at all. On we go.
05/06/2013		Entry	1468	Entry	1463				($2250)
		Exit	1454.50	Exit	1454.50
May 6 for May 7		Date	May-07	Date	May-07				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($850)
		Entry	1463	Entry
		Exit	1454.50	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-07	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 99.14 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 98.61, with a stop going in at 97.80. Our up-side targets are 99.45, 99.94, and 100.80. We saw a big day in the dollar/yen following the NFP report; and technically we can see why as the daily dot and the weekly dot are getting aligned and the monthly C-wave drive to the upside resumes. There are warning signs as well; yesterday's block and today's extended parameters are setting up a challenge to the weekly dot crest. The deciding factor to my mind is the strength of the last two day's move combined with the steep slope of the monthly dot driving upwards. Should par break then we could indeed be off to the races. The extended range means the risk is higher than usual due to the stretched-out structure forcing us to put stops a bit further away, so be advised and monitor accordingly. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/6/13: USDJPY Our aggressive traders were filled and we reached our first target by the barest of margins ( and in the Forex the brokerage levels can be a bit different one from the other, since the are composites of many different banks. My IB brokerage filled the trade but the TradeStation data feed shows the high a half-pip shy of target). We'll take the small profit and look about for the next trade. But just to be clear: we're long-term bullish on this market.
05/03/2013		Entry	90.14	Entry					$312
		Exit	99.45	Exit
May 3 for May 6		Date	May-06	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0105 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0088, with a stop going in at 1.0052. Our up-side targets are 1.0115, 1.0126, and 1.0161. What we see today in the USDCAD is a classic dotted line steeping up, with today's action establishing an initial block level and thus creating a dotted line. This congestion entrance bar is accompanied by dots swinging, nearbys moving sideways, support lifting up and all this at significant points in the weekly and monthly zone structures. Will tomorrow bring us an expanded block level as we suspect? We'll soon find out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/3/13: USDCAD Not a big win but a welcome one nevertheless; our aggressive traders were filled and hit the second target, before the market reversed. We book the profit and move on.
05/02/2013		Entry	1.0105	Entry					$208
		Exit	1.0126	Exit
May 2 for May 3		Date	May-03	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 149'090 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 149'180, with a stop going in at 149'270. Our down-side targets are 148'260, 148'150, and 148'310. There's a lot of volatility in the bonds as we enter what I deem to be nose-bleed territory up in here. Price shows some strength but also sharp reactions to resistance levels as well. We see the weekly 5/2 and 1/1 stopping the upside and we're in monthly resistance a swell; I am impressed in particular with the reaction off the highs during the afternoon hours today. To me this portends lower prices directly ahead. But we'll soon find out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/2/13: @US In the early going our aggressive traders were filled and then hit our first target on the report-induced volatility, and so we are out at that level, and off looking for another trade.
05/01/2013		Entry	149'090	Entry					$406
		Exit	148'260	Exit
May 1 for May 2		Date	May-02	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 97.42 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 97.07, with a stop going in at 96.57. Our up-side targets are 97.94, 98.28, and 98.69. The technicals seem to be saying that the Yen strength is about over, and the US dollar strength relative to the Yen is about to reassert itself. What signs do we see? Daily support holding at multiple HTP support; dots swinging, outside inside, daily nearbys moving sideways. Let's see how this plays out.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/1/13: USDJPY It's a bit of a close call whether to stay in and look for higher prices and targets tomorrow or exit with a modest profit today at the close or just after the open. Price action today did not invalidate the trade concept, as support is holding nicely. And yet on the other hand we are not yet seeing any strong move to the upside. So, fielder's choice. For the purposes of our short-term track record here however we are out at the close or close to it and freeing up our mental capital for another trade.
04/30/2013		Entry	97.42	Entry	97.07				$277
		Exit	97.38	Exit	97.38
April 30 for May 1		Date	May-01	Date	May-01				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$318
		Entry	97.07	Entry
		Exit	97.38	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-01	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @us at 148'170 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 148'240, with a stop going in at 149'170. Our down-side targets are 148'100, 147'300, and 147'210. We've been waiting for the Treasury Bonds to show some weakness and we got that today with a move inside the daily envelope, signifying that the weekly zone 5 is not up but is rather down and this signifies in turn that daily congestion entrance down is on tap. Other signs? The monthly 5/9, monthly zone structure and a lot more, but the key was seeing lower-time period weakness manifest itself today. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/30/13: @US Not quite congestion entrance but we were right enough in any case; both conservative and aggressive traders were filled and hit our first target. We are out at that level. I would think that lower prices lie ahead and so those so inclined might want to hold this trade for future gains, but for our short-term trading plan here we're on the sidelines.
04/29/2013		Entry	148'170	Entry	148'240				$719
		Exit	148'100	Exit	148'100
April 29 for April 30		Date	Apr-30	Date	Apr-30				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$469
		Entry	148'240	Entry
		Exit	148'100	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-30	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1453 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1446, with a stop going in at 1442. Our up-side targets are 1477, 1488 and 1499. Are we brave enough to take a crack at Gold? We're seeing lots of volatility and so this is for the brave or foolhardy depending on which side of the bed you get up on in the morning. Nevertheless the intraday dip of today seems to have run its course and price is working its way higher once more. Weekly and monthly structures can reasonable support our supposition of a long trade, and so we'll take a flyer here. This market can move very fast and is a challenge for the most experienced of traders, so forewarned is forearmed. Let's see how we do. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 4/29/13: @GC We certainly had the direction right and those traders with enough gumption to jump aboard gold's rush to the upside did well. For us however it goes in the books as a "no trade" day since price gapped up some $13 above our entry price at the open. We'll try again another day.
04/26/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
April 26 for April 29		Date		Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3009 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3043, with a stop going in at 1.3078. Our down-side targets are 1.2975, 1.2947, and 1.2904. We see the failed rally today and the general rolling over of the EURUSD daily chart. Here we sit, under the daily dot, under the weekly dot, under the monthly dot, and slowly sliding tot he downside. This is the kind of move that can pick up momentum in a hurry. Will we see the kind of volatility here that has affected the other currencies? Certainly the technicals are hinting that lower prices lie directly ahead. We'll take a shot and see how this works out. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 4/26/13: EURUSD This trade really didn't go anywhere, and hit neither stop nor target. At the end of the day our conservative traders are ahead a bit, our aggressive traders are virtually at a scratch; we'll exit at market and call it a day. We take the closing price as our exit for the purposes of the track record. On we go looking for another trade.
04/25/2013		Entry	1.3009	Entry	1.3043				($40)
		Exit	1.3028	Exit	1.3028
April 25 for April 26		Date	Apr-26	Date	Apr-26				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$150
		Entry	1.3043	Entry
		Exit	1.3028	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-26	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 148'020 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 148'100, with a stop going in at 148'260. Our down-side targets are 147'210, 147'140, and 147'000. The T-Bonds are bouncing along up here like there is no tomorrow but we are starting to see signs of a downturn in the upcoming trading sessions. We see the dot holding in a congestion, tons of 5/9s on the monthly and weekly, resistance areas moving sideways not climbing, the envelope rolling over, and intraday weakness. Are we ready for congestion exit tot he downside? We'll soon find out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/25/13: @US Not a lot of action today but the direction was right and we hit our first target for a small but welcome profit.
04/24/2013		Entry	148'020	Entry					$406
		Exit	147'210	Exit
April 24 for April 25		Date	Apr-25	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @GC at 1419.80 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1424, with a stop going in at 1429. Our down-side targets are 1399, 1394, and 1376. Gold has had a very wild recent history a we all know, but no we have seen a decent retracement and it stopped just below the monthly 5/9, which one might think is now acting as resistance. Adding to that we have the weekly envelope bottom pushing, a favorable location in the daily zone structure, and very blah intraday action to the upside. I'm ready for a renewed shot in the bearish mode. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/24/13: @GC Stopped out in the early going overnight. This trade was a total pain in the butt from the get go, and those who applied flow-based stops were much better off and could have exited at a much better price. But we'll take the full hit as it would have been difficult for most to execute such an exit.
04/23/2013		Entry	1419.80	Entry	1424				($1420)
		Exit	1429	Exit	1429
April 23 for April 24		Date	Apr-24	Date	Apr-24				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($500)
		Entry	1424	Entry
		Exit	1429	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-24	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0256 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0292, with a stop going in at 1.0301. Our down-side targets are 1.0234, 1.0215, and 1.0190. The move in the dollar strength has been impressive and yet we're not making progress in the last day or two; we're getting closer and closer to congestion entrance to the downside and so that is the way we are placing the trade. Technically we see daily moving sideways, resistance holding, the weekly envelope moving sideways and all this spells a bit of congestion, with a target of the weekly envelope bottom. Eventually we will see higher dollar as the monthly reasserts itself but for the time being, I am anticipating some congestion. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 4/23/13: USDCAD We exit at the close; this is as close to a scratch as it comes. The trade just is not acting as expected and so we have bigger fish to fry. On we go.
04/22/2013		Entry	1.0256	Entry					($20)
		Exit	1.0258	Exit
April 22 for April 23		Date	Apr-23	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3048 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3083, with a stop going in at 1.3166. Our down-side targets are 1.3003, 1.2963, and 1.2942. Dollar strength across the board and it i making the Euro look every-so vulnerable to further downside. We see the monthly rolling over nicely, the weekly showing us a classic outside/inside move in reaction to monthly resistance, weekly 5/1 and 5/2 holding, and the daily dot telling us the direction is down not up. So, we're going in on the short side. Let's see how this plays out. If we're right this move could go on for a while. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/23/13: EURUSD Patience rewarded! Nothing exciting about the trade but on the other hand it is a solid win. I do expect lower prices ahead but not necessarily in the next day. In any case we're out at our revised third target and on to the next trade. Update 4/22/13: EURUSD Hold short and revise targets as follows: first target 1.3041, second target 1.3026, third target 1.3007. Move stop to 1.3125. The Euro is not breaking down as rapidly as I expected and this calls the trade concept into a bit of question, and so I am looking for a safer exit that will preserve a bit of our profit.
04/20/2013		Entry	1.3048	Entry	1.3083				$1,170
		Exit	1.3007	Exit	1.3007
April 20 for April 22		Date	Apr-23	Date	Apr-23				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$760
		Entry	1.3083	Entry
		Exit	1.3007	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 98.17 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 97.87, with a stop going in at 97.59. Our up-side targets are 98.50, 98.75, and 99.27. The yen weakness and dollar strength has returned and we are jumping on board for a potentially strong ride. We've seen the retracement to expected levels and now today we are seeing the daily dot move up to support price as it makes a run at crossing through nearby resistance. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/20/13: USDJPY We caught this one right and for those whoa re so inclined there is likely much more in this trade in the weeks ahead. Once we get past par in the dollar/yen relationship, watch out as there will be more to the upside! But for our purposes her in this short-term service we are out at the third target.
04/18/2013		Entry	98.17	Entry					$1,105
		Exit	99.27	Exit
April 18 for April 19		Date	Apr-19	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3050 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3074, with a stop going in at 1.3183. Our down--side targets are 1.2982, 1.2963, and 1.2933. A decisive congestion entrance off the weekly PLDot and the momentum looks to have shifted in favor of the US dollar vs the Euro and a number of other currencies. We see the daily PLDot at the weekly envelope top indicating resistance strength at that location, and the weekly structure itself is backed up by the decisive push of the monthly PLdot to the downside today. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/18/13: EURUSD Trade is not taking off to the downside and so we'll take our small win and step to the sidelines here. Those so inclined could stay aboard and try for targets but it is about a 50-50 chance that it will work out. We're out at the close and off looking for another trade.
04/17/2013		Entry	1.3050	Entry	1.3074				$240
		Exit	1.3050	Exit	1.3050
April 17 for April 18		Date	Apr-18	Date	Apr-18				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$240
		Entry	1.3074	Entry
		Exit	1.3050	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-18	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 147'170 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 147'310, with a stop going in at 148'170. Our down-side targets are 147-060, 146'260, and 146'120. Are we seeing an intermediate term top in the bonds? I'm betting this resistance will hold and we will see treasuries move back into the congestion range. While it is true that the daily dot and the weekly envelope slope are strong, the monthly envelope and the quarterly structure indicate strong resistance. We saw some of the wildest markets in history in the past few days and yet the 30-year bond did not blow sky-high. To me this says that as emotions ease we will also see treasure prices ease. The outside-inside move on both the daily and the weekly is another reason I am not wildly bullish here. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/17/13: @US A distinctly unpleasant experience today; while it looks for a brief period as if we might be right in our assessment of strong resistance, the exhaust move upwards took us past our stop and we are out at the unfortunate level of 148'170. I'm still bearish on this market and note the close within the envelope today, but will stand aside as price is not cooperating with my analysis to put it mildly. On we go looking for the next "trading experience."
04/16/2013		Entry	147'170	Entry	147'310				($1562 )
		Exit	148'170	Exit	148'170
April 16 for April 17		Date	Apr-17	Date	Apr-17				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($ 562)
		Entry	147'310	Entry
		Exit	148'170	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-17	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3069 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3087, with a stop going in at 1.3108. Our down-side targets are 1.3021, 1.2971, and 1.2905. A big day in markets across the board with historic ranges in many commodities including Gold, and the Forex markets are also in the midst of big moves. We will stand aside from the more volatile Forex pairs and look to the EURUSD as a possibility; we foresee more downside ahead and note the envelope rolling over, dot pushes, the position of price re the quarterly and monthly PLDots, But in deference to the heightened volatility we set our entrance a bit away from the current market to see if we can lighten the risk a bit. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/16/13: EURUSD So we didn't escape the volatility after all, and while our up-graded entry did help a bit we still got stung today. These are some of the wildest markets in U.S. history; day-traders are having a field day but for us it is a negative so far. We take the loss and move on.
04/15/2013		Entry	1.3069	Entry	1.3087				($600)
		Exit	1.3108	Exit	1.3108
April 15 for April 16		Date	Apr-16	Date	Apr-16				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($210)
		Entry	1.3087	Entry
		Exit	1.3108	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-16	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 90.66 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 90.10, with a stop going in at 89.75. Our up-side targets are 91.75, 92.10, and 92.62. Big market moves pretty much across the board today and the commodities took it on the chin. And Crude is testing the lows here but at significant support. At the outset just let me say this is not a trade for the faint of heat nor for those who cannot monitor the trade or who do not have sufficient capital to play this large and fast-moving market. But for those who like the game and the challenge, I think there is an opportunity here for a long in Crude Oil. Technically we see: congestion on the monthly and price at a reasonable potential block level 2-3 dots back, weekly also in congestion and the envelope not sloping down wildly, plus hitting the 5/2 up at a key support level. On the daily it is an exhaust-style move, and it is stopping at that key weekly level. So, the trade has a high pucker factor but also a lot of potential. Let's see how it plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/15/13: @CL This took no time at all to prove us wrong big-time. We were stopped out in the deluge and so take our unhappy loss and move on. Nothing to see here folks, move along now.
04/12/2013		Entry	90.66	Entry	90.10				($1,160)
		Exit	89.75	Exit	89.75
April 12 for April 15		Date	Apr-15	Date	Apr-15				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($350)
		Entry	90.10	Entry
		Exit	89.75	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-15	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3102 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3121, with a stop going in at 1.3163. Our down-side targets are 1.3066, 1.3038, and 1.2975. We see this up-move in the EURUSD faltering and the signs are clear as of this moment, and we shall see if they hold tomorrow. What signs? Price approaching weekly and monthly resistance and at this very critical point the daily is rolling over, resistance holding, 5/2's 5/9's building, weekly 1-1 holding, and we cold list more. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/12/13: EURUSD OK, this worked out very well. Note the power of our methods: we were short just four pips from the high of the day and covered at our second target two pips from the low of the day. It is not possible to get any better, now, is it? A perfect trade, in which we harvested everything that this market had to offer on this day. Yes, you could say I'm pleased.
04/11/2013		Entry	1.3102	Entry	1.3121				$1,470
		Exit	1.3038	Exit	1.3038
April 11 for April 12		Date	Apr-12	Date	Apr-12				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$830
		Entry	1.3121	Entry
		Exit	1.3038	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-12	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0140 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0153, with a stop going in at 1.0173. Our down-side targets are 1.0132, 1.0118, and 1.0102. The Loonie is falling off and no wonder as the dollar strengthens and natural resource commodities dip. We see weekly and daily down-flow, weak support, double dot push on the weekly and daily and the monthly next type of trading is congestion entrance down. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/11/13: USDCAD This trade worked out pretty much an anticipated and we hit our third target and then some with both conservative and aggressive traders aboard. We smile and bank the profits.
04/10/2013		Entry	1.0140	Entry	1.0153				$880
		Exit	1.0102	Exit	1.0102
April 10 for April 11		Date	Apr-11	Date	Apr-11				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$504
		Entry	1.0153	Entry
		Exit	1.0102	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-11	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDJPY at 99.01 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 99.48, with a stop going in at 100.05. Our down-side targets are 98.43, 97.91, and 97.65. Are we crazy to fade this epic Dollar/Yes rally? The charts say no. We see daily, weekly, and monthly exhaust patterns in progress, daily and intraday price moving sideways, resistance holding, an enticing daily 5/1 beckoning, and the monthly 6/5 as a very plausible target, among other little signs. Call me crazy or shoot me now as you choose, I'm following the chart. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/12/13: USDJPY Just a little update: No patience and thus not rewarded! Today's action shows that our original trade concept was correct, and in fact we would never have exceeded our stop, and would have hit targets today, four days after we entered. EXCEPT that of course we we know I bailed on the trade on 4/10. Just goes to show you, we can be right and still lose money. Quite pleased though that the original analysis holds up. Update 4/10/13: USDJPY Well if we're not wrong on this one then the idea is surely taking on a lot of water! Steady adverse hourly flow against the trade all day and those traders wiser than me were long-gone early in the day. We have not yet hit our stop and while I would not rule out a reaction based on price achieving the symbolic round number of par, the trend is clear and so for the purposes of our short-term forecast however we're out at market price at the current time a few minutes after the open on Wednesday evening. We're licking our wounds as we slink away.
04/09/2013		Entry	99.01	Entry	99.48				($992)
		Exit	99.78	Exit	99.74
April 9 for April 10		Date	Apr-10	Date	Apr-10				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($261)
		Entry	99.48	Entry
		Exit	99.74	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-10	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @cl at 93.52 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 92.84, with a stop going in at 92.12. Our up-side targets are 93.94, 94.83, and 95.40. Have we seen a medium-term bottom in crude? Could be. We certainly see the weekly envelope going sideways implying congestion, ditto with the monthly envelope, and the daily is clearly working on congestion entrance up as the next type of trading. We'll soon see if this scenario is correct. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/9/13: @CL We hit our first target and are out at that level. Price came with a few ticks of our conservative entry, and exceeded our target by quite a bit, and so those aware and alert aggressive traders who were monitoring the market could have done considerable better today than these results show. I also see higher prices ahead and those so inclined might stay with the trade to see what develops but for the purposes of this short-term trading service we are out and looking for the next trade.
04/08/2013		Entry	93.52	Entry					$420
		Exit	93.94	Exit
April 8 for April 9		Date	Apr-09	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0171 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0190, with a stop going in at 1.0229. Our down-side targets are 1.0151, 1.0120, and 1.0091. Lots of markets had big moves today, and so did the Loonie, but it is not holding, and upon inspection we see a failed challenge to a PLDot Crest int he daily, a significant failure point. To me this fits in nicely with the weaker dollar and stronger gold market. Technically we also see the Monthly chart moving towards congestion entrance after moving from outside to inside its envelope, and slight dots-swinging, and an appropriate position in the quarterly zone structure. The weekly shows continued dot-push downwards. So maybe this was just a one-day rally? We'll soon find out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/9/13: USDCAD Patience rewarded! We hit our first target and are out at that level. Update 4/8/13: USDCAD Hold short. Looks to me like the weekly high was being put in today, or so the weekly chart seems to say. If so, then lower prices lie directly ahead, and the intraday charts support this view. Hold for targets and move stop to 1.0207
04/05/2013		Entry	1.0171	Entry	1.0190				$581
		Exit	1.0151	Exit	1.0151
April 5 for April 8		Date	Apr-09	Date	Apr-09				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$384
		Entry	1.0191	Entry
		Exit	1.0151	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-09	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1559 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1663, with a stop going in at 1571. Our down-side targets are 1548, 1543, and 1537. A huge day in the Forex, bonds, gold and crude oil markets today, but the volatility did not spill over into the E-mini, as one might have thought. Furthermore the E-mini has been acting sickish of late. We see a number of technical issues that indicate the weakness is growing, among them the weekly and monthly exhaust pattern, weekly resistance holding, envelopes rolling over, and the weekly outside-inside move. Now there is this wrinkle as well: tomorrow is the massive monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report at 8:30 a.m. New York time, and this has the potential to generate a lot of volatility. For this reason well set an entry point a little higher and our stop is further away as well. Good trading everybody. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 4/5/13: @ES Well we had the direction right and we hit all three targets but unfortunately we were not aboard as we did not get filled on our entry point. That's what comes from trying to get fancy and limit risks -- my bad. Oh well, that's the way it goes. We're off looking for another trade.
04/04/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
April 4 for April 5		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0145 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0132, with a stop going in at 1.0121. Our up-side targets are 1.0156, 1.0164, and 1.0177. Technically we see the Loonie bouncing off of the monthly PLDot and working on congestion entrance up. And this is true even as the monthly itself is headed up. We also not slight dot-swinging on the weekly and a very slight dots swing on the daily, and nearby support is rising. Is this enough? We'll soon find out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/4/13: USDCAD A hugely volatile day in the FOREX markets as the Japanese government said it means business about its devaluation policy. Luckily enough we hit our second target in the USDCAD before the market turned. We're out at that level for a small win -- always better than a loss.
04/03/2013		Entry	1.0145	Entry					$188
		Exit	1.0164	Exit
April 3 for April 4		Date	Apr-04	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 144'140 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 144'260, with a stop going in at 145'030. Our down-side targets are 144'060, 144'000, and 143'220. Are we ready for a decline in the bonds? There certainly are some enticing technical signs. We see the daily envelope and dots swinging, daily reacting strongly off of weekly resistance, the weekly reacting nicely in an exhaust pattern off of is own nearby resistance which is located exactly at key monthly resistance, and the monthly itself responding to it's 5/2 down at the location of the quarterly PLDot. This is enough for me to give this a try. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/3/13: @US We hit our first target and are out at that level, thus escaping by the skin of our teeth a sharp rally against us. We take the very small profit and are off looking for the next trade.
04/02/2013		Entry	144'140	Entry					$250
		Exit	144'060	Exit
April 2 for April 3		Date	Apr-03	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2840 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2822, with a stop going in at 1.2783. Our UP-side targets are 1.2878, 1.2916, and 1.2936. Are we standing in front of a trail? Today's excellent reaction to support would say no. Still, this is not a trade for the fain of heart. Technically we see the Euro lower in coming weeks but perhaps first we will see this dot-refresh move completed. Daily dots swinging and envelope rolling up, weekly moVe to dot refresh, and monthly setting up for a quarterly PLDot -to-monthly-live-dot-and-5/9 target. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/3/13: EURUSD We're not making much progress here although I am still a bit bullish on this market. Nevertheless the risks a pretty high here and so we will exit at market and take a very small profit and move on. Those so inclined could move the stop much closer and see what develops, but for the purposes of our short-term track record here we're out of the trade at the closing price. Update 4/2/13: EURUSD Hold long for target. We were right today but not quite right enough as we missed our target by just a bit. Those so inclined could bail for a small loss but I am of a mind to hold the course here for another day. If we get stopped out we may try a long again another day, as we are bouncing around here in support but not breaking it, we note.
04/01/2013		Entry	1.2840	Entry	1.2822				$280
		Exit	1,2845	Exit	1.2845
April 1 for April 2		Date	Apr-03	Date	Apr-03				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$230
		Entry	1.2822	Entry
		Exit	1.2845	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-03	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.070 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0158, with a stop going in at 1.0138. Our up-side targets are 1.0179, 1.0205, and 1.0212. We're going with USD strength because the technicals are telling us that this monthly retracement is coming to a close. We see the daily envelope rolling up, weekly support holding, monthly live dot and 6/5 holding and this at month;s end, so really a dot-refresh to the April dot. Let's see what happens on Monday but my bet is on this daily congestion continuing with a resolution to the upside. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/1/13: USDCAD A win by the tiniest of margins, and a tiny win to book, more of a scratch than a true win. Nevertheless we put it in the bank and are off looking for another trade.
03/29/2013		Entry	1.0170	Entry					$88
		Exit	1.0179	Exit
March 29 for April 1		Date	Apr-01	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 94.15 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 93.92, with a stop going in at 93.68. Our up-side targets are 94.42, 94.66, and 94.87. Are we at a bottom of this retracement here? We're exploring support, that's for sure. Technically we see daily nearby support growing closer to the PLDot, a bullish sign, and the weekly envelope is moving sideways, a sign that daily congestion action to the upside is on tap. Will it happen? We'll soon find out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/1/13:USDJPY Well we got our answer all right, stopped out right after the European session opened after the holiday. Such is life. We take the loss and move on. Update 3/29/13: USDJPY Hold for target. We're right so far but are not seeing much action in this thin holiday trade. Let's see how we do on Monday.
03/28/2013		Entry	94.15	Entry	93.92				($761)
		Exit	93.68	Exit	93.68
March 28 for March 29		Date	Apr-01	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($257)
		Entry	93.92	Entry
		Exit	93.68	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-01	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0160 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0173, with a stop going in at 1.0198. Our down-side targets are 1.0143, 1.0125, and 1.0113. Lots of volatility in the Forex markets these days and the USDCAD is no an exception. We're hopping on this strong down-flow for a short-term trade as the Dollar-Loonie cross seeks out its target of the monthly 6/5. Technically we see strong daily down-flow hinting that weekly nearby support will break. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/28/13: USDCAD This trade is not acting as expected and thus we are exiting at market a few moments after the opening of Friday's session (Thursday evening), at the price of 1.0163. We classify this as a success only because we are ever-so-slightly in the positive column, but by no means is it a successful trade as we traders think; the market is not dropping as we had anticipated but is moving sideways. This is essentially a scratch and so we're out before we risk losing something significant. On the the next trade!
03/27/2013		Entry	1.0160	Entry	1.0173				$68
		Exit	1.0163	Exit	1.0163
March 27 for March 28		Date	Mar-28	Date	Mar-28				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$98
		Entry	1.0173	Entry
		Exit	1.0163	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-28	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 94.44 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 94.12, with a stop going in at 93.78. Our up-side targets are 94.78, 95.15, and 95.55. Is the dollar/yen ready to resume its up-trend? That's not entirely clear and yet we see weekly and daily support holding and a very constructive day today. Technically we see daily congestion entrance to the upside on tap, and this with a target of the weekly envelope top area, which would all fit in nicely with the idea that the yen weakness will continue in spades. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/27/13: USDJPY We entered correctly and correctly called the first target and maybe that's not such a bad outcome in these volatile days. A good solid base hit. I'm still bullish on the USDJPY but perhaps we're a bit early. It wouldn't be such a bad trade to stay aboard here, but for the purposes of our short-term forecast service we're out at the first target and off looking for another trade.
03/26/2013		Entry	94.44	Entry					$360
		Exit	94.78	Exit
March 26 for March 27		Date	Mar-27	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 94.67 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 94.46, with a stop going in at 94.15. Our up-side targets are 95.53, 95.88, and 96.40. Crude Oil is posting a rather compelling breakout c-wave up out of a congestion of some duration. This is a "go-with" pattern that we like and so we will take a shot from the bullish perspective. Technically we see he quarterly and monthly and weekly and daily PLDots all aligned, the weekly 6/5 holding, the weekly 5/2 breaking and then holding as resistance, and the daily and weekly envelopes swinging up in a most supportive manner. Can we guarantee follow through? Of course not, but I like the odds here. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/26/13: @CL This trade worked out very nicely; we entered at the low of the day and exited at our third target not far off the high of the day, a nice win in Crude Oil today. To me it looks as if this market has legs and those so inclined may wish to consider sticking with this trade but for the narrow purposes of this daily forecast service we are out and looking for another trade.
03/25/2013		Entry	94.67	Entry					$1,730
		Exit	96.40	Exit
March 25 for March 26		Date	Mar-26	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 143'120 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 143'160, with a stop going in at 144'030. Our down-side targets are 143'060, 142'280, and 142'120. Congestion entrance lies dead ahead, or so it would seem technically speaking. We have the weekly envelope moving sideways, the daily envelope rolling over at resistance and a weak close on the intraday charts, and significant resistance in the downward-trending monthly PLDdot. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/25/13: @US We just missed getting aboard the conservative entry by one tick; we hit the price but did not exceed it and for our entries that is usually the measure (whereas usually for targets we can use MIT orders). We did reach and move well past our second target and we are out at that level, a solid win for the aggressive trader. Skilled traders would naturally have been short multiple contracts and taken better profits at targets, and also reversed. I'm still interested in this market from the short side, once we get past the current flight-to-quality issues.
03/22/2013		Entry	143'120	Entry					$469
		Exit	142'280	Exit
March 22 for March 25		Date	Mar-25	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry	143'150	Entry
		Exit	142'280	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1539 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1542, with a stop going in at 1549. Our down-side targets are 1533, 1529, and 1518. The S&P 500 futures look a little sickly to me, and ready fro further downside action. Technically we see a monthly exhaust setting up, the monthly dot a long way to the downside and a potential monthly refresh target of the 6/5-5/3 area around 1513. Daily support is slowly weakening and the weekly is working on congestion entrance down. As yet the signs are subtle and so we set a reasonably close stop to hedge against the bullish case. But at the moment I'm betting on the short side. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/22/13:@ES No two ways about it, we were wrong on this one and got stopped out. Seeing the adverse flow moving steadily against us would have been the clue for any aggressive trader to flee the trade, and so we hope that was the case for most. We take the loss and move on.
03/21/2013		Entry	1539	Entry	1542				($850)
		Exit	1549	Exit	1549
March 21 for March 22		Date	Mar-22	Date	Mar-22				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($350)
		Entry	1542	Entry
		Exit	1549	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-22	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 142'230 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 143'070, with a stop going in at 144'000. Our down-side targets are 142'180, 142'100, and 142'040. The Treasury bonds are cycling and we're in the midst of a move down; the intraday action today is reinforcing this concept strongly, but there is lots of evidence on the HTP charts as well. On the daily we see outside-inside, dots swinging, and a definite reaction to the constellation of weekly resistance. The weekly is in congestion with the next move to the downside, and the monthly and quarterly PLDots are above price pushing down. We'll go short and see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/21/13: @US Today's win was very small and not at all satisfying but we did hit our first target and thus avoided the much larger move against us that followed thereupon. I'm still bearish of the bonds and they could probably be shorted up in here in a productive way for those who are interested, or are still aboard their short, or are dedicated congestion jockeys. But we're off looking for greener pastures.
03/20/2013		Entry	142'230	Entry					$156
		Exit	142'180	Exit
March 20 for March 21		Date	Mar-21	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 95.07 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 94.81, with a stop going in at 94.25. Our up-side targets are 95.67, 96.07, and 96.25. The upward drive in this Forex cross is resuming. Technically we see he weekly PLDot holding, the monthly dot push continuing, and the daily envelope starting to turn with convincing dots swinging and nearby support rising closer tot he dot, positive signs all. We can get aboard at market price and might expect a bit more retracement, but technically it looks as if higher prices lie ahead. Let's give it a whirl. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/20/13: USDJPY This trade was a solid win and please note that the conservative trader's entrance was less than one pip away from being triggered. Any trader who was awake and alert should have been aboard, and that would more than double the win today, adding some $1300 to the aggressive trader's win. But since he entry price was not actually reached, we'll not count it in the track record. Just sayin' though... traders should have doubled up at that price, and we hope you did.
03/19/2013		Entry	95.07	Entry					$1,041
		Exit	96.07	Exit
March 19 for March 20		Date	Mar-20	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2954 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2982, with a stop going in at 1.3016. Our down-side targets are 1.2910, 1.2874, and 1.2840. It was a big day in the markets with major moves all across the board. For those who were day-trading it was a rare opportunity to catch some big moves. For our current exercise, placing orders at the opening of the night session only, it is a bit more challenging. All things considered I see more downside in the EURUSD cross. Technically we see the weekly dot continuing its downward push with a target of the monthly 1-1 low, and ultimately eventually much lower prices s we break the quarterly PLDot and head south. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/20/13: EURUSD Well unfortunately we did get stopped out and the better choice would have been to take profits yesterday at the close. Not much damage though, this is essentially a scratch trade, or a very very minimal win, depending on the way you look at such things. Update 3/19/13: EURUSD Hold for further targets. This market is breaking down and lower prices lie directly ahead. Those with short-term horizons might exit here at close but I am for holding with an eye on lower prices. Set targets at 1.2847 and 1.2814, and move stop to 1.2950. The worst that can happen is that we break even, the best is a significant gain; to my eye the odds are on our side.
03/18/2013		Entry	1.2954	Entry					$40
		Exit	1.2950	Exit
March 18 for March 19		Date	Mar-20	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US at 141'280 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 141'190, with a stop going in at 141'080. Our up-side targets are 142'050, 142'120, and 143'020. We see the daily chart rolling into a nice upturn as support holds and drives price higher; there is a weekly dot refresh underway with a target of the weekly PLDot and then perhaps ultimately the monthly PLDot. Let's see how this plays out. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 3/18/13: @US We certainly had the direction right, that much can be said with some certainty! We don't get a lot of gaps in these days of 24-hour markets and when the market does gap we often find that it happens over a weekend and in reaction to some major event, and that was the case with this trade. We never had a chance to get aboard as the market blew through resistance and kept on going. Too bad, as the trade played out perfectly otherwise, running up and past the daily 5/9 before retracing.
03/15/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
March 15 for March 18		Date		Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0220 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0232, with a stop going in at 1.0273. Our down-side targets are 1.0193, 1.0176, and 1.0127. Entering the monthly envelope for a refresh. -- And so we'll give it a whirl. Let's see how this plays out. (Videos will resume tomorrow)		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/15/13: USDCAD We had the direction correct and hit our first target and came within a hair of our second target. There is a good chance of an additional down move in this market on Monday for those so inclined to stay in over the weekend but for the purposes of our track record here we are out at the first target today.
03/14/2013		Entry	1.0220	Entry					$265
		Exit	1.0193	Exit
March 14 for March 15		Date	Mar-15	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2960 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3020, with a stop going in at 1.3066. Our down-side targets are 1.2900, 1.2855, and 1.2771. Technically we see the market making a move down to continue the direction. (No movie tonight)		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/15/13:EURUSD We were stopped out for a loss on this one. Update 3/14/13: Hold short for targets. This market is slowly grinding it's way through support
03/13/2013		Entry	1.2960	Entry	1.3020				($1,520)
		Exit	1.3066	Exit	1.3066
March 13 for March 14		Date	Mar-15	Date	Mar-15				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($460)
		Entry	1.3020	Entry
		Exit	1.3066	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-15	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0256 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0265, with a stop going in at 1.0294. Our down-side targets are 1.0241, 1.0227, and 1.0208. The Loonie is showing strength against the USD and the weekly chart is working on its next type of trading, congestion entrance down. Monthly target would be the monthly envelope top, and that locates nicely on the weekly at 2-PLDots back, a projected block level. The question on the table for today is: will the daily PLDot have sufficient energy to drive price down through the weekly dot? let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/13/13: This trade did not work out.
03/12/2013		Entry	1.0256	Entry	1.0265				($652)
		Exit	1.0294	Exit	1.0294
March 12 for March 13		Date	Mar-13	Date	Mar-13				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($282)
		Entry	1.0265	Entry
		Exit	1.0294	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-13	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC 1580 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1578, with a stop going in at 1576. Our up-side targets are 1586, 1600, and 1605. Gold has been in a bottoming formation for some days now and as the HTP envelope structure catches up. Now the support structures are moving into a position such that it is tame to take a shot to the long side. In particular I like the way yesterday's daily dot held and the way the weekly live dot is swinging and the fact that we are breaking the weekly dot today. Let's see how this plays out. (Apologies for the late posting tonight.) Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/13/13: This trade did not quite make it to the target and instead came back to our stop for a small profit. Update 3/12/13: @GC Those so inclined could exit at market for a good profit but I am recommending holding long for better targets. Keep targets 2 and 3 in place, i.e. 1600 and 1605. Move stop to 1586.50.
03/11/2013		Entry	1580	Entry					$610
		Exit	1586.5	Exit
March 11 for March 12		Date	Mar-13	Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1545 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1542, with a stop going in at 1539. Our up-side targets are 1553, 1558, and 1570. The up-move resumes in the ES and we're hopping aboard, with the newly-broken resistance giving us a relatively low-risk entry. If we're right, we're aboard, if not,the damage is limited. Technically it is a mixed picture as we are grinding through monthly resistance as well. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/12/13:@ES We have made progress and the direction is correct however we are grinding away at resistance and have not reached our target and this process could take a while; because we entered so high in the zone structure I think the better course of action for our short-term trade plan is to exit at market and take this small profit. So we are out at 1550 just after the opening of the evening session tonight.
03/08/2013		Entry	1545	Entry	1542				$600
		Exit	1550	Exit	1550
March 8 for March 11		Date	Mar-12	Date	Mar-12				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$350
		Entry	1542	Entry
		Exit	1555	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-12	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.3106 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3054, with a stop going in at 1.3013. Our up-side targets are 1.3149, 1.3218, and 1.3251. With today's action we see the EURUSD move from outside the weekly envelope to inside, which we regard as a significant movement. The monthly chart shows a quite reasonable dot-refresh in progress, and on the weekly the target looks to be the 6/5. The fact of the monthly chart rolling over and flattening out gives this trade its potential. Let's see how this plays out. Traders should not that tomorrow morning is the monthly non-farm report which has the potential to roil all markets before settling down, so watch your fingers. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/9/13:EURUSD Although in the early going we came close to hitting our first target, we didn't quite get that high and then came the not-unexpected volatility of the payrolls report, and we were very quickly stopped out. We take the loss and move on.
03/07/2013		Entry	1.3106	Entry	1.3054				($1370)
		Exit	1.3013	Exit	1.3013
March 7 for March 8		Date	Mar-08	Date	Mar-08				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($410)
		Entry	1.3054	Entry
		Exit	1.3013	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-08	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 90.41 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 89.93, with a stop going in at 88.95. Our up-side targets are 91.15, 91.69, and 92.06. Crude Oil draws interest as we see the daily nearbys moving sideways, daily support holding in weekly and monthly support, and all this with lots of headroom to the upside. True, the weekly envelope is screaming on down but even a retrace to the weekly live dot would be a huge win in this large and fast-moving contract. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/8/13: @CL Nice solid trade as the day played out pretty much as expected. We hit our second target handily and are out at that level. Looks to me as if there are higher crude prices ahead.
03/06/2013		Entry	90.41	Entry					$1,280
		Exit	91.69	Exit
March 6 for March 7		Date	Mar-07	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1574 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1569, with a stop going in at 1562. Our up-side targets are 1581, 1585, and 1595. Gold is stabilizing after a long down move and we are seeing technical support levels hold on several time-frames. Nearbys are marching sideways on monthly-weekly-daily, we have outside-inside on the daily and weekly, we have dots swinging on daily and weekly, and plenty of room to the upside. We'll take a run at the upside here. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/7/13: Gold acted as expected today and the I would think that in the coming days and weeks we will see higher prices in gold. There is a ways to go to reach weekly resistance and the action today was very bullish. Some traders may reasonably choose to stay aboard for higher targets but for the purposes of our short-term demonstration trading scheme here we are out at the first target and bank the profits.
03/05/2013		Entry	1574	Entry	1569				$1,900
		Exit	1581	Exit	1581
March 5 for March 6		Date	Mar-06	Date	Mar-06				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,200
		Entry	1569	Entry
		Exit	1581	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-06	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @us at 144'300 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 144'100, with a stop going in at 144'210. Our down-side targets are 143210, 143'140, and 143'070, with an eventual kicker at 142'200. We see a weak close in a down day with the flow clearly shifting to the downside. Daily price action is caught in a tight area between the monthly PLDot and the weekly envelope top. The LTP flow suggests however that we may see further weakness as price moves down to feel out and refresh it's energy from the weekly live dot area. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/6/13: @US We hit our second target and will take as our exit that level, although we did come within a couple of ticks of the third target, and skilled traders may have harvested a bit more here. For our track record purposes however we're out at 143'140 and off looking for the next trade.
03/04/2013		Entry	143'300	Entry					$504
		Exit	143'140	Exit
March 4 for March 5		Date	Mar-06	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0266 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0299, with a stop going in at 1.0325. Our down-side targets are 1.0250, 1.0218, and 1.0170. We see the daily rolling over and a nice exhaust pattern in play on the daily and anticipate a test of the lower confines of congestion or lower. A move to the monthly envelope top seems quite within reach. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/5/13: Longer term this is an excellent short and those who wish to play for the weekly or monthly time frame could stay short here. For our very short-term orientation in this particular demonstration exercise however we are not seeing the rapid rollover that we had anticipated and thus will exit here at market for a small profit. Update 3/4/13: USDCAD We saw a productive price move in support of our thesis but the progress did not take us quite as far as we needed to trigger the target order. Hold short, keep targets in place. Stop could be nudged downwards to 1.0301.
03/01/2013		Entry	1.0266	Entry	1.0299				$243
		Exit	1.0270	Exit	1.0270
March 1 for March 4		Date	Mar-05	Date	Mar-05				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$282
		Entry	1.2099	Entry
		Exit	1.0270	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 143'300 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 144'080, with a stop going in at 144'240. Our down-side targets are 143'180, 142'220, and 142'080. The biggest game in the trading world is guessing when we might see a top in the US long-term debt. I'm not calling a top here necessarily but on the other hand it does look like lower prices lie directly ahead. We're at the quarterly and monthly PLDot, the daily envelope has rolled over nicely, we have an exhaust up into HTP resistance that is in the process of playing out, and that weekly 5/9 is very tempting to sell against. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/2/13:@US This trade is not working out as expected and so we exit at the close or at Sunday's opening.
02/28/2013		Entry	143'300	Entry	144'080				($1000)
		Exit	144'190	Exit	144'190
Feb 28 for March 1		Date	Mar-01	Date	Mar-01				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($344)
		Entry	144'080	Entry
		Exit	144'190	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0234 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0258, with a stop going in at 1.0283. Our down-side targets are 1.0206, 1.0189, and 1.0161. Lots of signs that key resistance is being engaged here and the turn is already underway. This is part of the general shift in the financial markets as the dollar run weakens a bit. Technically we see monthly 5/2 at quarterly envelope top, weekly exhaust patterns and a 5/9 level, and the daily is showing congestion entrance and we anticipate the block level expanding. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/1/13: USDCAD We came within 9 pips of our target but that was not quite enough obviously to trigger a win and the market reversed sharply to stop us out. Our plan was correct but my execution error was to be a little too aggressive on the 2-t-3 PLDots back target level in this congestion entrance trade. So: almost, but not quite. A theme we've seen before in trading. Prognosis: more congestion ahead.
02/27/2013		Entry	1.0234	Entry	1.0258				($749)
		Exit	1.0283	Exit	1.0283
Feb 27 for Feb 28		Date	Feb-28	Date	Feb-28				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($242)
		Entry	1.0258	Entry
		Exit	1.0283	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-28	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 92.68 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 92.23, with a stop going in at 91.67. Our up-side targets are 93.32. 93.90. and 94.62. This sea-change in the markets is washing over everything. Technically we see Crude Oil starting to hold support at the monthly PLDot, monthly 5/9 area, quarterly PLDot ares, along with weekly support holding in a confirmed exhaust pattern, and to top it off we see outside/inside on the daily, dots-swinging big-time and nearby support holding. Let's give it a whirl, and see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/27/13: @CL Price hit our first target and we are out at that level.
02/26/2013		Entry	92.68	Entry	92.23				$1,730
		Exit	93.32	Exit	93.32
Feb 26 for Feb 27		Date	Feb-27	Date	Feb-27				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1090
		Entry	92.23	Entry
		Exit	93.32	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-27	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3072 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3150, with a stop going in at 1.3243. Our down-side targets are 1.2983, 1.2957, and 1.2871. Pretty dramatic day in all markets yesterday. Of note we see the trend-shifting move on the Euro continue and today we will sell into this strength, expecting a small retracement to the area of the daily live dot and then continued action the downside. Redeemer with these high volatility markets the geometry gets stretched out and consequently our structural stops and targets get extended and so watch the flow and monitor carefully. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/28/13:EURUSD This did not work out as anticipated and we were stopped out in the final moments of the day. We're out and off looking for the next trade. Update 2/27/13: EURUSD Hold short for targets. The big news on the chart for today is that the refresh rally had no legs and so we look to a test of our downside targets. Move first target to 1.2995 just above tomorrow's 5/2 up and the stop can be tightened down to 1.3145.
02/25/2013		Entry	1.3072	Entry					($730)
		Exit	1.3145	Exit
Feb 25 for Feb 26		Date	Feb-27	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1572 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1566, with a stop going in at 1552. Our up-side targets are 1582, 1589, and 1603. Tonight's call is a trade for those who are not faint of heart. Gold's drop has been precipitous and heart-stopping and yet we see some signs of a bounce in this area: dots swinging, weekly 5/1 upcoming, exhaust structures in place on the daily. With such large moves both risks and potential rewards are larger and so watch your stops and monitor the market carefully if you take this trade. Let's see how it plays out. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 2/26/13: @GC I certainly hope some of you took this trade despite the fact that price never got down to our stated entry. Once we might have called this a directional trade and that definition fits but we have moved away from adding these directional trades to our track record. Thus today's trade goes in the books as "No Trade," but note please how definitely we called the direction and how productive this trade was for those alert aggressive traders who stepped aboard this train as it left the station. If you were aware and alert you made out handsomely.
02/22/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Feb 22 for Feb 25		Date		Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 95.67 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 95.45, with a stop going in at 94.90. Our up-side targets are 96.02, 96.28, and 96.48. A big sea-change in the markets in the last 48 hours, and it would seem as if the Aussie has a lot of potential in this volatility. Price located at the bottom of the confines of congestion during the day and a rebound is in play already at the close; if the pattern plays out we will see congestion action trading in the coming days. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/22/13 AUDJPY A solid call and a solid win. It would have been even better if we have been able to enter at the open as is out usual practice but we were delayed a bit, and that's that way the cookie crumbles. Aggressive traders should have added a second contract but we'll not count that towards out track record, and be content with what price action shows.
02/21/2013		Entry	95.67	Entry					$868
		Exit	96.48	Exit
Feb 21 for Feb 22		Date	Feb-22	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1505 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1503, with a stop going in at 1497. Our up-side targets are 1509, 1512, and 1517. A big move is all the financial markets today as we saw signs of a possible future shift in Fed policy, and signs of dissent in Fed meetings held in the late Fall. Is this an emotional over-reaction? Perhaps so, and we'll play for the possible bounce, but with a bit of caution we set our entry a tad lower and not at market, which would be our usual practice. Wild times bring both opportunity and danger; be sure you set stops appropriately and monitor the market. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/21/13: @ES It looked like we were going to be right in the early going but the attempt at a rally fizzled and we are stopped out for a loss. We take our lumps and move on.
02/20/2013		Entry	1505	Entry	1503				($700)
		Exit	1497	Exit	1497
Feb 20 for Feb 21		Date	Feb-21	Date	Feb-21				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($300)
		Entry	1503	Entry
		Exit	1497	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-21	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0116 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0128, with a stop going in at 1.0147. Our down-side targets are 1.0099, 1.0087, and 1.0051. The weekly 5/2 is now in play and the question on the table is: will price react to that resistance sufficiently to make a good trade or will we see the weekly C-wave continue? Given the position of price in the Monthly zone structure and the fact of the daily exhaust holding yesterday, I'm betting we'll see a downside move. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/20/13: USDCAD Unfortunately we were dead wrong on this one, as the Greenback strengthened instead of weakening. Strong price action against us took us through our stop in the early going. We take the loss and move on.
02/19/2013		Entry	1.0116	Entry	1.0128				($492)
		Exit	1.0147	Exit	1.0147
Feb 19 for Feb 20		Date	Feb-20	Date	Feb-20				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($187)
		Entry	1.0128	Entry
		Exit	1.0147	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-20	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.3352 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3342, with a stop going in at 1.3302. Our up-side targets are 1.3378, 1.3392, and 1.3439. Technically we see the market moving sideways across the page in support and for eight days we've been waiting for the resumption of the strong up move of recent weeks. So far the monthly 6/5 has been holding, a sign that the trend may still be intact. In any case we're at the do-or-die point for this long-standing Euro trend, and if the market is to move higher once more it must soon make its statement. How will this play out? We'll soon find out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/19/13: EURUSD We hit our second target and are out at that level today. Is there more to the upside here? Probably, and those who wish to monitor carefully may want to play that game, but we are out and looking or the next trade.
02/18/2013		Entry	1.3352	Entry	1.3342				$900
		Exit	1.3392	Exit	1.3392
Feb 18 for Feb 19		Date		Date	Feb-19				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$500
		Entry	1.3342	Entry
		Exit	1.3392	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-19	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 143'120 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 143'190, with a stop going in at 144'040. Our down-side targets are 142'290, 142'200, and 142'070. The Thirty-Year Treasury Bond could not hold a rally today and that is just another indication that the downside holds more potential for traders that the upside in this market. Technically we see a monthly C-wave in progress and a weekly dot-refresh completed. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/19/13: @US We came within a hair's breadth of hitting our target today. I suggest exiting at the open of the evening session, and for purposes of our track record we will deem that to be the closing price today.. While there is a very good chance that staying with this trade would see lower prices tomorrow, on the other hand there is an equal chance we will cycle back up towards the upper confines of this congestion. We'll stand aside until the picture becomes a bit clearer. A win is a win is a win. Update 2/18/13: @US Hold short as there was little action in this thin holiday trading.
02/15/2013		Entry	143'120	Entry	143'190				$969
		Exit	143'000	Exit	143'00
Feb 14 for Feb 15		Date	Feb-19	Date	Feb-19				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$594
		Entry	143'190	Entry
		Exit	143'000	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-19	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0007 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0020, with a stop going in at 1.0040. Our down-side targets are .9991, .9965, and .9946. The Loonie continues to look strong; surely the mid-term target for this cross based on technicals has to be weekly congestion and the monthly envelope bottom. The Weekly PLDot is showing some support strength but the way the daily is rolling over it seems to me momentum is gathering for a move to the downside. Let's see what happens here. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/15/13: USDCAD No two ways about it, the market moved in the opposite direction of our prediction today, and we were promptly and decisively stopped out in the early going. This came about due to a very strong and very surprising manufacturing conditions report that exceeded everyone's expectations by a very wide margin. Good news in this case was bad news for us; we take the modest loss and move on.
02/14/2013		Entry	1.0007	Entry	1.0020				($529)
		Exit	1.0040	Exit	1.0040
Feb 14 for Feb 15		Date	Feb-15	Date	Feb-15				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($200)
		Entry	1.0020	Entry
		Exit	1.0040	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-15	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @GC at 1643 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1648, with a stop going in at 1653. Our down-side targets are 1637, 1633, and 1629. Gold is looking ever so sick, and although we are in weekly support and daily nearbys are moving sideways, nevertheless we looking at a trade to the downside here. In the bears favor are: very strong down flow and a failed dot refresh. Let's see how it goes. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/14/13: @GC An excellent day! We called the day correctly and with both conservative and aggressive traders aboard hit our second target. We're out at that level, banking the profits and are now off looking for the next trade. Although for the purposes of our track record we are out of this trade the flow is still very much to the downside and some traders may wish to seek further profits on this trade with the idea that Gold may move still lower.
02/13/2013		Entry	1643	Entry	1648				$2500
		Exit	1633	Exit	1633
Feb 13 for Feb 14		Date	Feb-14	Date	Feb-14				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1500
		Entry	1648	Entry
		Exit	1633	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-14	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0020 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0032, with a stop going in at 1.0057. Our down-side targets are 1.0002, .9989, and .9963. The Loonie is strengthening tonight and the move is not yet over, so we will step aboard and look to ride this down to the Live weekly envelope bottom/daily 5/9 area. Will the markets react to tonight's high-stakes political speech bu the U.S. President? That's always a chance. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/13/13:USDCAD Today's action moved in our favor but yet not all that convincingly. The recommendation is to take the small profit offered and move to the sidelines. Those so inclined can play a little further with the idea of holding for a better exit price to the downside, but for our purposes here we are out at the current market price of 1.0012
02/12/2013		Entry	1.0020	Entry	1.0032				$240
		Exit	1.0012	Exit	1.0012
Feb 12 for Feb 13		Date	Feb-13	Date	Feb-13				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$180
		Entry	1.0032	Entry
		Exit	1.0012	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-13	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1513 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1515, with a stop going in at 1517. Our down-side targets are 1509, 1505, and 1500. The equity market is sliding sideways and this in a time when the dollar is showing strength, Crude Oil has a big reversal, and China is looking up. Methinks it's time for a bit of a pause and testing of support. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/12/13: @ES We hit our first target and are out at that level. Not a very profitable day as price thereafter went against us but that's what these targets are for, they protect us when we are right but not all *that* right, and help us take what the markets offer when they offer it. On we go to look for another trade.
02/11/2013		Entry	1513	Entry					$200
		Exit	1509	Exit
Feb 11 for Feb 12		Date	Feb-12	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 95.72 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 96.05, with a stop going in at 96.97. Our down-side targets are 95.30, 94.75, and 94.50. Crude is acting weak, but for supply/demand reasons domestically our WTI grade oil is in abundant supply at the moment, while the difficult politics of the Middle East are influencing Brent Crude they are not driving price up here as much as one might suppose. So all in all I'm bearish WTI and that is reflected in our DG charts by the Monthly C-wave ending, the and the weekly and daily dots breaking and possibly pushing to the downside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/11/13: @CL We hit our first target and are out at that level. Skilled traders who were monitoring the market might have done much better as we made considerable progress towards our second target, however the day was challenging and volatile in the hours after our first target was hit, and would have demanded advanced skills to first take profits at a better level and then reverse long. But that's a discussion for another day; in our world of short-term trades in a single direction we had a small but solid win and so we bank the profits and move on to the next trade.
02/08/2013		Entry	95.72	Entry					$420
		Exit	95.30	Exit
Feb 8 for Feb 11		Date	Feb-11	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell AUDJPY at 96.31 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 96.80, with a stop going in at 97.52. Our down-side targets are 95.63, 94.78, and 94.41. The Yen has had a stunning run against multiple currencies and is now in pause mode against the Aussie; we'll play the monthly and weekly exhaust patterns and see if we can't break the weekly envelope top to test the weekly PLDot. It would seem that the daily flow say this is a distinct possibility. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/8/13: AUDJPY The day did play out as envisioned, and we hit our first target and are out at 95.63. Is there more in this trade? Quite possibly so since we have had such a stunning move in the Yen, thus a larger retracement would also not be out of order. But for our short-term track-record purposes here we are out and looking for another trade.
02/07/2013		Entry	96.31	Entry					$679
		Exit	95.63	Exit
Feb 7 for Feb 8		Date	Feb-08	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9952 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9975, with a stop going in at .9991. Our down-side targets are .9940, .9931, and .9916. The Loonie is a market that looks wistfully at congestion entrance to the upside but cannot get it done, closing day after day at the bottom of the range. This is a market that despite its wishes, look to me like it is headed down. the low is down down down, and so we look for support to break. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/7/13: USDCAD Well the Loonie did in fact achieve congestion entrance today but not before we reached our first downside target. Note that we came within ONE PIP of reaching the second downside target, and so our aggressive traders most likely took profits near that level. But for track record purposes we'll call this exit at our first target and thus a small trade but yet a welcome one as we did make a profit right in the face of a market that ran the other way.
02/06/2013		Entry	.9952	Entry					$120
		Exit	.9940	Exit
Feb 6 for Feb 7		Date	Feb-07	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 96.95 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 97.09, with a stop going in at 97.93. Our down-side targets are 96.21, 96.50, and 95.03. Crude is acting under the weather; the term structures are shifting to bearish stance as backwardization narrows and turns into contango, the dollar strengthens, and the whole complex is re-adjusting. We'll try a short position here, looking to sell in resistance with targets at and then below the confines of congestion. As we all know so well, Crude Oil is big contract that carries some risk, but then again the rewards can be great as well. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 2/6/13: @CL Wow just as an example of how powerful the Drummond lines and levels are, our methods called the day within four ticks of the high of the day and within one tick of the low of the day. Amazing. However just as amazing but less satisfying is the fact that we got nothing at all out of this $2000 day. In an effort to hedge risk a bit we set the entry well above the market and we never hit entry price before proceeding to target, so, no trade. Crazy business, trading. I think I'll open an ice cream stand instead.
02/05/2013		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Feb 5 for Feb 6		Date		Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at .9985 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9961, with a stop going in at .9945. Our up-side targets are 1.0007, 1.0017, and 1.0045. The US dollar is on a tear today, and e choose the Loonie as a vehicle to trade this move, getting aboard at the current price and looking to ride it to the weekly Envelope Top area. Let's see how this plays out. Support levels look pretty strong at the moment. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/5/13: USDCAD We're in support and have not hit the stop and are at the confines of congestion, however although I think the next move is up, the slope of the hourly and the 4-hour envelopes are a bit daunting and raise the risk such that it is likely we would hit or stop first before heading higher, and so we are out at the close, taking a small loss. The first loss is the smallest, as the saying goes.
02/04/2013		Entry	.9985	Entry	.9961				($371)
		Exit	.9954	Exit	.9954
Feb 4 for Feb 5		Date	Feb-05	Date	Feb-05				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($70)
		Entry	.9961	Entry
		Exit	.9954	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9963 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9984, with a stop going in at .1.0021. Our down-side targets are .9950, .9927, and .9899. The Loonie is showing strength as the market starts to embrace risk again, and we'll see if we can take another bite out of this market. Technically we see a strong daily envelope slope, a weekly exhaust driving towards the monthly PLDot, and the monthly working on congestion entrance. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/4/13: USDCAD A very small win but we are happy with that as after price tested this close-in support the market turned and headed towards resistance. Another demonstration of the importance of targets in today's markets.
02/01/2013		Entry	.9963	Entry					$130
		Exit	.9950	Exit
Feb 1 for Feb 4		Date	Feb-04	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1493 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1497, with a stop going in at 1507. Our down-side targets are 1489, 1486, and 1481. The trend in the E-mini is looking distinctly long in the tooth, and a retracement would not surprise me one bit. On the monthly we are in the outer darkness, on the weekly we show exhaust patterns, and the daily has entered congestion. So a move to the downside in concert with other equity markets is a possibility. However, be aware that tomorrow if the first Friday of the month and thus the date of that Mother of All Economic Reports, the U.S. non-farm payrolls due out at 8:30 a.m. New York time. Anything can happen on such days and although DG levels can and do hold up well under such circumstances, volatility is often very high and can make mince-meat out of our pretty stop strategies. So be careful out there. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/1/13: Not a happy camper here; we got caught in market action following the Non-Farm Payrolls report and hit our stop. This is the one monthly economic report that always makes trading difficult on release day, and this month was no exception. We take the loss and move on.
01/31/2013		Entry	1496	Entry	1497				($1050)
		Exit	1507	Exit	1507
Jan 31 for Feb 1		Date	Feb-01	Date	Feb-01				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($500)
		Entry	1497	Entry
		Exit	1507	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-01	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0011 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0026, with a stop going in at 1.0058. Our down-side targets are .9994, .9967, and .9926. The Loonie certainly does not look like this weekly run to the upside is continuing; neither the monthly nor the daily lends any credibility at all to the weekly pattern, and thus the Loonie is called on the carpet to prove itself. I'll take the opposite position and bet on the short side here; we might see a little test of the 6/5 level but to me the weekly envelope top looks weak not strong. Am I right? We'll find out soon enough. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/31/13: USDCAD OK this day developed about as expected: first a move up to the 6/5 and then down to the targets. Both conservative and aggressive traders were aboard and are out at the second target of .9967. We bank the profits and move on.
01/30/2013		Entry	1.0011	Entry	1.0026				$1,033
		Exit	.9967	Exit	.9967
Jan 30 for Jan31		Date	Jan-31	Date	Jan-31				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$592
		Entry	1.0026	Entry
		Exit	.9967	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-31	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1663 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1660, with a stop going in at 1651. Our up-side targets are 1675, 1684, and 1692. Gold has been crashing down in reaction to the dollar strength in recent day however we see support starting to hold, daily dots swinging, nearbys moving sideways, and it looks as if congestion entrance will be the order of the upcoming day. On the weekly we also see congestion playing out, and on the monthly a refresh is in progress. Will gold move higher? That's the bet we are placing and we'll see soon enough if we are right. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/30/13: @GC Nice day, we all but nailed the daily range, coming within few pennies of the open and one dollar off the high, for a solid gain of $2,000. Our aggressive traders who have some experience in life and trading saw the strong opening and went long immediately as directed in our video comment, and had no qualms holding until the second target. A good day.
01/29/2013		Entry	1664	Entry					$2,000
		Exit	1684	Exit
Jan 29 for Jan 30		Date	Jan-30	Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0058 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0073, with a stop going in at 1.0104. Our down-side targets are 1.0042, 1.0025, and 1.0005. Exhaust patterns are in evidence on he weekly and daily charts both, and we are showing significant resistance levels on the monthly chart. All this adds up to an attractive short -- at least to my eyes. And so we'll give it a whirl. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/29/13: USDCAD We hit our second target and came within a few pips of the third target, so almost but not quite there, and so we take as our track record entry the second target instead of the third. Those who saw the flow and held short took advantage of the today's strong down move. I am continually struck by the accuracy of the Drummond support and resistance levels.
01/28/2013		Entry	1.0058	Entry					$329
		Exit	1.0025	Exit
Jan 28 for Jan 29		Date	Jan-29	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 96.09 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 96.41, with a stop going in at 96.78. Our down-side targets are 95.48, 95.21, and 94.38. General commodity weakness has not yet hit the Crude Oil market, and yet it cannot break higher either. I am a cautious bear here, and look to sell on open with the idea that these confines of congestion will hold, and we will test the weekly 6/5. Weekly dots-swinging, and monthly lackadaisical envelope slope gives some credibility to the trade concept. We'll find out soon enough. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/28/13: @CL Wow, an amazing, difficult and impressive day all at the same time. First on the more-bullish-than-expected durable goods report this morning we rallied up to our stop ares, where for a precious 2 minutes we teetered two pips above our stop level, stopping out our conservative traders who apply the "set it and forget it" philosophy to their trading activities. Aggressive traders either hung in there or took the stop and then quickly re-entered as price rapidly fell off in the post-report action. We then proceeded to drop until we hit our first target, exceeding it to the downside by a mere one pip. If nothing else it shows the accuracy of the Drummond levels. This goes in the books as a "poke" stop rule for the aggressive trader, something that happens but once or twice a quarter.
01/25/2013		Entry	96.09	Entry	96.41				$1540
		Exit	95.48	Exit	96.78
Jan 25 for Jan 28		Date	Jan-28	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($370)
		Entry	96.41	Entry
		Exit	95.48	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-28	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 145'240 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 145'070, with a stop going in at 146'210. Our down-side targets are 145'160, 144'300, and 144'100. As the US Thirty-Year Bonds congest and chop-about here my thought is that we will exit to the downside as the higher time period resistance kicks in. Note the quarterly and monthly PLDot and Envelope bottom, and the daily envelope basically going sideways. Support has not yet broken but perhaps this is the dog that is not barking: as it is not driving price back upwards either. Let's see how this develops. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/25/13: @US Sweet. We had the direction correct and our aggressive traders hit the third target and are out at that level. Those who hung in fro more did even better. We smile and bank the profits.
01/24/2013		Entry	145'240	Entry					$1,437
		Exit	144'100	Exit
Jan 24 for Jan 25		Date	Jan-25	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell AUDJPY at 93.35 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 93.90, with a stop going in at 94.17. Our down-side targets are 93.08, 92.56, and 92.40. What we're seeing in the USDJPY and AUDJPY is not unexpected technically since the rapid rally with all that high energy drove price well into the outer darkness on a weekly basis, territory from which we would normally expect a quick exit, and so it seems we are seeing that occur. The monthly chart shows an exhaust setting up, the weekly chart shows an exhaust in progress, and the daily chart is rolling over very convincingly. We see more to the downside here. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/24/13: AUDJPY Our target was good; we hit the first target right away and then the market reversed, but no matter as our aggressive trader is out at that level. Not a big win but we avoided a large loss as the congestion parameter held and price moved back towards the congestion top. (We had an obvious typo in the entry price which I have now corrected: the entry was at 93.35 not 96.35.)
01/23/2013		Entry	96.35	Entry					$299
		Exit	93.08	Exit
Jan 23 for Jan 24		Date	Jan-24	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9919 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9937, with a stop going in at .9954. Our down-side targets are .9897, .9841, and .9861. The story here is weekly congestion action, and the next leg is down. We see the weekly envelope moving sideways, monthly and quarterly key resistance kicking in, and the daily envelope rolling over. Do we need more? That's good enough for me, and we set your conservative entry at he higher limit of congestion and look for the ride to the lower limits or beyond. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/23/13: USDCAD A distinctly annoying day: we came within five pips of our target when a sudden news report snatched victory right out from under us. The only consolation was that we had a reasonably tight stop in place, so we live to fight another day. We shrug it off and move on.
01/22/2013		Entry	.9919	Entry	.9937				($521)
		Exit	.9954	Exit	.9954
Jan 22 for Jan 23		Date	Jan-23	Date	Jan-23				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($170)
		Entry	.9937	Entry
		Exit	.9954	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 95.85 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 95.70, with a stop going in at 95.35. Our up-side targets are 96.04, 96.36, and 97.05. Crude Oil is in a major up-trend and we are looking to take a bite out of it. Action of the last two days shows support holding up well and the closes towards the top of the range are encouraging. We'll take a shot here and see how things develop. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/22/13: @CL Both aggressive and conservative traders were aboard this trade; we hit our second target and take our track record numbers from that level; note that those who stayed aboard into the close looking for the third target did much better. Very nice trade; crude does look strong.
01/21/2013		Entry	95.85	Entry	95.70				$1,170
		Exit	96.36	Exit	96.36
Jan 21 for Jan 22		Date	Jan-22	Date	Jan-22				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$660
		Entry	95.70	Entry
		Exit	96.36	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-22	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 145'270 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 146'030, with a stop going in at 16'200. Our down-side targets are 145'090, 145'010, and 144'170. Lots of technical indications of strong resistance pushing the bonds on down, of note we see the daily PLDot holding, the daily envelope structure rolling over nicely, the strong weekly envelope down slope, and the HTP structure also supporting the down-move. Let's see how this plays out. Note holiday hours in the CME for Monday. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/22/13: @US We hit our first target and aggressive traders are out at that level. Update 1/21/13: @US Hold short for targets. A small but positive move today in the holiday-shortened trading hours. But this market looks weak to me and so we hold short.
01/18/2013		Entry	145'270	Entry					$562
		Exit	145'090	Exit
Jan 18 for Jan 21		Date	Jan-22	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1474 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1469, with a stop going in at 1462. Our up-side targets are 1483, 1489, and 1499. Very constructive action in the equity market today, and so we're looking to get aboard this move. The way to do this would be to pick up an dip tot he top of congestion, and so we give it a whirl with that in mind. The slope of the weekly envelop gives credence to the argument that this move will continue. We'll see soon enough. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/21/13: @ES We hit our target and are out at 1483. Update 1/18/13: @ES Hold long for target. Not a huge move today but still very constructive. No reason to exit, and so we'll stay aboard. Move stop to 1469.
01/17/2013		Entry	1474	Entry					$450
		Exit	1483	Exit
Jan 17 for Jan 18		Date	Jan-21	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDJPY at 88.44 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 88.73, with a stop going in at 88.52. Our down-side targets are 87.91, 87.57, and 87.61. Even the strongest of trending markets must stop and catch its breath or refresh its energy as we say, and that is what we're seeing in the USDJPY. The question is how deep will the retracement go. We take as some guidance that fact that price is in monthly "outer darkness" above zone 6 and is moving back inside the zone structure, and on the weekly price is moving inside the weekly envelope. A move back to the monthly live ETop is entirely possible, in the 87.50 area. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/17/13: USDJPY No two ways about it, today was a bloodbath for our trade concept. Instead of breaking congestion we saw the bock level at 2-3 PLDots back hold and hold strongly, kicking price back to and through the upper confines of congestion. Only one small saving grace occurred in that aggressive traders, who monitor the market and can take action when warranted, saw the three-four-five-six bars of consecutive strong flow against the position, and as it broke the daily PLDot ducked the trade and stepped to the sidelines, exiting at 89.15. With hindsight we learn once again to respect the 2-3 dots back block level in strong trends. And so we move on, bruised but undaunted. It's all part of the game of trading.
01/16/2013		Entry	88.44	Entry	88.73				($1,258)
		Exit	89.15	Exit	89.52
Jan 16 for Jan 17		Date	Jan-17	Date	Jan-17				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($879)
		Entry	88.73	Entry
		Exit	89.15	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1465 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1459, with a stop going in at 1451. Our up-side targets are 1469, 1472, and 1476. What we see here is a weekly and monthly C-wave underway, and today's action seems to confirm that the weekly envelope top is strong. If so, then this can be bought, and we will give it a whirl. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/16/13: @ES A very small win but we did hit our first target and so are out at that level. The day was like watching paint dry however. This market is waiting for something decisive to happen and has not found it yet.
01/15/2013		Entry	1465	Entry					$200
		Exit	1469	Exit
Jan 15 for Jan 16		Date	Jan-16	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 145'150 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 145'270, with a stop going in at 146'020. Our down-side targets are 145'030, 144'250, and 144'140. T-Bonds have been trying to climb out of the hole they dug a little over a week ago, but as they struggle upwards they are running smack into the weekly dot that is charging on down. We're saying this is just a refresh in a downtrend, and the weekly dot/live dot will carry the day. Thus we're sellers here. The whole world knows that the US T-Bonds are over-valued. For me the question is not "if" but "when" the protracted down move will come. Could it be that it is already underway? Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/15/13: @US This one did not work out; Bonds re not acting all that strongly but strong enough to hit our stop and we are out at that level. We take the loss and move on.
01/14/2013		Entry	145'150	Entry	145'270				($812)
		Exit	146'020	Exit	146'020
Jan 14 for Jan 15		Date	Jan-15	Date	Jan-15				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($219)
		Entry	145'270	Entry
		Exit	146'020	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-15	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9849 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9858, with a stop going in at .9879. Our down-side targets are .9829, .9811, and .9802. A weekly c-wave is underway and with a small retracement on the daily today, which seems to give us an opening for a good entry. Big moves all over the map today, and the dollar is weak across the board (except of course against the Yen, which is weak by governmental fiat). The thought here is that we can get aboard the Loonie strength and ride the C-wave down. Note the monthly target, and the position of the Daily PLDot vs the weekly envelope bottom. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/16/13: USDCAD Not much excitement here; we were stopped out at our revised stop level for a small loss. But we would not have hit target in any case, and so the whole trade concept was called into question. The only good news is that the loss was very small. Update 1/15/13: USDCAD We see a small profit in this open trade. Those who wish to roll the dice as I do will hold short. Today was a virtual repeat of yesterday. Move stop to .9862 above the 1-1 hi. I suspect we will see target hit tomorrow but in any case we're holding short. Update 1/14/13: USDCAD Hold short for targets. Both conservative and aggressive traders are aboard and the envelope slope is down and we are approaching target; no guarantees but odds are we will reach one or more of our targets, so we'll hold short.
01/11/2013		Entry	.9849	Entry	.9858				($172)
		Exit	.9862	Exit	.9862
Jan 11 for Jan 13		Date		Date	Jan-16				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($41)
		Entry	.9858	Entry
		Exit	.9862	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-16	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1467 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1463, with a stop going in at 1448. Our up-side targets are 1478, 1482, and 1487. Good news on the economic front is like sunshine breaking through the clouds. A sign of the times perhaps that the good news comes not from the U.S. but from China, and it really did affect the global markets in a very positive manner. Technically we see daily congestion exit, daily and weekly and monthly c-waves in progress, weekly exhaust pattern complete and confirming the envelope top as support, and a strong close as well. Let's see if this move indeed does have legs. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 1/14/13: @ES Exit for a scratch. Somehow Friday evening's update did not get properly posted but the instruction was to hold long for target. However no action today, as the market drifted this way and that, closing close to unchanged. For track-record purposes we take our exit at the closing price for a scratch.
01/10/2013		Entry	1467	Entry	1463				$0
		Exit	1465	Exit	1465
Jan 10 for Jan 11		Date	Jan-14	Date	Jan-14				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$100
		Entry	1463	Entry
		Exit	1465	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-14	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1657 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1652, with a stop going in at 1648. Our up-side targets are 1664, 1668, and 1679. In recent days Gold has been incredibly volatile, ever since the Fed yawned and opined that some in those hallowed halls were tiring of the bond-buying game. And yet perhaps the move was over-done? Surely our inflationary threats have not disappeared? Technically we see daily support holding, moving sideways, and rising; are we poised to move above the weekly PLDot? So it would seem. Let's nibble at the long side here. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/10/13: @GC Aggressive traders were filled and came within $20 of hitting the third target at 1679; Sort of irritating as we also just missed the conservative trader's entry by $1.80. But really, that's all part of the game. I suggest that aggressive traders still in the game holding for the third target exit on the opening. If you elect to hold for further profits then be sure to protect your open profits by moving the stop up substantially, But as for me, and for track record purposes, we're at at the opening price of the the evening session, at 1674.
01/09/2013		Entry	1657	Entry					$1,700
		Exit	1674	Exit
Jan 9 for Jan 10		Date	Jan-10	Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9865 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9877, with a stop going in at .9903. Our down-side targets are .9842, .9836, and .9803. I see this strength in the Canadian Loonie quite naturally developing as an expression of that country's growing jobs base, export trade and functioning government. We're on the edge of a weekly C-Wave and the position of the daily zone structure in relation to the weekly zone structure is what gives us the heart to sell here. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 1/9/13: USDCAD The Loonie is not acting as expected and so we're exiting at market and standing aside. I'm calling it a scratch as the amount of the loss is tiny and the conservative trader actually made a bit. Those so inclined could hold short for a better exit and would surely get it tomorrow as the dot area is tested but I want to free my mental capital and not worry about this trade, so I'm out.
01/08/2013		Entry	.9865	Entry	.9877				($121)
		Exit	.9886	Exit	.9886
Jan 8 for Jan 9		Date	Jan-09	Date	Jan-09				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$10
		Entry	.9877	Entry
		Exit	.9886	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-09	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3120 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3138, with a stop going in at 1.3191. Our down-side targets are 1.3084, 1.3056, and 1.3028, with a further target at 1.2994. Last week's big-time reversal in the EURUSD is in my mind, and while we see a bit of weekly dot-refresh going on I am not finding it all that convincing. I'll set a loose stop on this one and look for lower prices ahead. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/8/13: EURUSD It is pretty amazing to see how effective these methods are. Conservative traders entered one pip below the high of the day and we exceeded our second target by one pip, nailing the low of the day. This is amazing indeed because it is impossible to trade more perfectly, it is the trading equivalent of pitching a no hitter! We bank our winnings and walk away with a smile.
01/07/2013		Entry	1.3120	Entry	1.3138				$1,260
		Exit	1.3056	Exit	1.3056
Jan 7 for Jan 8		Date	Jan-08	Date	Jan-08				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$620
		Entry	1.3138	Entry
		Exit	1.3056	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-08	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 93.19 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 92.99, with a stop going in at 92.02. Our up-side targets are 93.82, 94.44, and 94.91. Impressive strength in crude oils especially in the face of dollar weakness is giving us the moxie to buy into this rally. Very positive long-term market structure combined with tightening supply as the ducks start to line up in a row. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/8/13: @CL Patience rewarded! Our stop held and price went to our first target and we are out at that level. Skillful traders could have gotten a lot more as we came within two ticks of our second target before the market retraced to new lows. Update 1/7/13: @CL Hold long and tighten stop and adjust the target. We're in a profit state and the crude market is showing some strength. No shame in taking a profit here as this is a very volatile market but then again why not tighten the stop considerable and adjust the target and roll the dice? Set atop at 92.99, first target at 93.60, and let the other targets stand at 93.82, 94.44, and 94.81.
01/04/2013		Entry	93.19	Entry	92.99				$1,020
		Exit	93.60	Exit	93.60
Jan 4 for Jan 7		Date	Jan-08	Date	Jan-08				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$610
		Entry	92.99	Entry
		Exit	93.60	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-08	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3041 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3097, with a stop going in at 1.3177. Our down-side targets are 1.3005, 1.2947, and 1.2903. The EURUSD has traced out a significant reversal and we're going with this trade. We may see some retracement to the live dot or 6/5 but it seems clear that lower prices lie ahead. Let's see how it plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/4/13: EURUSD Aggressive traders hit our target and we are out at that level. Not a big win but a win is a win is a win is a win. Rinse and repeat.
01/03/2013		Entry	1.3041	Entry					$360
		Exit	1.3005	Exit
Jan 3 for Jan 4		Date	Jan-04	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1686 better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1684, with a stop going in at 1671. Our up-side targets are 1698, 1706, and 1710. A major market turn-around brings in the new year as global economic sentiment breathes a tired sigh and gives thanks that the heroes of the American Congress once more have pasted another band-aide on the nation's economic wounds. How long this rally might last I cannot say but when major new energy happens we must pay attention. Gold seems to offer one entry point that is possibly better than than that in the @ES, USDJPY, @CL AUDJPY or other symbols we follow. Risks are somewhat high but nevertheless we're in the game to play and not to watch. Technically what we are suggesting tonight is a Sure-Foot trade #1, getting aboard a new C-wave. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/3/13: @GC The only question on the table regarding this trade is if I should shoot myself now or later. Not a pretty picture today. There is no sliver lining except perhaps that in the big picture the track record looks OK. Not today though. We shudder and move on.
01/02/2013		Entry	1686	Entry	1684				($2800)
		Exit	1671	Exit	1671
Jan 2 for Jan 3		Date	Jan-03	Date	Jan-03				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($1300)
		Entry	1684	Entry
		Exit	1671	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-03	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3206 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3243, with a stop going in at 1.3276. Our down-side targets are 1.3180, 1.3155, and 1.3101. A number of markets beckon but the fiscal cliff negotiations are still quite uncertain and should events not come to a quick conclusion here would almost certainly be a sharp reaction. This we take what we deem to be a lower risk but still attractive trade this evening, and look for the national drama to settle down int he coming days. Technically we see congestion in the EURUSD but the daily dots are rolling over, and weekly and monthly dots are swinging. Let's see how this plays out. Happy New Year everyone! Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/2/13: EURUSD This is the kind of day that gives us all gray hair; we were correct in our call except that before we were right we were wrong and so it was all to to no avail. Our only deference is that we did say that the markets were likely to be volatile. After the emotional relief rally based on the fiscal cliff settlement, the markets fell off steadily until our second target was finally reached -- and that without us aboard. Such is life. We take the loss and move on.
01/01/2013		Entry	1.3206	Entry	1,3243				($1,030)
		Exit	1.3276	Exit	1.3276
Jan 1 for Jan 2		Date	Jan-02	Date	Jan-02				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($330)
		Entry	1.3243	Entry
		Exit	1.3276	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-02	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		No Trade tonight in deference to New Year's Eve and the markets around the world that are closed tomorrow. Happy New Year eveyone!		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 12/31/12: NO TRADE
12/31/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Dec 31 for January 1		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 148'120 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 148'290, with a stop going in at 149'130. Our down-side targets are 148'030, 147'160, and 147'030. With the fiscal cliff in sight this is not the most risk-free trader I have ever seen but it may be the best of the lot at the moment. In addition this is the year-end trade and many if not most U.S. traders will not wish to hold positions over the year-end close for tax reasons Nevertheless we see and exhaust pattern in formation: a move up yesterday stopping in further-out resistance and today the nearby holding, and this at the point or higher time period significant resistance,m the weekly PLDot, and the weekly in a down move. SO we give the recommendation a whirl. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/31/12: @US Not a bad out come. We hit our third target and bank the profits at that level, and stand aside. Happy New Year everyone!
12/28/2012		Entry	148'120	Entry					$1,281
		Exit	147'030	Exit
Dec 28 for Dec 31		Date	Dec-31	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1664 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1657, with a stop going in at 1649. Our up-side targets are 1668, 1679, and 1691. Gold shows steady strength here after last week';s big dump and surprisingly enough is in a trend run up technically speaking. The critical resistance lies at the weekly envelope bottom and see we're looking for that to break to the upside. Arguments in favor of that happening are the daily dot turning up, and the nearness of the weekly bar to closing inside the weekly envelope. Fundamentally dollar weakness is helping gold out, and the Washing DC circus is not helping the dollar at all. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/28/12: @GC Given the unpredictable and high-stakes Washington D.C. negotiations going on just now, and given that the gold market is not acting as predicted, we will exit this trade for a small loss and hie to the sidelines for the moment. Sometimes it is just better to keep your head down.
12/27/2012		Entry	1664	Entry	1657				($780)
		Exit	1656.60	Exit	1656.60
Dec 27 for Dec 28		Date	Dec-28	Date	Dec-28				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($40)
		Entry	1657	Entry
		Exit	1656.60	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-28	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1413 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1417, with a stop going in at 1434. Our down-side targets are 1404, 1399, and 1380. The cliff beckons and although our Washington heroes are famous for their last minute deals, last minute in this case means 11:59 p.m. December 31st and until then gloom prevails. Technically we see the daily rolling over, nearby resistance holding at the dot, weekly moving sideways and the monthly showing congestion action. Fun and games everyone, let's see how this plays out. It could get volatile and so watch the flow. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/27/12: @ES This worked out nicely, and price hit our second target with both the conservative and the aggressive traders aboard the trade. We book the profit and are off looking for the nest trade.
12/26/2012		Entry	1413	Entry	1417				$1,600
		Exit	1399	Exit	1399
Dec 26 for Dec 27		Date	Dec-27	Date	Dec-27				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$700
		Entry	1417	Entry
		Exit	1399	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-27	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Note: Tonight's recommendation is the same as last night as there was essentially no market activity for the past 24 hours and the market condition remains the same. Sell EURUSD at 1.3183 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3203, with a stop going in at 1.3263. Our down-side targets are 1.3158, 1.39096, and 1.3059. We expect very light trading over the holiday but if there is significant movement is is likely to be to the downside. Today's retracement was only to the PLDot giving some further credibility to the idea that this market is headed lower. Good trading and Happy Holidays everybody. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/27/12:EURUSD OK This strategy of holding for a better exit did not work and we got stopped out. We take the loss and move on. Update 12/26/12: EURUSD Hold short. The EURUSD is not acting as expected but it looks to me like we can get a better exit tomorrow rather than taking the hit today. Move first target to 1.3177.
12/25/2012		Entry	1.3183	Entry	1.3203				($1,400)
		Exit	1.3263	Exit	1.3263
Dec 25 for Dec 26		Date	Dec-27	Date	Dec-27				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($600)
		Entry	1,3203	Entry
		Exit	1.3263	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-27	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3183 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3203, with a stop going in at 1.3263. Our down-side targets are 1.3158, 1.39096, and 1.3059. We expect very light trading over the holiday but if there is significant movement is is likely to be to the downside. Today's retracement was only to the PLDot giving some further credibility to the idea that this market is headed lower. Good trading and Happy Holidays everybody. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 12/27/12:EURUSD The accounting for this trade is listed on the Dec 226th trade sheet as it was a duplicate trade and so to keep the track record straight this one on Dec 24 is marked as a "No Trade" result. Update 12/26/12: EURUSD Hold short. The EURUSD is not acting as expected but it looks to me like we can get a better exit tomorrow rather than taking the hit today. Move first target to 1.3177. Update 12/25/12: EURUSD We repeat market recommendation for this coming day as there was no significant activity during the holiday. Thus: if short, hold short. If not short, get short per orders above.
12/24/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Dec 24 for Dec 25		Date		Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDJPY at 84,23 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 84.40, with a stop going in at 84.73. Our down-side targets are 83.97, 83.65, and 83.29. I'm seeing a confirmed weekly exhaust pattern in force and the zone-location is highly suggesting of a possible retracement after this long uptrend. Price is flirting with the "Outer Darkness" on the monthly chart and that combined with the exhaust pattern is enough for me to call a modest short tonight. We're selling up in her and look for at least a modest move to the downside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/24/12: USDJPY Not much to say here; the market took off in a sharp rally against us in response to the Japanese Government's comments that they will in no way permit the Yen to strengthen further. We can't always predict outside events and the weekend risk is also a bit higher than otherwise. We take the loss and move on.
12/21/2012		Entry	84.23	Entry	84.40				($979)
		Exit	84.73	Exit	84.73
Dec 21 for Dec 24		Date	Dec-24	Date	Dec-24				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($389)
		Entry	84.40	Entry
		Exit	84.73	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-24	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at .9875 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9860, with a stop going in at .9849. Our up-side targets are .9901, .9928, and .9940. Nice bottoming action in the Loonie; the question under consideration is how much congestion will we see before the uptrend continues, or fails. Weekly dot-swinging is picking up the monthly envelope shift in direction. And the daily chart is playing along very nicely, showing dot push and accelerating momentum. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/21/12: USDCAD Not bad at all, a nice rally carried us to our third target and we are out at that level. The market actually went considerable higher and so nimble traders who watched the flow may have done even better. But for us, we're happy to hit targets and that is the road to success for us. Our only regret is that the conservative trader was not also aboard this trade.
12/20/2012		Entry	.9875	Entry					$654
		Exit	.9940	Exit
Dec 20 for Dec 21		Date	Dec-21	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3220 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3258, with a stop going in at 1.3294. Our down-side targets are 1.3183, 1.3137, and 1.3097. Nothing goes in one direction forever and we've had this long trend up in the EURUSD, only to see the inevitable reaction start today. And why today? Well we'll stick to the technical reasons: we're at monthly resistance and this is causing a weekly exhaust pattern to come into play, and with that the daily is compelled to react, and so it is doing. Let's see how this pays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/21/12: EURUSD OK! Patience rewarded. We rode the down move as anticipated and we hit hit our new second target at 1.3185 and we are out at that level, and standing aside. Not a huge trade but these are volatile and dangerous markets as the government walks along he cliff's edge, and we're thankful to chalk up wins and avoid big losses. Update 12/20/12: EURUSD Sort of a wild day. Our conservative traders were taken out as the stop was exceeded by less than half a pip, but as they are operating under "set it and forget it" rules they had no discretion in the matter and took the hit. Aggressive traders however, seeing that the stop was exceeded buy less than a pip and for less than one minute total, elected to stay in and are holding short for a better exit tomorrow. Move the stop to 1.3284 and set the first target at 1.3200, and the second target at 1.3185.
12/19/2012		Entry	1.3220	Entry	1.3258				$1,080
		Exit	1.3185	Exit	1.3294
Dec 19 for Dec 20		Date	Dec-21	Date	Dec-20				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($360)
		Entry	1.3258	Entry
		Exit	1.3185	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-21	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell AUDJPY at 88.62 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 88.81, with a stop going in at 89.07. Our down-side targets are 88.34, 88.17, and 87.67. After a long up-trend and great strength in the Aussy against the Yen, we finally have some signs of a top, temporary or otherwise. And it comes at a time of some significance, after the actual Japanese election that the market has been anticipating in this move. Buy the rumor, sell the news? We'll find out. Technically the signs are dots swinging, location of price in the zone structure, a seeming move of price form outside to inside, and a weekly and monthly exhaust patterns in place. Watch the flow and see how things play out, but this could get interesting. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/20/12: AUDJPY OK, a good day, holding short was the right thing to do. We hit our second target and are out at that point, banking the winnings. Update 12/19/12: AUDJPY We have hit our first target and so that is good but I say hold for further targets; market looks sick and over-extended and I suspect some more downside. Stop can be moved to 88.50
12/18/2012		Entry	88.62	Entry	88.81				$1,292
		Exit	88.17	Exit	88.17
Dec 18 for Dec 19		Date	Dec-20	Date	Dec-20				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$758
		Entry	88.81	Entry
		Exit	88.17	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-20	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9843 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9857, with a stop going in at .9875. Our down-side targets are .9827, .9819, and .9807. What's going on here? I see continued downward dot pushes in evidence, with the possibility o f C-waves on the daily chart to match that of the weekly. Monthly targets and dare we also mention the quarterly targets are consistent with the theory of this trade as well. Let's see how this plays out. Good trading everybody. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/18/12: USDCAD This market is not acting as expected since we went down but not quite to target and then retraced up to the level of the conservative entry. I am not totally comfortable with this; traders could hold short and set their target at a very near .9844. But for the sake of this program and the official track record I am suggesting an exit at market on open and it goes in the books as that, a very small loss, but a loss nevertheless.
12/17/2012		Entry	.9843	Entry	.9857				($101)
		Exit	.9855	Exit	.9855
Dec 17 for Dec 18		Date	Dec-18	Date	Dec-18				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$20
		Entry	.9857	Entry
		Exit	.9855	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-18	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 86.80 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 86.62, with a stop going in at 85.71. Our up-side targets are 87.07, 87.62, 87.93, and if we get lucky, 88.93. Crude oil is acting like a bottom is hereabouts somewhere... the daily chart is creeping up a bit each day; the tests of weekly resistance are significant but the market nevertheless recovers. On top of this the Mid-East is in shambles, the Chinese economy is showing surprising strength, and the Crude Oil term structure shows bullish signs with contango narrowing. Let's take a shot and getting long in Crude. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/17/12: @CL Excellent trade! Both conservative and aggressive traders were filled and aboard this trade, and the market hit our second target without breaking a sweat. I'm bullish on Crude Oil generally but am very pleased to take these profits and move to the sidelines, and to look for another entry point. We're smiling, and on the way to the bank.
12/14/2012		Entry	86.80	Entry	86.62				$1,820
		Exit	87.62	Exit	87.62
Dec 14 for Dec 17		Date	Dec-17	Date	Dec-17				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,000
		Entry	86.62	Entry
		Exit	87.62	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-17	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 148'020 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 148'090, with a stop going in at 148'270. Our down-side targets are 147'130, 146'310, and 145'150. Fiscal cliff blues coupled with the fed's actions that imply growing inflation threats hint at an environment where the technical signs of daily c-wave down plus weekly rolling over plus monthly congestion action all come together in a downward bias. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/14/12: @US A fielder's choice as to cover now or at Sunday's open and take the loss, or to hold and look for a better exit price close to 148'00 to 148'050, which would place the trade close to a scratch. I am reluctantly advising covering and taking the loss as the 4-hour chart is showing some sustained support and a rising envelope. Those traders who can monitor the trade on Sunday night might wish to delay a bit and see how price acts, and look for a b/e exit. For purposes of our track record here however I am exiting at the closing price and taking the loss.
12/13/2012		Entry	148'020	Entry	148'090				($594)
		Exit	148'130	Exit	148'130
Dec 13 for Dec 14		Date	Dec-14	Date	Dec-14				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($125)
		Entry	148'090	Entry
		Exit	148'130	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-14	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1717.50 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1714, with a stop going in at 1704. Our up-side targets are 1723, 1731, and 1741. Gold is on a run as the dollar falls apart and as is sometimes the case in this very short-term trading plan we are in the position of getting aboard a trend that is already well underway. What gives us a bit of confidence here is the small scale of the reaction to resistance at the weekly dot, the fact of weekly congestion and the resulting target of the weekly envelope top, the steady nature of the daily envelope and dot upward slope, and the close above the envelope top. Not a risk-free trade by any means, but the envelope top target would make it a very nice trade if it turns out we are correct. Good trading everybody. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/13/12: @GC Dead wrong! I could not have been more wrong if I tried. Apparently we got caught in the market volatility associated with the fiscal cliffs talks, or lack of talks, or rumors, or prognostications, or whatever. Fundamentally we have a bullish view on gold and the recent Fed actions seemingly support this view. But it sure didn't happen today. Nothing to do here except to pick ourselves up, dust ourselves off, and set off again to look for the next trade. Keeps on humble for sure. The only tiny ray of light was that the market gapped lower so the entry price was less than it might have been.
12/12/2012		Entry	1712.80	Entry	1712.80				($1,760)
		Exit	1704	Exit	1704
Dec 12 for Dec 13		Date	Dec-13	Date	Dec-13				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($880)
		Entry	1712.80	Entry
		Exit	1704	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-13	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 85.79 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 85.37, with a stop going in at 84.84. Our up-side targets are 86.33, 86.65, and 87.31. What are we seeing? Aside from the term structures turning bullish we see the daily envelope starting to turn, dots swinging, nearby's moving sideways, and the distance between the dot and the nearby is narrowing -- all signs of support starting to hold. On the weekly chart price is at the bottom of congestion and in monthly support. It all adds up to a possible shift to the upside, and that's the way we'll play this. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/12/12: @CL OK not bad at all; aggressive traders hit the third target and are out at that level. Skillful flow-based traders could have done better but we are happy with this result and are out at target, and banking the profits.
12/11/2012		Entry	85.79	Entry					$1,890
		Exit	87.31	Exit
Dec 11 for Dec 12		Date	Dec-12	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9863 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9878, with a stop going in at .9903. Our down-side targets are .9851, .9844, and .9832. We'll climb aboard this ell-established trend, with the theory that the daily envelope bottom will continue to push us own down, backed up by the daily live dot and dot, the weekly dot, and thus fulfilling what we see technically as monthly congestion heading toward the lower confines of congestion. Of course these days we can expect all kinds of volatility due to the wizards of Washington, so it's anybody's guess. Still we'll play this game. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/12/12: USDCCAD Very Nice! Our patience was rewarded as the market broke and we reached our third target. More money in the bank! Both aggressive and conservative traders participated in this win. Update 12/11/12: USDCAD Hold short. Move stop to .9885. We're at about a scratch now yet the envelope slope is still strongly down. Let's reduce risk by moving the stop and hold short for targets.
12/10/2012		Entry	.9863	Entry	.9878				$782
		Exit	.9832	Exit	.9832
Dec 10 for Dec 11		Date	Dec-12	Date	Dec-12				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$467
		Entry	.9878	Entry
		Exit	.9832	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-12	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9894 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9904, with a stop going in at .9932. Our down-side targets are .9873, .9863, and .9830. We're seeing momentum pick up as we move under the monthly, weekly,and daily PLdots, and it seems downside targets lie dead ahead. We are in some support levels and though these seem weak there may be some retracement before heading on down again. Let's see how this plays out. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 12/10/12: USDCAD No trade today as he market gapped over our entry point and never looked back. We had the direction right, indeed we were spot on, and price reached our targets, but to no avail since we never got the chance to get aboard. This is a rarity in today's 24-hour markets when we can almost always hit our entry when it is identical or near to the prior close, but this time the extended weekend hiatus gave the USDCAD Forex market a chance to move significantly while trading was closed. On we go to the next trade.
12/07/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Dec 7 for Dec 10		Date		Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1701 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1693, with a stop going in at 1682. Our up-side targets are 1707, 1713, and 1721. We are bullish on Gold here. Our rationale? Outside-inside on the daily, at the bottom of weekly congestion and in weekly and monthly support. One note of caution however; tomorrow is the volatile non-farms payroll employment report and things could be wild around 8:30 ET. Monitor the flow and keep in mind that large moves can happen in an instant and reverse just as fast as the market digests the numbers. Let's see how it plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/10/12: @GC Patience rewarded! Excellent results. There is likely more in this trade for those who wish to stay aboard but for our demonstration purposes here we are out at the second target and looking for another trade. Update 12/7/12: @GC Hold for targets. A wild day as predicted, coming within two dollars of our stop and within ten cents of our target. Certainly many who were monitoring the market did exit at or near that high point. Those so inclined could exit at the open but I suggest holding for at least the first target, and further wins are quite within the realm of possibilities. Stop could be moved to 1697, which is essentially a break-even for the aggressive trader.
12/06/2012		Entry	1701	Entry	1693				$3,200
		Exit	1713	Exit	1713
Dec 6 for Dec 7		Date	Dec-10	Date	Dec-10				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$2,000
		Entry	1693	Entry
		Exit	1713	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-10	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3067 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3093, with a stop going in at 1.3150. Our down-side targets are 1.3045, 1.3019, and 1.2978. Our interest here is prompted by zone location (as in nose-bleed territory) and dot-swinging, a lethal combination in our book. And added to that we see price reacting to the monthly 6/1 down and envelope top, and weekly playing along with the game. We'll give this a whirl. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/6/12: EURUSD Bingo! Our forecast was on the money and we hit the third target and are out at that level. Those traders who were watching the trade got even more. For our track record purposes we take profits at the third target and stand aside while we look for the next trade.
12/05/2012		Entry	1.3067	Entry					$890
		Exit	1.2978	Exit
Dec 5 for Dec 6		Date	Dec-06	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 88.41 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 89.02, with a stop going in at 89.99. Our down-side targets are 88.09, 87.99, and 86.73. Seems like a large-scale congestion is playing out. We look for the weekly dot to break, the monthly envelope bottom to be tested, and the daily to continue its rolling over pattern. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/5/12: @CL No arguments here, the market acted just as we thought it would and we picked off our second target for both aggressive and conservative traders. Those who monitored the market closely could have done even better. We book a good profit and are off looking for the next trade.
12/04/2012		Entry	88.41	Entry	89.02				$1,450
		Exit	87.99	Exit	87.99
Dec 4 for Dec 5		Date	Dec-05	Date	Dec-05				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,030
		Entry	89.02	Entry
		Exit	87.99	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1406 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1411, with a stop going in at 1425. Our down-side targets are 1400, 1392, and 1383. The E-Mini took a good run at new highs but failed sharply right at the point where weekly resistance kicked in. A clear sign, and those who were monitoring the trade intraday had a great trade location. Now we play the continuation. Strutting displays of blustering dominance among the Washington fiscal cliff players virtually guarantee market volatility in the coming days, so stay alert. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/5/12: @ES Patience rewarded! This worked out nicely as we hit our target on day two. Both conservative and aggressive traders made out on this one. Update 12/4/12: @ES Hold short or target. We have, we believe,the right direction, it is just that the market has not gathered a head of steam toward the downside yet. Targets remain the same and move the stop down to 1415.
12/03/2012		Entry	1406	Entry	1411				$850
		Exit	1400	Exit	1400
Dec 3 for Dec 4		Date	Dec-05	Date	Dec-05				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$550
		Entry	1411	Entry
		Exit	1400	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2981 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2991, with a stop going in at 1.3046. Our down-side targets are 1.2958, 1.2936, and 1.2906. An exhaust pattern into weekly resistance and monthly envelope top, with weekly resistance holding? That's a trade we like, and all the more so since the fundamentally seem to support the trade. Let's see how it all plays out. Good trading everybody. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/3/12: EURUSD No joy on this trade. Mr. Market had a distinctly different view of the world than we did last Friday, and so we take our lumps and move on. Can't win 'em all.
11/30/2012		Entry	1.2981	Entry	1.2991				($1200)
		Exit	1.3046	Exit	1.3046
Nov 30 for Dec 3		Date	Dec-03	Date	Dec-03				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($550)
		Entry	1.2991	Entry
		Exit	1.3046	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Dec-03	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 87.70 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 87.40, with a stop going in at 85.56. Our up-side targets are 88.71, 89.77, and 90.15. The story here: Moving from outside he monthly envelope to inside, and with the weekly and daily PLDots offering support; we're looking at a move up to the live monthly PLDot and possibly much higher. Crude Oil is a monster of a contract but nothing ventures nothing gained. Watch your fingers and toes on this one. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/30/12: @CL This worked out nicely although our conservative traders just missed getting filled. There is more upside in this trade but given that our next target is so far away and some congestion chop is a possibility we are taking profits here at first target and looking for another trade.
11/29/2012		Entry	87.70	Entry					$990
		Exit	88.71	Exit
Nov 29 for Nov 30		Date	Nov-30	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 85.97 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 85.76, with a stop going in at 85.41. Our up-side targets are 86.24, 86.46, and 86.82. We see this striking bull move in the Australian dollar continuing. Why? Aside from the glimmers of economic strength leaking out from China we see the technical signs of strength in the monthly and weekly C-Waves, and the strong rejection of support on the daily chart. Higher prices lie ahead, and the only question it seems to me is how much congestion we will see before that occurs. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/30/12: AUDJPY As anticipated we were able to exit at our new target and thus ease out of the trade with a small win. There will be more upside ahead but first some congestion is likely. Update 11/29/12: AUDJPY Hold for target or better exit tomorrow. At the close we are very slightly underwater but have not hit our stop. My vote goes toward holding this position with an eye towards exiting at a scratch tomorrow. Move the first target to 85.90 and move the stop to 85.35 and let's see what develops. The market is not following my forecast here but I think we can manage the trade so we don't get hurt. No guarantees, but that's my play for tonight.
11/28/2012		Entry	85.97	Entry	85.76				$206
		Exit	85.90	Exit	85.90
Nov 28 for Nov 29		Date	Nov-30	Date	Nov-30				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$291
		Entry	85.76	Entry
		Exit	85.90	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Nov-30	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2943 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2980, with a stop going in at 1.3012. Our down-side targets are 1.2908, 1.2890, and 1.2866. In theory there is an agreement in Europe between the various parties, the lenders and the borrowers. Buy if so, why not a bigger rally? Instead we see the rally failing, and so we take that as a sign to sell. Technically we are in a termination area on the daily and the weekly, and the test will be to see if the daily ETop holds, in which case we are wrong and a weekly c-wave will be confirmed. But somehow I think that is not the case, and that is our trade idea for today. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/28/12: EURUSD We called the direction correctly and aggressive traders reached our second target before retracing, and so we are out at that level. We bank the profit and are off looking for another trade. Conservative traders were not filled.
11/27/2012		Entry	1.2943	Entry					$530
		Exit	1.2890	Exit
Nov 27 for Nov 28		Date	Nov-28	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9926 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9945, with a stop going in at .9971. Our down-side targets are .9917, .9904, and .9885. With the huge moves of Friday there are a number of over-extended markets and we're standing aside from them for the moment, but the Loonie is interesting as the dollar weakness still shows a lot of room to the downside before reaching monthly and weekly targets. So we'll give this a whirl. Technically we see the strongly-sloped daily envelope foreshadowing the weekly envelope bottom breaking. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/27/12: USDCAD This is essentially a scratch trade, though it goes in the win column. We narrowly missed the second target that would have made the day a bit brighter but in the end we did not achieve that by a matter of a single pip. Conservative traders were not filled as the entry order was cancelled after the target was reached.
11/26/2012		Entry	.9926	Entry					$91
		Exit	.9917	Exit
Nov 26 for Nov 27		Date	Nov-27	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 88.25 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 88.78, with a stop going in at 89.25. Our downside targets are 87.54, 86.65, and 85.70. Our rationale for the trade: the dog that did not bark. Dollar weakness across the board yesterday gave rise to huge rallies in GC, ES, and the currencies; Crude rallied but that that much. Why not? Methinks the lessening of Mid-East tensions plus the abundance of supply are holding Crude down, and with as th4e dollar rally modulates I suspect we will see more downside. Technically we see the daily rolling over nicely and price posed to move inside the weekly envelope. I suspect weekly congestion action trading is in store. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/26/12: @CL The day played out pretty much as expected although we did not get as low as the second target and will content ourselves with the first target. Conservative traders did not get filled unfortunately, but we aggressive traders book the profits and happily move forward.
11/23/2012		Entry	88.25	Entry					$710
		Exit	87.54	Exit
Nov 23 for Nov 26		Date	Nov-26	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @GC at 1730 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1732, with a stop going in at 1733. Our downside targets are 1727, 1725, and 1723. This is a bet on the weekly dot-refresh, filling out the geometry on the weekly chart. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/23/12:@GC The market certainly had a big breakout move today; we had the initial direction right and came within 60 cents of our first target but in the end this was a day where it was glad we had tight stops in place, so the loss was not great. Dollar weakness across the board blew our trade concept out of the water. We take our loss and move on.
11/22/2012		Entry	1730	Entry	1732				($400)
		Exit	1733	Exit	1733
Nov 22 for Nov 23		Date	Nov-23	Date	Nov-23				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($100)
		Entry	1732	Entry
		Exit	1733	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Nov-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2813 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2802, with a stop going in at 1.2755. Our up-side targets are 1.2855, 1.2880, and 1.2900. This is the US holiday Thanksgiving eve, our Turkey Day is tomorrow and so the US markets are closed or reduced schedule, thus we look to the Forex trade of EURUSD. The Forex market never sleeps, never takes a holiday, and is the deepest and largest market on the planet. Volume will be lower but the Euro is showing strength and now with the Mid-East cease-fire in place we expect this strength to continue as the risk-on profile returns to the market. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 11/22/12: EURUSD Unfortunately I set the entry a bit low in an attempt to limit risks; this turned out to be a trading error; although we had the direction and targets right, we missed the trade. The lesson learned is one we find ourselves re-learning from time to time: trying to avoid risk frequently has the opposite effect. The good news is that our directional analysis was correct,
11/21/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Nov 21 for Nov 22		Date		Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9970 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9981, with a stop going in at 1.0011. Our down-side targets are .9953, .9935, and .9899. We have a nice pattern of a HTP resistance being hit, and driving the market on down, and then testing new lower resistance, and now, we believe, continuing lower. Note the multiple time-frame PLdot pushes to the downside. We like this pattern and will give it a shot. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/22/12: USDCAD Aggressive traders exited on a dip tothe target area. We did miss the actual target by one pip but aggressive traders, who do have the ability to monitor and make some judgments about the market took this move as a good-enough move and exited a few pips above target. Conservative traders did not get out there since they have no discretion and I am calling for an exit at market Update 11/21/12: USDCAD Fielder's choice but I would hold short for target. We're below the dots, envelope slope is strongly down, and the target is not all that far away. Move stop down to .9994. Those who choose to exit are of course not wrong, but I am holding short.
11/20/2012		Entry	.9970	Entry	.9981				$412
		Exit	.9955	Exit	.9969
Nov 20 for Nov 21		Date	Nov-22	Date	Nov-22				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$120
		Entry	.9981	Entry
		Exit	.9955	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Nov-22	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 151'140 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 151'240, with a stop going in at 152'140. Our down-side targets are 151'030, 150'200, and 149'240. We have a weekly exhaust in the process of playing out, with the possible target of the weekly PLDot or lower. The patterns are setting up rather nicely and so we'll give this a shot. The strong risk-on moves across the board should also be supportive. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/20/12: @US Not at all bad; our aggressive traders hit he second target and more. For our track record purposes we take our exit at the second target level but there is more in this trade and those who were monitoring the action are likely still aboard. We like the trade and bonds have a loooong way to go on the downside. The only question is, it their the time for a major short or not? For our part we take the profit and are out. In due course, perhaps even next year, we will see the downside flood in the US debt market in a major way. One of these days . . .
11/19/2012		Entry	151'140	Entry					$687
		Exit	150'200	Exit
Nov 19 for Nov 20		Date	Nov-20	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0008 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0018, with a stop going in at 1.0049. Our down-side targets are .9986, .9957, and .9940. Dots rolling over nicely, Weekly exhaust holding and confirmed, zone structure supports to concept of a down-move, in Monthly resistance at the point of quarterly PLDot, which itself is moving down. All in all I'm interested in the short side here. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/19/12: USDCAD Nice move in our direction, and the only bad thing is that he conservative trader just missed getting filled. Nevertheless any win is a plus and so we're smiling. We bank the profit and go out looking for another trade.
11/16/2012		Entry	1.0008	Entry					$512
		Exit	.9957	Exit
Nov 16 for Nov 19		Date	Nov-19	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2777 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2758, with a stop going in at 1.2723. Our up-side targets are 1.2808, 1.2865, and 1.2898. Who would have thought that with blood in the streets all over Europe that we would be buying the Euro, and yet here we are. Seems that the threat of cliff-diving in the US trumps a general strike in Europe. Technically we see strong envelope slopes on the daily and monthly driving things upward, and the weekly dot-refresh is helping it along. I like the zone structure on this chart as well. Let's see how it plays. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/16/12: EURUSD Another day when the market was not taking my advice. Price flat went against us. Our aggressive traders monitored the way things were developing and exited after multiple bars of adverse flow as price cut through the Daily PLDot; conservative traders who have no such discretion took their exit at the pre-set stop. We take the loss and look for another trade.
11/15/2012		Entry	1.2777	Entry	1.2758				($670)
		Exit	1.2734	Exit	1.2723
Nov 15 for Nov 16		Date	Nov-16	Date	Nov-16				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($350)
		Entry	1.2758	Entry
		Exit	1.2734	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Nov-16	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0036 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0017, with a stop going in at 1.0002. Our up-side targets are 1.0048, 1.0065, AND 1.0102. Dollar strength across the board, and this time the fight-to-quality is not looking so fondly on the Yen. Worries find many targets, in the Mid-East, in Europe, and here at home, where cliff-walking is becoming the norm. Technically we see a continuing trend now turning into a daily, weekly, monthly c-wave to the upside. If the breaking of he quarterly PLDot standing, this will also add to the upside pressure. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/15/12: USDCAD The market evidently did not get my memo and did the exact opposite of what I had anticipated. Nothing to do here but exit at market and take our loss and look for another trade another day. We take as our exit price the close of the day, though traders getting this forecast after five might get a slightly better exit as the new session opens immediately in the FOREX.
11/14/2012		Entry	1.0036	Entry	1.0017				($370)
		Exit	1.0008	Exit	1.0008
Nov 14 for Nov 15		Date	Nov-15	Date	Nov-15				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($90)
		Entry	1.0017	Entry
		Exit	1.0008	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Nov-15	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 82.86 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 82.70, with a stop going in at 82.21. Our up-side targets are 83.11, 83.52, and 83.97. We see a slow swing of the multi-time period PLDots here, with price currently on the topside of four time period PLDots, all prepared to support a push to the upside. There's a bit of a tussle going on between the day and the weekly geometry at the moment but odds on this will resolve to the upside. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/14/12: AUDJPY Not bad. Our aggressive traders were filed and took off nicely. There is doubtless more in this trade to the upside and so those interested in a longer term might consider staying aboard but for our purposes here we are out at the second target and booking a good profit.
11/13/2012		Entry	82.86	Entry					$822
		Exit	83.52	Exit
Nov 13 for Nov 14		Date	Nov-14	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1378 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1373, with a stop going in at 1366. Our up-side targets are 1383, 1391, and 1398. A low-volume day on Monday and a potential lift-off on Tuesday is the way we are reading things at the moment. The reasoning? Technically we're seeing outside-inside on the daily, nearby's rising, dot-swinging/rolling over, and a potential weekly and monthly exhaust in play. Fundamentally we're seeing a few small encouraging signs that the country might find a way past the "Fiscal Cliff" crisis and move forward into a new period of slow growth. And then also we see China not doing as badly as feared. We'll give this trade a whirl and see how we come out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/13/12: @ES A split decision today. Aggressive traders were filled and held long through a "poke" stop (only a minute or two on the other side of the stop price does not qualify as a stop fill for the aggressive trader). Our conservative traders, who have no such discretion, were unfortunately stopped out. Price thereafter proceeded to the first target and we are out at that level. Thus aggressive traders win, conservative traders booked a small loss.
11/12/2012		Entry	1378	Entry	1373				$750
		Exit	1383	Exit	1366
Nov 12 for Nov 13		Date	Nov-13	Date	Nov-13				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($350)
		Entry	1373	Entry
		Exit	1383	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Nov-13	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 82.51 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 82.15, with a stop going in at 81.88. Our up-side targets are 82.87, 83.35, and 83.90. The main reasoning here is that we have an exhaust pattern that is moving into a significant locus of Higher Time Period support, and that is something we like to fade. Fundamentally the Yen strength is a flight-to-quality move that perhaps is running out of steam. Indeed if it were up to me I'd call it a flight-to-poor-quality move but then again the Bank of Japan is not taking my calls these days. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/12/12: AUDJPY Aggressive traders were filled and hit our first target in low volume U.S. holiday trading; this market shows upside potential and those who wish to stay in might find better prices on tap for tomorrow but for the purposes of our trading program here we are out at the first target. Off to seek another trade....
11/09/2012		Entry	82.51	Entry					$453
		Exit	82.87	Exit
Nov 9 for Nov 12		Date	Nov-12	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1375 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1383, with a stop going in at 1402. Our down-side targets are 1367, 1362, and 1359, and finally 1354. Big-time moves to the downside already in play, and the question is, is it overdone? Given the massive public involvement in the national domestic political conversation just ended, the thinking here is that these very large re-adjustments are not yet complete. In any case that is our trade for tonight. Technically we see an exhaust in play that will be complete if support at 1361 holds, if not then exhaust still in operation. We note the quarterly PLDot refresh in progress and the multiple time period PLDots pushing down to nudge this along. Video Bonus Trade: We were pretty impressed with the strength int eh @US symbol today, and would be willing to take a flyer at a dot-refresh/exhaust move short if price gets up to a higher level of some significance. Bonus-trade guidelines would be for aggressive traders to sell at 151'280 and (conservative traders) at 152'120, with a stop above the resistance at 152'180. Our first downside target of significance would be 150'240, and then 150'020.		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/9/12: @ES This worked out and although we did not get to the second target before the market reversed nor did the conservative trader get filled before the target was hit, thus cancelling the entry order, our basic analysis was just fine and we walk away from this volatile day with a profit. Those traders still aboard should exit at the end of the day or on the opening Sunday. But as for us, we're on the sidelines and counting up the winnings. Update 11/9/12: @US Bonus Trade Aggressive traders were filled and awaiting target; I am not so all-fired, thousand-percent confident in this trade going forward and thus advise taking our small win and standing aside. We'll take today's close as our exit price and those still aboard should consider exiting on Sunday's open. This bonus trade is essentially a scratch.
11/08/2012		Entry	1375	Entry					$550
		Exit	1367	Exit
Nov 8 for Nov 9		Date	Nov-09	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	151-280
		Exit		Exit	151-240				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Nov-09				$125
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1717 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1707, with a stop going in at 1699. Our up-side targets are 1731, 1743, and 1760. Gold is functioning as a currency here, and as a flight-to-quality haven or so it seems. Will this continue? Opinions differ but we have some technicals on our side in the daily envelope rolling up, the weekly PLDot in a supportive role with the weekly live dot swinging, and the monthly Dot just coming into play as support. Big moves in the last few days have expanded he geometry so that rational stop levels are reasonably distant, and so if you take this trade plan on monitoring the market and applying flow-based stops if required. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/8/12: @GC This worked out well for aggressive traders. We hit our first target and are out at that level. It would not surprise me to see much higher prices ahead but for our purposes here we are out, booking the profit, and are off looking for another trade.
11/07/2012		Entry	1717	Entry					$1,400
		Exit	1731	Exit
Nov 7 for Nov 8		Date	Nov-08	Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9919 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9938, with a stop going in at .9975. Our down-side targets are .9905, .9884, and .9855. The election or post-election move is underway in a number of commodities and financial symbols, and we pick the USDCAD for several reasons: the move has started but has some way yet to go, the underlying fundamentals play into the hard-asset theme of today's market, and the technicals are setting up as we like them. We see a weekly and monthly dot refresh, and on the weekly has broken through the PLDot and is moving further south. Our ultimate target would be the monthly PLDot. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/7/12: USDCAD Aggressive traders were filled and conservative trader missed their entry by a mere two pips. We hit our second downside target and are out at that level. Price was on its way to the third target when the election returns became clear and the market reacted sharply to the Obama win, with a flight-to-quality, risk-off U.S. dollar rally. Similar sharp moves occurred also in Crude Oil, Gold, and the S&P. The Japanese Yen also benefited from the risk-off move. All in all we're happy with the modest win and are very happy indeed to have the election behind us and are no longer forced to listen to the incessant political advertising. On we go to the next trade.
11/06/2012		Entry	.9919	Entry					$351
		Exit	.9854	Exit
Nov 6 for Nov 7		Date	Nov-07	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 80.28 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 80.13, with a stop going in at 79.92. Our up-side targets are 80.48, 80.77, and 80.98. I am sure we're all totally sick of election talk and I for one will be very glad to have this in the past. The outcome is murky and this is clouding all possible trades. Conventional wisdom says a Romney win is better for equities and risk-on trades and an Obama win might be the reverse, with bonds on the rise. We'll go with the USDJPY as a trade with as little on the line as possible. Technically I see higher prices ahead, and we have tight stop and tight targets given the current uncertainty. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/6/12:USDJPY Exit at the close or at the evening session open. The day played out pretty much as expected although we did not come quite to target, missing it by five pips. Given that we are in profit for both aggressive and conservative traders, and that we are in the unusual high-anxiety state of election night and with the outcome uncertain, I say we exit on close or upon the evening open for a small profit and call it a day. We take the closing price as our exit point. Those who wish to play around could hold for target and probably be OK, but I want to clear the decks here for the next trade and so we are moving to the sidelines.
11/05/2012		Entry	80.28	Entry	80.13				$361
		Exit	80.35	Exit	80.35
Nov 5 for Nov 6		Date	Nov-06	Date	Nov-06				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$274
		Entry	80.13	Entry
		Exit	80.35	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Nov-06	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 148'180 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 148'310, with a stop going in at 149'140. Our down-side targets are 147'310, 147'080, and 146'060. Quite a wild market in these days of economic reports, news of gas shortages and rising frustrations in New York, and of course, THE ELECTION!! Hang on tight. Despite the volatility of the employment report on Friday, the 30-year T-Bond dot-refresh pattern is intact and technically we see a lot of indications that lower prices lie directly ahead. I see the daily envelope rolling over nicely, a monthly dot-push down, weekly cycling with the next move down, and a quarterly dot-refresh in progress. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/5/12: @US Unfortunately we have hit our stop and are out at that level with a loss. We didn't anticipate bonds being this strong and the answer most likely lies in a pro-Obama lean to the impending election predictions. Most think the election is too close to call but the polls have the tiniest (and meaningless) tilt towards an Obama win, and this seems to account for the market bias today. Such is life. On we go to look for another trade.
11/02/2012		Entry	148'180	Entry	148'310				($1347)
		Exit	149'140	Exit	149'140
Nov 2 for Nov 5		Date	Nov-05	Date	Nov-05				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($469)
		Entry	148'310	Entry
		Exit	149'14	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Nov-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9965 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9984, with a stop going in at 1.0020. Our down-side targets are ,9946, .9937, and .9908. U.S. Dollar weakness and Canadian Dollar strength is what I a seeing, and this fits with a correlated move in Crude Oil, Gold, and the E-mini, hard asset-oriented symbols all. Technically we see the daily envelope rolling over nicely, and price is well on he way to a weekly and monthly dot-refresh. Note the weekly 5/9 as well, which capped the up-move. Let's see how this plays out. Note the big non-farm payrolls report at 8:30 a.m. ET tomorrow morning, and so monitoring is essential. Be alert. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/2/12: USDCAD Both aggressive traders and conservative traders were filled (the latter by the barest of margins, but we did hit the entry price), and have hit the second target before retracing. We're out at .9937 second target price.
11/01/2012		Entry	.9965	Entry	.9984				$753
		Exit	.9937	Exit	.9937
Nov 1 for Nov 2		Date	Nov-02	Date	Nov-02				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$472
		Entry	.9984	Entry
		Exit	.9937	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Nov-02	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 82.75 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 82.61, with a stop going in at 82.04. Our up-side targets are 82.98, 83.20, and 83.88. The Japanese government has played its card of currency easing, and the market is taking note. Although the degree of easing was less than most anticipated, still it sets a bullish tone for the AUD and USD and a bearish tone for the JPY...or so we think. Technically we see a weekly C-wave continuing and a quarterly and monthly dot supporting it. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/1/12: AUDJPY Aggressive traders were filled and hit the second target and we are out at that level. Those who are interested in this trade could well stay aboard, and if so then consider setting a target at 83.72 just shy of the 5/2. However we are in for a good time not a long time and are happy to stand aside with a profit and look for another trade.
10/31/2012		Entry	82.72	Entry					$561
		Exit	83.20	Exit
Oct 31 for Nov 1		Date	Nov-01	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2958 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2937, with a stop going in at 1.2863. Our up-side targets are 1.2990, 1.3016, and 1.3062. Technically we have a straight-forward congestion action pattern on the weekly, with a target of the weekly envelope top. Now that the drama of the great "Sandy" storm of 2012 is passing and everyone is giving a collective sigh of relief, we're back to watching for good technical patterns and major shifts in momentum. Let's see how we do here. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/31/12: EURUSD Aggressive traders hit the second target and are out at that level with a win. Conservative traders were not filled.
10/30/2012		Entry	1.2958	Entry					$560
		Exit	1.3016	Exit
Oct 30 for Oct 31		Date	Oct-31	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		No Trade for tonight. Although the forex markets are still open the volume is markedly reduced and we bow to reality and stand aside until the markets are open again. We should be back in business tomorrow evening. Stay tuned.		NoTrade	Aggressive
10/29/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Oct 29 for Oct 30		Date		Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1407 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1402, with a stop going in at 1396. Our up-side targets are 1413, 1418, and 1424. We've had a string of bad-news days with earnings disappointments and the like, but in the end the result has only been to drive the monthly chart down to anticipated support levels, at the monthly PLDot and 6/5 up. We saw the weekly 1-1 low hold, and the daily exhaust patterns to the downside hold, and the nearbys move sideways, daily envelope swinging nicely and the natural and expected outside-inside move completed. So: we're buyers. Let's see how this plays out. Video BONUS TRADE: Take a look at Crude Oil: Crude is a big contract and can move breathtakingly fast but there is an interesting bottoming formation falling into place. Aggressive traders might buy at 85.70, conservative traders at 85.40, and a stop at 84.63. Targets are 86.70, 87.34, and 88.30. Watch the flow and be nimble if you trade this contract, but I like the structure here.		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/31/12: Patience rewarded. Our aggressive traders hit the second target and are out at that level with a good solid win. Update 10/31/12: @CL Bonus TradeOur @CL trade worked out nicely. Aggressive traders aboard at 85.70 and adding a second contract when conservative traders were filled at 85.40. Both are out at the first target of 86.70 Aggressive traders win $3,580 and conservatives $1,940. Crude Oil is a big, fast-moving contract but on the other hand the wins can be very profitable! Update 10/30/12:@ES A Mixed result: our conservative traders were filled but hit the stop in those few moments of high anxiety just after Oct 30 day started. Our aggressive traders who recognize this as a "poke" though stop level and have discretion to take action or no, held tight and stayed long, or if they took the stop they re-entered very shortly thereafter when the market condition was clear. Current recommendation: hold long for first target at 1413. Update 10/29/12: @ES Under the highly unusual circumstances of the "storm of the century", the markets have closed for Monday and Tuesday. Our traders are aboard this trade and we will have to wait until the storm asses and trading resumes before we can take action. Thus far support has held but the effect of the storm is anyone's guess. Stay tuned.
10/26/2012		Entry	1407	Entry	1402				$1,350
		Exit	1418	Exit	1396
Oct 26 for Oct 29		Date	Oct-31	Date	Oct-30				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($300)
		Entry	1402	Entry	85.70 85.40
		Exit	1418	Exit	87.34				Directional/Bonus
		Date	Oct-31	Date	Oct-31				$3,580
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2932 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2962, with a stop going in at 1.3033. Our down-side targets are 1.2903, 1.2879, and 1.2856. Dollar strength is back with us all over the place, and the Euro -- well, let's just say the drama continues on the other side of the pond. The downward sloping daily envelope combined with a horizontal weekly envelope does not lead me to give a lot of credence to the idea of the monthly c-wave holding up. We'll see shortly if this is correct. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/26/12: EURUSD Aggressive traders were filled and hit our first target; we are out at that level. We almost got to the second target, and so some of you may have seen that and done a bit better than we did, but given our parameters here we're out at target number one with a profit and will smile all the way to the bank. Except for not quite reaching that second target, the day played out pretty much as we expected.
10/25/2012		Entry	1.2932	Entry					$290
		Exit	1.2903	Exit
Oct 25 for Oct 26		Date	Oct-26	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 147'150 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 147'270, with a stop going in at 148'190. Our down-side targets are 147'020, 146'070, and 145'300. What I see are a few days of anemic rally during which we cannot break nearby resistance and in the meantime the weekly PLDot is catching up with the daily to force a further down move. At the very least this market does not want to go up, or if it does it comes right back off of the attempted rally. I'm bearish. Let's see how this plays out. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 10/25/12: @US No trade as our entries were not triggered -- and it's all my fault. Apologies to all. The CME has a rather eccentric way of posting the day's close and this can be very deceptive. Last night I came straight from the dentist to the office to do the evening post just after 5:00 p.m. and neglected to check the intraday action before writing, and thus fell into the trap. The movie explains how this works: Video
10/24/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Oct 24 for Oct 25		Date		Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9923 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9947, with a stop going in at .9971. Our down-side targets are .9894, .9875, and .9842. Yes I know we've had this nice rally going on for a few days but nothing lasts forever, right? And look at the DG technicals a-building: Dots swinging and a nice daily rollover for starters, but where is this occurring? At weekly resistance, and most notably at the monthly PLDot -- and we have hit a monthly 5/9 down. This is not something that we take lightly, and so taken all together we call this an exhaust into an HTP significant level, and are thus heading down for a bit. Are we correct? We'll find out very very soon. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/24/12: USDCAD Our aggressive traders were filled and price moved to the first target, and we are out at that level. Late in the day we saw price move to new highs but once our target is hit further entries are invalidated, and so the conservative traders are not in the market today. A small win but any win is good and so we're happy.
10/23/2012		Entry	.9923	Entry					$291
		Exit	.9894	Exit
Oct 23 for Oct 24		Date	Oct-24	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3060 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3078, with a stop going in at 1.3111. Our down-side targets are 1.3023, 1.2983, and 1.2958. A big dollar rally is underway a the same time that the rating agencies are dumping all over the European regional entities again. Surely the fundamental odds are in favor of the bears. Technically we see the daily envelope rolling over nicely, a weekly dot-refresh underway, pretty good zone-structure location and a possible monthly exhaust in progress. All things considered I am a seller here. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/23/12: EURUSD Aggressive traders were filled and we hit our third target and are out with a good profit. Our conservative entry, though not quite triggered, was within four pips of the day's high, and the low of the day was a mere seven pips from our targeted exit, and so we essentially called the range of the day. Hard to do better than that, and so we smile and move on to the next trade.
10/22/2012		Entry	1.3060	Entry					$1,020
		Exit	1.2958	Exit
Oct 22 for Oct 23		Date	Oct-23	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 79.30 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 79.17, with a stop going in at 78.89. Our up-side targets are 79.43, 79.65, and 79.80. This move of dollar-strength/yen-weakness seems to have some legs technically speaking, and fundamentally we may be seeing the Japanese Central Bank and the Japanese government start their long-awaited currency intervention in the coming week. Certainly that country could benefit from a weaker yen and the powerful industrialists there know this full well. Technically we are leaning on the strong upward slope of the daily envelope, the supporting weakly envelope, and the fact that we did not see a break after Thursday's strong move up. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/22/12: USDJPY Our aggressive traders were filled and the USDJPY strong rally hit the third target and as I write is moving higher yet, possibly breaking the daily 5/9, which would be a sign of true strength indeed. Those with a longer-term horizon should consider holding for HTP targets: 80.46 would be one good guess as it is the monthly/9 and in the neighborhood of tomorrow's 5/2 down. (A possible reset to longs at the daily 6/5 tomorrow might also come into play.) We did hit the quarterly PLDot today but the acute nature of the daily envelope slope and weekly envelope slope do argue for higher prices ahead in the coming weeks. In our short-term model here however we are out at our third daily target and looking for another trade.
10/19/2012		Entry	79.30	Entry					$626
		Exit	79.80	Exit
Oct 19 for Oct 22		Date	Oct-22	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3066 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3104, with a stop going in at 1.3124. Our down-side targets are 1.3043, 1.3012, and 1.2984. Dollar strength across the board coupled with ongoing "discussions" among the Europeans paints the Geo-political picture and technically we have an exhaust pattern on the monthly and daily coupled with dots swinging and the envelope rolling over on the daily. Let's see how this plays out. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/19/12: EURUSD Aggressive traders got short and hit our second target; we're out with a satisfactory profit. (Actually price was a half-pip shy of the target but because this is an aggressive trader where some discretion is applied we took the exit just above the stated target.) There is likely more downside in this trade however and those traders so inclined could reset the target to 1.2980 (just above tomorrow's 5/2 up) and reset the stop to protect some of the paper profits and let the move play out. No guarantees of course but it looks like a reasonable play.
10/18/2012		Entry	1.3066	Entry					$530
		Exit	1.3013	Exit
Oct 18 for Oct 19		Date	Oct-19	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1751 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1746, with a stop going in at 1734. Our up-side targets are 1759, 1763.50, and 1769. Gold is starting to look good to me once more. Technically we have a weekly dot-refresh under way and we're looking to get aboard that move, which is also a monthly C-wave to the upside. Not to mention the dollar weakness of today, which should be supportive moving forward. Let's see how we do here. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 10/18/12:@GC Not a happy camper on this one. We exit at the close. Aggressive traders could have exited based on flow during the day but to be consistent we look for three bars of hourly adverse flow and the structure of the market with such a large distance to support before the conservative entry occurred didn't leave much room for flow-based protection using this rule. Brave souls could hold long and move the target to break-even and likely exit at a better price tomorrow but for our purposes here we'll take the hit and move on. In the big picture the loss is insignificant but on the day-to-day battlefield this is a rather unpleasant trade.
10/17/2012		Entry	1751	Entry	1746				($1160)
		Exit	1742.70	Exit	1742.70
Oct 17 for Oct 18		Date	Oct-18	Date	Oct-18				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($330)
		Entry	1746	Entry
		Exit	1742.70	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Oct-18	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1444 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1439, with a stop going in at 1432. Our up-side targets are 1454, 1459, and 1464. The market is cycling back up again and although we're a bit late getting aboard here I think there is more in the cycle, as we head on up to the Monthly 5/2 potentially, and if so then that's will be a nice trade indeed. Daily-weekly-monthly C-Waves are underway and that's what we're leaning on here. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 10/17/12: @ES Unfortunately we were looking for a little bigger retracement than we actually saw. We had the direction right, we had the idea of a retracement right, but our entry trigger was a bit off. This is the negative outcome from trying to be too "safe" and hedge the risk out of existence. Too muck "safety" is as bad as too much "risk" -- both are trading errors. Those traders who were following flow should have gotten aboard this trade however, and hopefully have done well, as we hit out first target. On we go, looking for another trade.
10/16/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Oct 16 for Oct 17		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 78.66 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.47, with a stop going in at 78.34. Our up-side targets are 78.85, 79.11, and 79.25. Dollar strength again today, and reactions all across the board. Of all the dollar-sensitive contracts I like USDJPY the best, as we have strong structure location and double dot push ---or even triple dot push -- as well as a plausible target on the monthly. Let's see how we do. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/16/12: USDJPY We hit out first target and are out. A small win but small or large they are always welcome. Those so inclined and who are able to withstand retracements might hold for future gains but we are short-term players in this forecast and would look to re-set our longs at a lower level.
10/15/2012		Entry	78.66	Entry					$266
		Exit	78.87	Exit
Oct 15 for Oct 16		Date	Oct-16	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @es at 1421.50 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1426, with a stop going in at 1437. Our down-side targets are 1416, 1405, and 1401. This chart is starting to look a bit ugly, and we're sellers here into this fresh weekly c-wave down. Let's see where this goes. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 10/15/12: @ES A difficult trade; we expected support to break but it did not, and instead retraced to close near but not at the stop level. Our aggressive trader saw this and elected to exit based on flow once it was clear that daily support was holding, and flow revered more than three bars, so the aggressive trader covered at 1421.50 for essentially a scratch. Our conservative trader, who abides by the "set it and forget it" rules, is holding short at the close as the stop has not been hit. The recommendation now is to exit at the close or upon the open (current price is 1436 and we'll take that as our exit price.) Brave souls could hold short and exit at the PLDot tomorrow as congestion action is likely however that would be a bold and risky play ad we'll not recommend that tonight.
10/12/2012		Entry	1421.50	Entry	1426				$0
		Exit	1421.50	Exit	1436
Oct 12 for Oct 15		Date	Oct-15	Date	Oct-15				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($500)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at .80.42 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 80.18, with a stop going in at 79.78. Our up-side targets are 80.78, 81.13, and 81.68. The Aussie is benefiting from some general risk-on moves and the Yen is starting to show he effect of some government jaw-boning about excessive strength. I do fully expect the global economic news to continue to be mixed and the Japanese to experience endless difficulties in achieving consensus, without which there will be no definitive move in the Yen. Nevertheless I like the technical picture here with zone structure, dots swinging and other elements all on the bullish side. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 10/12/12: AUDJPY Small loss for aggressive trader, small win for the conservative trader, this goes in the books as a scratch. Those so included could move the first target to 80.60 and exit tomorrow with a better price but as in my wont I am out here at the close and looking fr another opportunity. I still think this trade idea is correct, don't mistake me. But maybe not just yet.
10/11/2012		Entry	80.42	Entry	80.18				($178)
		Exit	80.23	Exit	80.23
Oct 11 for Oct 12		Date	Oct-12	Date	Oct-12				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$64
		Entry	80.18	Entry
		Exit	80.23	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Oct-12	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at .9818 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9800, with a stop going in at .9780. Our up-side targets are .9845, .9852, and .9909. We're seeing a nice dollar rally across the board with effects on many markets. The USDCAD shows the greatest potential to my eye, due to the current technical position and the amount of air before hitting significant resistance. Let's see how we do. Good trading everybody. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 10/11/12: USDCAD We hit our stop and are out. Seems like the nearby resistance was a bit stronger than I anticipated, and while price headed up in that neighborhood it stopped 9 pips short, and reversed. Can't be right all the time, so we take the modest loss and move on.
10/10/2012		Entry	.9818	Entry	.9800				($593)
		Exit	.9780	Exit	.9780
Oct 10 for Oct 11		Date	Oct-11	Date	Oct-11				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($204)
		Entry	.9800	Entry
		Exit	.9780	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Oct-11	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1437 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1444, with a stop going in at 1452. Our down-side targets are 1430, 1424, and 1420. We see weakness in the E-mini and do not believe this move is over. The reasons why not? Daily C-Wave down, Weekly envelope rolling over, Monthly poised to move from outside to inside, and all coming out of quarterly resistance. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/10/12: @ES As of this writing (about 5:15 p.m.on Wednesday) price has reached the second target and we are out at that level, a good profit for the aggressive trader. This market is very weak and there may be more here, but we're in for a good time not for a long time, and I am opting for the sure profit as opposed to the less certain additional gains. the reasons? We're in an exhaust pattern, in Daily support, and the Daily/Weekly zone structure is no longer in our favor. Watch that daily support however and if it breaks, it's off the the races to the downside. A market like this has the potential for a major break, so be alert.
10/09/2012		Entry	1437	Entry					$650
		Exit	1424	Exit
Oct 9 for Oct 10		Date	Oct-11	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 148'080 or better (aggressive traders0 or more conservatively at 148'200, with a stop at 149'150. Our downside targets are 147'250, 147'100, and 146'110. Bond are looking technically very weak and I see nothing that says today's action is anything more then a routine dot-refresh move. But we'll soon find out. Good trading everybody. I am posting this a bit early due to a travel situation that conflicts with my 5:00 p.m. post. I will revisit the post later this evening and adjust if necessary, but these numbers should hold. (As of 10:30 p.m., all is on track.) Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/9/12: @US Aggressive traders were filled and hit the first target, but then reversed and has oscillated without convincing direction. We take the modest profit and step aside to look elsewhere.
10/08/2012		Entry	148'080	Entry					$469
		Exit	147'250	Exit
Oct 8 for Oct 9		Date	Oct-09	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.3030 or better (aggressive traders), or more conservatively at 1.3000. Our stop goes in at 1.3927 and our up-side targets are 1.3100, 1.3124, and 1.3227. With the ECB staunchly behind the Euro and the US data behind us, the shift in the Euro dollar relationship is picking up speed and strength. We'll hop aboard from the long side and see how it goes. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 10/8/12:EURUSD Only the conservative trader filled today; we exit at the close with a small loss, and on to another day.
10/05/2012		Entry		Entry	1.3000
		Exit		Exit	1.2967
Oct 5 for Oct 8		Date		Date	Oct-08				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($330)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 80.38 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 80.10, with a stop going in at 79.78. Our up-side targets are 80.73, 81.02 and 81.59. We're seeing an apparent broad reversal in many markets after the ECB meeting and the US presidential debate, and some numbers out of China, but we also have the all-important non-farm payrolls report due out at 8:30 a.m. on Friday and I am reluctant to trade many of the markets ahead of that; AUDJPY however might be a bit more insulated from the US data. We see persistent yen weakness in recent days plus some benefit from the risk-on reversal. Let's see how it goes here. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/5/12: AUDJPY As predicted the employment report caused some volatility but we nevertheless came out OK in that aggressive traders hit the first target before the market reversed. Conservative traders were not filled as their number was hit only after target was reached, thus invalidating the order.
10/04/2012		Entry	80.38	Entry					$437
		Exit	80.73	Exit
Oct 4 for Oct 5		Date	Oct-05	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1446 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1441, with a stop going in at 1431. Our up-side targets are 1455, 1463, and 1469. The S&P has hesitated in this area for a bit and yet we see daily support holding, weekly support holding, monthly C-wave in progress. I'm inclined to take a shot at the long side here. Let's see how this plays out. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/4/12: @ES We hit our first target and are out with a profit. Non-Farm payrolls lie straight ahead else we might hold for a while.
10/03/2012		Entry	1446	Entry					$450
		Exit	1455	Exit
Oct 3 for Oct 4		Date	Oct-04	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 78.16 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.04, with a stop going in at 77.77. Our up-side targets are 78.36, 78.69, and 78.92. We see continuing strength in eh Japanese yen and all the time periods are slowly falling in line. Watch out as the daily and weekly PLDots start to coordinate their power. The technicals match all kinds of fundamental reasons why the USD might strengthen against the Yen, so we're giving this a whirl today. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/3/12: Aggressive traders reached the first target easily and made good progress towards the second target. But we don't want the perfect to drive out the good and so I am taking profits here at the close. Those so inclined could hold for the second target but the hourly has rolled over and price seems to be at a stopping point, thus for our short-term program we are out and booking the profit. This could possibly be the start of a longer-term move but there are some significant resistance points to get though before that occurs, e.g. the Monthly PLDot.
10/02/2012		Entry	78.16	Entry					$420
		Exit	78.49	Exit
Oct 2 for Oct 3		Date	Oct-03	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 149'290 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 149'310, with a stop going in at 150'120. Our down-side targets are 149'050, 148'110, and 147'150. All kinds of technical reasons to sell up in here: zone structure on the monthly, quarterly, weekly and daily, an extended rally, dots rolling over, 6/1's in play, outside-inside working for us, and so forth. Let's see how this plays out. Seems like a good trade to me. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 10/2/12: @US Some aggravation. I mistyped the price of the aggressive entry (though I spoke the correct price) which should have been 149'240. Both conservative and aggressive traders were filled but we did not reach our target. For our purposes here I am exiting at the close (or at the 6:00 p.m. open) and calling the trade a scratch, though we could also categorize it as a very slight win. I am still bearish however and those so inclined could set their exit limit order at 149'090 and likely come out OK. For our purposes however we're out and standing aside and looking for another opportunity. On we go!
10/01/2012		Entry	149'210	Entry	149'310				$94
		Exit	149'240	Exit	149'240
Oct 1 for Oct 2		Date	Oct-02	Date	Oct-02				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$219
		Entry	149'310	Entry
		Exit	149'240	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Oct-02	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 77.88 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 77.74, with a stop going in at 77.49. Our up-side targets are 78.13, 78.42, and 78.62. Big-time reversal of the dollar/Yen cross today, and we take such moves seriously and look for follow-through. We say dollar strength is a number of other markets a well but I like the zone structure here and so we'll give USDJPY a whirl. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/1/12: USDJPY It was like watching paint drying today but aggressive traders made the first target handily and are out for a small but welcome gain. More upside gains likely lie ahead, for those so inclined.
09/28/2012		Entry	77.88	Entry					$320
		Exit	78.13	Exit
Sep 28 for Oct 1		Date	Oct-01	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 81.02 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 80.87, with a stop going in at 80.41. Our up-side targets are 81.26, 81.47, and 82.21. We're seeing a broad turn-around in the risk-on markets and the Aussie is where we'll take our stand, as it offers a reasonable close support structure against which to buy. Those so included could also look at Crude Oil, the Loonie, Gold, the E-mini, all to the upside, and the short side on Treasuries. Good trading everybody. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/28/12: AUDJPY Sort of an aggravating day as the market played around in both positive and negative areas all day long, one way and then the other. We're out at the close, although those so included might look for a scratch trade on Sunday night or Monday, else exit at the opening on Sunday night for a small loss.
09/27/2012		Entry	81.02	Entry	80.87				($334)
		Exit	80.82	Exit	80.82
Sep 27 for Sep 28		Date	Sep-28	Date	Sep-28				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($64)
		Entry	80.87	Entry
		Exit	80.82	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-28	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 77.71 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 77.60, with a stop going in at 77.48. Our up-side targets are 77.93, 78.13, and 78.23. Dollar strength across the board but not so much against the Yen, and yet I sense a change a-foot, as we see the USDJPY price move inside the envelope, sliding sideways as it looks for support from which to move on up. The zone structure and location is also very positive. Let's see how we do here. Aggressive traders might also take a look at the situation developing in Crude Oil, I think a bounce to the upside is on tap, but I wanted a bit more evidence before making that an official recommendation. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 9/27/12: USDJPY Essentially a scratch, and so we're out at the close with a very few dollars out of pocket.
09/26/2012		Entry	77.71	Entry	77.60				(142)
		Exit	77.60	Exit	77.60
Sep 26 for Sep 27		Date	Sep-27	Date	Sep-27				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$0
		Entry	77.60	Entry
		Exit	77.60	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-27	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 0.9804 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 0.9784, with a stop going in at 0.9742. Our up-side targets are 0.9821, 0.9830, and 0.9914. The current dollar strength cuts across a number of markets and we can see its effect in Gold, Crude Oil, EURUSD, @US, and to a lesser extent in USDJPY. I want to give USDCAD a try however as I see more potential here than in some of the other markets. In any case we'll soon find out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/26/12: USDCAD A modest but solid trade as we hit our second target and have moved well beyond it on the way to our third target. We have not reached target three yet but I am electing to exit at the close here and take a sure profit. Aggressive traders who can monitor the market could reasonably choose to hold long for the third target at 0.9914, which seems likely to be reached in the next day or so. Those who do so should move the stop to break-even. But for our purposes here we're out and on the sidelines looking for another trade.
09/25/2012		Entry	0.9804	Entry					$507
		Exit	0.9854	Exit
Sep 25 for Sep 26		Date	Sep-26	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell AUDJPY at 81.15 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 81.34, with a stop going in at 81.97. Our down-side targets are 80.88, 80.43, and 80.01. Yen strength is apparently coming from foreign-invested yen returning home under the threat of conflict; this could well be the case, and regional instability could also explain Australian dollar weakness. But we cannot actually know, only speculate, and in the meantime the charts are giving pretty clear signals. We'll follow those, and let the market tell us if we are right. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/25/12: AUDJPY Sort of a crazy day. Aggressive traders were filled and exited at first target; then a rally later in the day took us up up to the conservative entry where both conservative and aggressive traders got short, and price reached the target again by late afternoon. So a good trade, and the swings worked in our favor.
09/24/2012		Entry	81.15	Entry	81.34				$939
		Exit	80.88	Exit	80.88
Sep 24 for Sep 25		Date	Sep-25	Date	Sep-25				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$592
		Entry	81.34	Entry
		Exit	80.88	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-25	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDJPY at 78.12 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.26, with a stop going in at 78.63. Our down-side targets are 77.93, 77.79, and 77.42. We're seeing persistent dollar weakness against the Yen, and so we're going to ride that a bit and see how we do. The dollar picture against other currencies and against the commodities is a bit murky, else we would be playing there, but we can rely on Yen strength at the moment (or so it seems) and we'll try this for now and look to the other markets next week if the fog clears. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/25/12: USDJPY Patience rewarded. We hit our revised target of 77.73 and are out. A small trade, but then the FOREX ranges these days are not all that large. Nothing wrong with base hits, though. We're smiling. Update 9/24/12: USDJPY Hold Short. Aggressive traders were filled and have hit first target and are on the way to the second target. I think we'll get there and thus I am holding short for a better exit price. Those who wish to limit risk could exit here for a $360 profit but I suggest moving the target to 77.73 and sitting tight. Move the stop to 78.15, very close to break-even. Our second target should be 7.54 in the unlikely event things get wild.
09/21/2012		Entry	78.12	Entry					$501
		Exit	77.73	Exit
Sep 21 for Sep 24		Date	Sep-25	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1454 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1449. with a stop going in at 14454. our upside targets are 1461, 1467, and 1474. We're seeing a lot of volatility here; is the global geopolitical threat of a China/Japan conflict the cause of these shudders. or the Mid East riots? Is it the multiple-country Q-X excessive liquidity or the Oil supply picture? Who knows. But what we do know is we see some major oscillations and the next direction in the E-mini is up. Or so it seems at the moment. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/21/12: @ES Aggressive traders were filled and hit the first target (The slightly adjusted entry price was mentioned in the video) . We're out and standing aside. A modest win, but that's what the market offered today, and so that's what we'll take.
09/20/2012		Entry	1455	Entry					$300
		Exit	1461	Exit
Sep 19 for Sep 21		Date	Sep-21	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3046 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3080, with a stop going in at 1.3148. Our downside targets are 1.3049, 1.2962, and 1.2877. We're at extreme locations on the monthly and weekly charts, and the daily has a full-blown case of the roll-overs. This Euro strength is looking weaker by the day. I'm definitely interested in the downside here. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/20/12: EURUSD Not bad; aggressive traders rode this trade to the second target and are out with a decent profit. There might be more in this trade but that's not our game, and so we take profits and stand aside. On we go.
09/19/2012		Entry	1.3046	Entry					$840
		Exit	1.2962	Exit
Sep 19 for Sep 20		Date	Sep-20	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at .9744 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9712, with a stop going in at .9681. Our up-side targets are .9767, .9797, and .9864. We have seen this long, strong, and protracted down move reflecting USD weakness and CAD strength for some months, but now we see signs that this move is coming to an end. Why now? In truth I am not sure, but the signs are there and we will take a shot at this reversal. Perhaps what we are seeing is a bit of "sell the rumor, buy the news" going on after the widely anticipated Fed announcement of last week. In any case, we dip our toes in long here. Good trading everybody. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 9/19/12: USDCAD This trade is going nowhere. We have a 50-50 chance of hitting our target tomorrow, but those are not such wonderful odds, since by implication there is also a 50-50 chance of taking a loss as well. I am exiting this trade for a scratch and looking for a better opportunity elsewhere.
09/18/2012		Entry	.9744	Entry					$0
		Exit		Exit
Sep 18 for Sep 19		Date	Sep-19	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry	.9744	Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1764 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1756, with a stop going in at 1750. Our up-side targets are 1779, 1788, and 1793. We saw the huge up move last Thursday is response to Mr. Bernanke's earnest and steadfast statement that he would buy bonds from now until forever -- or at least the unemployment rate comes back down to earth. And on Friday and Monday we saw Gold retrace a bit and test some support. Do we now have a continuation of the weekly C-Wave ahead of us and the up-trend continuing? A weekly "Sure-Foot Trade # 1"? It would seem a distinct possibility. We'll find out shortly. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/18/12: @GC An excellent trade. Both aggressive and conservative traders are aboard and we have good profits showing. I do expect higher prices ahead and those who are in a position to monitor may very well elect to hold long for first or second targets tomorrow, which would result in very good trade indeed. After all, we do have a monthly C-wave and weekly C-wave established today, and the monthly target could be the 5/9 at 1828. For our track-record purposes however in this short-term arena I am taking an exit here and will show our exit price as the close of the day at 1773.30.
09/17/2012		Entry	1764	Entry	1756				$2,660
		Exit	1773.30	Exit	1773.30
Sep 17 for Sep 18		Date	Sep-18	Date	Sep-18				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,730
		Entry	1756	Entry
		Exit	1773.30	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-18	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 78.36 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.17, with a stop going in at 77.70. Our up-side targets are 78.59, 78.87, 79.10, and then eventually 79.79. It's a new playing field out there after the Fed's decision, the European Bank's decision, and the German High Court's blessing; the world is awash in liquidity. That means among other things that now in post-decision clarity there is less need for the Yen as a flight-to-quality currency, much to the Japanese Central Bank's relief. This move today almost has the feeling of Japanese Central Bank intervention but I have not heard of that happening (yet). I am of the belief that despite the dollar weakening against other currencies we shall see it strengthen against the Yes, and that is our trade for tonight. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/17/12: USDJPY Excellent trade all around. We pretty much nailed the day, calling the low within a few pips and our second target was only six pips off the high of the day as well. Both conservative and aggressive traders were filled. We're out at the second target and happily standing aide.
09/14/2012		Entry	78.36	Entry	78.17				$1,537
		Exit	78.87	Exit	78.87
Sep 14 for Sep 17		Date	Sep-17	Date	Sep-17				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$889
		Entry	78.17	Entry
		Exit	78.87	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-17	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 81.72 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 81.40, with a stop going in at 80.88. Our up-side targets are 82.05, 82.61, and 83.18. Big-time market adjustments all over the map today after the Fed's QE3 announcement, and basically we are seeing risk-on trades blossoming. I think the Aussie-Yen cross will see much higher prices int he days ahead and I like the technicals -- no exhaust is in place, but lots of dot-push in evidence, and multiple time-frame support coming into play. But there are a lot of markets to play in this day or in the coming days: watch Gold, Crude Oil, the E-Mini, the USDCAD and other situations where hard-assets can protect against inflation -- of which most notably perhaps is Silver. Good trading everybody. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/14/12: AUDJPY Excellent trade as aggressive traders hit the second target and almost reached the third. Those traders who were monitoring during the day might we have taken profits there, or alternatively they may elect to hold long for higher prices in the coming days. But for our track record purposes we took our exit at the second target of 82.61 and book the profits. The Fed's move has change the playing field and now we see risk assets in play across the board, and there's more to come on the upside here for sure.
09/13/2012		Entry	81.72	Entry					$1,136
		Exit	82.61	Exit
Sep 13 for Sep 14		Date	Sep-14	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 77.84 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 77.67, with a stop going in at 77.48. Our up-side targets are 77.97, 78.20, 78.46. We're seeing some technical signs of reversal here in the weekly and monthly envelope bottom area. And we have highly touted and much-anticipated news tomorrow regarding possible Fed QE3. When news is so widely anticipated it's already in the market and the possibility of a "sell the rumor, but the news" rally is heightened; and if (horrors!) the Feb does NOT ease then the dollar rally would be even stronger. So today's trade is based both in technical indicators and a bit of contrary thinking. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/13/12: USDJPY OK, It's official, and even though Bernanke did everything pretty much as almost everyone had anticipated, the market still had a huge reaction, and the news was not "already in the market" as I had supposed. So I was wrong on this one. Such is life. We hit our stop early in the day and that was that. On we go.
09/12/2012		Entry	77.84	Entry	77.67				($709)
		Exit	77.48	Exit	77.48
Sep 12 for Sep 13		Date	Sep-13	Date	Sep-13				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($245)
		Entry	77.67	Entry
		Exit	77.48	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-13	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 96.91 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 96.50, with a stop going in at 95.46. Our up-side targets are 97.87, 98.36, and 99.82. Crude Oil has been benefiting from multiple influences: a weak dollar, heightened Mid-East tensions, weather concerns, and a positive technical picture. Will this continue? I'm betting that it will. Let's see how this plays out. Lots of news is pending and all markets are on edge, so watch your flow especially in this big crude contract, which can move quite rapidly on occasion. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/12/12: @CL OK good show, this worked out pretty much as expected, although there was a little happy twist late in the day as the conservative entry got triggered long after our first target was hit. Thus both aggressive and conservative traders are aboard at closing with one contract each from the point of the conservative entry, 96.50. They should both exit on close or at the opening of the evening session. We'll take the closing price as our exit point for track record purposes. Risk-junkies could stay aboard and exit at a higher price but we'll not play that game just now, as big news is scheduled to hit the markets tomorrow and we have other fish to fry.
09/11/2012		Entry	96.91	Entry	96.50				$1,320
		Exit	97.87	Exit	96.86
Sep 11 for Sep 12		Date	Sep-12	Date	Sep-12				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$360
		Entry	96.50	Entry
		Exit	96.86	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-12	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2758 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2790, with a stop going in at 1.2890. Our down-side targets are 1.2700, 1.2664, and 1.2634. Last week's Euro euphoria is slipping slipping slipping, and we'll step onto the slide and see if we can ride the Euro on down a bit. The bankers and bureaucrats, the bishops and barons in Europe seem to make a breakthrough, but then again, is it not the same old story? The market is growing skeptical, and we are too. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/11/12: EURUSD This trade is not working out. Aggressive traders who have the benefit of being able to judge the flow during the day saw that events were not going their way and exited at the close of the 9:00 a.m. bar after price tested the envelope top and reversed. Conservative traders should exit now at the open or shortly thereafter, current price being 1.2850. We brush off the loss and move forward.
09/10/2012		Entry	1.2758	Entry	1.2790				($800)
		Exit	1.2810	Exit	1.2850
Sep 10 for Sep 11		Date	Sep-11	Date	Sep-11				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($600)
		Entry	1.2790	Entry
		Exit	1.2810	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-11	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 148'050 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 148'190, with a stop going in at 150'100. Our down-side targets are 148'040, 147'170, and 146'080. After the big shock and surprise of the bad employment number Friday morning, the Bonds rallied very strongly up to daily resistance at the PLDot, but then started to fall off convincingly during the afternoon hours. I am thinking the downside here has more to it than we have seen so far. There is a quarterly dot-refresh move underway, and the monthly, weekly, and daily PLdots are all contributing to the push. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/11/12: @US Patience rewarded. We exited at 148'270, our first target, and book a win for both aggressive and conservative traders. Update 9/10/12: @US Hold short. At the close today aggressive traders show a tiny loss, conservative traders a tiny win; chances are high we will see lower prices tomorrow and end up winners on this trade. (Note we are short from 149'050 and 149'190, not 148'050 as my fat-fingered error shows last night. The error was obvious though and so we merely blush and shrug and move forward. Sometimes we're just stupid, can't be helped.) Move our first target to 148'270, and leave the others as they are.
09/07/2012		Entry	149'050	Entry	149'190				$1062
		Exit	148'270	Exit	149'270
Sep 7 for Sep 10		Date	Sep-11	Date	Sep-11				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$750
		Entry	149'190	Entry
		Exit	148'270	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-11	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 78.87 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.69, with a stop going in at 78.43. Our up-side targets are 79.12, 79.35, and 79.51. We saw a big shift in the FOREX markets (and a lot of other markets as well) when the European Central Bank allowed as how they would buy as many bonds as they wished, which was not exactly news since they had said before they would do anything and everything necessary to support the Euro. But I suppose hearing it again made believers out of market participants and it was off the the races today. Let's see if we can get aboard this move. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/7/12: USDJPY No Joy today, as the non-farm payrolls surprised everybody. After the STRONG ADP report on Thursday it looked like the Friday'S Employment number was going to be positive, since they often track closely... but no go, and the market was quite surprised. Dollar/Yes took it in the chin, and we were instantly stopped out. Such is life.
09/06/2012		Entry	78.87	Entry	78.69				($895)
		Exit	78.43	Exit	78.43
Sep 6 for Sep 7		Date	Sep-07	Date	Sep-07				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($332)
		Entry	78.69	Entry
		Exit	78.43	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-07	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at .9902 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9887, with a stop going in at .9866. Our up-side targets are .9924, .9935, and .9959. We see lots of technical elements falling into place here for a possible cycle back up to the monthly highs of a couple of months ago. China slowing, dollar strength, Euro troubles, the Canadian elections, are they all conspiring to make the Loonie a bit crazy? We'll see... Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/6/12: USDCAD Not much to say; we picked the wrong direction. Yesterday's rally up to the top of congestion enticed us into thinking of a breakout, but the opposite prevailed and we're back at the bottom of the congestion instead. Conservative traders hit the stop and aggressive traders had the small consolation of seeing what was happening and after multiple hours of adverse flow took an early exit at .9877, saving themselves a few ticks. All in all a most unhappy trade. We lick our wounds and look forward to a better day.
09/05/2012		Entry	.9902	Entry	.9887				($356)
		Exit	.9877	Exit	.9866
Sep 5 for Sep 6		Date	Sep-06	Date	Sep-06				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($213)
		Entry	.9887	Entry
		Exit	.9877	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-06	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 95.50 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 95.15, with a stop going in at 94.96. Our up-side targets are 96.92, 97.36, and 98.50. Crude Oil has been reacting to dollar weakness, to Mid-East tensions, and to supply issues as well, and the combination of these together with the technical patterns I am seeing sparks my interest in crude. Crude Oil is a big contract and can move fast so watch your flow, and let's see how this plays out. I see some congestion cycling in the near-term, and then higher prices. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 9/5/12: @CL No good news here: we were stopped out decisively and take it on the chin. This is a trading error on my part and in this case reflects a common trader's dilemma: Had the stop been set properly according to the market structure (around 93.64) we would still be long and doing well (but would have been exposed to a heck of a lot of risk); instead we set the stop conservatively to minimize that risk and were too close and got stopped out. A paradox that we have seen often before: trying to limit risk too aggressively, we actually increase risk instead.
09/04/2012		Entry	95.50	Entry	95.15				($730)
		Exit	94.96	Exit	94.96
Sep 4 for Sep 5		Date	Sep-05	Date	Sep-05				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($190)
		Entry	95.15	Entry
		Exit	94.96	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US at 151'220 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 151'120, with a stop going in at 150'300. Our up-side targets are 152'090, 153'080, and 153'150. Well Mr. Bernanke has spoken, and said that maybe not right now but do not fear he will feed the market beast all the liquid refreshment it can take if it needs a drink, and he has an endless supply. And this on top of the Europeans saying pretty much the same thing. So dang the torpedoes, we're in for easing when and if needed, and so the implication of high bond prices, low yields, and a weakish dollar seem to be on call. At least that's the way we'll play it. Technically we're looking at the weekly 5.2 and the monthly ETop as targets, and they do seem within reach. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/5/12: @US Patience rewarded: we hit our new first target set yesterday and are out, avoiding what would have been a rather nasty loss, and turning it into a modest but welcome win. Update 9/4/12: @US Aggressive traders hold long. Our conservative trader hit the stop and is out. More's the pity in a way as the stop price was just touched momentarily but for our conservative trader who has no discretion that is all it takes. Our aggressive trader however saw this for what it was, a momentary test of a price for a minute or so, and held on as price moved up again. At day's end he is still alive with two contracts and although underwater elects to hold long. His stop is in place at a new price below the 6/1 at 150'250 and new targets at 151'230, 152'060, and then 153'080 and 153'150. It is really rare that I hold a trade that is underwater, move the stop still lower, and sit tight; I may live to regret this if price moves against us but then again we may all be heroes after all. Traders should be forewarned however that this is not a risk-free move and may exit at tonight's opening if they don't like the increased risk element here.
09/03/2012		Entry	151'220	Entry	151'120				$375
		Exit	151'230	Exit	150'300
Sep 3 for Sep 4		Date	Sep-05	Date	Sep-04				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($437)
		Entry	151'120	Entry
		Exit	151'230	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Sep-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 96.40 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 95.62, with a stop going in at 95.30 Our up-side targets are 97.23, 98.17, 98.63 and 99.60 if we get that high. Big-time turn-around in the risk markets after Bernanke's speech today. He did not say he would ease but he said he could, and that was enough to reduce the uncertainty and get things rolling again. Watch the flow and let's see how it goes. Crude is a big contract with a lot of risk but then there is big potential here as well. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 9/3/12: @CL We hit target and are out. I do think there is more to this trade and those so inclined and who are in a position to monitor the market might stay aboard with an eye towards achieving further targets but for our purposes here we are out and will bank the winnings. Conservative trade entry was not hit.
08/31/2012		Entry	96.40	Entry					$830
		Exit	97.23	Exit
Aug 31 for Sep 2		Date	Sep-03	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @GC at 1662 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1664, with a stop going in at 1668. Our down-side targets are 1651, 1647, and 1643. We're seeing a bit of dollar strength and that will take some of the air out of Gold if it continues; I like the technical picture of zone structure, envelopes in multiple time periods rolling over, and the impending move inside the envelopes. We'll see... many markets are at an inflection point these days, as if making up their mind to show a definitive shift in direction, as opposed to the current tentativeness... Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/31/12: @GC Wow quite a day. We were aboard with both aggressive and conservative traders, and hit our first target easily and then came within ten cents (a mere $10) of our second target. Certainly our aggressive traders should have taken the exit there, and for that matter reversed as Gold took off in a stunning run to the upside. Those who did take action are surly happy campers tonight. But we'll not add that hypothetical to the track record and will stick with the targets as stated. We're out at the first target and banking a solid gain.
08/30/2012		Entry	1662	Entry	1664				$2400
		Exit	1651	Exit	1651
Aug 30 for Aug 31		Date	Aug-31	Date	Aug-31				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1300
		Entry	1664	Entry
		Exit	6151	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-31	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 149'290 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 150'050, with a stop going in at 150'260. Our down-side targets are 149'130, 149'070, and 148'090. We see the daily envelope structure rolling over nicely, and this is the neighborhood of the monthly PLDot and quarterly envelope top. The weekly is also in a plausible pattern, with the envelope moving sideways setting up a possible cycle down from the present envelope top area. In any case I think we have a bit of downside ahead of us, and so that is how we will play the trade this evening. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/30/12: @US Reluctantly I think we had better bail on this trade, and will take our exit price as the closing price tonight. The issue is: we're seeing continued strength into the Bernanke speech on Friday, and while I don't believe that there will be great things announced (not that Ben has been asking my opinion), there will be emotion and possible volatility in both directions, and since we're already underwater the risks are a tad high for me. So I'm out. Those who can monitor intraday should see a better exit price tomorrow before the speech.
08/29/2012		Entry	149'290	Entry	150'050				($677)
		Exit	150'120	Exit	150'120
Aug 29 for Aug 30		Date	Aug-30	Date	Aug-30				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($219)
		Entry	150'050	Entry
		Exit	150'120	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-30	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 96.77 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 97.03, with a stop going in at 97.90. Our downside targets are 95.62, 95.02, and 94.09. C rude has been flashing all sorts of sell signals; besides the monthly 5/2 down that we are reacting too the term structures are much less bullish than they were. I am long-term bullish but we could see a significant refresh move, perhaps to as much as the $90 area. We'll see...Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 8/29/12: @CL A wild ride but all's well that ends well. We never got triggered on our stated entry points as the market took off to the downside without us, but as the downward slide steepened our aggressive trader was able to observe the flow and get aboard on a directional trade entry. The sudden mid-morning rally was heart-stopping but after the news passed, things settled down again and we progressed to hit our second target, and are out at 95.02. Not as good as if we had our original entry points, but I'm not looking a gift horse in the mouth. Closing trade comment: Video
08/28/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Aug 28 for Aug 29		Date		Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	95.54
		Exit		Exit	95.02				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Aug-29				$520
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 78.75 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.66, with a stop going in at 78.49. Our up-side targets are 78.91, 79.20, AND 79.85. Can't help feeling like we're in the doldrums, in these final days of August when so many of the trading desks are vacant as the world takes to the country on holiday. But I do see the dollar/yen making continued progress to the upside, no dramatic moves perhaps but it's not looking like we are going back down either. We'll give this a shot.... Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/28/12: USDJPY Not a happy camper here. We were stopped out by a tiny amount; the stop was close but correctly set. I still think we have higher prices ahead but the Japanese government is apparently not taking my calls.
08/27/2012		Entry	78.75	Entry	78.66				($547)
		Exit	78.49	Exit	78.49
Aug 27 for Aug 28		Date	Aug-28	Date	Aug-28				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($216)
		Entry	78.66	Entry
		Exit	78.49	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-28	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2521 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2554, with a stop going in at 1.2620. Our downside targets are 1.2486, 1.2444, and 1.2388. We've seen the EURUSD rise very rapidly and are now in resistance and seeing signs of the inevitable PLDot refresh, and that is the trade we are taking for Sunday night/Monday. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/28/12: EURUSD Patience rewarded: we hit target and are out at 1.2486. Update 8/27/12: EURUSD Hold Short for target. So far so good. Move stop to 1.2528.
08/24/2012		Entry	1.2521	Entry					$350
		Exit	1.2486	Exit
Aug 24 for Aug 27		Date	Aug-28	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES AT 1400 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1404, with a stop going in at 1413. Our downside targets are 1393, 1386, and 1384. We've seen several weeks of bullish sentiment crumble and the equity market start to sag. Technically the move is well under way; we see monthly resistance holding, weekly charts move from outside the envelope to inside, the daily rolling over nicely, and a distinct dot push to the downside in full bloom. We're a tad late to the party but nevertheless we'll play the downside and see how we do. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/24/12: @ES We were right in our call and close to target when Bernanke weighed in with dovish sentiments and the market took off sharply, moving against us and ending the day close to (but not quite at) our stop. Our aggressive traders know a bad turn when they see it, and were able to exit after the second bar of adverse flow, covering both of their contracts at 1406.75. Our conservative trader of course has no discretion; we call for him to exit on the open on Sunday night. A closing comment video makes the situation clear: Video
08/23/2012		Entry	1400	Entry	1404				($475)
		Exit	1406.75	Exit	1410
Aug 23 for Aug 24		Date	Aug-24	Date	Aug-24				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($300)
		Entry	1404	Entry
		Exit	1406.75	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-24	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 78.63 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.36, with a stop going in at 78.09. Our upside targets are 78.97, 79.16, and 79.68. We had a sharp reaction based on news from the Fed this afternoon but I am expecting this to fade and the strength in the dollar vis-a-vis the yen to return. Already in the few hours since the news broke we are seeing a retracement. I just don't think that the major bottoming action that has been occurring is going to break down and lead to new lows. I vote the other way, that the yen will weaken and thus this cross rise in price. We'll see... Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 8/23/12: USDJPY This market is not acting as anticipated and so we'll move to the sidelines for the moment. Our conservative traders have a small win, our aggressive traders a tiny loss, and so we'll split the difference and call it a scratch. I do believe that higher prices lie ahead, and those so inclined could look to re-enter the USDJPY long at a bit lower level, say in the 78.30 area, but the timing of the next up-move is uncertain and in the meantime we have other opportunities to explore.
08/22/2012		Entry	78.63	Entry	78.36				($ 38 )
		Exit	78.47	Exit	78.47
Aug 22 for Aug 23		Date	Aug-23	Date	Aug-23				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$ 140
		Entry	78.36	Entry
		Exit	78.47	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 0.9889 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 0.9874, with a stop going in at 0.9853. Our upside targets are 0.9909, 0.9920, and 0.9939. Today's reversal up and sharp rejection of higher time-period support seems compelling to me; we're going to get right back up on that horse that threw us and see if we can catch a move on the USDACD Forex cross. We see similar trades all across the hard-asset board tonight: check out @CL, @GC, @US for starters. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/22/12: USDCAD A good call; aggressive traders hit the third target and are out at that level. The market retraced from that level which just goes to show you how essential targets are in this business and also how good the Drummond-based Targets actually are. Those so inclined could play this market for more upside in the coming days I think. A possibly entry point would be just above the 6/5 at say 0.9905. Video
08/21/2012		Entry	0.9889	Entry					$504
		Exit	0.9939	Exit
Aug 21 for Aug 22		Date	Aug-22	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 0.9886 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 0.9874, with a stop going in at 0.9860. Our upside targets are 0.9898, 0.9913, and 0.9938. We've witnessed this very strong drive downwards to the monthly target of its 5/2 up, and now we see some reaction: nearbys moving sideways, daily dots rolling over and turning up, weekly dots swinging, and so we're envisioning a reaction to the big downdraft. In other words: the monthly dot-push to the downside is weakening.Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/21/12: We were right! But unfortunately we were wrong before we were right, and got stopped out. In similar circumstances I would say the stop was too close but this time the stop was correctly placed according to market structure and as reality played out the market force was just a bit more than usual. Those traders who were able to monitor the market might well have re-entered based on our original trade concept and if they did, they saw the Loonie reach our target, as predicted, for a good gain. But oh well, such is the trader's life. Perfection is not in the cards, so we take the small loss and move on. Here's a short video of the hourly chart today: Video Update 8/21/12: @CL Also, regarding yesterday's Crude Oil trade: we're out of that trade but here's a note showing how it played out, for those of you who were able to monitor the trade as recommended: Video
08/20/2012		Entry	.9886	Entry	.9874				($406)
		Exit	.9860	Exit	.9860
Aug 20 for Aug 21		Date	Aug-21	Date	Aug-21				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($142)
		Entry	.9874	Entry
		Exit	.9860	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-21	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 96.10 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 95.46, with a stop going in at 94.77. Our upside targets are 96.74, 97.26, and 98.38. Crude Oil is showing some muscle here, and we are witnessing a monthly, weekly, and daily C-wave in progress. We're up in nose-bleed territory in terms of the time-period structure, and so the risks to this particular trade are not small. I hold the market's current goal to be the monthly 5/2 at 98.51, so we'll set our target a bit under that. Stop goes below the daily dot, yet I would like it to be below the 5/9 up, but won't as that is a massive risk. Well, such is the price one pays for trying to buy into a raging C-wave. Let's see how it goes. If someone starts shooting in the Mideast this trade will seem very wise; if not, then ... well, we'll see.... Video Update 8/19/12:@CL TradeStation quite properly rolled over the @CL contract on Saturday and the proper front month to trade this CL recommendation should indeed be the October contract, and so our entry stop and target numbers should be adjusted as follows: Buy @CL (Oct)at 96.45 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 96.81, with a stop going in at 95.12. Our upside targets are 97.04, 97.58, and 98.41.		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/21/12:@CL See the short video posted on 8/21 above, showing how things played out. Update 8/20/12: @CL Exit the trade on the open. This is one of those annoying decisions that comes up as a result of making only one call a day. It is likely that we will see better prices tomorrow, but there are also some signs of storms forming: we see dots swinging, a close inside the envelope, and a location in HTP resistance. Those traders who can monitor the market closely could reasonably stay aboard and look for an exit in the 96.85 area, or even much better if the weather clears. But for track record purposes and because the risks are growing here we will take our conservative modest profit and aggressive trader almost-scratch-profit and call it a day. See the closing comments video for detail. Video
08/17/2012		Entry	96.45	Entry	95.81				$80
		Exit	96.17	Exit
Aug 17 for Aug 20		Date	Aug-20	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$360
		Entry	95.81	Entry
		Exit	96.17	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-20	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 83.37 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 83.20, with a stop going in at 82.71. Our upside targets are 83.58, 83.94, and 84.22. This is a tempting breakout and so we are taking a cautious long entry. Good strong move today and this could indeed be a significant break out from the range of the past two weeks. But I am a tad cautious here as well in that we are in weekly, monthly resistance and need to be very sure this is not an exhaust that will catch us unaware. Therefore watch the flow and if all is not right be prepared to take action. Still, it does seem enticing... Video Similar trades going on all over the place, viz. @ES, USDCAD, USDJPY, @CL, @US. A general "Risk On" environment is on display across my charts.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/17/12: AUDJPY Exit the trade. Sort of annoying in that that this area could be a good area to buy in as well, and to re-assert our long position. But to do that we would have to lower the stop to below Monday's 5/2-5/9 area and that is a bit more risk than I like; furthermore lowering stops is a dangerous practice that can get out of hand. So, we exit and stand aside. Those who want to play for a continued up-move however have a defensible rationale.
08/16/2012		Entry	83.37	Entry	83.20				($1,244)
		Exit	82.84	Exit	82.84
Aug 16 for Aug 17		Date	Aug-17	Date	Aug-17				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($578)
		Entry	83.20	Entry
		Exit	82.84	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-17	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 94.24 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 93.60, with a stop going in at 92.68. Our upside targets are 95.09, 95.74, and 97.00. Strength is manifest in the Crude Oil market, or so it seems. Technically we see weekly and daily dots swinging and grinding through the monthly resistance. We'll buy just off the 6/5 and see how we do. Fundamentally the term structures are bullish, and Mid-East tensions are a significant factor. This is a big contract and the structure dictates some rather large stops and so watch the flow, it is our first line of protection. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/16/12: @CL We hit our second target and are out at 95.74. Not bad at all... we were right of course which is great but also lucky in that the high of the day was 94.75, just one tick above our target. I think there is more upside in Crude Oil (Quarterly PLD? Monthly 5/2?) but we're happy to take this profit and stand aside for a bit.
08/15/2012		Entry	94.24	Entry					$1,500
		Exit	95.74	Exit
Aug 15 for Aug 16		Date	Aug-16	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1400.50 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1405, with a stop going in at 1408. Our downside targets are 1396, 1392, and 1386. One rarely sees such a bullish-looking pattern as we currently see in @ES and yet on the other hand nothing goes in one direction all the time. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/15/12: @ES Exit the trade at market (currently 1404) for a close-to-scratch or small loss. We were right before we were wrong, but not right enough to trigger a target and not wrong enough to hit a stop. But the trade is not developing as anticipated and so we're outta there.
08/14/2012		Entry	1400.50	Entry	1405				($225)
		Exit	1404	Exit	1404
Aug 14 for Aug 15		Date	Aug-15	Date	Aug-15				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($50)
		Entry	1405	Entry
		Exit	1404	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-15	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2331 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2294, with a stop going in at 1.2236. Our upside targets are 1.2374, 1.2423 and 1.2464. I know we've been in a protracted down-trend for ever so long, but then again we are coming out of monthly support with dots swinging all over the place in the monthly, weekly, and daily charts, and with plenty of air above us before we get to weekly and monthly resistance. So let's see how this up-cycle plays out, I suspect there is a good trade hiding in these weeds. That is, of course, if the Summer paint-drying season does not drain all the energy out of the markets. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/14/12: EURUSD We hit out first target and are out at 1.2374. Right after that we saw a dot-refresh move back to the daily dot, and the trade concept is still valid for those who were not aboard yesterday or those who wish to stay long, I think we will see more upside to this market over time. But the lackadaisical nature of this August trading seems to lack conviction and under such conditions I tend to grab the small win and move on to look for better opportunities.
08/13/2012		Entry	1.2331	Entry					$430
		Exit	1.2374	Exit
Aug 13 for Aug 14		Date	Aug-14	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 78.25 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.11, with a stop in at 77.98. Our upside targets are 78.64, 78.85, AND 78.95. Congestion, congestion, congestion and more congestion. We cycled back down to congestion bottom today and so we'll play the opposite for Monday, looking to cycle back to the top congestion confines once more, and perhaps beyond. We've been doing it for weeks, why not once more? Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/14/12: USDJPY Patience rewarded: We hit our second target and almost hit our third target, but it was not to be, at least not today. I suspect there is more upside here but for our track record purposes we are out at the second target, and bank the proceeds with a smile. Update 8/13/12: USDJPY Hold long. Paint drying in humid weather is a hundred times more interesting than this doldrums-ridden August market.
08/10/2012		Entry	78.25	Entry					$635
		Exit	78.85	Exit
Aug 10 for Aug 13		Date	Aug-14	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1618 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1615, with a stop going in at 1609. Our upside targets are 1623, 1627, and 1633. Similar to what we have seen in the Aussie recently, Gold is holding gains and this congestion of recent days and weeks is coiling ever tighter. Are we seeing a congestion exit to the upside gathering steam? We'll know soon enough but I do note the weekly-daily-monthly dot pushes in support of this idea. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/10/12: @GC We hit our second target and aggressive traders are out at 1627 with two contracts and a solid win. It was not an easy day however, as there was some sharp volatility that took us for an ever-so-short poke through our stop level, thus taking out the conservative trader with his hard stop and testing the ability of the aggressive trader to manage the trade. I describe the action in our closing comment:Video
08/09/2012		Entry	1618	Entry	1615				$2,100
		Exit	1627	Exit	1609
Aug 9 for Aug 10		Date	Aug-10	Date	Aug-10				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($600)
		Entry	1615	Entry
		Exit	1627	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-10	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 82.93 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 82.68, with a stop going in at 82.49. Our upside targets are 83.13, 83.49, and 83.70. We have witnessed the Aussie hold its gains in recent days; I am seeing this as strength gathering more energy for a further move north into new territory. Price is simply acting differently than it did a few weeks ago when an advance into this ares would be a precursor to a cycle down. Now we're holding, and as the weekly live dot and monthly live dot get closer to current price we will see an increasing tendency to break to the upside. The reason: note the dot-push in ALL time periods from yearly to daily. Or so it seems to me. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/9/12: AUDJPY We hit out first target and are out at 83.13. This is a small win and a near-at-hand target but these are the dog days of August and the Forex daily ranges are small. We'll take a win where we can find it, and not overstay our welcome.
08/08/2012		Entry	82.93	Entry					$254
		Exit	83.13	Exit
Aug 8 for Aug 9		Date	Aug-09	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 148'200 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 149'080, with a stop in at 149'310. Our downside targets are 147'180, 147'050,, and 146'120. We're seeing the reaction to risk-on trades in global hard assets reflected here in the weakening U.S. debt market. The move is already underway but let's see if we can pick up a position on a little retracement here and then be on-board as the move progresses lower. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/9/12: We hit our second target at 147'180 and are out with a solid base hit. Those who choose to hold short have good technical reasons to do so but for our purposes here we are out and ringing the cash register. Conservative traders came close but the entry did not trigger. Update 8/8/12: @US So far so good. Hold short. Bring stop does to 149'090, add a first target of 147'270, and second target is 147'180, third target is 147'050, then 146'120.
08/07/2012		Entry	148'200	Entry					$937
		Exit	147'180	Exit
Aug 7 for Aug 8		Date	Aug-09	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0002 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0018, with a stop going in at 1.0044. Our downside targets are .9988, .9972, and .9944. All signs seem to show the Dollar/Loonie cross moving to the yearly envelope bottom area at .9540, and if this be the case then I am expecting Monthly and quarterly dot-pushes to continue, and a weekly and daily C-wave down to re-appear. It all fits in with the growing expectations of more global economic strength. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/7/12: USDCAD We hit our second target and are out at .9972. Similarly to yesterday's trade, I think there is more to the downside here and those who wish to hold short for more gains can certainly do so. But for the purposes of our short-term track record here we will take the second target and look to re-short another day.
08/06/2012		Entry	1.0002	Entry	1.0018				$762
		Exit	.9972	Exit	.9972
Aug 6 for Aug 7		Date	Aug-07	Date	Aug-07				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$461
		Entry	1.0018	Entry
		Exit	.9972	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-07	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 78.36 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.18, with a stop going in at 77.95. Our upside targets are 78.73, 78.95, and 79.14. We saw a big reversal today in many markets as the Non-Farm Payrolls report engendered some confidence. Risk trades of all sorts are underway: ES, GC, CL, going up and US headed down. We'll play the loss of "flight-to-safety" in the Japanese Yen. I'd like to think this is the beginning of a longer, larger move, and if so we need to see some first steps here.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/7/12:usdjpy We finally hit target and are out at 78.73. Is there more upside in this trade? Almost certainly the answer is yes and those who wish to hold long for better upside targets have my blessing. However for the purposes of our short-term track record here we choose to take our exit at the first target and re-set at a better price another day. Update 8/6/12: USDJPY Hold long. Those who don't like to breath underwater may exit with the small loss that is presently in force, but I'm holding onto the trade for a bit. After all we're in daily zone 3, in weekly support, monthly support, are at the yearly envelope bottom, have outside-inside on the quarterly, and dots swinging on monthly, and weekly. The daily has been cycling in this congestion for what seems to be all of living memory and the next cycle should be up. Or so it seems. I'm holding for target. Naturally I can be wrong, but we'll see...
08/03/2012		Entry	78.36	Entry	78.18				$1,170
		Exit	78.73	Exit	78.73
Aug 3 for Aug 6		Date		Date	Aug-07				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$699
		Entry	78.18	Entry
		Exit	78.73	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-07	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0070 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0047, with a stop at 1.0015. Our upside targets are 1.0100, 1.0110, 1.0126, and then 1.0161 should we get lucky with a very big move. We have the mother of all economic reports tomorrow, the U.S Non-farm Payrolls report, announced about every 30 days on the first Friday of the month at 8:30 ET. This number has the potential to push markets around significantly and since it seems all markets are correlated these days we always urge a bit of caution. Nevertheless we see USDCAD starting a dot-refresh move with some staunchness and so we're bet on that continuing. The technical support it and that's the game we play. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 8/3/12: USDCAD Oh Drat. Well we knew that we were heading into volatility. Both aggressive and conservative traders were filled, and both were losers. The sole consolation is that our aggressive trader could read the flow and after some nine hourly bars of consecutive steady and strong c-wave flow against his trade concept plus seeing the daily PLDot break thus adding insult to injury, he tossed in the towel at 1.0032 and covered his trade. Conservative traders had no such recourse of course and thus they are out when the stop got triggered. We were just in the wrong neighborhood, officer.
08/02/2012		Entry	1.0070	Entry	1.0047				($530)
		Exit	1.0032	Exit	1.0015
Aug 2 for Aug 3		Date		Date	Aug-03				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($320)
		Entry	1.0047	Entry
		Exit	1.0032	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-03	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 150'170 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 150'24 just under the PLdot. Our stop goes in at 151'220 and our downside targets are 150'080, 149'300, 149'190 and then 148.31, at the weekly live envelope bottom. We saw a volatile day today as the Fed open market committee announced that they would do nada at the moment; the price action of the volatility was instructive though, we saw a sharp rejection of the hourly bar as it hit it's 5/9 down and crashed decisively lower. This sharp rejection of higher price is to my mind strong guidance as to direction in the next day or so. Remember however that we have more volatility ahead in Friday's payrolls report, so be aware and alert. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/2/12: @US A wild day but a successful one. Both aggressive and conservative traders were filled in the early going, and when the economic reports hit the wires at 8:30 ET (from both the U.S and European sources, these days we have to watch global announcements not just domestic developments), the volatility carried us nicely and precisely to our third target. Would that we had perfect foresight we could have reversed and made a further bundle... but we're quite happy indeed with what we did call correctly. We book the profits and smile.
08/01/2012		Entry	150'170	Entry	150'240				$2,094
		Exit	149'190	Exit	149'190
Aug 1 for Aug 2		Date	Aug-02	Date	Aug-02				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,156
		Entry	150'240	Entry
		Exit	149'190	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-02	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 87.96 or better or on the open (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 87.50, with a stop at 86.85. Our upside targets are 88.59, 90.18, and then just off the 5/9 down at 91.08. Crude has fallen off today to the bottom of the range, and this occurring most likely on expectations of Fed non-action. But there are plenty of worries around the globe that could support a Crude Oil move back up -- the Mid-East, China strength, Euro Strength, Fed stimulus. As always, when the technical are right it is slightest twitch of news that can trigger a move. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 8/1/12:@CL Today's action shows why these markets are challenging! Aggressive traders were filled and picked up a second contract on a dip to the conservative entry point... true, we missed that conservative entry point by 1 cent and that is a deal-breaker for the conservative trader, who must live and die by his single entry order and has no discretion at all. Our aggressive trader however was able to see the near miss and recognize that since it was only a single tick, he could and should to enter anyway, and so he did, at the close of that hourly bar, at 87.75. We hit our first target at 88.59 and were well on the way to our second target when the Fed swooped in and did.... absolutely nothing. Given the volatility we'll take our exit for track record purposes at the first target and stand aside, although traders who choose to hold long have my vote as I believe there is more to the upside here in Crude Oil.
07/31/2012		Entry	87.97	Entry					$1,460
		Exit	88.59	Exit
July 31 for Aug 1		Date	Aug-01	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry	87.75	Entry
		Exit	88.59	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Aug-01	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 151 even or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 151-120, with a stop at 152'060. Our downside targets are at 150'090, 149'290. 148'150 and then 145-020. We see the monthly moving inside it's envelope now with the new month just about to begin, and the weekly has rolled over nicely, and the daily big-time exhaust move of Friday has now retraced to a significant point of resistance. SO why not sell again? The technicals support it. Now if the Fed and the Europeans will cooperate, we're in business. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/31/12: @US Lots of chop today with the trade being in good profit but short of target and then underwater again towards the end of the day. Bit news coming out tomorrow in this market and so we're bringing the trade home and will look to re-establish our short another day.
07/30/2012		Entry	151'000	Entry	151'120				($687)
		Exit	151'170	Exit	151'170
July 30 for July 31		Date	Jul-31	Date	Jul-31				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($156)
		Entry	151'120	Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-31	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY AT 78.46 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.31 or better,with a stop at 78.10. Upside targets are 78.68 and then 78.96 and eventually 79.15 79.31. We're seeing the major heavyweight political payers in Europe line up shoulder-to-shoulder and say "Bring it on, we're holding this line." Certainly this will be tested but in the meantime the market is unwinding the risk-off play that involved stashing money in the Yen for safety. Dollar/Yen has been eroding for quite some time now and thus methinks this reversal may have some legs as well. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/31/12: USDJPY Exit at market for a small loss. This market had a choppy day and while our stop has held and the fundamental trade concept is in all likelihood still valid, price action is anything but compelling and I think it the better part of valor to bring the trade home and keep our powder dry for another day. If the dollar/Yen cross strengthens there will be many opportunities to get aboard a potentially long trend run up. But apparently it is not starting today. Update 7/30/12: USDJPY Hold Long. We find ourselves underwater and experiencing a bit of discomfort and yet the pattern is such that odds are on the side of an up day tomorrow. Adjust the stop to 78.01. Those uncomfortable with the slightly increased risk can exit now and take the loss but I'm rolling the dice here and sticking with the trade.
07/27/2012		Entry	78.46	Entry	78.31				($704)
		Exit	78.11	Exit	78.11
July 27 for July 30		Date	Jul-31	Date	Jul-31				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($256)
		Entry	78.31	Entry
		Exit	78.11	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-31	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL on a dip towards the daily dot, say at 88.95 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 88.29 with a stop below the 1-1 low at 88.02. Our upside targets are 90.42, 91.40, and 93.06. With the boost in confidence from the European Central Bank and the consequent advance in risk assets, we see crude as best positioned to continue this move up into resistance. Yes there are current demand issues, and yes there is a lot of inventory about, but this is a business of expectation as well as fact and the mood has shifted. Let's see how this plays out. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 7/27/12: @CL No trade today. We had the right idea and the right direction but the entrance was not triggered and the target was not reached, and price action was such that a directional trade would have been hard to effect as well. So all in all, today one of those days when the right idea is nice to have but not enough to put us in the winning column. This goes in the books as a "no trade" day.
07/26/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
July 26 for July 27		Date		Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES closer to the envelope bottom at 1329 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1325, with a stop at 1318 and our upside targets at 1342, 1345, and 1351. We've had a few sharply lower days but now we see the envelope bottom rolling up and the pldots starting to swing off the main channel line; the thinking here is that we'll see an up-cycle start. Generally speaking the market will ant to check out support once more and thus we set and entry a little lower than we otherwise might, but aggressive traders should be alert in case the trade takes off suddenly to the upside. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/26/12: @ES An excellent trade. Aggressive traders got long very close to the low of the day and hit all three targets handily. We're out at the third target but those who were monitoring the flow surely took out a good bit more as we moved to and past the daily 5/9.
07/25/2012		Entry	1329	Entry					$1,100
		Exit	1351	Exit
July 25 for July 26		Date	Jul-26	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 88.13 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 88.32. Our stop goes it at 89.16, and our downside targets are 87.40, 87.02, and 86.58. The risk of Mid-East conflict still threatens but the drums of war seem drowned out but the drum beat of bad economic news coming out of Europe and China. We hit the Weekly PLDot with but the slightest of reactions and so my bet is that the monthly dot-push to the downside is still the dominant technical influence, and we look to the downside for our targets. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/25/12: @CL Today's action showed the benefits of the aggressive trader's ability to monitor the market, as well as the disadvantage that not being able to do so places on the conservative trader. Both were short the market, and the aggressive with two contracts, when the stop rice was hit momentarily but not exceeded -- a clear signal for the aggressive trader who was able to see what was occurring and re-entered the market short 20 cents lower. Our conservative trader take it in the neck but our aggressive trader is a bit more nimble and can play the move to conclusion as we hit our second target almost perfectly. Sort of a wild day! Video
07/24/2012		Entry	88.14	Entry	88.32				$2,020
		Exit	87.02	Exit	89.16
July 24 for July 25		Date	Jul-25	Date	Jul-25				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($840)
		Entry	88.32	Entry
		Exit	87.02	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-25	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell AUDJPY at 80.42 (aggressive traders ) or more conservatively at 80.78. Our stop goes in at 81.15. Our downside targets? It all depends on the depth of the gloom emanating from the sacred halls of the European political salons but we can set 79.99, 79.46, and 79.32 for starters. Things certainly have taken another turn for the worse in Spain and Greece. Seems like nobody can ever let anything fail -- admit it and be done with it. And so the failures that we do see are drawn out week after week after month after month, and draining energy and hope from market participants like drips of blood from a thousand cuts. Obviously they are not taking my phone calls in Brussels. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/25/12: AUDJPY Aggressive traders rode the trade down close to the second target as expected, however we never got quite that low and when the shift in flow became apparent, after having narrowly missed the target, out aggressive traders covered the trade and exited at 79.93, very close to yesterday's first target. So, no second target but a small win nevertheless. At least we can say that we tried! Conservative traders were never aboard this trade. Update 7/24/12: Hold short. We're aboard this trade with our aggressive traders, and so far have hit our first target. This so inclined could take profits and exit here but I think there is more in the trade and am holding for the second target at 79.46. Move the stop to 81.54, and so at the very least we hedge the bet significantly.
07/23/2012		Entry	80.42	Entry					$627
		Exit	79.93	Exit
July 23 for July 24		Date	Jul-25	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 91.58 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 91.30 with a stop at 90.51. Our upside targets are 92.59, 93.14, 94.30 and then 94.30. If there is a war event over the weekend then price could spike much higher. We have seen a pretty convincing retracement off the 5/9 of yesterday and so now we're looking for the up-move to resume. Let's see how this plays out. New and term structure is supportive, but anything can happen of course. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/23/12: @CL Wrong on this trade, no two ways about it. We got caught in the sudden shift in the economic winds in Europe and China, but also with hindsight we could have given more weight to the outside-to-inside move in the daily bar of last Friday. Aggressive traders read the flow and exited at 90.96 after several bars of adverse hourly flow; conservative traders suffered through until the stop was hit. A advisory note: we're working a variable flow indicator that could give both aggressive and conservative traders a good bit of support in exits like these. I'll keep you posted.
07/20/2012		Entry	91.58	Entry	90.30				($860)
		Exit	90.96	Exit	90.51
July 20 for July 23		Date	Jul-23	Date	Jul-23				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($790)
		Entry	91.30	Entry
		Exit	90.96	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 150'190 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 150'240, with a stop at 151-060. Our downside targets are 150'000 and then 149'190 and then 149'090. We're seeing things roll over nicely; traders who took the bonus trade on Wednesday have a leg up on this trade but it's not too late to sell the bonds-- or should I say never too late? Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/20/12: Well when I'm wrong I'm really wrong! The market opened up at 150'190 and took off to the upside and never looked back, so both our aggressive and conservative traders were filled and both took a loss. Our conservative trader hit the stop and is out. Our aggressive trader took a flow-based exit after numerous hourly bars of adverse flow and exited at 150'290.
07/19/2012		Entry	150'190	Entry	150'240				($469)
		Exit	150'290	Exit	151'060
July 19 for July 20		Date	Jul-20	Date	Jul-20				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($437)
		Entry	150'240	Entry
		Exit	150'290	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-20	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 81.65 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 81.45, and our stop will go in at 81.17. Our upside targets are 82.16, 82.40, and then 82.70. We have a strong move underway and we'd like to get aboard. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/20/12: AUDJPY Wow, how annoying is that? We missed target by 6 pips. However we still eked out a profit as our aggressive traders, who have leeway to take action upon reading the flow, saw the shift in price action and took an exit at 81.93 after a couple of hourly bars of adverse flow and as price broke through the daily envelope top. Conservative traders were not aboard this trade. Update 7/19/12: AUDJPY Hold long, move stop to 81.45. I suspect we'll get to target but those traders who entered on Wednesday are happier than those who entered on Thursday. Trade is not a strong as anticipated but on balance I think I'll hang in there.
07/18/2012		Entry	81.65	Entry					$357
		Exit	81.93	Exit
July 18 for July 19		Date	Jul-20	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy Crude Oil @CL at 89.00 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 88.30. Our stop goes in at 87.40 and our upside targets are 90.24, 92.32, and 93.30. Something is going on here. I know we've had a few days of this rising price but on the other hand price did not stop when it hit the monthly 5/9 and instead sailed right through it. Warships are a-gathering near oil choke-points and the leaders of various countries including the US are starting to posture and strut more aggressively. Back your enemy into a corner and things may get nasty in an unexpected way. Also we are seeing other "risk-on" contracts starting to move... and so we suggest a bonus trades tonight as well: Long AUDJPY, target 82.10. Short @US in the vicinity of the 6/5 or daily dot, target 150'000. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/20/12: Bonus Trades Our @US bonus trade was stopped out at break-even as we had the foresight to move the stop to our entry point yesterday. Our AUDJPY trade got very, very lucky as price exceeded our target by a fraction of a pip. So, we're out at target and book a bonus trade profit. We'll accept the lucky break and smile. Update 7/19/12: @CL Holding @CL long was clearly the right move. We hit our second target today and are out at that point. Basis the August contract the exit was at 92.32 and that will be the number we use in our accounting; if you rolled to the September contract then the target was 92.65. An excellent trade; now we stand aside and assess the next entry point. Update 7/19/12: Bonus Trades Those who took the long AUDJPY trade on 7/18 should hold long; we are approaching target and I think there is a good chance we'll get there. Move stop to breakeven. Those who are short the @US from the 6/5 of 7/18 should hold short; this trade is starting to work for us. Move stop to breakeven and thus we have risk-free exposure. Update 7/18/12: @CL Hold long, Move stop to 88:50 and first target to 90.45. Also note that we are right up against the notice day for the August contract and it may be necessary to roll to the September contract, and so adjust these numbers accordingly if necessary. At the close tonight we had $960 in open profits and those so inclined have some good reason to take profits and exit, but I would like to roll the dice here a bit as I suspect there is more in the trade.
07/17/2012		Entry	89.00	Entry					$3,320
		Exit	92.32	Exit
July 17 for July 18		Date	Jul-19	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	81.45
		Exit		Exit	82.10				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jul-20				$828
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1589 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1583, with a stop below the dot at 1577. Our upside targets are 1598, 1607, and 1613. We see general risk-on moves in crude, gold, stocks, to an extent in the currencies, and of course the grains which are a special case. Let's see how we do taking a stab at gold. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/17/12: @GC Sort of a wild day in Gold as the market went every which way. We hit our first target handily and then Gold went south... which could have been a problem for the conservative trader had he not set orders properly so as to cancel his entry if not filled if the target was hit first. Just goes to show you the markets can do anything at any time and that is something to forget at our peril.
07/16/2012		Entry	1589	Entry					$900
		Exit	1598	Exit
July 16 for July 17		Date	Jul-17	Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 151'100 or better (aggressive traders), or more conservatively at 151-190. Our stop goes in at 152'030 and our downside targets are 150'260, 150'210, and 150'030. On Friday we saw a general move toward strength in gold, crude oil, and stock indexes; we see the bonds weakening a bit in the technical tools we use -- dots swinging, flow weakening, and the rest -- and hints of higher interest rates dance and shimmy in the haze. Let's see how our short plays out. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/16/12: @US Looks like were were a day early on this trade. A slow steady grind against us until noon, and then falling back from resistance to the conservative entry point -- but in the meantime we were stopped out. Such is the trader's life. The only consolation was that the aggressive trader could read the flow and stepped aside at 151'250, as the consistent up-flow broke through the 1-1 high.
07/13/2012		Entry	151'100	Entry	151'190				($656)
		Exit	151'250	Exit	152'030
July 13 for July 16		Date	Jul-16	Date	Jul-16				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($500)
		Entry	151'190	Entry
		Exit	151'250	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-16	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1328 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1322, with a stop at 1317. Our upside targets are 1337, 1343, and 1349, just up under the 5/9 down. We're seeing dots swinging at key weekly support and a reaction to the monthly 5/1 up, and we also see a daily exhaust into key support (albeit a modest exhaust) and I'm starting to sniff out an up day in store. So far we're just seeing hints and so this is not a slam-dunk trade by any means. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 7/13/12: @ES Good call, we hit our third target easily. However with the perversity that market players know all too well, we missed our stated entry by a mere three ticks. Thus our aggressive traders went for a flow-based entry as soon as the direction was clear, and entered at 1331.75 after a couple of hourly bars of up-flow. Still, we are pleased with the call and take our tidy profit to the bank, trying not to think about the larger win we missed by a hair's breadth.
07/12/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
July 12 for July 13		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1331.75
		Exit		Exit	1349				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jul-13				$862.50
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 150'230 or better (aggressive traders) or 151'050 for conservative traders, with a stop at 152'190. Our downside targets are 150'000, and 149'190. Shorting the bonds has been a popular -- and loosing--trade these days. Why are we nibbling at this poison well? The sharp 60 minute exhaust and reversal late Wednesday caught our eye and tempt us into this trade again. But be aware, this trade carries some risk and the stop is larger than usual, so keep your eyes peeled and monitor the market. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/12/12: @US This trade concept was taking on water all day. Aggressive traders took tot he sidelines after it became perfectly clear t hat support was strong and driving price grindingly higher; exit was at 151'110. Conservative traders do not have that leeway and should exit on the open of the night session, which we deem and expect to be the same as the close, 151'210. Those traders able to accommodate the risk could put a resting order in and most likely be filled for an exit at a lower level(say perhaps much closer to break-even) but we can't recommend that as a conservative trade maneuver. We take the hit and move on. Video
07/11/2012		Entry	150'230	Entry	151'050				($781)
		Exit	151'110	Exit	151'210
July 11 for July 12		Date	Jul-12	Date	Jul-12				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($500)
		Entry	151'050	Entry
		Exit	151'110	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-12	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0224 or better (aggressive traders)or more conservatively at 1.0212, with a stop going in at 1.0191. Our upside targets are 1.0243, 1.0257, 1.0274, and then finally 1.0294. We see some wavering and waffling in the markets today and significant dollar strength relative to the Loonie; we'll place a bit that this will continue for a bit as we work towards the monthly target of continued C-wave and monthly 5/1 down. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/11/12: USDCAD Most annoyingly we were stopped out in a volatile day. Flow took out the aggressive trader and the conservative trader got stopped out at the predetermined stop. Given the chart pattern yesterday we did not wish to move the stop to where the structure said it would be was safe, as that put the risks a bit on the high side. And so for our efforts we got stopped out. Such is life; on we go...
07/10/2012		Entry	1.0224	Entry	1.0212				($294)
		Exit	1.0203	Exit	1.0191
July 10 for July 11		Date	Jul-11	Date	Jul-11				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($206)
		Entry	1.0212	Entry
		Exit	1.0203	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-11	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2318 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2285. Our stop goes in at 1.2238 and our upside targets are 1.2338, 1.2376, and 1.2422. Here we are once again waiting on the outcome and implications the meetings in Europe. Slowly, slowly that group of nations is starting to show the very slightest signs of getting their act together. Will it in fact happen? "Possibly" is the only reasonable answer. But we will see soon enough. In the meantime we're betting that the world is not coming to an end just yet. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/10/12: EURUSD Conservative traders exited for a loss at our stop price. Aggressive traders however took an early exit based on flow. Once it was clear that we failed to achieve our target by a few ticks only and then headed south, as soon as price broke support at the hourly dot the trade concept was invalid our aggressive trader was out at 1.2280.
07/09/2012		Entry	1.2318	Entry	1.2285				($430)
		Exit	1.2280	Exit	1.2238
July 9 for July 10		Date	Jul-10	Date	Jul-10				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($470)
		Entry	1.2285	Entry
		Exit	1.2280	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-10	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0178 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0164 just off the 6/5. Our stop goes in at 1.0142 and our upside targets are 1.0212, 1.0225, and 1.0252, with a further greedy eye cast up towards the ultimate possible target at the quarterly envelope top. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 7/9/12: USDCAD Neither the aggressive trader nor the conservative trader was triggered, and although the day played out pretty much as I suspected the price volatility was not there, thus we did not get low enough to trigger entries not high enough to trigger targets. This was a "No Trade" day if I ever saw one.
07/06/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
July 6 for July 9		Date		Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2391 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2444. Our stop goes in at 1.2533 and our downside targets are 1.2338, 1.2311, and then 1.2259. It looks to me like we're heading towards the monthly 5/2-5/1 area. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/6/12: EURUSD We hit our third target -- that is we came within six tenths of a pip of our target, and so are out very shortly thereafter. We take our exit at the close of the hourly bar during which we virtually hit our target, a few pips away, so instead of 1.2259 we're out at 1.2271. These targets are amazing, wouldn't you say? By now my tendency to cut things a little close is well documented and so savvy traders probably fade my targets by a couple of ticks anyway -- not a bad idea. Maybe I'll try it myself.
07/05/2012		Entry	1.2391	Entry					$1,200
		Exit	1.2271	Exit
July 5 for July 6		Date	Jul-06	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 79.87 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 79.71. Our stop goes in at 79.43 and our targets to the upside are 80.13, 80.30, and 80.48. Rarely do we see a market as tightly coiled for breakout action as this one, and yet with flow signalling that the exit could well be to the upside. We'll see... Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/9/12: USDJPY Stopped out; seems that those who exited last night had the better idea. To add insult to injury: our stop was exceeded by only 2 pips. This is a trading error on my part, setting the stop too close. But that notwithstanding, this trade was not going according to plan and we're better off out of it. Update 7/6/12: USDJPY Hold long. Not a happy trade as price has moved against us, taking our very small profit and putting us under water at the close of the day. I think we'll cycle back up to the top of congestion and thus get out at a better price or make a profit and so that is the call tonight. But those traders who want to exit and take the loss now should do that, it is an understandable position to take. Update 7/5/12:USDJPY Hold long. We're aboard with both conservative and aggressive traders filled. A choppy and uncertain market but the trade concept is still valid. We'll sit tight.
07/04/2012		Entry	79.87	Entry	79.71				($905)
		Exit	79.43	Exit	79.43
July 4 for July 5		Date	Jul-09	Date	Jul-09				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		(352)
		Entry	79.71	Entry
		Exit	79.43	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-09	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2608 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2580, with a stop at 1.2531. Our upside targets are 1.2634, 1.2673, and 1.2720. The Europeans are perplexing; the market seems to be positive on the recent meeting outcome but I can't see all that much that has changed (in other words, Merkel still holds the whip). On the other hand if the flow is up (and it does seem to be, though not as one-sided as I might like), we're "go with" traders. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 7/4/12: EURUSD No lack of clarity here: we were wrong and got stopped out. The only consolation is the the aggressive trader read the flow and exited at 1.2559 after four full hours of adverse flow as price broke the 1-1 low. Better hunting another day.
07/03/2012		Entry	1.208	Entry	1.2580				($800)
		Exit	1.2559	Exit	1.2531
July 3 for July 4		Date	Jul-04	Date	Jul-04				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($590)
		Entry	1.2580	Entry
		Exit	1.2559	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jul-04	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 81.43 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 81.12, with a stop at80.80 just under the daily dot. Our upside targets are 81.83, 82.08, 82.75 and if we get there then 82.98. There will be light volume tomorrow as traders int he US head to the hills for the July 4th holiday, but thin trade can make for exaggerated moves, perhaps particularly in the already-volatile Aussy/Yen cross. The open question is how well the European revival is playing around the globe; the answer? The jury is still out, but early signs are not bad. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/3/12: AUDJPY Not a huge trade but we were as right as rain and are out at our second target. Those so inclined might look to get long against the 6/5-to-PLD area tomorrow, but watch the trade as we are pushing into resistance at these levels and are starting to see dots swinging against the trade direction. Our third and fourth targets above would still be valid if we do go higher. But for our purposes here we're out.
07/02/2012		Entry	81.43	Entry					$814
		Exit	82.08	Exit
July 2 for July 3		Date	Jul-03	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0180 just off the 6/5 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0232 closer to the dot. Our stop goes in above the 1-1 high at 1.0288 and our targets are 1.0122, 1.0102, and then 1.0039. We had a huge reversal day in the Canadian/dollar cross, and while the daily and weekly enveloped are still going sideways I am thinking we'll see a congestion exit here. The question is: how much retracement will come into play. Given the correlated move today in so many resource-oriented markets (AUD, CL, GC, etc.), and the supposed kumbyah chorus issuing out of Brussels, that this move will continue, and without too much retracement. But if so, then my thinking is that it will only take a day or two and then we continue to the downside. That's my fantasy anyway; we'll have to wait and see what the reality turns out to be. Video Similar trade concepts could be applied to GC, AUDJPY, CL, EURUSD, and ES. So there is at least a possibility we are seeing a shift in the environment.		Success	Aggressive	Update 7/3/12: USDCAD We hit our first target at the end of the day and are out with a profit. There may well be more in the trade for those who can monitor the trade, but for our purposes here we're out. Update 7/2/12: USDCAD Hold Short. Aggressive traders were filled, but we didn't get high enough for conservative traders to get aboard. We're mildly in the money as might be expected in a consolidation day like this but I think we should hold short for targets. Move stop to 1.0240.
06/29/2012		Entry	1.0180	Entry					$573
		Exit	1.0122	Exit
June 29 for July 2		Date	Jul-03	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0331 or better (aggressive trader) or more conservatively at 1.0361, with a stop at 1.0402. Our downside targets are 1.0279, 1.0252, and then 1.0240. What this looks like to me is a test of the June 6th dot crest, which occurred at the weekly envelope top on that date. We have a daily and monthly exhaust pattern developing, step one completed, and so tomorrow the bet is that we will see the daily nearby hold and a subsequent move on down. But, as with all the financial and currency markets these days, we are all pawns to the nameless bureaucrats of Brussels, and who knows what might or might not develop, and what the market effect might be. So we play the purely technical pattern. Let's see how this plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/29/12: USDCAD OK Nice trade we hit our third target and are out with a good profit BUT be sure to watch the closing comments movie that shows how if you were monitoring the trade you could have and should have hung onto the trade into the close for an even better win. Video
06/28/2012		Entry	1.0331	Entry					$891
		Exit	1.0240	Exit
June 28 for June 29		Date	Jun-29	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 80.32 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 80.08. Our stop goes in at 79.07 and our targets are 80.72, 80.94, and then 81.35. What seems bullish here is the market action; a sharp break but the market comes right back at it and shakes it off. We coming up to a new-rich weekend but nevertheless I see strength here, and wish to give the long side a try here. Technically we see dots swinging big-time, and the daily dot and the weekly live dot coalescing and in the same direction, coupled with pretty good location in the weekly and monthly zone structure. We'll see soon enough how it plays out. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/29/12: AUDJPY OK we had a strong day and both conservative and aggressive traders are out at the third target for a good profit. But be sure to see the closing trade comment for guidance on hanging in for even better profits on a day like today. I am definitely pleased that I hung in there last night! Video Update 6/28/12: AUDJPY Hold long and look for a better exit at target tomorrow. Not that all-fired happy about this trade but on balance the best choice seems to be to hold long rather than to dive to the sidelines tonight. Move stop to 79.30, and first target to 80.40.
06/27/2012		Entry	80.32	Entry	80.08				$2,896
		Exit	81.35	Exit	81.35
June 27 for June 28		Date	Jun-29	Date	Jun-29				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,598
		Entry	80.08	Entry
		Exit	81.35	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-29	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 78.70 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.28. Our stop goes in at 77.98 and our upside targets are 79.90, 80.83, and 81.56. Crude oil has been weak as we can all see but on the other hand there are signs that the weakness is sitting on longer-term support and is ripe for a move to the upside. What we suggest for tonight's trade is essentially a ping trade, buying support and getting out at resistance, and is based on zone position, dots swinging big time, rising nearby's and so forth. Technically today we saw congestion entrance. Once again we ask, is the year;y low in? No surprise if we see another dip to $75 but in the meantime we're looking to take a bite out of the long side. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/27/12: @CL We hit our second target and are out with a good profit. We pretty much nailed the day, entering two cents above the low of the day and exiting nine cents below the high of the day. Action like this builds high confidence in our methods, and indeed it is the kind of trade we would love to see repeated every day. We take our profits with a smile and look for the next trade. Regarding Crude Oil: we are moving inside the weekly envelope and although it is too early to draw any serious conclusions, this is at the very least not inconsistent with the concept of the yearly lows being put in last week. Trading strategy in this market should be "Pinging" for the next little while though, buying support each day.
06/26/2012		Entry	78.70	Entry					$2,130
		Exit	80.83	Exit
June 26 for June 27		Date	Jun-27	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2500 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2468 just above the 1-1 low. Our stop goes in at 1.2444 and out upside targets are 1.2547, 1.2590, and then 1.2646. These markets are dreadfully choppy and aggravating these days, and so all trade predictions are a bit more of a crap-shoot than one would wish. But the technical's support this trade concept; we are at the bottom of a congestion, we have dots swinging, an outside-the-envelope-to-inside move, weekly support, good position in the zone structure, monthly exhaust pattern in good shape... and so forth. But as we have all seen in recent weeks, one just can't count on the Europeans to work things out sensibly,and everything depends on the backroom discussions taking place across the Atlantic. Such is the nature of trading: We watch, we wait, we react to events, but we control nothing except our thoughts and our actions. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 6/26/12: EURUSD Our trade concept was right.... or was it. We did not hit target in the early going and yet support is holding. Our conservative traders hit the stop by a few ticks and are out, unfortunately. But our aggressive traders who are more flexible saw the very brief "poke" through the stop level as a fake-out and held the course, and did not exit (or if they did they went right back in as price sharply rebounded upwards). But if the EURUSD is not weak it is also not as strong as we anticipated, and so the aggressive trader exits at the close or shortly after the opening of the evening session. So win-one-lose-one, this goes in the books as a scratch. Video
06/25/2012		Entry	1.2500	Entry	1.2468				$220
		Exit	1.2495	Exit	1.2444
June 25 for June 26		Date	Jun-26	Date	Jun-26				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($240)
		Entry	1.2468	Entry
		Exit	1.2495	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-26	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 148'080 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 148'160. Our stop goes in at 149'170, and our downside targets are 147'240, 147'050, and 146'130. We've seen a lot of weakness here today, more than I anticipated, and signs are growing that we may move on down out of this congestion. We'll know soon enough if we're right. Naturally one wonders if the yearly top is in, a distinct possibility. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 6/25/12: @US Not a pretty day as the market started moving against us early and kept that unpleasant pressure on all day. Aggressive traders took to the hills after five hours of adverse flow and exited two contracts at 148'260. Our conservative trader who does not have that advantage hung in there until the close and then exited (though the stop was not hit, and thus a bit of a judgment involved). No sense in letting a bad situation get worse. That said, however, we are in a congestion and the next move will almost certainly be down to the congestion bottom. However in order to make that trade we would have to expand our stop and that I am not willing to do; the better part of trading valor is to take the lump and exit, then look to re-short if that seems to be a good move when the dust has cleared. Video (Updated to correct my math.)
06/22/2012		Entry	148'080	Entry	148'160				($875)
		Exit	148'260	Exit	149'110
June 22 for June 25		Date	Jun-25	Date	Jun-25				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($844)
		Entry	148'160	Entry
		Exit	148'260	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-25	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 77.85 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 77.24. Our stop goes in at 76.83, and the upside targets are 79.57, 80.19, and 81.09. This trade is not for the faint-hearted, and so do not take it unless you are comfortable with the risks. We've seen such big days that it is clear that there will be at some point be a significant retracement. The problem is that so far there is not a lot of evidence that this is going to happen tomorrow; it may be that there is more to go to the downside here. Nevertheless we have seen crude oil drop from $84 to $78 in two sessions, that that is a whale of a move, a mini-crash of sorts. We're approaching long-term support and my bet is that there will be a breather here while the market catches up with itself. In any case we'll find out very soon. Aggressive traders should monitor flow and be prepared to take action to protect themselves; if the current support breaks then the next level starts to come in at 75.11, so that is something to keep in mind. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/22/12: @CL We hit our second target and are out with an excellent profit; we pretty much nailed the trade and our only regret is that we didn't have multiple contracts on as the conservative entry was not triggered. But hopefully some of our more aggressive customers took advantage of the move in a big way. Next question: is the yearly low in now or will we see one more move down to the $73 - $75 area? The slope of the envelope says there is more to the downside, but on the other hand the move up today was pretty impressive. A reference point to keep in mind: the yearly 5/2 up at 73.26.
06/21/2012		Entry	77.85	Entry					$2,340
		Exit	80.19	Exit
June 21 for June 22		Date	Jun-22	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 79.50 or better (aggressive traders) or ore conservatively at 79.23. Our stop goes in at 78.95 and our targets to the upside are 79.83, 80.21, and 80.50. We saw a big day today in the dollar/yen cross that brought us up to the top of the recent congestion. The daily dot is swinging nicely and I'm looking for a continued move up out of this longish congestion. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/21/12: USDJPY Big day today in many markets and we took advantage of that in the USDJPY; we hit our second target and are out at 80.21. There is likely more in this trade since the dollar is on a real tear at the moment but for our purposes here we're out and to the sidelines we go.
06/20/2012		Entry	79.50	Entry					$885
		Exit	80.21	Exit
June 20 for June 21		Date	Jun-21	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0177 or better (aggressive traders) or at 1.0192 for more conservative traders. Our stop goes in at 1.0254 and out downside targets are 1.0145, 1.0116, and 1.0058 down at the daily 5/9 u. We're seeing the ole' "risk-on" trade being re-established across the board today and so we'll play that game as well, selling the USDCAD with the idea that the Loonie/USD cross is starting a move back down to par. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 6/21/12: USDCAD In this wildest of volatile days, we were stopped out as the market moved against us. Conservative traders are out at our revised stop of 1.0156. Aggressive traders however took note to the steady and unrelenting adverse flow and elected to exit after four hourly bars against the trade -- being a bit skittish anyway since it was the second day of the trade. Video Update 6/20/12: USDCAD Hold short. Both aggressive and conservative traders are aboard but we missed hitting our target on the down move; however the market came through the volatility following the FOMC meeting announcements easily and is still looking weak, and so we'll hold short. Move stop to 1.0224. Move first target to 1.0156.
06/19/2012		Entry	1.0177	Entry	1.0192				($399)
		Exit	1.0205	Exit	1.0224
June 19 for June 20		Date	Jun-21	Date	Jun-21				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($311)
		Entry	1.0192	Entry
		Exit	1.0205	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-21	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2577 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2613 under the daily dot. Our stop goes in at 1.2697 and our downside targets are 1.2514, 1.2490, and 1.2459 just off the 5/9 up. Yes the Greeks avoided electing the radical left parties but initial joy gave way quickly to renewed gloom as the world realized that things were not going to be so simple after all; A coalition of the unwilling "has" to be formed, and yet that seems hard to accomplish when everybody is busy saying "no". Thus we sell resistance and buy support. Now what is so difficult about that? Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 6/19/12: EURUSD Our closing trade comment is very short and simple: we wuz wrong and are out with a smallish loss. Conservative traders exited at the stop but our aggressive traders took a look at the developing flow against the trade and exited at 1.2612 after seeing very ample and repeated evidence that this trade concept was wrong. Video
06/18/2012		Entry	1.2577	Entry	1.2613				($340)
		Exit	1.2612	Exit	1.2697
June 18 for June 19		Date	Jun-19	Date	Jun-19				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($840)
		Entry	1.2613	Entry
		Exit	1.2612	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-19	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 152'220 or better (aggressive traders) and conservative traders stand aside for Monday. Put a stop in at 154'250. Targets are 147'010 and 145'260 This is obviously a wild-assed play guessing at utter chaos and fear coming out of the Greek elections on Saturday. I don't expect to get filled but then if we do, it could be a great trade since the fear will dissipate and the gap will be filled, and life will go on. Don't take this trade if the size of the stop makes you uncomfortable. But realistically, seeing how correlated the markets we follow are these days, and knowing that nobody on earth can predict the outcome of the elections, our choice boils down to standing aside or taking an extreme position, because everything else in whatever symbol with trades closer to the current price carry more risk rather than less. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 6/18/12: @US Well surprise, surprise: the world did not come to an end over the weekend, and markets managed their affairs with aplomb (if you call a two-handle range in the bonds based on no definitive change in economic conditions "with aplomb"). In any case, no trade for the day and thus we look forward to more interesting times ahead.
06/15/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
June 15 for June 18		Date		Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 84.02 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 83.38 with a stop at 82.56. Our upside targets are 84.70, 85.69 and 86.47. Crude Oil has been showing good strength today and is making like it wants to move up out of this low-lying congestion that reflects its location at yearly envelope bottom and in monthly zone 1, etc. etc. This is a big and dangerous market and so we set our entrances a bit lower than usual and hedge our bets somewhat with a higher stop and even so the risks are more than we take in some other markets. And yet, if we are successful in getting aboard at these levels the upside ride could be very thrilling. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/15/12: @CL We called the range correctly, except of course the market decided to hit the target before our entry, and then dip to about 2 cents off our conservative entry. So all in all a tiny win, almost could be called a scratch trade. I'm exiting at the close here however and standing aside; the weekend promises much volatility and there is no reason to add to the confusion with a market that refuses to declare direction in a definitive manner. So we're out with a tiny profit. Longer term however I'm still bullish on crude oil.
06/14/2012		Entry	84.02	Entry					$160
		Exit	84.18	Exit
June 14 for June 15		Date	Jun-15	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1610 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1600 or better. Our stop goes in at 1593 and our targets are 1631, 1640, and if things get a bit wild, 1661. We're seeing gold make slow but steady and impressive gains as traders around the world take refuge in the "anti-currency" that operates independently of any central bank. Or does it? Many think that the current strength of gold is due to Central Bank buying, or the Chinese buying. Or the Indians. Or possibly the Martians. The fact is, we don't know, and can tell however that someone is buying, for we see the PLdots rising on a couple of different time periods. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 6/14/12: @GC We came within 40 cents of getting our aggressive entry, but no go. And we came within $2 of hitting our target. And furthermore we didn't trigger a directional trade either. So, although our basic market analysis was almost perfect, we had a "No Trade" day. So it goes. Gold is still looking bullish though; for those who are interested look to buy support tomorrow.
06/13/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
June 13 for June 14		Date		Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 148'060 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 148'180. Our stop goes in at 150'040, and our downside targets are 147'200, 146'250, and 145'300. For a while later yesterday I though we might see the bonds move back up towards the top of the range of the past two weeks, but after today's action the market is taking a more bearish tone, and now we expect to see action between the Weekly PLDot and Weekly Envelope bottom and below. At the moment resistance appears to be strong, and so that is how we'll play it. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/14/12: @US Things worked out pretty much as expected; conservative traders should exit this market at the close or upon the open, and we'll take the closing price of 148'190 as the exit price. What we accomplished overall was a win for aggressive traders and a scratch for conservative traders, far better than the conservative loss we were sitting with yesterday at this time. In my view the Bond market will be exceptionally dangerous in the coming few sessions as we expect major volatility due to European actions, but the direction of the move is a tad uncertain. Thus we move to the sidelines and are happy to be there. (Note: I had a typo and thus an error last night when I gave the revised stop price: it obviously should have been 149'290 not 148'290, as the former was logical and the latter would have put the stop below the close. A bit of stupidity on my part, for which I apologize. Update 6/13/12: @US Aggressive traders had an OK day as their entry and first target were hit early on and they are out with a solid if not extravagant profit. Our conservative traders face a more difficult decision; do they tighten the stop a bit and look for a retracement which is somewhat likely? Or do they bite the bullet and take the loss now? Percentages tell me that we are likely to see more congestion action tomorrow, but with the European politicos doing what they do these days it is anybody's guess and unexpected news can move the bond market sharply at any time. My recommendation: move the conservative stop to 148'290, move the target up a bit to 148'030, above the 1-1 low, and hold short. Aggressive traders stand aside for the moment.
06/12/2012		Entry	148'060	Entry	148'180				$562
		Exit	147'200	Exit	148'190
June 12 for June 13		Date	Jun-13	Date	Jun-14				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($31)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1300 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1309, with a stop at 1316. Our downside targets are 1288, 1278, and 1267. We saw a pretty impressive reversal today as the markets at first blush liked the fact of the Spanish bailout but then on closer look turned decidedly cool, deciding that said bailout was not enough, just more of the same, and not at all compelling after all. So, we're back into the realm of Euro-Gloom again. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 6/12/12: @ES Both the aggressive and conservative traders were filled; the market ground up against our position pretty much the whole day and the aggressive trader threw in the towel in mid-afternoon when it was clear that support wash holding strong and not breaking down as anticipated; he is out both contracts at 1309.50. The conservative trader with his "set it and forget it" parameters took it in the neck and was stopped out towards the end of the day. So it goes, and tomorrow is another day. Closing trade comment: Video
06/11/2012		Entry	1300	Entry	1309				($500)
		Exit	1309.50	Exit	1316
June 11 for June 12		Date	Jun-12	Date	Jun-12				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($350)
		Entry	1309	Entry
		Exit	1309.50	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-12	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 79.46 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 79.36 just off the daily dot. Our stop goes in at 78.97 and our targets are 79.75, 79.97, and 80.26. What are we seeing? I like the gathering strength of support as we place the weekly dot, then the daily dot, the quarterly dot and perhaps soon the monthly dot underneath pushing up. We're a touch high in the weekly structure and may see some congestion type activity, but then again the Japanese Central Bank is making noises again about how strong the yen is and the need to weaken it.. and such things often happen on weekends. So... we roll the dice here and look for strength in USDJPY on Sunday evening and Monday. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 6/11/12: USDJPY Close this trade out on the open or at a scratch price; the trade is not developing as expected, although we came within a few ticks of the first target and a few ticks of the conservative entry as well. Nevertheless I vote against holding as is, with ambiguous daily action showing; this trade could go either way and that's not good enough for me at the moment. We're out for what is essentially a scratch.
06/08/2012		Entry	79.46	Entry					($50)
		Exit	79.42	Exit
June 8 for June 11		Date	Jun-11	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.2581 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2602, with a stop at 1.2645 and downside targets at 1.2500, 1.2455, and 1.2371. What do we see? Well, a daily exhaust up into weekly resistance for one, and dots wining on the daily, and a close inside the envelope, and anticipated congestion entrance is the logical conclusion. We'll see soon enough if we are correct. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 6/8/12: EURUSD Wow we missed the aggressive entry by only 7 pips! Thus we have no trade for either the aggressive trader or the conservative trader. But we had the direction right and so when the market had unambiguously declared itself for the down-move, at the end of the session's fourth hourly bar, our directional trade entered short at 1.2539. We hit our second target and are out for decent win.
06/07/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
June 7 for June 8		Date		Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1.2539
		Exit		Exit	1.2455				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jun-08				$840
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1298 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1294. Our stop goes in at 1286 and our targets are 1317, and then 1335. After a big move in this and other markets like we have seen today, there is likely to be a bit of back-and-fill and so we have a more conservative entry set for this trade. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 6/7/12: @ES Neither aggressive traders nor conservative traders were filled at the specified entry points, but the direction was correct, and so this does qualify as a directional trade, though by the time the direction was confirmed the trade entry was already high at 1310 and thus our profit target came all too soon 1317, thus a small win only. But we're happy with that, and tuck our winnings in the bank and move on to tomorrow's trade, being thankful for small favors.
06/06/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
June 6 for June 7		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1310
		Exit		Exit	1317				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jun-07				$350
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.03768 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0408. Our stop goes in at 1.0438 our downside targets are 1.0351 1.0332, and 1.0284. It has been a loooong run to the upside for the USDCAD, and now finally we are seeing the move towards congestion entrance as the weekly and monthly exhaust patterns start to hold. And the move also reflects the global shift in risk appetite currently underway. For those interested in similar trades, take a look at buying @CL, Buying @ES, buying AUDJPY, and possibly buying the EURUSD. In all of these one should keep in mind that congestion entrance implies a block level forming, and that that instead of a trend reversal we may just be seeing congestion action setting up for the days ahead. Still, it is a generalized shift across many markets. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/6/12: USDCAD Excellent trade; we hit the third target handily for a win of 93 pips or $905 and are out. Update 6/6/12: BONUS TRADES We were spot-on target in our bonus trade recommendations last night and those that joined us in this game did very well. Results calculated by entering at the open and exiting on the close: @ES Plus 30.25 points for a gain of $1512.50; @CL a gain of $1,430; AUDJPY plus 195 pips for a win of $2,462; and EURUAD 130 pips for a gain of $1,300, total in all for our bonus trades today of $6704.50.
06/05/2012		Entry	1.0378	Entry					$905
		Exit	1.0284	Exit
June 5 for June 6		Date	Jun-06	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	76.67
		Exit		Exit	78.62				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jun-06				$6,704.50
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 78.36 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.10, with a stop at 77.70 and targets at 78.64, 78.74, 79.16 and 79.76 -- that last in case the Japanese central bank intervenes and prices take a big jump. We're seeing a bottoming formation start to take shape, and so we nibble here at establishing a long position. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/5/12:USDJPY Both aggressive and conservative traders got aboard this trade. We hit our second target handily and are out with a good profit. There is likely a lot more in this trade for those who are interested, and they can stay long and/or add to the trade or enter the trade afresh just north of the 6/5 tomorrow, maybe at 78.61-65 or so.
06/04/2012		Entry	78.36	Entry	78.10				$1,294
		Exit	78.74	Exit	78.74
June 4 for June 5		Date	Jun-05	Date	Jun-05				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$812
		Entry	78.10	Entry
		Exit	78.74	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2362 or better(aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.2336. Our stop goes in at 1.2289 and our targets are 1.2469, 1.2509 and 1.2568. This is the first reversal of the EURUSD we've seen in a long time, and so we now ping to the long-side, trying to take reasonably small bites, buying support and selling resistance, and keeping the stops reasonably tight. Why this sudden strength? Who knows... but then look at the long-term support: yearly envelope bottom, quarterly 5/2 up, monthly exhaust pattern holding, and so forth. Video Many other interesting developments arise out of Friday's volatility. Look at the GC exhaust, the US exhaust, and also at CL and ES. Commentary in the video. Some bonus trades contained therein. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 6/4/12: EURUSD We did not get down to our aggressive entry but the direction was correct, and so we have a directional trade. Our directional trader entered at 1.2403 after a few hours of up-flow, and we reached our second target by the barest of margins and are out at 1.2509. Not bad at all.
06/01/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
June 1 for June 4		Date		Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1.2403
		Exit		Exit	1.2509				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jun-04				$1,060
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDJPY at 78.69 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 78.88. Our stop goes in at 79.08 and our targets are 78.00, and then 77.59. We will see a refresh move up but we're looking to catch the strong resistance levels manifested by the continued daily and HTP downtrends and the steep slope of the daily envelope. Video Similar trades exist on the AUDJPY forex market, and I am also looking at the exhaust pattern developing in @US, thinking that if price gets up to 151'140 it could be a good sell point (monthly 5/9 level). We could see such a pop if the non-farm payroll report breaks the right way.		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/1/12: USDJPY Have a little volatility with your tea my dear? Today was he perfect example of why we get sort of cautious in front of the non-farm payroll report each month. Today it worked out in our favor however as we first have a "Directional Trade" where we missed the entrance by four pips and then rode to target as anticipated. And then in the report volatility our aggressive entry was hit and five minuted later we hit target for a good profit. Breath-taking, but all's well that ends well. Video
05/31/2012		Entry	78.69	Entry					$884
		Exit	78.00	Exit
May 31 for June 1		Date	Jun-01	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	78.56
		Exit		Exit	78.00				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jun-01				$717
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1307.75 or better (aggressive traders) or at 1318 (conservative traders). Our stop goes in at 1327 and our targets are 1301 and 1290, thereafter 1283. We saw a most impressive reversal day and now have both weekly and daily dots pushing down; let's see how far this dot-push takes us. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 6/1/12: @es Excellent trade as things worked out. Both traders were short from 1318, and out at our third target of 1283. Really savvy aggressive traders could have hung in there for more, but we'll stick to the rules and take our profits here. And smile. Update 5/31/12: @ES Hold short. Aggressive traders were short and hit our first target and are out with this one contract at 1301; however when conservative traders got short on a rally late in the day the aggressive trader also got short there, and both are thus holding one contract short at the end of the day. Move stop to break-even at 1318.
05/30/2012		Entry	1307.75	Entry	1318				$2,087
		Exit	1301	Exit	1283
May 30 for May 31		Date	May-31	Date	Jun-01				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,750
		Entry	1318	Entry
		Exit	1283	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jun-01	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0228 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0245 near the daily dot. Our stop goes in at 1.0283 above the daily envelope and our targets are 1.0202, and then 1.0179, and 1.0152. We seeing nice technical signs including the envelope rolling over, weekly dots swinging, and a monthly 5/9 holding. this is a reflection of the current slow shift to global"risk on" economic opinions. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/30/12: USDCAD A wildly strong day in the Forex markets but unfortunately in the wrong direction (someone forgot to read my memo evidently!). Both aggressive and conservative traders were aboard but the aggressive trader was able to read the flow and see that as we broke through the daily dot the trade was hopeless, and he skedaddled to the sidelines. Our conservative trader took the loss and awaits a better day. Video
05/29/2012		Entry	1.0228	Entry	1.0245				($436)
		Exit	1.0259	Exit	1.0283
May 29 for May 30		Date	May-30	Date	May-30				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($369)
		Entry	1.0245	Entry
		Exit	1.0259	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 147'160 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 147'290 or better, with a stop at 148'140. Our targets are 147'010, then 146'210 and further on down at 146'080. What we're seeing is this over-cooked flight-to-quality US Treasury market start to slacken off as the Greeks look the rest of Europe in the eye. and blink. Getting past this long weekend was a big step, and the next marker comes with the Greek elections in mid June, but polls are showing that the Greeks will most likely fold. But this release of energy is also showing up in the S&P, EURUSD, AUDJPY, all of which could be bought, and the USDCAD which can be sold. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/30/12: @US Very impressive market moves today, unfortunately in the wrong direction for our trade. Both traders were aboard but the aggressive trader smelled the rat early on when the market started marching north in strong up-flow against his position; he exited after the third hourly bar closed against him at 147'290. Our conservative trader with his "set it and forget it" philosophy had no such leeway and took it in the neck as the stop was hit at 148'140. Video Update 5/29/12: @US Hold short. No dramatic move but we're not seeing the trade concept negated either. We're aboard with both aggressive and conservative traders.
05/28/2012		Entry	147'160	Entry	147'290				($406)
		Exit	147'290	Exit	148'140
May 28 for May 29		Date	May-30	Date	May-30				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($531)
		Entry	147'290	Entry
		Exit	147'290	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-30	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		No trade for tonight, I'm taking the long weekend to do some market analysis and reflection. In the coming days and weeks it looks like we'll be interested in @US from the short side and @ES from the long side, but we're not yet ready to put specific numbers on these trades at the moment. Have a great weekend folks, We'll be back at in on Monday night.		NoTrade	Aggressive
05/25/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
May 25 for May 28		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 147'140 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 147'300. Our stop goes in at 148'090 and our targets are 146'200 and then 145'20. We're seeing the bonds weaken as the world gets more and more used to the horrible horrible terrible awful very bad idea of the Greeks standing aside from the Euro -- as it turns out it might not be such a bad idea after all. I think there is quite a bit of time that will pass before this event occurs but since we are at a long holiday weekend (even though there will be a few hours of trading in the bonds on Monday) and since weekends pose a special risk for bonds in this situation, given the Central Banks tendency to take actions when markets are closed.... given all this traders should plan to be out of this trade at the close on Friday assuming neither target nor stop is triggered. So plan accordingly. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/25/12:@US We're out with a small loss at the close as we hie to the sidelines in advance of the long holiday weekend in an abundance of caution.
05/24/2012		Entry	147'140	Entry					($375)
		Exit	147'260	Exit
May 24 for May 25		Date	May-25	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 79.40 (aggressive trader) or more conservatively at 79.23, just off daily support. Our stop goes in at 78.98 below the daily support structure and our targets are 79.86, 80.28 and 80.50. The FOREX markets are very skittish these days and emotion runs high, many of our "normal" signals are blown away by the fears and worries of the European currency and the Chinese mixed-signal-but-seemingly-slowing economy. But all things considered I think we'll see USDJPY strength increasing. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/29/12: USDJPY Exit the trade; we're just not seeing the move we anticipated. Meanwhile this market is winding tighter and tighter and there will surely be a sharp move out of this narrowing congestion but we cannot predict the timing and there are risks involved in the waiting. Those who wish to monitor this market can stay long and tighten their stop, playing for the possible upside move in the future, but for purposes of track record and to conserve mental and financial capital, we will exit at market, currently 79.50, for a small win. Update 5/28/12: USDJPY Hold Long. We saw a bit of chop over the long weekend and we closed off a few pips but nothing says that the basic trade concept is not intact. Update 5/25/12: USDJPY Hold long. We see higher highs and higher lows and higher close as well, though not quite to our target. Still, no reason yet to change this trade. Forex markets open Sunday evening as usual, though trading will be light. So far this trade is sort of like watching paint dry. Update 5/24/12: USDJPY Hold long. This market is quite cautious but the action today was all good, quite constructive actually. Stop can be tightened to 79.14, keep the targets as they are.
05/23/2012		Entry	79.40	Entry					$126
		Exit	79.50	Exit
May 23 for May 24		Date	May-29	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1311 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1306, just at the daily dot, with a stop below the 5/9up at 1293 and targets at 1335, 1346, and then 1361. We have out dotted line in place and a reasonable block set; now we may get a bit of chop here but I am of the opinion that the monthly 5/9 will prove to be strong support. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/24/12: @ES We hit our target and are out. This market is acting bullishly however and those interested in playing that move here might re-set their longs closer to the daily dot in the 1315-17 area. Update 5/23/12: @ES Hold long. So far so good; we're aboard successfully for both conservative and aggressive traders, and we scraped by today's dip and hung in there without our stop being triggered. Move the first target to 1323 and conservative-minded traders may wish to tighten their stop to 1298.
05/22/2012		Entry	1311	Entry	1306				$1,450
		Exit	1323	Exit	1323
May 22 for May 23		Date	May-24	Date	May-24				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$850
		Entry	1306	Entry
		Exit	1323	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-24	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD 1.0175 or better (aggressive traders), or more conservatively up just below the 1-1 high at 1.0213. Stop goes above the 5/2 at 1.0269 and the downside targets are 1.0142 and 1.0108, and ultimately 1.0045, near the live Weekly PLDot. We saw a general market shift in sentiment today, and similar trades can be had in @ES, @GC, @CL, and AUDJPY for starters. In short, a basic "Risk-On" trade gestalt is on tap. Video BONUS TRADES for those who are interested: Buy @es 1299 to 1307, with a stop at 1289 and target of 1340. Buy AUDJPY 77.97 to 78.16 with a stop of 77.51 and a target of 79.73. Buy @GC 1585 to 1590 with a stop at 1569 and a target of 1627. But @CL 91.95 with a stop at 90.99 and a target of 95.29.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/23/12: USDCAD Our stop got triggered on a sharp mid-day rally; nimble aggressive traders could have re-shorted a few hours later and make back some of the loss but for track record purposes the move was too sharp and too persistent to do anything but exit at the stop. So we take the hit and are out. Update 5/22/12: USDCAD Hold short. Both aggressive and conservative traders were filled today and we're off to a fair start. No guarantees but I like the position of price in the zone structure and the monthly 5/9 providing some significant resistance overhead. We want daily congestion entrance tomorrow.
05/21/2012		Entry	1.0175	Entry	1.0213				($1,495)
		Exit	1.0269	Exit	1.0269
May 21 for May 22		Date	May-23	Date	May-23				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($558)
		Entry	1.0213	Entry
		Exit	1.0269	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US 148'020 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 148'200 with a stop in at 149'120. Our targets are 147'240, 147'020, and 146'160. These guidelines should hold for normal circumstances. However the weekend holds special dangers these days; if Greece withdraws over the weekend we may get a huge jump in the U.S. bonds, in which case stand aside or if an aggressive trader the far distance resistances in the neighborhood of 150.270 may possibly come into play. This being the case do not place orders ahead of the opening but make sure there are no Central Bank games on tap Sunday night before taking action. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/21/12: @US Aggressive traders hit our first target and are out for a small win. However those interesting in this market might hold short or look at re-setting their shorts a bit higher, between 148'090 and 148'200 as the general dollar weakness and risk appetite should cause the bonds to show more weakness in the coming days. We'll not make this an official trade recommendation as we have our hands full on other fronts but one of these days shorting the bonds will be the trade of the century.
05/18/2012		Entry	148'020	Entry					$312
		Exit	147'240	Exit
May 18 for May 21		Date	May-21	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @S at the Etop 1437 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively down off the 1-1 low at 1422 1/2. Stop goes in below the 5/9 at 1412 and our targets are 1452 and 1473. We're stepping outside of our regular group of nice markets as the FOREX and economic futures are wildly emotional at the moment, with many extended moves that promise big retracements yet are too dangerous to counter just yet, and the go-with trend trades seem a bit long-in-the tooth as well. Huge moves these days in gold, bonds, dollar, yes, euro, aussie, canadian, corn -- pretty much everything. We watch for the good entry points, but don wish to stand in front of the on-coming train. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/18/12: @S Nothing unclear about the action today; our conservative traders were stopped out. Our aggressive traders stepped aside when the market started to fall apart, exiting at 1426; when the market broke price was moving rapidly down through the conservative entry point and so the aggressive trader did not take the bait and stood aside. Video
05/17/2012		Entry	1437	Entry	1422.5				($550)
		Exit	1426	Exit	1412
May 17 for May 18		Date	May-18	Date	May-18				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($525)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 79.60 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 79.35. Our stop goes in at 78.90 and our upside targets are 80.03, and 80.75. We’re in weekly support, at the weekly 5/1 up and 1-1 low, and in monthly furtherout support, and with daily dots swinging and daily nearby support holding, and moving sideways, and so forth. Looks to me like we have a lot of potential upside movement on tap. Even if we’re not up for a resumption of the global risk-on trade (and I am not saying that we are not), a weekly/monthly dot refresh here would be perfectly reasonable. Else why would the daily bars be marching sideways if not to manifest the presence of strong support? We'll find out soon if we're right. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/17/12: AUDJPY A tough trade to handle. We came within three pips of our target and aggressive traders who were aware and nimble might reasonably have exited in that neighborhood. Those who did not however took to the sidelines when the market fell apart in a big way and exited close to a scratch near their original entry at 879.59. The move was violent enough that they hove to safe harbor and did not take the second conservative entry. Conservative traders with their "set it and forget it" rules did not fare so well on this one, and were stopped out later in the day. Video
05/16/2012		Entry	79.60	Entry	79.35
		Exit	79.59	Exit	78.90
May 16 for May 17		Date	May-17	Date	May-17				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($567)
		Entry	($13)	Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY just above the Envelope Top and 6/5 at 80.20 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 80.03 just above the daily dot. Our stop goes in at 79.69, and our upside targets are 80.43, 80.61, and 80.91. We're seeing what I believe to be the slow and steady start to an up-move that could be protracted. Let's see if we can get aboard successfully. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 5/17/12: USDJPY A pretty dramatic move against our position washed all the good progress of the last two days away in a heartbeat -- something all traders experience and fret about. Our aggressive traders saw what was happening, that the move to target was over, and as as prices started to erode and applied our "three bars against the trade" rule and jumped ship as price moved below the weekly live PLDot, exiting at 80.17 for a loss that was small enough to be called a scratch. Conservative traders were not in this trade, and relieved to be on the sidelines. Video Update 5/16/12: USDJPY Hold long. We did hit our first target today and so aggressive traders might have taken profits then but I am holding long and looking for further gains as time moves forward. Move stop to 79.93 and targets at 80.59, and 80.74, thereafter 81.25.
05/15/2012		Entry	80.20	Entry					($37)
		Exit	80.17	Exit
May 15 for May 16		Date	May-17	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 146'180 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 146'230. Stop gos in at 146'290 and our targets on the downside are 145'100, 145'030, 144'200. We're at the cutting edge of global "flight to quality" here in the bonds and the markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, so this trade carries more than the usual risk. Still, we do see an exhaust into the weekly 5/2 down, and the monthly in further out approaching the quarterly envelope top, and we have moved three full handles on three days. But, no guarantees since we're standing in front of a train, or so it seems. A case can be made for the T-Bond top not coming until the low 150's but it is anybody's guess. In any case we'll take a stab at the exhaust that we believe is forming here. Video NOTE: at one point in the video tonight I misspoke and said "buy" when I should of course have said "sell." The written comments are correct.		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 5/15/12: @US This trade is a scratch; exit at 146'180 or better. Aggressive traders got filled at a good price and the trade worked for us most of the day but the market anxiety as expressed in this "flight to quality" trade is not yet ready to melt. The exhaust pattern is holding but our exhaust retracement today was only to the envelope top and at the end of the day we see a C-Wave continuing. Our anticipated short trade will happen, but...not just yet. Exit for a scratch, at or about 146'180.
05/14/2012		Entry	146'180	Entry
		Exit	146'180	Exit
May 14 for May 15		Date	May-15	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 79.88, just off the 6/5 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at the daily dot/1-1 low area at 79.78. Stop goes in at 79.45 and our targets are 80.16, 80.35, 80.47 and 80.87. All markets seem scared to death these days but in relative flight-to-quality terms the dollar holds its own against the yen. Indeed I would not be surprised to see the yen fall to pieces one of these days as well. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/14/12: USDJPY A highly volatile day with swings back and forth but we hit our numbers. Aggressive traders went long and took profits at the first target and then near midday got another chance to take a small bite when price retraced and both aggressive and conservative traders took a new position. We're out at the close however; this market is very volatile and I want to make sure the picture is clear before re-setting my long.
05/11/2012		Entry	79.88	Entry	79.78				$426
		Exit	80.16	Exit	79.84
May 11 for May 14		Date	May-14	Date	May-14				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$75
		Entry	79.78	Entry
		Exit	79.84	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-14	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0028 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0040, with a stop at 1.0065 and downside targets at 1.0003, .9989. and .9976. We're at pretty strong-looking monthly resistance, the daily nearby resistance zones are going sideways, daily dots are swinging, and a weekly exhaust into HTP resistance is forming. All this says we're getting ready for a down move. We'll find out very quickly if that is the case. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/11/12: USDCAD A correct call and the market acted as expected. Both conservative and aggressive traders were filled, and all three targets were hit. Both traders are out at the third target, but in both cases I hope traders listened to my video comments about the ultimate target and hung in there. Target for congestion entrance bar would have/could have/should have been better stated as "two-to-three-PLDots back" in any case (third dot back is 0.9950, thus target should have been .9955 or so), which would have been the correct exit. But for our track record purposes, and to be consistent, we're out at our third target of .9976 and standing aside. Traders should look to sell resistance in the days to come.
05/10/2012		Entry	1.0028	Entry	1.0040				$1,165
		Exit	.9976	Exit	.9976
May 10 for May 11		Date	May-11	Date	May-11				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$643
		Entry	1.0040	Entry
		Exit	1.0040	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-11	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1345 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1340.75; our stop goes in at 1334.25 below the weekly 1-1 low. The E-Mini looks weak but on the other hand we see sharp rallies off the lows on the hourly chart and the daily dot is swinging and there are all the other technical items mentioned yesterday. Basically we're re-setting lower for a ping trade and the targets thus are 1355, 1360, and 1371. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 5/10/12: @ES We missed the aggressive trader's entry by 3/4th of a point, but the direction was right and so we have a directional trade. Our trader entered at 1349.25 when it was clear the stated entry was missed and direction was established; we exited at the second target of 1360. Video
05/09/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
May 9 for May 10		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1349.25
		Exit		Exit	1360				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	May-10				$537
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES on a dip to 1352 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1347. Our stop goes in at 1340 and targets are 1370 and then the monthly PLD/LPLD area at 1376. Daily dots are swinging and daily support is holding, and so we have a shot at this. In addition we see weekly 6/1u, 1-1L, and monthly live ebot all in support and holding. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/9/12: @ES Sort of a mixed bag. Our conservative trader hit the stop and is out; our aggressive trader picked up a second contract but also correctly saw (because he was able to monitor) that the stop being hit was just a momentary "poke" through that price level and that the support actually held, so he hung in with the hope of a major reversal. That reversal may in fact still be in the making but has not yet materialized and so the aggressive trader exited at the close with a small win. He is interested in resetting at a lower level for a ping trade.
05/08/2012		Entry	1352	Entry	1347				$200
		Exit	1351	Exit	1340
May 8 for May 9		Date	May-09	Date	May-09				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($350)
		Entry	1347	Entry
		Exit	1352	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-09	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at market (currently 1365) (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1358. Stop goes in below the 1-1 Low at 1348. Targets are 1372, 1378, 1384 and eventually 1390. Big moves over the weekend but it looks as if the worst of the damage has been done; we saw a steady recovery today and the e-mini closed pretty well all things considered. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/8/12: @ES The trade concept looks like it is still valid but as we know in the market you can be right in the long term and it still takes your money. Our stop was hit and we're out. Aggressive traders picked up a second contract at the conservative entry point but dumped it at 1357 for a scratch as the market crashed back to that entry point, leaving aggressive traders with their one contract.
05/07/2012		Entry	1365	Entry	1358				($900)
		Exit	1348	Exit	1348
May 7 for May 8		Date	May-08	Date	May-08				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($500)
		Entry	1358	Entry
		Exit	1357	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-08	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 98.06 (aggressive traders), which is just off daily nearby support, or more conservatively buy at 97.43 is more deeply in support, with a stop at 96.42 under the 1-1 low. Targets are 99.20, 100.00, and 100.80. Let's see if we can take a bite out of the PLDot refresh move on the daily and weekly. We have certainly hit key support levels on both time periods. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/7/12: @CL Nothing good about this trade, we took it in the ear and were taken out in the early going as our stops were hit. One would have thought that the election news from France and Greece would have been anticipated as the pre-voting polls were pretty clear and the actual outcomes in line with the forecasts. But if one thought that, one was wrong, and the market reacted vehemently and violently to the reality of the election returns. Oil sold off aggressively, stopping at a logical support level and then retracing (as we expected) and one could perhaps say the short-term bottom is either in or approaching. But in any case it matters not. Mr. Market picked our pocket on this one. Both the aggressive trader and the conservative trader got hit, with the sole silver lining being that the aggressive trader saw what was occurring and did not double up with the conservative position as well.
05/04/2012		Entry	98.06	Entry	97.43				($1,640)
		Exit	96.42	Exit	96.42
May 4 for May 7		Date	May-07	Date	May-07				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($1,010)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD on open or at market, currently .9885 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9869. Stop goes in at .9835 and targets are .9905, .9926. and .9969. Traders should be aware of the market-moving potential of the non-farm payrolls report tomorrow at 8:30 ET as any trade taken in the face of the monthly BLS employment numbers is a bit risky. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/4/12: USDCAD Exit on close. Both aggressive and conservative traders were filled, and we came close to our third target, missing by only a few ticks. There is more to the upside here but I would exit here and re-set my long at a lower price. Not bad for a day's work; we book good profits.
05/03/2012		Entry	.9885	Entry	.9869				$1,486
		Exit	.9951	Exit	.9951
May 3 for May 4		Date	May-04	Date	May-04				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$823
		Entry	.9869	Entry
		Exit	.9851	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-04	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3210 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3237. Our stop goes in at 1.3285 and our targets are 1.3112, 1.3077, and thereafter 1.3025. Things are looking gloomy as we run up to the employment report on Friday but across the pond in Europe things look darker still. Can we go wrong betting against the euro? We'll find out soon enough. Video Bonus Trades: Note that corn started its refresh move from its exhaust upwards of a few days ago as anticipated in our call of 4/27; a volatile and somewhat dangerous market but some of our more robust traders might be aboard this one. Target would be the weekly PLDot an then then weekly PL Ebot. Where did our very strong traders get short? Somewhere between 626 and 634, if you're keeping score take the mid-point.		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/3/12: EURUSD No Trade, entries not hit. Update 5/3/12: BONUS trade from 4/27 - @C Exit Corn at market (currently 612.5). I'm not seeing the anticipated weakness continue and so will take profits on this bonus trade and move on. This trade was mentioned 4/27, entered on 5/1, and exited on 5/3, and is added to our bonus track record today.
05/02/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
May 2 for May 3		Date		Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	630
		Exit		Exit	612.5				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	May-03				$875
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 105.60, which is just above the daily 6/5 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 105.10. Our stop goes in at 104.90 and the targets are 106.52 and 107.50. We've been watching Crude Oil as the US WTI variety is gaining strength, and have done well with our two bonus trades. (Among other evidence the WTI contango is narrowing, a sign of increasing demand.) Now we look to get aboard this fresh new trend using the Sure-Foot Trade technique of buying a retracement to the weekly ETop level. Video BONUS TRADES: We're also looking at selling @US just below the daily PLDot, looking for more downside with targets as given in the recent recommendation. Furthermore, we're also looking at buying the USDJPY again as we see incipient signs of dollar strength here, dots swinging, etc. Buy at 79.84, stop below nearby daily support.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/3/12: @CL I was clearly wrong on this one. Stopped out on the strong downside move. Seems I might have been trading on hope, always a bad idea. Update 5/2/12: @CL Hold Long. This is a close call and many traders may wish to exit at a scratch here (conservative traders have a small win, aggressive traders are at a scratch) but we're players and I like the action in Crude as it battles on upward in the face of a stronger dollar. Markets that don't crash under these conditions have underlying strength. (See how much worse EURUSD did today, for example.) Naturally I can be wrong but I see support on balance stronger than resistance. Update 5/2/12: Bonus Trades No trade in the USDJPY. And no trade in the @US either though I thought for a moment that there was when I looked at the range of the daily bar at day's end. Oh well, tomorrow's another day.
05/01/2012		Entry	105.60	Entry	105.10				($900)
		Exit	104.90	Exit	104.90
May 1 for May 2		Date	May-03	Date	May-03				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($200)
		Entry	105.10	Entry
		Exit	104.90	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	May-03	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at .9850 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9825. Stop goes in at .9812 and our first target is .9913, second target is .9985, and then 1.0025. I see bottoming action here, daily nearby support moving sideways and then rising. Dollar strength ahead? Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 5/2/12: USDCAD We hit our revised target and are out at .9897. We're standing aside fro TR purposes but traders might consider "pinging" this market and taking bites out each day, buying in support and selling in resistance as the USDCAD makes its turn to the upside. Update 5/1/12: USDCAD Hold long. Aggressive traders are filled and support is holding, thus so far so good. Move first target to .9897, let other targets and stop stand as is.
04/30/2012		Entry	.9850	Entry					$476.
		Exit	.9897	Exit
April 30 for May 1		Date	May-02	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 142'230 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 143'030. Our stop goes in at 143'110 and our targets remain similar to what they were on Friday: 141'280, 141'040 , and 140'130. We saw a classic exhaust on Friday and that is yet another topping sign up here where the air is thin. Is it in fact a top? Well I guess we'll find out. Video Bonus trade ideas: @ES is setting up a test of the earlier PLdot crest and that would be an interesting sale for aggressive and aware traders. Also I am looking at @CL from the long side, probably the move there would be to buy just above the monthly PLdot. And finally: it is a bit tricky as the evidence is not all in but Corn had a great day today and is therefore in a resistance area, again testing a crest; one might watch this carefully for a shorting possibility. However be careful of this one, it is for experienced and well capitalized traders only.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 5/1/12: BONUS Trades @ES trade scratched though alert traders could have booked good profits. @CL however performed precisely as expected; Our aggressive traders got long just above at key support (104.62) near the PLDot) and rode it to the close, and are out at 105.97, for a bonus-trade profit of $1,350. This adds to our profit of $770 yesterday for a total of $2,120. @C had an inside day and is closing almost inside the envelope, thus we monitor it closely. Update 4/30/12: @US Aggressive traders are in the trade, but not going anywhere; conservative traders were not filled. Traders in love with risk can stay aboard this trade and play for the downside, but for track record purposes I take our exit here at an almost-scratch and will look for an opportunity to reset my short when the picture is clearer. Sort of a close call though. Update 4/30/12: BONUS TRADES @ES performed as expected, A non-official trade but I got short at 1402 and look for more weakness to come. Stop is at breakeven. @CL performed as expected, and aggressive traders in this bonus trade got long at the monthly PLDot at 104.12; I see more strength ahead but in this slow moving bullish flow choose to take profits here and would look to reset my long at a lower price for another bite out of this apple.
04/27/2012		Entry	142'230	Entry					($94)
		Exit	142'260	Exit
April 27 for April 30		Date	Apr-30	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	84.12
		Exit		Exit	84.89				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Apr-30				$2,120
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 142'090 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 142'190. I see this longer-term monthly congestion continuing and although I do recognize that I have a directional bias in the Treasury market (always a dangerous psychological state) it does seem to me that we're in resistance and the next move should be down again. Stop goes in at 143'000 and the targets are 141'200, 141'030 off the 5/9, and 140'130. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/27/12: @US Now that was a trade with a bit of excitement. The market reacted to some Spanish ratings nonsense and rallied from the opening straight on up through the top, and way way beyond, hitting the 5/2 extension before starting a long steady retracement. This is a classic exhaust pattern, and those aggressive traders who were awake and alert could have traded this very profitably. In fact we're going to give it another shot on Sunday night/Monday. See the movie for some trading wrinkles and observations. Video
04/26/2012		Entry	142'200	Entry	142'200				($750)
		Exit	143'000	Exit	143'000
April 26 for April 27		Date	Apr-27	Date	Apr-27				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		143'000
		Entry	142'200	Entry	($375)
		Exit	143'000	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-27	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at the open or market -- currently 84.29 --(aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 84.00. Stop goes in at 83.75 and the targets are 84.65 and 85.01, then 85.70. What's changed? A resounding "Yes" vote from Chinese consumers via Apple sales figures for one thing, and general good economic news from down under as well. Is this the big turn? We'll see... Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/26/12: AUDJPY We were stopped out on a sudden reversal. My bad for the too-close stop placement, it should have been below the 5/9 (see the closing comment movie). That goes in the books as a trading error. I'm still bullish on this market, though events are certainly not making it easy for use these days. Video
04/25/2012		Entry	84.29	Entry	84.00				($531)
		Exit	83.93	Exit	83.75
April 25 for April 26		Date	Apr-26	Date	Apr-26				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($308)
		Entry	84.00	Entry
		Exit	83.93	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-26	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy (Yes that's BUY) EURUSD at the open (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3162 off the 1-1 low. Stop goes in at 1.3128 and the upside targets are at 1.3255 and then 1.3326. (Apologies for earlier typo). First we're playing for a completion of the weekly cycle to the top of the congestion and then for an upside breakout. The latter is less than likely but then again ya never know. Video Some additional trade ideas tonight: sell @US, buy the @ES, and sell the AUDJPY. Just for your consideration . . . .		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/26/12: EURUSD OK we hit our revised target and are out. I think there is still some oomph in this trade for those who want to play further but for our Track Record purposes we're out and book the profit. Update 4/25/12: EURUSD So far so good. Hold for target but move first target to 1.3250, beneath the 5/2. Stop can be moved to 1.3170. Update 4/25/12: Bonus Trades Those who played the extra-credit trades in @ES and @US last night did very well, though one had to be nimble enough to exit the Bonds in the neighborhood of the 5/9. Good, profitable trades though. We'll not add them to the TR since we didn't give detailed stop and target guidance.
04/24/2012		Entry	1.3194	Entry					$560
		Exit	1.3250	Exit
April 24 for April 25		Date	Apr-26	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDJPY at the open (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 81.32 just off the live dot. Targets are 80.94, 80.63, and then 80.15 should we get that far, as we head down towards the weekly 5/2. Stop goes in at 81.58, above the 1-1 high. Someday the world will feel good about itself again, but for the moment we go with the flow of yen strength. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/24/12: USDJPY A successful trade but a tiny win. Aggressive traders got in at the open and were out at first target. Conservative traders were not not filled. But we're not arguing, even a scratch is as good as a win, or so we used to say in the pits in Chicago.
04/23/2012		Entry	81.17	Entry					$283
		Exit	80.94	Exit
April 23 for April 24		Date	Apr-24	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at the open on Sunday (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 84.35 at the PLDot. Our stop goes in at 83.83 and the first target is 85.42 just under the 5/9, and then 86.01 under the weekly ETop. Ultimately we shoot for 90.00 and higher. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/23/12: AUDJPY Well this did NOT work out. Some big bank says China is not as strong as it might be and the world flip-flops -- as if eight percent growth is in any way, shape, or form "weak". Well no matter, we take the loss and move on. Aggressive traders scrambled to the sidelines and conservative traders took it in the neck. On we go. But note well: the yen will crumble later this year, I do believe it will. Video
04/20/2012		Entry	84.46	Entry	84.35				($800)
		Exit	84.08	Exit	83.83
April 20 for April 23		Date	Apr-23	Date	Apr-23				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($640)
		Entry	84.35	Entry
		Exit	84.08	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at market which is 1373 or better(aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1383 closer to the 1-1 high. Stop goes in at 1391 and targets are 1364, and 1359, and ultimately 1342. A choppy market these days but not one showing a lot of strength. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/20/12: @ES Both conservative and aggressive traders got aboard but today was not a big day, and we close near the entrance, almost a scratch. We exit on close for a small win. This market still looks bearish to me but the weakness is not compelling enough to keep me aboard. For Track Record purposes we exit on close or on the Sunday night open, and will re-assess a short position next week
04/19/2012		Entry	1373	Entry	1383				$250
		Exit	1375	Exit
April 19 for April 20		Date	Apr-20	Date	Apr-20				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$350
		Entry	1383	Entry
		Exit	1375	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-20	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at the open which is currently at 81.27 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 80.93. Stop goes in at 80.69 below the 5/9. First, second and third targets are at 81.90, 82.14, and 82.63 respectively. We're seeing it happen, the dollar strength/yes weakness that we have been waiting for. Now softly softly catch the monkey... Video Also of interest tonight: @ES and @US, both from the short side.		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/20/12: USDJPY We came within three pips of our target, then price fell off into the close. I'm still bullish on this market but will stand aside for the moment, given that the close is so very close to moving inside the daily envelope. We can't rule out a bigger retracement and so we're out for the moment with a small win and will reassess. Update 4/19/12: USDJPY We're seeing good constructive progress so far and I think we'll reach our target, but do move target down to 81.80, under the 5/2. Move stop to breakeven.
04/18/2012		Entry	81.27	Entry					$325
		Exit	81.53	Exit
April 18 for April 19		Date	Apr-20	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3125 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3164 under the 1-1 high. Stop goes above resistance at 1.3201, and targets are 1.3087, then 1.3041, and then 1.3003 just off the bottom confine of congestion, the dotted line. Europe is at it again, this time it is Spain where the rain is falling. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/18/12: EURUSD Not a big trade but I long ago learned not to sniff at modest wins; in my view, any win is is a victory in the trading arena. Our conservative entry was not filled; aggressive traders were filled however and we hit our first target effortlessly and are out at that level. Nimble aggressive traders might have harvested additional wins as price dipped close to our second target, but for track record purposes we're out and put this modest profit in the bank.
04/17/2012		Entry	1.3125	Entry					$380
		Exit	1.3087	Exit
April 17 for April 18		Date	Apr-18	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at .9996 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.0012, just under the envelope top. Stop goes in at 1.0027 and the first target is .9954 and thereafter .9919. Some good reasons why this might work out well, the primary one being the repeated failure of rally attempts at the weekly envelope top. Methinks we may be seeing the beginnings of a renewed dollar weakness relative to the commodity dollars, i.e. Canada and Australia. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/17/12: USDCAD Excellent day. Conservative traders wept as their "set-it-and-forget-it" trading order missed their entrance by ONE TICK! Aggressive traders, however, who are endowed with both courage and skill, got short near the conservative entry as well as their own aggressive entry and rode these two contracts down through our first and second targets, exiting as the flow shifted near the bottom when it was clear this move was over, not quite reaching our third target. Lots of action today, and we book good profits. Video
04/16/2012		Entry	.9996	Entry					$2,484
		Exit	.9878	Exit
April 16 for April 17		Date	Apr-17	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry	1.0006	Entry
		Exit	.9878	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-17	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 141'300 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 142'020, with a stop at 142'100. We saw a powerful rally today off of the China news but it stopped at the 5/9, breaking by a tick or two on close. To my thinking we will see congestion action on Monday but these days in light of global uncertainty it is far from certain, so the stop is fairly tight. Targets are the other side of congestion of course, with the first target just off the 1-1 low and PLDot at 140'30, and thereafter at 140'120 off the envelope bottom. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/16/12: @US A close call but I think the better part of valor is to take profits at exit. Stout-hearted traders who can monitor the market might well stay aboard to see how this weakness develops as the downside targets in the 30-year bond are rich indeed, generally speaking. But I am wary and smell a rat in that we did not break the 6/5 on close, and thus think it better for track record purposes where we have but one decision a day to bank the profit and look to re-short in the coming day or days. Those who can monitor, have at it!
04/13/2012		Entry	141'300	Entry	142'020				$750
		Exit	141'200	Exit	141'20
April 13 for April 16		Date	Apr-16	Date	Apr-16				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$437
		Entry	142'020	Entry
		Exit	141'200	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-16	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at 84.26 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 83.90 off the 6/5; stop goes in at 83.40 and the targets at 85.28 and 85.73. We're seeing strength in the Australian dollar due to good employment numbers there and weakness in the Yen across the board as well, and the reversal is both welcome and definitive. Some chance that we will be in congestion here for a while so watch the flow; on the other hand there is also a chance we'll see a runaway up-trend and have to scramble to get aboard. So be alert. Video Bonus trades: Things are starting to move in a "risk-on" sort of way and so traders might consider selling the USDCAD on any rally, say at 0.9967 (the Envelope bottom) or a touch higher at the 6/5. And as mentioned in the closing trade comment for yesterday, @US can be sold at tomorrow's 6/5 with the target a full handle lower. Crude oil and Gold are enticing from the long side, as is @ES if bought on a significant intraday dip. Have fun folks and good trading!		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/13/12: AUDJPY This trade is not going anywhere; all lights were green until the weak Chinese GDP at 10:00 p.m. US time, 10:00 a.m. China time, then a choppy day ensued, to our detriment, playing out on both sides of the profit/loss line for us during the day. I'm still bullish on this market but the better part of valor is to stand aside and see how things develop. So we take our small loss and hie to the sidelines.
04/12/2012		Entry	84.26	Entry	83.90				($528)
		Exit	83.86	Exit	83.86
April 12 for April 13		Date	Apr-13	Date	Apr-13				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($48)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 140'250 (aggressive traders )which is just off the daily PLDot; more conservative folk will look to enter short at 141'060, at the 6/1 down. Target is 140'100 and then 139'200; the stop goes in at 141'160. We at the top of the range in bonds and have seen repeated down-cycles start from this area. That's what we're looking for, and now we shall see if we get it. Note the Monthly PLDot area. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/12/12: @US Aggressive traders were filled and we hit our first target; we're out and bank the profits. This is not the largest trade we've ever seen but odds are we could be in congestion here a bit before heading lower. Those so inclined might look to get short again at the 6/5-to-PLDot area (140'20 to 140'28 range) and keep the downside targets of 140'010 and 139'220. Me thinks we're going lower but for Track Record purposes we're out of the trade today.
04/11/2012		Entry	140'250	Entry					$469
		Exit	140'100	Exit
April 11 for April 12		Date	Apr-12	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY just off the 1-1 low at 80.34 or better (aggressive traders) and conservative traders could give it a shot at just off the 5/2 at 80.16 with a stop for both at 80.00. Targets would be 81.33 and then 81.85. This is a ping trade, and we're looking for this relentless Yen strength of late to come to an end. It's almost 15 days since the previous trend run high of 84.09 and we're getting down into the Monthly dot area around 80.00. One of these days we gotta see a reaction to this monthly support. Right? Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 4/11/12: USDJPY No trade today. Our entrance points were not hit and although the direction was correct the flow was not strongly directional enough for aggressive traders to take a directional trade: too choppy. The tide is shifting though, clearly so.
04/10/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
April 10 for April 11		Date		Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at 102.25 or better (aggressive traders), or more conservatively at 101.68 or better, with a stop at 101.25. Our first target is 103.02, second target 104.71. On the plus side we have dots swinging, and the price locating in daily, weekly support, nearby's going sideways, and so forth, plus recent history of two significant bounces out of support. Not perfectly certain (and what ever is, we ask?) but pretty interesting nevertheless. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/10/12: @CL Aggressive traders were long and conservative traders just missed getting long before the drive towards the target; but that drive fell a tad short; when the market crashed down at 11:00 a.m. ET, aggressive traders could see the game was up and exited at 101.70. Our conservative traders, however, with the "set it and forget it" constraint, took it in the neck and accrued the loss when our stop was hit. Video
04/09/2012		Entry	102.25	Entry	101.68				($550)
		Exit	101.70	Exit	101.25
April 9 for April 10		Date	Apr-10	Date	Apr-10				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($430)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at the bottom of nearby resistance at 140'150 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively just off the 1/1 high at 140'290. Stop goes above the nearby resistance at 141.050 and the targets on the downside at at 139'140 and 138'260. We had a very strong upside day Friday and are playing the developing exhaust pattern now, obviously, as price stops in the daily 5/2, weekly 5/2 and in weekly upcoming resistance. We want nearby resistance to hold on Monday, and that is what we watch for. The shortened trading day on Friday and the thin holiday trading volume eat away at the evidence for this trade, however, and so it is by no means a slam-dunk. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/10/12: @us Aggressive traders took a flow-based exit at the end of the 9:00 a.m. ET hourly bar at 140'200, when it became clear that this trade was leading to tears and that a win was not in the cards. Keep watch though, another good short is developing up in these neighborhoods. Video Update 4/9/12: @US Hold short. We have not see the anticipated strong down move but on the other hand the classic exhaust pattern is present, and we're a couple of ticks to the good in the trade. I would say that aggressive traders only hang tight, conservative traders should drop the idea and look to trade another day. Aggressive traders keep the stop in place but monitor flow closely as this is certainly no slam-dunk trade.
04/06/2012		Entry	140'150	Entry					($156)
		Exit	140'200	Exit
April 6 for April 9		Date	Apr-10	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at the open or at the current price of 82.35 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 82.09. Our stop goes at 81.49 and our first target is 82.81 and then 83.75. I'm generally bullish on the dollar but do note that tomorrow could bring considerably volatility around the always-influential Non-Farm Payrolls Report, released at 8:30 a.m. ET on the first Friday of every month (forewarned is forearmed, right?). On top of that the US Futures markets are closed on Good Friday. We'll thus take our trade today in the Dollar-Yen Forex cross as the foreign currency inter-bank market runs 24-hours a day and is global in nature and never so much as blinks for the holiday of any nation. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/6/12: USDJPY Our stop was hit a couple of minutes after the universally-unexpected weakness in the non-farm payrolls report hit the wires. Just goes to show you the dangers of trading on the day of this market-moving "Mother of All Reports". All expectations of recovery to the contrary, this month the employment survey tells a different tale. So that's that. We take our lumps and move on.
04/05/2012		Entry	82.25	Entry	82.09				($1,668)
		Exit	81.49	Exit	81.49
April 5 for April 6		Date	Apr-06	Date	Apr-06				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($736)
		Entry	82.09	Entry
		Exit	81.49	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-06	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES 1394 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1399 just under the 6/5. We're working on weekly congestion entrance down, and the signs are lining up nicely. Support at the 1/1 low is at 1385 and so that's the first target; next target is 1381.50 near the weekly envelope bottom. The counter argument is daily kicks back up into congestion action but I go with the downside potential here since we've had such a loooong weekly trend run up. Stop goes above the nearby resistance at 1407. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/5/12: @ES Aggressive traders were filled and then took profits at our first target of 1385; This was a bit of a choppy day ahead of the monthly Non-Farm payrolls report and the long US holiday weekend. A modest win but we're happy to have it and exit the trade with a smile.
04/04/2012		Entry	1394	Entry					$450
		Exit	1385	Exit
April 4 for April 5		Date	Apr-05	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at the open, currently 1.3234 or better (aggressive traders) or ore conservatively at the 6/5 which is 1.3255 or better. Stop goes in at 1.3335, and targets are 1.3179 and 1.3174, just off the 1-1 low and daily 5/2 and weekly EBot respectively. In the big picture we're looking for a move to the Monthly and Quarterly envelope bottoms. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/4/12: EURUSD Aggressive traders got aboard and out at second target. A good trade and we should be happy about it and in fact we are that, but I do wish that I had set a more aggressive target as there was and is clearly more in this trade. We'll look for another opportunity to get short on the way towards the Monthly Envelope bottom.
04/03/2012		Entry	1.3234	Entry					$600
		Exit	1.3174	Exit
April 3 for April 4		Date	Apr-04	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at the open or shortly thereafter (aggressive traders) which at this writing is trading at 82.06; conservative traders look to buy at a better price of 81.75 or better. Our first target is just off the daily PLDot at 82.41 and then just off the weekly PLDot at 82.81. Stop goes in at 81.51. We saw a surprisingly strong reversal today to slam this market back into congestion; if congestion be the game then we're going back up again. If we're wrong we'll see a much deeper retracement in the form of a monthly PLdot refresh. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/3/12: USDJPY We got very lucky on this one as we came within a few pips of being stopped out but that did not occur and the trade was intact when the Fed minutes were announced and the market took off to the upside, blowing through our first target like a knife through butter and hitting our second target cleanly. Both aggressive and conservative traders did well. We're out, money in the bank and smiling.
04/02/2012		Entry	82.06	Entry	81.75				$2,183
		Exit	82.81	Exit	82.81
April 2 for April 3		Date	Apr-03	Date	Apr-03				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,278
		Entry		Entry
		Exit	81.75	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-03	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 137'300 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively up near the daily PLDot at 138'080. Stop goes above the 1-1 high and envelope top at 139'010 and first target is 137'000 off the 5/2u. Further target would be 135'31 in the neighborhood of the 5/9u and the weekly envelope bottom. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 4/3/12:@US Wow, talk about annoying. We hit our revised stop and conservative traders are out there; aggressive traders were out on a flow-based stop after three bars of adverse flow and breaking the PLDot, out at 138'100. Modest losses for both. BUT, the market did reverse suddenly and had we held firmly to our original trade plan we could have booked a couple of significant wins here. Such is life; we can't always be right, and hindsight is 20-20. So, no regrets, we move on and stay on alert for the next trade. Update 4/2/12: @US Hold Short. We had a volatile day and both aggressive and conservative traders are filled and aboard this trade. Move stop to 138'240 and move first target to 137'090, keeping second target as is. I'm a touch more cautious here due to the unexpected strength of today's bounce.
03/30/2012		Entry	137'300	Entry	138'080				($437)
		Exit	138'100	Exit	138'240
March 30 for April 2		Date	Apr-03	Date	Apr-03				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($500)
		Entry	138'080	Entry
		Exit	138'100	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-03	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 82.42 OR BETTER which is current market (aggressive traders) or more conservatively just north of the 1-1 low 82.07; stop goes below support at 81.75. Targets are first the 5/9d at 82.97, then 83.70, but really we are looking at the long-term potential here and trying to shoot for the heavens, maybe the yen at par (100.00). Well, stranger things have happened. But first we just have to get our short-term swing trade successfully established. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 4/2/12: USDJPY An unexpectedly strong China Supply Manager's report over the weekend led us to some windfall profits on both the conservative and aggressive traders who both exited shortly after the open Sunday night on the basis of reaching the 5/9d area mentioned as a target. When flow shifted we were out. The accounting is a bit muddied due to some sloppiness on my part in detailing the price levels but the movies were clear enough. When the market gives us an unexpected gap opening at our target level, we have no choice but to take it. In this case it worked out nicely. Update 3/30/12: USDJPY Hold Long. We got a nice turnaround as predicted today and both conservative and aggressive traders are aboard. We're short of the first target but that does not bother me and I am inclined to hold for more gains in the week to come. Conservative traders can take profits on the open Sunday if they ar0 itchy to ring the cash register but for the purposes of the Track Record I am holding both positions long.
03/29/2012		Entry	82.42	Entry	82.07				$1,717
		Exit	83.15	Exit	83.15
March 29 for March 30		Date	Apr-02	Date	Apr-02				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,315
		Entry	82.07	Entry
		Exit	83.15	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Apr-02	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD Forex at the open (aggressive traders) which is about 1.3315 as I write. Conservative traders look to get short up much closer to the 1-1 high and 6/1 down at 1.3356. Our stop goes in above the envelope top top at 1.3390 and our targets are 1.3247, 1.3212, and 1.3180 near the weekly PLDot. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/30/12: EURUSD Unfortunately we were quite wrong about the market on this one and it continued to cycle back up. Aggressive traders got out on a flow-based exit after four hourly bars of strong unambiguous flow against the trade, exiting at 1.3341; the telling action was the strength with which it broke the daily PLDot. Sort of bad trading practice on my art, to let a profit turn into a loss. We try to avoid that sort of thing. Video Update 3/29/12:EURUSD Hold short, set new target to just above tomorrow's 5/2 up at 1.3236. Not all that gratifying to see us miss a target by a small amount today, but the chart is still bearish and no reason to get out now. Stop can be a bit tighter if you like, above the 1-1 high and ETop at 1.3362. Video
03/28/2012		Entry	1.3315	Entry					($260)
		Exit	1.3341	Exit
March 28 for March 29		Date	Mar-30	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at the open (aggressive traders) which should be somewhere around 1679 0r 1680. More conservative traders look to buy close to the Daily dot at 1675. Target one is 1699, then 1702, and thereafter 1734. Stop goes under the 5/9 up at 1662. I like the way the daily, weekly, and monthly PLDots are lining up. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/28/12: @GC First off, "My Bad" for not specifying the June contract and instead giving numbers for the April contract, which is hard upon first notice day and we should not have been trading it. The structural illustration in the movie made it easy to translate to June numbers, but maybe those traders who stood aside today because of this confusion were the real winners, since the trade obviously did not work out. Our aggressive traders were long two contracts but went "duck and cover" when they saw the hourly advance fail spectacularly and start to break the daily PLdot, exiting at 1672. Conservative traders, who hold to the "set it and forget it" style of trading, took it in the neck today when our stop was hit. Such is life in the fast lane. Like me Mama used to say, "Tomorrow is another day."Video
03/27/2012		Entry	1679	Entry	1675				($1,000)
		Exit	1672	Exit	1662
March 27 for March 28		Date	Mar-28	Date	Mar-28				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($1,300)
		Entry	1675	Entry
		Exit	1672	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-28	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at the open (aggressive traders) currently at 82.84; conservative traders buy closer to the daily dot at 82.68. Stop goes below the dot at 82.58, and the first target being 83.48 and the second target 83.98. Let's see if we can ride this Yen weakness for a while. Video BONUS trades: the AUDJPY has a similar trade configuration; aggressive traders could get aboard at the open, stop below the 6/5and 1-1 Low; and target the 5/2d and then the 5/9d. Also, consider buying GC on a dip; aggressive traders only look to buy at the envelope top with a stop below the 6/5 and daily dot, target the top of nearby resistance and then the 5/2 and if we get lucky the 5/9. As we all know, Gold can move quickly and with a vengeance and so be careful here and and watch the flow!		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/28/12: USDJPY Well it was not to be, at least not today. We ticked down through our stop and chopped around for the rest of the day. This market still looks bullish to me, after all we're still above the Weekly and daily dot, but we stand aside for the moment--and watch for our entry opportunity. Update 3/27/12: USDJPY So far so good; Hold long. Both aggressive and conservative traders got filled and are aboard. We came close to the first target today and prospects are positive for tomorrow. Conservative traders keep the original target of 83.48 and aggressive traders move their first target to 83.68. Stop for both can be moved to the conservative break-even point of 82.68.
03/26/2012		Entry	82.84	Entry	82.68				($193)
		Exit	82.68	Exit	82.68
March 26 for March 27		Date	Mar-28	Date	Mar-28				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$0
		Entry	82.68	Entry
		Exit	82.68	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-28	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell AUDJPY at the open (aggressive traders), probably somewhere near 86.21, but get aboard in any case. More conservative traders can sell at 86.41, near Monday's daily dot. Targets are 85.05 near the 5/2 up, then 84.72 which is near the weekly 1-1 low, and then 84.42, the weekly 5/2. Stop goes at 86.77 above the daily 1-1 high. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/26/12:AUDJPY Not a successful trade, and not a lot of easy exits ahead of the stop, so we take the loss in stride and move forward. The good news is that this is pretty strong evidence that the yen weakness has returned, and this has some promise then for the resumption of a longer-term trend. Target for those who were nimble enough to reverse is the weekly envelope top.
03/23/2012		Entry	86.16	Entry	86.41				($1171)
		Exit	86.77	Exit	86.77
March 23 for March 26		Date	Mar-26	Date	Mar-26				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($434)
		Entry	86.41	Entry
		Exit	86.41	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-26	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDJPY at 82.59 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 82.82 just below the daily dot. First target is 82.13 near the weekly PLDot, and then 81.45 above the daily 5/2 up. Stop goes above the 6/5 at 83.24. I see some continued weakness here; we will need to work through this congestion before the yen weakness can take hold again. Video Other thoughts: Those so inclined might play for continued weakness in @ES and AUDJPY, we had a big down day but one could probably sell resistance with the idea that these moves might continue a bit to the downside. Other dollar-sensitive commodities also show weakness, but I am uncertain about shorting gold, crude and corn right here.		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/23/12: USDJPY Yes, a nice trade again today. Both aggressive and conservative traders were filled and exited at the first target. Those so inclined might look for additional weakness in USDJPY in the coming days, the chart still looks weak, and target 2 is likely achievable, but for Track Record purposes we're out and banking the money.
03/22/2012		Entry	82.59	Entry	82.82				$1,396
		Exit	82.13	Exit	82.13
March 22 for March 23		Date	Mar-23	Date	Mar-23				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$837
		Entry	82.82	Entry
		Exit	82.13	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell AUDJPY at market (currently 87.15) as an aggressive trade or more conservatively at 87.58 or better. Target is 86.55, just off the 5/2 extension, and then just off the weekly Live EBot at 86.32. Stop goes in at 87.98 above the dot and -1 high. The Yen will resume its weakness one of these days and this cross will head higher but in the meantime we have this retracement first, based on putative Chinese economic weakness and Australian government mining tax policies I suppose. But whatever the fundamentals the chart looks clear. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/22/12: AUDJPY Good trade for our aggressive traders; we caught most of the sharp overnight break. Especially nimble traders might have re-shorted after hitting our second target and ridden it down to the 5/9u, but we'll not assume that happened. For the Track Record we're out at 86.32 and happy for the profit, and no tears please if money was left on the table. There's always another day and another trade.
03/21/2012		Entry	87.15	Entry					$1,006
		Exit	86.32	Exit
March 21 for March 22		Date	Mar-22	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1401 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively just off the 1-1 high at 1405. Stop goes above the presumptive dotted line at 1409; first target is 1390.50, second target is 1381 just above the weekly live dot. We are in a Weekly exhaust formation, and the Daily is rolling over nicely, and the Monthly does not contradict this. So... we take the trade, looking for congestion entrance down. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/22/12: @ES OK, an excellent trade! Both aggressive and conservative traders were filled on 3/21; on 3/22 conservative traders are out at the first target and aggressive traders held for the second target but missed it on two occasions and so are out at 1387, a price they had multiple opportunities to take after missing target and with the close approaching. Update 3/21/12: @ES So far so good; hold short.
03/20/2012		Entry	1401	Entry	1405				$1,600
		Exit	1387	Exit	1390.5
March 20 for March 21		Date	Mar-22	Date	Mar-22				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$725
		Entry	1405	Entry
		Exit	1387	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-22	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC a bit off the 6/5 at 1664 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1658 just off the daily PLDot. Target is just below the 5/2 extension at 1678 and thereafter a bit shy of the the Daily 5/9 and weekly PLDot area at 1697. Stop goes below the daily dot and 1-1 low at 1653. Some conservative traders might stay long and just ride this trade but since we think Gold has a lot of upside potential here we are re-setting the trade at a somewhat better price and seeing if we can keep the good times a-rolling. Gold is very volatile but as my favorite hockey player says, "100 percent of the shots you don't take don't go in the net." So let's give it a go. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/20/12: @GC Well doggone it, that shot just didn't go in the net! We were stopped out; I am still thinking the gold market has a lot of upside potential but it certainly didn't happen today.
03/19/2012		Entry	1664	Entry	1658				($1600)
		Exit	1653	Exit	1653
March 19 for March 20		Date	Mar-20	Date	Mar-20				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($500)
		Entry	1658	Entry
		Exit	1653	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-20	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.3148 or better, just off the envelope top (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3123, just off the 6/5. Stop goes in at 1.3061, and the target is 1.3247 near the 5/2d and the area of the weekly PLDot. Thereafter the next target would be 1.3364, approaching the 5/9d and the weekly ETop. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/19/12: EURUSD Aggressive traders were filled at their specified entry point and exited at target. Short and sweet!
03/16/2012		Entry	1.3148	Entry					$990
		Exit	1.3247	Exit
March 16 for March 19		Date		Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1653 or better (aggressive traders)just off the 5/1, or more conservatively at 1645. Stop goes below the 1-1 low at 1637 and the target is up at the daily envelope top, and then the weekly PLDot, and then... and then ... and then ..the weekly and monthly envelope tops of course, i.e the heavens above. We're playing the monthly 5/9 up (1626) as strong support, and so it well may be. But I have a newly re-energized respect for this most dangerous of markets and so we have a tighter stop and will rely on flow-based entries for aggressive traders if price takes off. Video Other interests: Sell @CL (we got a really *nice* trade today), sell @US, buy AUDJPY.		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/19/12: @GCAggressive traders saw how close we came to the ETop and exited shortly thereafter at the 1-1high at 1667.20; conservative traders are openly weeping at missing the ETop by only a few cents but are exiting at the close of the day and taking profits here -- a good trade nevertheless. Taking profits now is fielder's choice however; I believe Gold will be going higher and a good case can be made for holding long. Update 3/16/12: @GC Both aggressive and conservative traders are aboard, and the day is closing pretty strongly. On balance I say hold long since the upside potential is very large. However aggressive traders have $2k+ and Conservative traders have $1.5K in the trade already and they may wish to take profits here. My preference is to move the stop up a bit to under the 1-1 low and see if we can hang on until the market moves higher, and so for track record purposes that is what I am doing.
03/15/2012		Entry	1653	Entry	1645				$3,640
		Exit	1667.20	Exit	1663
March 15 for March 16		Date	Mar-19	Date	Mar-19				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,800
		Entry	1645	Entry
		Exit	1667.20	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-19	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at market -- currently 105.43 -- (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 106.00; target is 103.90 into weekly and daily key support; stop should go above the daily dot and 1-1 high at 106.60. I see weakness all about here, and the dots are a-pushing on weekly, and daily basis, with the monthly dot beckoning for a dot refresh. Fundamentals are weak as well, shown in term structure backwardization. Video Bonus trade: look to sell the EURUSD anywhere under the daily dot, and the closer to it the better. Also: watching gold carefully as it deals with the Monthly 5/9 up. That would be a buy, no?		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/15/12: @CL A quick and happy resolution to this trade with excellent profits. Aggressive and conservative entries both hit and filled, thus aggressive trader rides with two contracts and the conservative with one; both are out at target on this quick break. Nice!!
03/14/2012		Entry	105.43	Entry	106.00				$3,630
		Exit	103.90	Exit	103.90
March 14 for March 15		Date	Mar-15	Date	Mar-15				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$2,100
		Entry	106.00	Entry
		Exit	103.90	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-15	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 139'080 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 139'150. We're seeing a breakdown on news from the Fed and this from a very extended congestion, and so this move could have some legs. The problem is how to get aboard at a decent price. Target for now is 137'110 and the stop should go in at 140'120. Video Bonus trades: Buy @ES at 1387.75 or better, or if aggressive go market; target 1414; buy AUDJPY at 87.10-87.25, stop at 86.66 and target at 88.83.		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 3/14/12: @US Market gaped lower and broke in a major way; Price never retraced to our entrance and so we grabbed our short entry on the fly as a directional trade. We hit the first target of 137'11 and blew through it with hardly so much as a tip oft he hat, and so the next level of support comes into play. Second target level of 5/9 up hit and we're out. The intrepid can reverse fro a short refresh bounce but I would not be surprised if the downward action continues in the near future. See the video for discussion and specifics. Video
03/13/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
March 13 for March 14		Date		Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	138'270
		Exit		Exit	136'150				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Mar-14				$2,375
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at market on open which is showing as 1.3152 here (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3121 above the daily Ebot and in daily support. Target would be the Daily Envelope top for starters, then more reasonably just off the the Weekly PLDot at 1.3243. Stop goes in at 1.3103. I see some congestion here as the dust settles from the Greek drama. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/13/12: EURUSD Not a lot to say here. Decisively stopped out, and not any place to make a clean flow-based exit either. So we take our lumps.
03/12/2012		Entry	1.3152	Entry	1.3121				($670)
		Exit	1.3103	Exit	1.3103
March 12 for March 13		Date	Mar-13	Date	Mar-13				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($180)
		Entry	1.3121	Entry
		Exit	1.3103	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-13	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC just off the 6/5 and ETop at 1710 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1698 just above the daily PLDot. Stop goes below the daily dot at 1690, and the targets are 1724, then 1736, and 1746, just off the resistance areas of the 5/2, 5/2 extension, and 5/9 respectively. I give three targets because this is impressive strength we're seeing in gold coupled with a definitive turn-around and breakout and if we do get aboard a powerful move we don't want to be kicked out prematurely. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/13/12: @GC Not a happy camper here. Things looked good for a while but then fell apart decisively. Conservative traders stopped out at 1692, per stop below, for a loss of $600. Aggressive traders had the cold comfort of being able to limit their loss somewhat through a flow-based exit at 1700, for a loss of $800. By no means is this a pretty picture. Video Update 3/12/12: @GC We did get filled with the conservative as well as the aggressive trade entries; the former is in slight profit, the latter somewhat under water. This is another situation where the chart structure is intact but I am nervous as an alley cat and want to tighten up the stop. And yet I don't see any great place to put my stop. I move it to 1692. The hourly chart shows a market winding up for a bigger move but I am not sure what direction; I lay my bet on the long side but hedge the stop on the downside. Like many situations in trade, no perfect answer here.
03/09/2012		Entry	1710	Entry	1698				($800)
		Exit	1700	Exit	1692
March 9 for March 12		Date	Mar-13	Date	Mar-13				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($600)
		Entry	1692	Entry
		Exit	1700	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-13	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY above the live daily dot, at 81.40 or better (aggressive traders ) or more conservatively at 81.25 or better, just off the 6/5. Stop goes in at 80.02 below the weekly live dot, and the target is 82.16 near the 5/2 and then 82.80 near the 5/9 area. Tomorrow is a big report day as you know and so there will be some volatility, if that is not in your comfort zone then stand aside until after the 8:30 a.m. ET report action settles down. Yen weakness has resurfaced with a vengeance and it is possible this trade could go on for a while. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 3/19/12: USDJPY OK stopped out at 83.09; we book an excellent profit despite not getting the optimal target price. Update 3/16/12: USDJPY I say hold long; We are experiencing a retracement but have a good profit locked in. The target remains 84.44. If we reach it, great; if not then we stop out at a good profit. Update 3/15/12: USDJPY Hold long. Maybe this move is over but I'm betting the other way. In any case our stop protects a good profit. Update 3/14/12: Excellent bullish action in our favor. We hit our first target and will hold for new target of 84.44. Move stop to 83.09 under the 1-1 low. One possible way to play a market such as this is to take partial profits at targets and then add back to the position on retracements. But so far our retracements have been tiny! Video Update 3/13/12: USDJPY Hold Long. This is working out nicely. Stop was not hit and the up-move picked up after the Fed minutes were released. New first and second targets: 83.57 near the 5/2 and then 83.97 near the 5/9d. Move stop to 82.18 underneath the 1-1 Low Update 3/12/12: USDJPY Hold Long. I am less than completely comfortable with this trade and yet the chart looks OK. We did close inside the weekly envelope yet on the other hand the daily C-wave is intact. Yet on the third hand we have dots swinging against us. Maybe the best solution is to hold long with a tight stop just below the Daily dot at 81.90. Update 3/9/12: USDJPY The market moved aggressively upwards without hitting our aggressive entry and so we got aboard on a flow-based entry on the fly at 81.82. Yen weakness looks to continue and so hold long. We blew through our first target like a knife through butter and approached the second target. Given this strength I say move the target to Monday's 5/2 at 83.30; move your "911" stop to 80.45. Video
03/08/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
March 8 for March 9		Date		Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	81.82
		Exit		Exit	83.09				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Mar-19				$1,524
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 141'180 or just go market at the open (aggressive traders) or more conservatively sell at 141'250 or better. Target is just off the 5/9 up at 140'100, but we might hesitate a bit at the bottom of the Daily envelope at 141'000 which can be seen as an interim target. Stop goes in at 142'020. We see strengthening employment numbers looming, a lessening of the Greek malaise, etc., and the treasury cycle seems to be eroding to the downside. We shall see, as the saying goes. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 3/9/12: US And we're out at target. Update 3/8/12: @US Aboard with our aggressive entry at the open. No reason not to hold short for target. Big report tomorrow means some volatility is likely but I suspect we will make the target number. Move stop to breakeven.
03/07/2012		Entry	141'110	Entry					$1,031
		Exit	140'100	Exit
March 7 for March 8		Date	Mar-09	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3125 or better (aggressive traders) or at 1.3163 just under the 6/5 for more conservative traders. Stop goes in at 1.3204 and the target is ultimately just north of the monthly envelope bottom in the 1.2850 area, but with interim targets at 1.3050 and 1.2970. We've had a great run in the EURUSD but the slope of the daily envelope says we're not yet done. This could change of course but for the moment that's the call. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/8/12: Well that question was answered promptly and decisively. We were stopped out at 1.3181. Update 3/7/12: EURUSD Well this move would seem to be over; we are aboard short with both conservative and aggressive entries, and the average of the two is about where the market is now; thus aggressives are breakeven and conservatives have a small profit. My inclination is to hold short but move the target up to a likely nearby support level and lower the stop considerably. Thus: new target is: 1.3120 and new stop is: 1.3181. If the Greeks mess up again however we will see a strong continuation to the downside and aggressive traders should be prepared for that possibility.
03/06/2012		Entry	1.3125	Entry	1.3163				($740)
		Exit	1.3181	Exit	1.3181
March 6 for March 7		Date	Mar-08	Date	Mar-08				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($180)
		Entry	1.3163	Entry
		Exit	1.3181	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-08	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at .9925 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9911 or better. Target is 1.0020 and thereafter 1.0067. Stop goes below the dot at .9886. We're seeing some real strength today, and will see if we can get aboard. Video Additional Suggestions: Look at the strength in Corn; Gold also looks interesting from a long perspective. And the Yen strength is particularly noticeable in the AUDJPY, so some might wish to sell this Forex Cross for a brief retracement to the weekly dot.		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 3/6/12: USDCAD Well we had the right idea anyway. Price took off to the upside and did not retrace sufficiency for us to get aboard with either aggressive or conservative entries, thus we have a directional trade on our hands. We take the entrance from the close of the third hourly bar in our direction, .9953. e hit the target of 1.0020 and are out, banking $669.00. Video Update 3/6/12: Other Suggested Trades Corn held it's ground well in the face of other commodity weakness, so we take note. Gold... well I hope nobody took my advice there; but the Yen! Look how nicely the AUDJPY made a retracement to the weekly PLDot and then to the weekly Envelope Bottom; Picture perfect! None of these trades go in the records however as they were merely suggestions and not specified bonus trades.
03/05/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
March 5 for March 6		Date		Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	.9953
		Exit		Exit	1.0020				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Mar-06				$669
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1366 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1363.75. Target is 1375 and then 1384, and the stop goes in at 1358. I'm looking at the generally bullish tone as we grind upward. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 3/5/12: Annoyingly the low of the day was our stop price. Conservative traders are out at that stop for a small loss. Aggressive traders were out with their two contracts for a loss of $686.50 but re-entered with two contracts on the following hourly bar at 1360, and are out at day's close for a small net win of $212.50. This trade is looking sick and so we move on to play another day in another time.
03/02/2012		Entry	1366	Entry	1363.75				$212.50
		Exit	1358	Exit	1358
March 2 for March 5		Date	Mar-05	Date	Mar-05				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($287.50)
		Entry	1363.75	Entry
		Exit	1359	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Mar-05	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC 1714 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively 1703 off the 1-1 low; target is 1733 which is the daily 1-1 high but could go higher to 1739-41 so be prepared if the move develops. Stop? well, these be volatile times and so put a stop at 1696 but watch the flow. Fun times, eh what? Video BONUS TRADES: Consider a short in Crude Oil 109.75 (aggressive) with a target of the daily dot and then the 1-1 low. ALSO one could probably buy @US since it has reached congestion target and seems interested in moving back up again. ALSO AUDJPY is looking very strong and could be bought. See the updates on yesterday's bonus trades as well.		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 3/2/12: The gold trade did not work out and we exit for a small loss to look for a better entry long another day. Update 3/2/12: BONUS TRADES @CL we missed the technical entry by a few cents but take a flow-based entry at the third bar of flow in the trade direction entry at 108.71; hit target at 106.74 (1-1 low) and we're out for a profit of $1,917. @US bought at the open 141'20 and out at the close 141'130 for a profit of $781. AUDJPY in at the open out at the close, for 11 pips or profit of $134, essentially a scratch. Total of bonus trades for the day: $2,832.
03/01/2012		Entry	1714	Entry					(180)
		Exit	1712.20	Exit
March 1 for March 2		Date	Mar-02	Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	108.71
		Exit		Exit	106.74				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Mar-02				$2,832
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD on open or at market shortly thereafter (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at .9916 or better, which is near the daily live dot and weekly envelope bottom. Target is .9765 near the weekly 5/9 up. The strength in the CAD comes in the face of general dollar strength as well, which I find impressive as well as seeing the technical reasons for this down move. Stop goes at .9965 above the 6/5. Video BONUS TRADES: Lots going on today in the volatile markets as we saw mucho surprise activity. Something is a-foot, and so we are here to help things along by taking advantage of whatever moves we can. Suggestions for those who want to participate: sell @US (June contract now)market with a target of weekly envelope bottom area; sell @ES market with a target of weekly PLDot; sell EURUSD at market along the lines of our existing bonus trade of two days ago, or adding to that position. Good trading!		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 3/6/12: We hit our revised target in EURUSD and are out. A premature exit I know but I got a little nervous, an old habit....sorry 'bout that. Bonus trade profits: $1444 from EURUSD and $1531 from @US, minus $500 loss on @ES total $2471. Update 3/5/12: USDCAD Aggressive traders were stopped out with their one contract at .9920 for a small loss. No trade for conservative traders. Update 3/5/12: EURUSD Move target to 1.3178 and stop to 1.3259. This trade is getting long in the tooth and so we move to protect winnings. Update 3/2/12: USDCADHold short. Move first target to .9857; move inside the envelope casts a shadow on the potential here. Update 3/2/12: BONUS TRADES EURUSD holding short from entry of 1.3322 for second target of 1.3118 Monthly PLD. Update 3/1/12: USDCAD Hold short for target. Things are progressing reasonably nicely. Move stop to .9920. Update 3/1/12: @US Bonus Trade We entered at the open 141.210 and closed out at the 5/2 up 140'040, which was in our opinion reasonably close to the Weekly Envelope bottom target. (Note we specified Weekly Ebot "area".) Thus we book a bonus profit of $1,531. Update 3/1/12: @ES Bonus Trade This did not work out and we assume traders are out of this trade. If you entered at the open and exited at the close you lost $500. Update 3/1/12: EURUSD Bonus Trade Hold short. Those who are short from two days ago are especially happy. First target 1.3250, but might eventually work much lower, witness the monthly PLD and EBot.
02/29/2012		Entry	.9897	Entry					($231)
		Exit	.9920	Exit
Feb 29 for March 1		Date	Mar-05	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1.3322
		Exit		Exit	1.3178				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Mar-06				$2,471
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDJPY 80.44 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively just off the 1-1 high at 80.79. Initial stop goes at 81.46, targets are 80.05, then 79.91, 79.77, and 79.18, should we get there. We are in an exhaust pattern, the question is if we will break the congestion block level or no, or continue the weekly c-wave instead. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/29/12: Exit the trade. We got caught in the sudden turn-around caused by Bernanke and the Europeans, and so the best loss is the first loss. Aggressive traders took the flow-based exit at the close of the first huge bar against us; conservative traders exited at the time of this writing a few minutes after the close. We can't win 'em all, folks. Video
02/28/2012		Entry	80.44	Entry	80.79				($825)
		Exit	80.95	Exit	81.19
Feb 28 for Feb 29		Date	Feb-29	Date	Feb-29				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($492)
		Entry	80.79	Entry
		Exit	80.95	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-29	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @C at 641 or better (aggressive traders) or below the daily dot and above the 1-1 low at 637.5 (conservative traders). Stop goes at 632.5 and the target is just this side of the 5/9d at 656. Note the envelope trundling across the page looking like congestion but the dots and live dots holding, and a small trend developing, and all this in the face of what some call bearish news. Furthermore we have higher time period dots in place to push up. Video UPDATE NOTE: My comments refer to the March contract in corn, and this is OK for the moment but volume is building towards the rollover into May Corn and those who want to play if safe can initiate their trades in the May contract; if the trade develops in the March contract and has some legs you would need to roll over on the 29th of February into the May contract. The chart patterns are the same of course, and there is about a 3.75 cent premium on the May corn prices. Bonus Trade: Sell EURUSD 1.3425, or more conservatively at 1.3448; target 1.3244 and then 1.3125; stop at 1.3510. Could it be that the problems with Greece are not really totally 100 percent completely resolved forever? Horrors!		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 3/6/12: EURUSD OK we're out at the latest target of 1.3175, a bit premature I know but caution (or, ahem, fear) prevailed. Accounting for the bonus trade: Conservative traders profit of $2,040, aggressive profit on two contracts $5,230, corn trade a scratch, total $7,270. How wonderful life when your right! Update 3/5/12: EURUSD Keep stop where it is and move target up to 1.3175, I am growing cautious. Update 3/2/12: EURUSD Bonus This trade is fabulous; conservative traders are aboard from 1.3448, aggressive traders from there and a second contract at 1.3425. Conservative traders exited at 1.3244 for a profit of $2040 and aggressive traders are holding both for the second target of 1.3125, and should move stop to 1.3245. Quite wonderful so far. Update 3/2/12:@C Finally in the end we were stopped out of our corn trade st a scratch. Oh well, so it goes. Update 3/1/12: @C Hold long. A bit of chop here but still seems bullish to me. Note the strength is beans. Update 2/29/12: @C Hold long. Corn is most impressive in the face of this general commodity weakness With gold down hugely Corn and Soybeans hold their bullish posture, and that speaks volumes to me. Update 2/29/12: UPDATE ON EURUSD BONUS TRADE: Hold short; we have a nice trade developing here with a chance of reaching target. Move your stop to 1.3435 just above the 1-1 high, which is close to break-even. Update 2/28/12: Trade entry price was not triggered on either the March or the May contract, but the direction was correct and so we got aboard as price moved through the Envelope top at 649 (May contract). Move stop to break-even and he May contract target is 669 and then the Monthly 5/2 at 687. If you're not aboard this trade and wish to be so, consider a long at 654 on the May contract. If you are unfamiliar with roll-over issues, see the CME website's new "Pace of the Roll" tool. Video
02/27/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Feb 27 for Feb 28		Date		Date					Conservative
	@C	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1.3448
		Exit		Exit	1.3175				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Mar-06				$7,270
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD just off the PLDot at 0.9986 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively just north of the 1-1 low at 0.9972. Stop goes below the envelope at 0.9952 and the first target is the 5/9 down at 1.005 and then the weekly 5/9 down at 1.0100. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/27/12: An almost perfect trade, in that we got the aggressive entry and proceeded to target -- that is just one pip shy of the target. Aggressive traders have to deal with such matters though, and we exited at the close of the following bar (see closing video below) booking a profit of $480 instead of the full $640 we would have made if the target had been triggered to the tick, or the $1420 aggressive traders would have picked up had they added a second contract at the conservative entry. There's lots of dough to be made for those who see what is occurring and take action -- and the DG support and resistance levels are playing out wonderfully in these Forex markets. Video
02/24/2012		Entry	0.9986	Entry					$480
		Exit	1.0034	Exit
Feb 24 for Feb 27		Date	Feb-27	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.3328 or better (aggressive traders) or 1.3307 or better for more conservative traders, with a stop at 1.3263 under the daily dot and a target of 1.3483 and the 1.3523. This was a pretty assertive breakout and we look to get aboard the move, buying at the ETop and/or the 6/5. Coming out of a lengthy congestion like this we may see some good continuation. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 2/24/12: We called the correct direction but the specific entry was not triggered, thus it is a directional trade; we went long on the close of the third bar of positive flow, i.e. when we could tell definitively what was going on. We're out at the target, which did trigger perfectly. Not as big a trade as we had hoped for but we're happy with the win and book the profits in good spirits. Video
02/23/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Feb 23 for Feb 24		Date		Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1.3387
		Exit		Exit	1.3483				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Feb-24				$960
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at the market at open (aggressive traders) or at 1.3269 or better just under the 1-1 high for conservative traders. Targets are 1.3187, then 1.3157 and 1.3074. Stop goes about resistance at 1.3296 Seems like we should be cycling down... certainly there seems to be little will in the market to move higher in this situation. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/23/12: Well no ifs, ands, or buts, we are quite wrong on this one. Color me annoyed.
02/22/2012		Entry	1.3247	Entry	1.3269				($760)
		Exit	1.3296	Exit	1.3296
Feb 22 for Feb 23		Date	Feb-23	Date	Feb-23				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($270)
		Entry	1.3269	Entry
		Exit	1.3296	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-23	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell AUDJPY at 85.19 or better (aggressive traders) approaching the daily PLDot or more conservatively at 85.49 just under the 1-1 high. Stop goes above the 6/1 at 85.89 and targets are first at 84.45 and then at 84.04. We're in an exhaust formation and the daily is rolling over in a very pronounced way and so we'll see how this one develops. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/23/12: It was not to be and we were stopped out. Update 2/22/12: Hold Short. Both aggressive and conservative traders were filled, but we have not yet seen a lot of downside price action as yet. Move the first target to 84.63, second target to 83.71, and the stop can stay where it is.
02/21/2012		Entry	85.19	Entry	85.49				($1,375)
		Exit		Exit
Feb 21 for Feb 22		Date	Feb-23	Date	Feb-23				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($500)
		Entry	85.49	Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC on the open (aggressive traders) or closer to the daily PLDot at 1731 or better (this is also about at the weekly PLDot). Gold has been holding support well and with the dollar showing some weakness I think we could see a move to the upside out of congestion; note as well the dots together all set for a joint push upwards. Stop goes below the dot at 1724 and the target is 1758 near the daily 5/9d. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/22/12: Well our unofficial add-on "bonus trade" paid rich dividends for those traders who participated. In at 1753, out at the close (1777.70) for a solid gain of almost $2,500 Video Update 2/21/12: Outstanding gold trade. Aggressive traders were long from the evening session open; conservative traders just missed an entry; the low was 1732.4 and the conservative entry was slated for 1731. Just goes to show you how close the Drummond numbers come. This market is very bullish and it broke the 5/9d at day's end. Those who did not exit at target can hold long; others interested in getting aboard might look for a retracement to the 1752-1754 level. But for the purposes of our track record we're out and booking the profits. Video
02/20/2012		Entry	1736	Entry					$2,200
		Exit	1758	Exit
Feb 20 for Feb 21		Date	Feb-21	Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1753
		Exit		Exit	1777.30				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Feb-22				$2,430
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 142'110 or better (aggressive traders) or 142'210 or better for conservative traders (at the PLDot). Stop goers above the 5/9 d at 143'050 and he first target is 141'150 the 5/2 up, and then 140'040 the weekly 5/9. Wish I had sold this yesterday but we had our eyes elsewhere. Let's see if we can get aboard now... Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 2/20/12: Price took off in our direction but did not hit our entry points. Normally this would then go in the books as a "directional trade," but there was no good place to get aboard due to the rapidity of the move and if one did go short after the first hourly bar then the trade turns out to be a scratch so far. Thus this goes in the books as a non-trade and we'll look to get short another time. Things do look very bearish however.
02/17/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Feb 17 for Feb 20		Date		Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at the open (aggressive traders) or at 1.3183 just off the ETop and 1-1 high (conservative traders) with a stop at 1.3224 and a downside target of 1.3035 and then 1.2913. Seems that this glorious sunshine from the Grand Greek Resolution is a bit blinding. We'll try a short. Instructive to my mind: the rally stalled at the PLDot. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 2/20/12: We could not have been more wrong and were stopped out as the Chinese lowered their reserve requirements over the weekend, and Europe did not totally self-destruct. We had moved the stop to minimize the damage of such an occurrence, and now we stand aside. Conservative traders scratch; aggressive traders take a smallish loss. I still have my doubts about Europe however. Update 2/17/12: Hold short. Yes, we had a bit of a rally and we thus were granted entries for both conservative and aggressive traders. But the rally fizzled, and leaves us more-or-less-sorta-kindda where we were at yesterday's close. this is not bullish action folks, and with the deep divisions in Europe, chances are high that any little thing can cause negative emotions to flourish once again. Besides, technically we're below the weekly and monthly dots, and the weekly envelope is rolling over. Hang tight. Monday is a US holiday but the forex markets are global. Move stop to 1.3179 and first target to 1.3077. Second target stays as is.
02/16/2012		Entry	1.3129	Entry	1.3183				($460)
		Exit	1.3179	Exit	1.3179
Feb 16 for Feb 17		Date	Feb-20	Date	Feb-20				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$40
		Entry	1.3182	Entry
		Exit	1.3179	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-20	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY at market (aggressive traders) or at the PLDot 83.60 or better, for more conservative traders. Stop goes below the 5/9 at 83.40 and the target is the weekly 5/2 d at 85.02. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/16/12: A very successful trade. We got aboard with both conservative and aggressive entries and rode it all day to very, very near the target, just a few ticks shy. Now we see the hourly start to fall off a bit and so we take our money and exit on close at 84.88. Video
02/15/2012		Entry	83.87	Entry	83.60				$2,901
		Exit	84.88	Exit	84.88
Feb 15 for Feb 16		Date	Feb-16	Date	Feb-16				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,279
		Entry	83.60	Entry
		Exit	84.88	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-16	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @GC at 1723 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively just off the 1-1 hi at 1729. Stop goes at 1736 and the first target is 1710 and then 1710 and then just north of the 5/9up at 1694. The dollar is strong and gold is languishing; let's see if we can pick up some of this weakness tomorrow. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/16/12: We closed this trade out yesterday when we were stopped out but just note the nature of the action today; gold did achieve the target before reversing sharply. Furthermore note the nature of the price action when the stop was hit, and my comment in the original movie that the real stop should have been above the 5/9. Had I only listened to myself. Anyway, lessons learned, and that's what trading is all about. Video Update 2/15/12: Gold was not ready for the move we anticipated yesterday and so we take our loss and stand aside. The PLDots are still close together and we await a larger move but the direction is for the moment uncertain.
02/14/2012		Entry	1723	Entry	1729				($1300)
		Exit	1736	Exit	1736
Feb 14 for Feb 15		Date	Feb-15	Date	Feb-15				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($700)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3205 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 1.3228; stop goes at 1.3295 and the first target is 1.3095 and the second target is 1.3045. Now that the Greeks have voted the reality sets in.... time to "sell the news"? Technically the daily PLDot is rolling over, we're in weekly zone 4 and the monthly PLdot is breaking. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/16/12: A further update to our suggested add-on "bonus Trade": The entry on Feb 15 was spot-on correct, and the trade moved to target today, Feb 16. Again, note the strong reversal out of the lows BUT NOT BEFORE THE TARGET WAS HIT! We call this kind of action "fulfilling the geometry" and it is a characteristic of Drummond Geometry analysis. Video Update 2/14/12: This trade worked out perfectly. Our aggressive traders captured virtually the whole day's range. We hit the fist target and are out; those who wish to play in this market again tomorrow for the follow-on downside action might consider re-shorting in the 1.3166 to 1.3154 area with a target of 1.2982 or so. Video
02/13/2012		Entry	1.3205	Entry					$1,100
		Exit	1.3095	Exit
Feb 13 for Feb 14		Date	Feb-14	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1.3166
		Exit		Exit	1.2982				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Feb-16				$1,840
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @us on open (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 142'270 or better. We're looking for a congestion action move down to the lower confines of congestion, first target being just above the the envelope bottom at 141'150, then just above the 5/9 up at 140'300. Stop goes above the nearby resistance at 143'070. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 2/13/12: Exit at market for what we'll call a scratch. Conservative traders made a few ticks; aggressive traders lost a few ticks, so the day was more or less a wash, and that's how it goes in the books. We had the direction right but we just didn't get any movement to speak of, very choppy action. Video
02/10/2012		Entry	142.'100	Entry	142'270				($156)
		Exit	142'210	Exit	142'210
Feb 10 for Feb 13		Date	Feb-13	Date	Feb-13				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry	142'270	Entry
		Exit	142'210	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-13	Date					$187
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US at the open (aggressive traders) or at 141'060 or better (conservative traders. Stop goes below nearby daily support at 140'210. The hourly action after auction results on Thursday afternoon lead me to believe this is an exhaust down into the weekly 5/9 up and weekly/monthly envelope bottoms. SO far not a lot of supporting evidence except for that striking hourly up move, so we place a tight stop. The first target is the weekly PLdot, and then we'll see; this could be setting up for a bit of refresh and then a renewed leg down. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/10/12: Conservative entry not triggered but the day played out wonderfully for the aggressive trader. Price hit the weekly PLDot to the tick and our aggressive trader exited there, with an exit price of 142'300. Next move is likely to the downside again, as we are up against weekly, monthly pldots and quarterly Etop, and tons of space below us. Video
02/09/2012		Entry	141'210	Entry					$1,281
		Exit	142'300	Exit
Feb 9 for Feb 10		Date	Feb-10	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD on the open (aggressive traders) or at 1.3230 or better (conservative traders. We've had a day for this breakout to consolidate and it is looking OK, and so we "go-with" the move and see what develops, getting aboard a monthly dot push we hope. Stop goes at 1.3167 and the target is 1.3490, the monthly E-top. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/10/12: Stopped out... seems the Greeks don't always do what they say they will and this bothers the heck out of the stern Germans. Who knew? Aggressive traders exited on sharp adverse flow as price broke the PLDot at 1.3240 Video Update 2/9/12: So far so good; we're aboard with both conservative and aggressive entrances. Move stop to 1.3198. the action is not wildly bullish but we do have a solid energies in weekly c-wave, monthly dot push. Let's see how things develop tomorrow.
02/08/2012		Entry	1.3259	Entry	1.3230				($90)
		Exit	1.3240	Exit	1.3198
Feb 8 for Feb 9		Date	Feb-10	Date	Feb-10				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($323)
		Entry	1.3230	Entry
		Exit	1.3240	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-10	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 99.00 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 99.44 or better. Stop goes at 100.05 above nearby resistance. Target is 97.54 and then 96.77. We're playing for the exhaust move here, retracement to the PLdot or better. Crude is reacting to the dollar in the face of bearish fundamentals which have not changed since yesterday. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/8/12: Wow, talk about annoying. The market stopped us out by 4 cents and moved back down in our anticipated direction. The nimblest of traders might have taken action and re-shorted after this "poke" stop it, but the reversal was pretty sudden and the day finished even with any possible aggressive re-entry that we could justify. The exhaust formation is technically in place and tomorrow we should see lower prices, and so if still short one could hold for a new target of 98.35 and then eventually the envelop bottom. But for our TR purposes we take the loss and stand aside. Drat. Video
02/07/2012		Entry	99.00	Entry	99.44				($1050)
		Exit	100.05	Exit	100.05
Feb 7 for Feb 8		Date	Feb-08	Date	Feb-08				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($610)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at .9937 or better (aggressive traders) or at .9927 or better for conservative traders. Stop goes at .9897 nd the upside target is 1.0053, just below he weekly PLDot. I'm banking on the move inside the envelope on three time-frames and the position of price vis-a-vis the envelope on weekly and monthly charts. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 2/7/12: No Trade. In the early going we had the direction correct but in the end it was a choppy day and neither aggressive nor conservative entries were triggered. Stand aside.
02/06/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Feb 6 for Feb 7		Date		Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at the open on Sunday night (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 98.34 o.r better. Stop goes above the nearby resistance and also above today's 5/9 down, at 98.99. First target is 96.53 just north of the 1-1 low; thereafter just above the top of monthly support at 94.60. Rationale for the trade: weakish rally in the face of strong bullish news that markedly affected other risk markets. We should have seen something better in CL than just a PLdot refresh, but we didn't. Thus, this market is weaker than it might at first appear. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/6/12: In at the open and hit target; we're out at 96.53, booking a nice profit of $1,210 on this short term trade. Now we stand aside. Likely next move is a refresh to weekly and monthly PLDot.
02/03/2012		Entry	97.74	Entry					$1,210
		Exit	96.53	Exit
Feb 3 for Feb 6		Date	Feb-06	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at 1.3173 or better (aggressive traders), which is the 6/1 down; conservative traders look for a better entry at 1.3196, just off the 1-1 high. Stop goes above the nearby at 1.3270, and targets are at 1.3086, then 1.3047, and then 1.2956.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/3/12: This congestion-action trade worked perfectly! Both aggressive and conservative traders were filled at the predicted levels, and aggressive traders added one additional contract at the conservative entry. Target was hit near the lower confines of congestion and we're out.
02/02/2012		Entry	1.3173	Entry	1.3196				$1,970
		Exit	1.3086	Exit	1.3086
Feb 2 for Feb 3		Date	Feb-03	Date	Feb-03				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,100
		Entry	1.3196	Entry
		Exit	1.3086	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-03	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY on open or at a better market price (aggressive traders), conservative traders buy at the Ebot or a tad above at, say, 76.10. Stop goes below yesterday's low at 75.94 and the target is the weekly PLD at 76.99 for starters and then the heavens and stars above. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/9/12: Second target hit for aggressive traders and we're out. Update 2/8/12: First targets hit and conservative traders are out, aggressive traders have taken partial profits and hold the rest for second target. Move stop to 76.75. Update 2/7/12: Hold long. Move stop to 76.48. Aggressive traders set new target at 77.09 and if hit take off one contract and let the second contract ride to second target of 77.25. Conservative traders keep original target of 76.99. Update 2/6/12: Hold long. Technically the issue hinges on the daily PLD garnering enough strength to break the weekly resistance at the weekly PLdot. I think this will occur but it might take a day or two. Of course the Japanese Central Bank is under a lot of pressure to help us out on this trade. Update 2/3/12: Hold Long. We got our big report move and now aggressive traders are aboard with 2 contracts, conservative traders with one. Move your stop to break-even for both aggressive and conservative traders at 76.14, and let's see what develops. Update 2/2/12: Hold Long; A slow-moving market until it ain't, and then watch out! Big report tomorrow so make sure your stop is in place and be prepared to re-enter if the volatility comes to visit but proves transient and the up-move reasserts itself. Video
02/01/2012		Entry	76.19	Entry	76.10				$2,650
		Exit	77.09	Exit	76.99
Feb 1 for Feb 2		Date	Feb-08	Date	Feb-08				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,155
		Entry	76.10	Entry
		Exit	77.25	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-09	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 99.10 or better (aggressive traders), or more conservatively at 99.40 or better. Target is 96.95 and the stop should go at 100.86. We're looking at widening contango in the term structures, denoting good supply thus weakness, and what sorta seems like a dollar getting ready to turn up, on top of the weekly and daily dots conversing, new monthly dot shift, and a most convincing rejection of higher price today. Let's see where it goes. Video On the watch-list: @US, for sure, although it is premature for a short so far. And USDJPY of course, what on earth is going on there.		Success	Aggressive	Update 2/2/12: For those who followed my ad-hoc advice last night re the continuation of this @CL trade, you did very well; good entry in he neighborhood of the 6/5, exit at the 5/2 extension (which would be the second target). Not an "official" trade but a good illustration of how powerful the DG tools are: another $2K in hypothetical profits on this one.Video Update 2/1/12: We're very close to target and an excellent trade for both conservative and aggressive traders and so I am exiting at the close. Aggressive traders picked up a second contract at the conservative entry point. Video
01/31/2012		Entry	99.10	Entry	99.40				$3,820
		Exit	97.34	Exit	97.34
Jan 31 for Feb 1		Date	Feb-01	Date	Feb-01				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$2,060
		Entry	99.40	Entry
		Exit	97.34	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Feb-01	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at or just below the daily dot at 1312 or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively just below the 1--1 high at 1316.50. Targets are 1300 and then 1284; stop goes above the 5/9 at 1322. Video Bonus Trade: You gotta love the action in gold, moving inside the envelope. Interested parties could sell gold up in here (at perhaps the 6/1 down), looking for congestion entrance down to 1691, which is the 5/9 and also 3 dots back.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 2/1/12: Oops. Stopped out. My bad for not protecting the open profit. See video. Video Update 1/31/12: We're aboard with both conservative and aggressive entries; hold short.
01/30/2012		Entry	1312	Entry	1316.50				($250)
		Exit	1317	Exit	1322
Jan 30 for Jan 31		Date	Feb-01	Date	Feb-01				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($375)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US at 143'010 (aggressive traders) which is just north of the 6/5; conservative traders buy just above the daily dot at 142'200 or better. Stop goes below the 6/1 at 141'140 and the target is the Weekly Etop at 144'060. Video Bonus trade: buy USDCAD 1.0000, target weekly Ebot which is 2-3 daily dots back. Wild bonus trade: Sell @GC 1744. Note the weekly 5/9, the quarterly Etop, the daily collection of 5/2's, the Monthly 5/3 d. The only thing missing is any evidence that the market is in any way reacting to all this, thus a "taking it in the gut" trade idea, only for the well-capitalized who can also monitor intraday. Fun to watch though. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 1/30/12: We nailed the trade direction but our entrance did not get triggered, and so it goes in the books as a solid directional trade, hitting target at the weekly envelope top. (I had the correct target in the movie, Lord knows where I got the number 144'060 in the written comment, an obvious error on my part). Directional entry is dictated by the third bar of flow after the open,at 143'210, and exit at the W ET at 144'31. Bonus Trade Update 1/30/12: Delighted at the way the Gold trade worked out; entrance not triggered but we're seeing the expected play out. A continued bonus trade for today. Re USDCAD: Looks like we have the direction OK but no entry hit and not a hot market move so far.
01/27/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Jan 27 for Jan 30		Date		Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	143'210
		Exit		Exit	144'310				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jan-30				$1,312
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1322 or better (aggressive traders)or 1326 (conservative traders, with a stop at 1332 and targets at 1303 and then 1295. We've had a strong run up but the market is faltering an bit and I am betting on a refresh and a bit of congestion. Video Bonus Trade: Sell EURUSD at the Etop or just under the 1-1 high for a refresh to the weekly live ET or better.		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 1/27/12: For a while it looked as if we might have a directional trade but no follow-through, so this goes in the books as a "no trade" with neither the aggressive nor the conservative entries hit. We stand aside. Our nonofficial bonus trade did get a good entry but then went nowhere and so if you were in this trade you likely exited with a scratch.
01/26/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Jan 26 for Jan 27		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at the open (aggressive traders) or just below the envelope top at 100.50 or better (conservative traders). First target is 98.05, second target is 96.10. Stop should go above the 5/2 extension at 100.88. I smell a rat again: weak dollar and bullish news but no big rally. Also the WTI term structures are showing bearish signs as contango widens. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/26/12: No lack of clarity on this trade; we wuz stopped out. We now stand aside, though I am not convinced that my trade direction idea is entirely wrong; had we not been stopped out I think I would be holding short.
01/25/2012		Entry	99.96	Entry	100.50				($920)
		Exit	100.88	Exit	100.88
Jan 25 for Jan 26		Date	Jan-26	Date	Jan-26				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($380)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US at the open or better (aggressive traders) or more conservatively at 140'240, in Daily support but above the 1-1 low. Target is congestion entrance up, 2-3 dots back block level. We have daily and weekly exhaust formations, dots swinging, and pipes exhaust, all working against the currently strong envelope slope. Video Bonus trade: Buy @GC on open with a stop at 1653.		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/25/12: Excellent trade, out with good profit at second target. What lies ahead? Not positive but I could see a cycle up. But we're standing aside for the moment, and happy for the day. Video Update Bonus Trade 1/25/12: Excellent move in gold for aggressive traders who were able to monitor during the day. Stopped out briefly and re-entered at 1663 for an excellent gain in the "Bonus Trade" category. Video
01/24/2012		Entry	141'040	Entry					$2,187.50
		Exit	143'100	Exit
Jan 24 for Jan 25		Date	Jan-25	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1663
		Exit		Exit	1711				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jan-25				$3,500
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at the open of the evening session 1.3025 or better as I write (aggressive traders) and more conservative traders can look to get short just shy of the 1-1 hi at 1.3067 or better. Stop goes above the 5/2 d at 1.3125 and our target is the weekly live dot a 1.2832 and eventually the bottom of the range at sat 1.2660. We're in a daily exhaust pattern at the moment and looking to see how that might play out tomorrow. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/25/12: Yikes! FMOC and Euro Zone hijinks generate a lot of volatility. Nimble aggressive traders did OK, out on flow-based exit on news. Video Update 1/24/12: Hold short. This is a bit of a close call since we closed a tad above the envelope but on balance I see a weaker day tomorrow. I could be wrong of course so tighten the stop a bit to 1.3098.
01/23/2012		Entry	1.3025	Entry					$380
		Exit	1.2990	Exit
Jan 23 for Jan 24		Date	Jan-25	Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at Monday's daily PLDot, which is 76.96. We're picking up here on the bonus trade recommended yesterday and on that trade we are already long with an aggressive entry; stop is below the 6/1 at 76.60; and the target for the moment is the Monthly ETop at 78.79. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/27/12: OK, they saw me coming. The market gave us the answer and we hit the stop for a small profit. Stand aside for the moment but I'll be looking to re-set a long at a lower level. Update 1/26/12: A tough trade management call. I say hold long and look to take profits at a little better price at the daily dot area at 77.59. See the video for the arguments pro and con.Video Update 1/25/12: Hold Long. We're seeing a natural reaction to HTP resistance (monthly 6/1 down, etc.) but the Daily momentum is strong and I anticipate higher prices ahead. Move stop to break-even and let life proceed. Very aggressive traders can add to the trade on open. Update 1/24/12: Hold long. Big day today, I see this trade as a significant reversal and the start of someth
01/20/2012		Entry	77.00	Entry	76.96				$259
		Exit	77.20	Exit	77.20
Jan 20 for Jan 23		Date	Jan-27	Date	Jan-27				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$312
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at 101.40 or better (aggressive traders) or 102.05 or better (conservative traders). I smell a rat here; weak dollar, Mideast tensions, but oil cannot rally and the dot crest challenge fails. So, we try selling. Stop should be pretty close at 102.28; first target is 96.24, the 5/9 up area. Video Bonus trades: Sell @US at the EBot to 6/5 area; Buy USDJPY at the 6/5 area, 77.00 or more conservatively just north of the PLdot at 76.90.		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 1/20/12: Crude did not rally enough to trigger our conservative or aggressive entries but we had he direction right and we got aboard short at 100.60 and covered just above the 5/9 up at 98.10. Update @USDJPY: We're aboard at the aggressive entry at the 6/5 price, 77.01, and missed the conservative entry by 1 pip. Update @US: Again no trade trigger for the stated entry but we very much had the right idea and we're aboard short at 142'260. Hold for target 141'230.
01/19/2012		Entry	77.01	Entry
		Exit		Exit
Jan 19 for Jan 20		Date		Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	100.60
		Exit		Exit	98.10				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jan-20				$2,500
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD 1.0116 which is the current price (aggressive traders) or at 1.0133 or better (conservative traders) which is the weekly Envelope bottom. We're chasing the market just a bit here but methinks lower prices lie ahead. I like the triple dot push and the placement of the daily dot at the weekly envelope bottom bespeaks strong resistance. Place stop at 1.01685 and the first target is 1.0078.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/19/12: Conservative traders not filled, aggressive traders are out at target. Not a huge win but then that is normal when you are late on the trade and chasing the market a bit as we were on this one. Still, it's money in the bank and we like that. Video
01/18/2012		Entry	1.0116	Entry					$375
		Exit	1.0078	Exit
Jan 18 for Jan 19		Date	Jan-19	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY 79.58 (aggressive traders), just off the 65 up; conservative traders look to buy at the dot or better, 79.31. Stop goes below the 5/9 up at 78.84; Target to the upside is 80.85, near the 5/2, thereafter the 5/9. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/20/12: Excellent day with our two targets hit for the aggressive trader with a total profit of $2721. This market is looking like it has legs though and so traders should be looking to get long again, perhaps in the neighborhood of Monday's 6/5 up. Update 1/19/12: Hold long; market is "making progress towards it's expected target" which is the very definition of good (up) flow. Aggressive traders got long a second contract at 79.87.Video Update 1/18/12: Hold long. Market is acting as expected so far.Video
01/17/2012		Entry	79.58	Entry					$2,721
		Exit	80.85	Exit
Jan 17 for Jan 18		Date	Jan-20	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry	79.87	Entry
		Exit	80.70	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-20	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL at the open (aggressive traders) or just above the daily PLdot near the 1-1 high at 100.12 or better (conservative traders) with a stop above the ETop at 100.70 and a first target of the Envelope bottom 97.96 and thereafter the 5/9 up at 97.01. Video Alternative/bonus trade: Sell @US in nearby daily resistance near the 1-1 high at 145-070, target the Envelope Bottom - 5/9 area, 144'030 to 143-280.		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 1/19/12: Bonus Trade Out at target for a solid win of $2,300 Update 1/18/12: Bonus Trade Hold @US short from 145'070, move first target to 142'290. Video @ US update Update 1/17/12: Both conservative and aggressive traders stopped out; conservative traders at the "set it and forget it" stop of 100.70, aggressive traders taking a flow-based stop at 100.24 after multiple bars hourly c-wave against the trade while also breaking key resistance. Video
01/16/2012		Entry	99.66	Entry	100.12				($580)
		Exit	100.24	Exit	100.70
Jan 16 for Jan 17		Date	Jan-17	Date	Jan-17				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($580)
		Entry		Entry	145'070
		Exit		Exit	142'290				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jan-19				$2,312
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY just above The dot at 76.89 or better (aggressive traders) or at a better price of 76.75 or better (conservative traders. Stop goes at the 52up at 76.64 and the target would be the 5/9 at 77.30 or thereabouts. Video Video 2		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/16/12: Hold long Update 1/17/12: Stopped out, and then the market returns in our predicted direction. Go figure.
01/13/2012		Entry	76.89	Entry	76.75				($325)
		Exit	76.64	Exit	76.64
Jan 13 for Jan 16		Date	Jan-17	Date	Jan-17				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($143)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD 1.2787 or better(aggressive traders) and conservative traders just north of the 1-1 low at 1.2744. Stop is 1.2698 and target is the heavens, with a first target at 1.2900 and thereafter 1.2950. Video		Loss	Aggressive
01/12/2012		Entry	1.2787	Entry	1.2744				-$890
		Exit	1.2698	Exit	1.2698
Jan 12 for Jan 13		Date	Jan-13	Date	Jan-13				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		-$460
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at the open or better(aggressive traders) and look for a bit better price just under the 1-1 high for conservative traders at 144'100. Note the successive lower highs in the recent cycles and we have a pldot crest challenge underway, with the 5/9 placed thereabouts and an exhaust formation in place. Target is the opposing 5/9 tomorrow, 142'050, and the stop is 144'220 above nearby resistance. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/13/12: Stopped out. Update 1/12/12: Hold Short. Not an open-and-shut case but on balance I hold short. Tighten the stop to 144'140. Aggressive traders might pick up another contract short if conservative traders are filled. Video Video And Also...
01/11/2012		Entry	143'280	Entry	144'100				-$690
		Exit	144'140	Exit	144'140
Jan 11 for Jan 12		Date	Jan-13	Date	Jan-13				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		-$128
		Entry	144'100	Entry
		Exit	144'140	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-13	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell the USDCAD at 1.0175 (aggressive traders) or 1.0211 (conservative traders), with a target just north of the 5/2 u at 1.0082 and a stop at 1.0233. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/13/12: Stopped out in the general market reversal. Update 1/12/12: Hold Short; so far so good. Cancel the conservative entry and move the stop down a touch as indicated in the video to 1.0227. Video Update 1/11/12: Hold short. We just missed the conservative entry but we're aboard as an aggressive trader,looking for a pldot push to the downside --weekly and daily and monthly. Video
01/10/2012		Entry	1.0175	Entry					-$507
		Exit	1.0175	Exit
Jan 10 for Jan 11		Date	Jan-13	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy EURUSD at 1.2725 or better (aggressive traders)or 1.2693 (conservative traders) with a stop at 1.2636 and targets at 1.2869 and 1.2940. Video Video Trade Stats		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 1/10/12: No trade entry hit and so no trade. Those interested in playing the possible Euro turn-around could buy the 1-1 lo at 1.2738 tomorrow, an "unofficial" trade. Video
01/09/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Jan 9 for Jan 10		Date		Date					Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US at 142'280 or better (aggressive traders) or 142'210 (conservative traders) with a stop at 141'230 and a target of 144'160. In doing this we're taking note of the pretty powerful exhaust into HTP support (the Monthly PLDot) and the impressive reversal. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/11/12: Out at target Update 1/10/12: Hold long; move target to 143'110 and move stop to 142'030. Not in love with this trade but it is showing enough strength to hang in there, with reduced expectations. Video Update 1/9/12: Hold long. The bond market is not moving as one might hope but the trade concept is still valid.
01/06/2012		Entry	142'280	Entry	142'210				$469
		Exit	143'110	Exit	143'110
Jan 6 for Jan 7		Date	Jan-11	Date	Jan-11				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$687
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC 1613 or better (conservative traders) or 1619 (aggressive traders) with a stop at 1573 and targets at 1645 and 1700. Note that we have a major report tomorrow and thus I have set the stop loosely; be sure you are comfortable with this risk or wait until after the 8:30 ET Employment numbers. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 1/11/12: Final contract of aggressive trader out at target 1645 Update 1/10/12: Excellent day in Gold. Conservative traders hit target; aggressive traders are long two contracts and took profits on one, holding second for target. Video Update 1/9/12: This is a close call and one could go either way. But given the opening this evening I think we hold long. Keep a close stop. I'm not seeing the anticipated strength but on the other hand we're not breaking down either. Update 1/6/12: Hold long. We're aboard with both aggressive and conservative trade entries. Move stop to 1605 just below the 1-1 low. Price action is not as strong as I anticipated yet we have several time period PLDots lining up, ready to do battle with the dotted line formation in place. Conserva
01/05/2012		Entry	1619	Entry	1613				$5,200
		Exit	1639	Exit	1627
Jan 5 for Jan 6		Date	Jan-10	Date	Jan-10				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1400
		Entry	1613	Entry
		Exit	1645	Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date	Jan-11	Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy the @ES at the ETop 1272 or better (Aggressive traders); conservative traders look for a better price at the daily 6/5 1269 area. Target will be the Weekly 5/1 at 1290.5 for starters, thereafter the Monthly ETop at 1301. Stop goes below the Daily PLD/1-1 Low by a goodly amount, say 1264. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/5/12: Annoyingly we were stopped out but the trade concept is solid and still in force. My bad for setting the stop too close. What we are seeing is the need for the weekly dot to "catch up" and give us a bit more push to the upside. Video
01/04/2012		Entry	1272	Entry	1269				(400)
		Exit	1264	Exit	1264
Jan 4 for Jan 5		Date	Jan-05	Date	Jan-05				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		(250)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy the AUDJPY at 79.26 or better (conservative traders) or at 79.55 or better (aggressive traders). Stop will be below the PLD at 78.81 and the target is the 5/2 d at 80.46, and then the Weekly 5.9 AT 81.35 or thereabouts. This is a classic "risk-on" trade resulting from unexpectedly good economic news on two fonts, the US and China, and nothing horrible happening in Europe, thus the biggest global economies are starting to look a bit brighter. Alternative trade: buy USDJPY at the daily 6/5. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 1/4/12: This market is acting as expected; we're aboard for both conservative and aggressive traders. Hold long. Update 1/5/12: OK we got our move in our unofficial USDJPY trade; Hold Long. AUDJPY not so cheery a picture; stopped out. Video AUDJPY Video USDJPY
01/03/2012		Entry	79.55	Entry	79.26				(960)
		Exit	78.81	Exit	78.81
Jan 3 for Jan 4		Date	Jan-05	Date	Jan-05				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		(585)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		The Markets were closed today and so Friday's trade recommendations hold; tonight we take a quick look at the long-term picture in Bonds, the S&P, and crude Oil. What will 2012 bring? Video @US Video @ES Video @CL		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 01/03/12: Lots of action as the Iranians sounded the war drums and we saw positive economic news from both the US and China. All correlations go to "1" as we say, and so there are good trades on many fronts tonight: ES, US, CL, GC, USDJPY, and AUDJPY. Update 01/04/12: Lots of things are working out in our favor. ES, US, CL, and USDJPY were all suggested trades in addition to our one "official" trade last night and all seem to be more or less working out as expected.
01/02/2012		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Jan 2 for Jan 3		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 144'220 or better (aggressive traders), with a stop at 145'06. Conservative traders look for a better entry at 144'300. Targets 143'240, 142'230. Also looking at @CL, selling at 99.52, with a target of 97.75. But we have a long weekend, and thin holiday trading until the New Year gets rolling on January 3rd, so anything can happen. Happy New Year everyone. 2012 looks to bring us bright and shining trading. Video @cl Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 1/2/12: Markets closed today, so Friday's call holds. Update 01/3/12: Classic: big moves over the long holiday weekend meant that we had the direction right but no trade entry hit. This goes in the books as a directional trade with an entry at 143'250 and out at the close, 143'030. Those interested in the bonds tonight for tomorrow might look at selling the EBot, 143'190. Target would be the weekly Ebot. Update 01/04/12: This trade worked out perfectly and though not an "official" trade those who followed the suggestion above made very good money today, about $1,400 in addition to the $687 yesterday.
12/30/2011		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Dec 30 for Jan 3		Date		Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	143'25
		Exit		Exit	143'030				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Jan-03				$687
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at the envelope top, 1261 (aggressive traders), or a bit higher above the 1-1 high and below the 6/1 at 126 (conservative traders), with a target being the bottom of the current congestion at 1242, then the weekly pldot/live pldot at 1235-38; stop goes above the6/1 at 1267. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	UUpdate 12/30/11: Hold short. We see very thin holiday markets but on the other hand price is moving in our direction. Video Update 01/02/12: Markets closed today; hold short. Update 01/03/12:No Trade. The market gaped above our entry and our stop both, in a classic "pop" move, so no trade. But those so inclined could take the trade now developing, shorting @ES just under the 1-1 high with a target of closing the gap at the ETop. Update 01/04/12: This worked out very, very well.
12/29/2011		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Dec 29 for Dec 30		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at the open (aggressive traders) or just above the 6/1 at 77.85 (conservative traders). Target is the Weekly and Monthly ETops at 78.17 and 78.84 respectively. Stop below the 1-1 low at 77.65. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/29: Stopped out; we're not seeing the expected Yen weakness, so far anyway.
12/28/2011		Entry	77.92	Entry	77.85				($363)
		Exit	77.65	Exit	77.65
Dec 28 for Dec 29		Date	Dec-29	Date	Dec-29				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		(257)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at 1260 or better (aggressive traders) and conservative traders can sell at the 1-1 high 1264.25 or better, with a stop at 1269, just above the 5/2 down. First target is the PLdot at 1253.50, with the second and third targets being the 2nd and 3rd PLdots back at 1245.50 and 1234.00. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/28: Out at second target. Both the conservative and aggressive entries hit. Good trade methinks. Those so inclined could hold short in the expectation of reaching the third target but for the record we're out at target #2. Ultimate swing-trade target is of course the Weekly envelope bottom, so there is a lot more in this trade.Video
12/27/2011		Entry	1260	Entry	1264.25				$750
		Exit	1245	Exit	1245
Dec 27 for Dec 28		Date	Dec-28	Date	Dec-28				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$975
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL market (aggressive traders) or at 100.22 (conservative traders) with a stop over the 5/2 at 100.53; first target 99.15, then 98.60, just above the 5/9 up. The question of the hour is: will a refresh to the Monthly envelope top confirm or reject the idea of a c-wave. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/27: We were stopped out, short and simple story.
12/26/2011		Entry	100.22	Entry					($310)
		Exit	100.53	Exit
Dec 26 for Dec 27		Date	Dec-27	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at the 1-1 high at 1.0250 (aggressive traders) or just below the dot/5-9 at 1.0224. Stop goes above the dot at 1.02378 and the target is the weekly EBot at 1.01128. We're selling into support I know but there is still a lot to go if we continue the move into the target, so we give it a whirl. Video Happy Holidays!		NoTrade	Aggressive	Updating 12/26 No trade, not triggered. Should we get a significant refresh to 1.0241 area (weekly dot area) we might consider a short again, but in the face of dots swinging here we stand aside.
12/23/2011		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Dec 23 for Dec 26		Date		Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY 78.06 or better (aggressive traders), which is just above the 1-1 low; or at 77.93 (conservative traders) which is just above he 5/9up. Stop below nearby support at 77.78. Target is Monthly Etop 78.89 area. I am getting the increasingly strong suspicion that something is going on with the Yen. Video Alternate trade: Sell USDCAD at the live daily dot 1.0231, target weekly envelope bottom, then monthly envelope bot. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/23: Hold long. Let's see what the holiday weekend brings. Update 12/26: Hold long. Update 12/27: Not looking all that great but still we will hold long. Very narrowly avoided being stopped out. And yet, trade not invalid as yet, so we hold tight. Update 12/28: OK, stopped out, and so that is that. And yet, I am still bullish this market, and in some ways if an aggressive trader wish that we had doubled up at the daily 5/9. But we go in the books as a stopped-out loss. If you share my interested in this market, my strategy would be to ping long in the coming days.
12/22/2011		Entry	78.06	Entry					($359)
		Exit	77.78	Exit
Dec 22 for Dec 23		Date	Dec-23	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY on open (aggressive traders) or just above the 1-1 low at 78.24 (conservative traders), stop below the 5/9 at 77.93. Target is (just below)the weekly ETop at 80.10, and then the weekly 5/9 80.48, and then monthly structure would eventually kick in for higher targets, should we be that lucky. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/22: Hold long. I like the way this is developing. Update 12/23: Hold long. Cryptic statements from Japan hint at Central Bank intervention, and what better time for that than over a long holiday weekend. Just thinkin' . . . Update 12/26: Hold long. Update 12/27: Hold long, move stop up to 78.49. Cloudy weather these days. Update 12/28: Not Looking great. Nevertheless we have not yet hit our new stop at 78.49, and so the gambler in me says hang tight. If we do survive the stop then we will assess the exit. Update 12/29: OK, stopped out, we're outta here.
12/21/2011		Entry	78.73	Entry					($309)
		Exit	78.49	Exit
Dec 21 for Dec 22		Date	Dec-29	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at the 6/5, 144'050 (aggressive traders) or at 144'310, just under the daily dot (conservative traders). Stop goes above the dot at 145'080, and target is just above the 5/2up at 143'070. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/21: This worked out just about as expected; we hit our target and are out. We might see more to this move; traders interested in working this trade could sell the envelope bottom with a target of the 1-1 low to weekly PLDot area. But for Track Record purposes we bank our profits here. Video
12/20/2011		Entry	144'050	Entry					$937
		Exit	143'070	Exit
Dec 20 for Dec 21		Date	Dec-21	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES in support at 1200 (aggressive traders) or 1190 (more conservative traders). Stop has to go below the 5/2 at 1182 and the targets are 1215, then 1219, then 1228. I could be wrong of course, but methinks the current anxiety re the Korean and European situations is a bit overdone. Structurally we are set for a rally. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/20: This worked out nicely, entering a few ticks above the low of the day and exiting at our third target. I don't know how we could have done any better, except maybe specifying a fourth target. Next stop looks to be the Weekly envelope top. We'll step aside here for a bit though. I suspect the 5/9 just broken will be good support. Video
12/19/2011		Entry	1200	Entry					$1,400
		Exit	1228	Exit
Dec 19 for Dec 20		Date	Dec-20	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at or near the Sunday open (aggressive traders) and conservative traders can look for a better entry at 1.0425 just below the 1-1 high. But we're in resistance and there are a lot of good hooks upon which to hang your short entry: 5/2 1.0405; Etop 1.0407; 1-1 h 1.0425; 6/1d 1.0436 . Stop goes 1.0460 above weekly resistance and in the arena of the tons of 5/9s. Target is the opposing support, bottom of congestion of course, and the 6/1 would be the first target, thereafter just above the 5/2 at 1.0276. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/19: We got aboard at the Daily 5/2 at 1.0405. A perfect call and we all but reached our target, missing by only 6 pips. Those traders who monitor the market surely took profits thereabouts;those who set orders and forget them missed out unless they did the sensible thing and set their orders a bit shy of the stated target. We'll have to develop some rules and guidelines to cover these situations. In any case for our "official" trade we'll not exit now but hold short for a better exit at tomorrow's 1-1 low at 1.0340, which I think we will likely hit. Video Update 12/20: Hit target and we're out, although the market kept on truckin' to the downside! But no matter, we ring the cash register and move on.
12/16/2011		Entry	1.03631	Entry	1.0425				$224
		Exit	1.034	Exit	1.034
Dec 16 for Dec 19		Date	Dec-20	Date	Dec-20				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$650
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES in support, aggressive traders at 1204, conservative traders at 1201, stop below the 5/2 at 1190. Target 2-3 dots back, first at 1224 and then at 1234. Lots of action in the markets today, many symbols that I follow are setting up for a contra-move. If the @es is not to you liking today consider the AUDJPY, EURUSD, USDCAD. Gold and Crude will follow along if conditions shift a bit, but seem not quite ready. Video		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 12/16: Trade was not triggered as the market moved north without testing support first. However the direction was correct and we hit our first target and so it gos in the books as a small directional trade, taking our entry from the close of the fourth bar of positive hourly flow. In my view the basic trade concept still hold and so the trading stance for those interested would be to ping long in Monday's action. Update 12/19: As it turns out, pinging long was the perfect plan for this "follow-up" trade, and traders who followed along reaped the rewards as the market dipped and hit the 1-1 low at 1204.50 and proceeded to test out resistance and traders could exit at any of a number of clear resistance markets; we took the 5/1s at 1218.50, for a $700 profit per contract. Video
12/15/2011		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Dec 15 for Dec 16		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1220
		Exit		Exit	1224.5				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Dec-15				$225
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at the bottom of NBR AT 1.0400; conservative traders can get a better entry at the 5/1 down at 1.0418. Stop above the 1-1 high at 1.0437, first target is tomorrow's live dot at 1.0358 and then the 1-1 low at 1.0338 and the static dot at 1.0310. Note also the weekly 5/9d at 1.0444 for stop purposes. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12:15: Out at second target. Note that we missed the third target just by a couple of pips, and those who could monitor the market should have taken the better exit. But it goes in the books as exiting at the second target... Note also the superb accuracy of the resistance levels our tools give us; entry was within a few ticks of the high. Next trade here would be to reset the sell at a higher level, at the 6/1d or the 1-1high. Video
12/14/2011		Entry	1.04	Entry					$599
		Exit	1.0338	Exit
Dec 14 for Dec 15		Date	Dec-15	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at the 6/5 77.90 (aggressive traders) or more conservatively, just above the daily dot, at 77.80. I like all three time period dots below us, and the idea is to see f we can get aboard a longer term move here. Stop goes below the dot and 1-1 at 77.71; target is the weekly Etop 78.20 and then the 5/9s assembling above in the 78.40 area. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 12/14: We missed the official entry by 2 pips; the traders among us got long when that became apparent, and those who are able to monitor and take action as the market develops are on the sidelines. For those who are aboard: Hold long. Assuming a positive outcome as the trade moves forward, this will go in the books as a directional trade. If long, move stop to break even, presumptively at 77.92. Update 12/15: Scratch trade, for those who got long on directional flow and hung in there, only to be stopped out at our break-even stop. For those who didn't, trade not triggered.
12/13/2011		Entry	77.92	Entry					0
		Exit	77.92	Exit
Dec 13 for Dec 14		Date	Dec-15	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL near the top of daily NBS at 97.70; more conservative traders look to get aboard just below the bottom of the of the daily envelope at 97.12. Stop goes below support at 97.00; target is the 1-1 high at 99.34 and then just below the Etop and the 6/1 sell at 100. I see Crude Oil reacting less than gold and the other commods to the dollar strength of today and so anticipate less follow though and a bounce tomorrow. Not a slam-dunk trade though.Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/13: This was a picture-perfect trade; we entered 6 cents above the low of the day and hit our second target not all that far from the high. Loving it! Video
12/12/2011		Entry	97.7	Entry					$2,300
		Exit	100	Exit
Dec 12 for Dec 13		Date	Dec-13	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at the Daily dot 141'200 or above (aggressive traders) and conservative traders can look for a better entry closer to Monday's 1-1 high and 6/1 down at 142'090. Stop should be 142'290 above the daily 5/2. My bad for not selling the monthly 5/1 yesterday but I am bearish on bonds due to monthly, weekly charts rolling over and resistance holding. Target 137 area, close to monthly key congestion support areas. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/12: Hold short; so far so good; We're aboard for both entries and so now to see how the bond market reacts if the dollar strength falls off a bit. My wager is a resolution to the downside. We'll see... Update 12/13: Well it looked good for most of the day but then, after 1:00 ET, not so much. Stopped out definitively.
12/09/2011		Entry	141'20	Entry	142'090				(1281)
		Exit	142'29	Exit	142'290
Dec 9 for Dec 12		Date	Dec-12	Date	Dec-12				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		(625)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD as it moves into it's current goal, which appears to me to be the weekly PLDot; sell at the bottom of Daily NBR 1.0260; conservative traders can sell just off the 1-1 high, at 1.0288. I smell an exhaust into HTP resistance. Target to the downside is 1.0161, and thereafter 1.0035 area. Stop above 5/2, at 1.0340. Markets are emotional and skittish these days as the Europeans knock elbows and bluster about. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/09: Exit on close. I wish all trades were as pretty as this one: our target entry was hit one or two pips from the high and the day closed on its low. We\'re not far from our stated target of 1.0161 and so we just exit on close and thank the trading gods for smiling today. Why not hold for more profits in the coming days? Geometry says eventually we see more downside but not necessarily a case where there is massive pent-up energy waiting to be released immediately. I\'ll look to reset a short at higher levels. Video
12/08/2011		Entry	1.026	Entry					$796
		Exit	1.0179	Exit
Dec 8 for Dec 9		Date	Dec-09	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC in the area just above the daily dot 1736 (conservative traders) with a target of 1764 (the weekly ETop) and thereafter the bottom of Monthly resistance at 1791. Stop should go 1718 below the Ebot. Aggressive traders who want to be sure to be aboard and who can handle the additional risk can get long at the 6/5, at 1744. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/08: Not a happy camper here tonight with this trade but what can you do in the face of such volatility? We came within $4 of our target and then crashed down horrendously; Gold had a $5,700 per contract range today, so I guess we are happy that the damage was limited. Such is trading in these days of global tension and economic fear.
12/07/2011		Entry	1744	Entry	1736				(2600)
		Exit	1718	Exit	1718
Dec 7 for Dec 8		Date	Dec-08	Date	Dec-08				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		(1800)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at the daily dot or better, looking for a downside target of the Monthly Envelope bottom or better. I like the downside strength we're seeing in USDCAD, especially the sharp rejection of the test of the monthly and weekly dots. This would have been a better trade yesterday and now the market is a bit below us however and so we want to short on a retracement if possible. Sell at 1.0140 (conservative traders) with a stop at 1.0226 and a target of 0.9922. Aggressive traders who love the action and always want to be aboard no matter what can accept a less advantageous price and short at 1.0122. Video		NoTrade	Aggressive	Update 12/07: Trade not triggered and we missed the entry by only a few ticks; my bad for not suggesting that aggressive traders enter at market. This is the dilemma of trading as we all know. Those among us who are monitoring the market should have taken this as a flow-based directional trade but for the "official record" we'll stand with this as a "no trade" today. We'll watch for another opportunity to get short at a better price.
12/06/2011		Entry	1.0122	Entry					$300
		Exit	1.00918	Exit
Dec 6 for Dec 7		Date	Dec-07	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES in resistance, just below the ETop (aggressive traders) at 1257; conservative traders look for a better price just off the 1-1 high at 1264. Stop above the 5/2Sell at 1270.5; target 1234 in the neighborhood of the 5/9 up. Note the outside-inside move on the daily, the meandering weekly envelope conducive to congestion, the location of monthly resistance and the quarterly PLD, and declining energy from the dot push of recent days. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/06: We got our good entry; hold short. I just can't make a case for a wildly bullish upside breakout here; signs of "loss of push" seem abundant. Of course it is a weekly c-wave, but one of little conviction so far. I'm holding short. Update 12/7: Hold Short. Not all that happy though, and if we get down to 1244 I would cover if the hourly flow were not wildly and convincingly down. Update 12/08: hourly flow was wildly and convincingly down and so we exited at our original target 1234. One of those times when I wish I had put in a second target too, which would be, and is still, essentially the Weekly PLD. Video
12/05/2011		Entry	1257	Entry	1264				$1,150
		Exit	1234	Exit	1234
Dec 5 for Dec 6		Date	Dec-08	Date	Dec-08				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,500
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at the open (aggressive traders) or at the 6/5-Daily PLDot area, say 77.77 (Conservative traders). Stop has to be below the daily 5/9 or for even a bit more structural oomph to the stop level, on the other side of the weekly PLdot. Targets are at the 5/2 down (first target) and 5/9 down. Rational for the trade: We're sitting here above monthly, weekly, and daily PLdots, and the Monthly envelope is rolling tot he upside, with tons of upside potential. All that needs to happen is for the Japanese to throw in the towel on their currency. (Note to self: historically they will do anything to avoid doing just that, and so let's not get our hopes up unreasonably).Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/05: Hold Long. I hate it when the market does not do as it is told, on schedule and on command! This might take a bit of patience. But more seriously at least we can say we're not wrong yet. Update 12/06: Hold long. Not much excitement here for sure. We did close below the daily dot for congestion entrance but that not withstanding I look for upside rather than downside resolution eventually. Or so it seems at the moment. Update 12/07: Hold long.. same comment as last night. Update 12/08: OK, towel officially thrown in. Stopped out at the weekly PLD.
12/02/2011		Entry	77.91	Entry	77.77				(629)
		Exit	77.42	Exit	77.42
Dec 2 for Dec 5		Date	Dec-08	Date	Dec-08				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		(452)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 140'240 or better (aggressive traders) by the envelope bottom, or 141'170 (conservative traders) just off the 1-1 High. Target 136'290 which is 2-3 dots back on the monthly at the monthly 6-1 buy. Stop above the dly 5/9 at 142.20. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 12/02: Hold short. I know we're under water a bit on the conservative entrance, but what we have seen here is basically a weekly PLDot refresh; I'm thinking we'll see a move down on Monday. Of course I could be wrong... the alternate scenario involves congestion entrance and a test of the 6/1 down at 142'250. Structurally the stop has to be just above that, which is a bit large for most. "Ya pays your month and takes your choice" in this one. I'm hanging in with a stop at 142'25. Update 12/05: Not a particularly happy camper here with this congestion entrance today but I'm hanging in with the same stop. I see the range for the upcoming day as between between the 1-1's and so if we get to the 1-1 low at 140-240 I might suggest exiting in that area with a small profit as the action is not what was anticipated. Update 12/06: So we are out at 140'24 as planned; the day's action came about pretty much as as we anticipated. I'm still interested in the downside here though
12/01/2011		Entry	141'190	Entry	140'240				$781
		Exit	140'24	Exit	140'240
Dec 1 for Dec 2		Date	Dec-06	Date	Dec-06				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		0
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC on a retracement to the Etop, 6/5 area, 1742 or better. We should see higher price ahead but this is a big move today and so a bit of backing and filling is in order as the exhaust pattern kicks in. I am betting that the Etop will hold however. Conservative traders can set a much lower entry price at 1728, and a stop at 1716. If you take the aggressive entry consider an intra-day flow-based stop as the gold market can be pretty volatile these days. Nevertheless the bull market has reasserted itself and higher prices lie ahead. Target 1778 above the weekly Etop and nearing the dly 5/2 down. Video Also see this re our bonus GC recommendation Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 12/1: Hold Long. Big report tomorrow and we may see some volatility so check your seat-belt and make sure you are OK with this possibility. The exhaust structure is in place but on balance the strength of the daily envelope slope plus the fact we are not above the weekly PLD carry the day in my decision to hold long. Update 12/2: Hold long. I know we're closing inside the daily envelope, but the envelope slope is strong and we are above the weekly PLD and monthly PLD, giving us a daily trend run up and triple dot push. On balance I'm bullish. Update 12/05: Not fun for the aggressive traders, who most likely took themselves out on flow-based stops during the day. Conservative traders are aboard AT 1728 and we sit here with apprehensions; not the easiest of trades. Grumpily holding long. Update 12/06: Stopped out; we were wrong on this one.
11/30/2011		Entry	1742	Entry					($1,200)
		Exit	1716	Exit
Nov 30 for Dec 1		Date	Dec-06	Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at the dly dot 143'190 (aggressive traders) or at the 1-1 hi 143'310 (conservative traders) with a stop above the daily nearby 144'270 and a target of 141'010 just above the 5/9 up. Been watching the Bonds and missing the really good trades up high but would like to be aboard short if we can get there. So we give it a whirl. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/30: A classic great trade, from the PLDot to target at the 5/9 area. We're out at target. There was a bit of a bobble on my part as I mistyped the price of the daily PLDot but did express the trade correctly in the movie. But the trade structure and instructions were clear enough and so it goes in the books as a recommended trade. We're happy campers on this one. Video
11/29/2011		Entry	143'19	Entry	143'31				$2,000
		Exit	141'01	Exit	141'010
Nov 29 for Nov 30		Date	Nov-30	Date	Dec-30				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$2,375
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY on the open (Aggressive traders) or just above the Daily dot at 76.54(Conservative traders) with a first target of the weekly Etop at 78.92 and further target at the dly 5/2 79.68. Stop below the dot and 5/9 at 75.78. Some resistance to work through but today's action was pretty compelling. Video		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/29 Hold Long: Video Update 11/30: Great progress; out at the second target. I expect higher prices and those who wish can stay long; I would expect a retracement to the Etop or to the 6/5 however for those who want to get aboard at a better price. But for track record purposes we are out at target. Video
11/28/2011		Entry	77.21	Entry					$3,184
		Exit	79.68	Exit
Nov 28 for Nov 29		Date	Dec-30	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at the envelope top 7763 (aggressive traders) or the dly 6/5 at 77.53 (conservative traders). We have all three dots on the right side of the trade at this point and one of these days the Japanese Yen will go south in addition to the dollar strength we are now seeing. Stop below the 5/9 at 76.84 and target is the weekly ETop at 77.81 and then the Monthly Etop beyond that. Video		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 11/28: Hold long Update 11/29: Hold long Update 11/30: Out on open for a scratch. I think we will see higher prices in the future but for the moment I am standing aside to conserve mental capital (that is the amount of mental energy wrapped up in trades, very different than but equally important as financial capital).
11/25/2011		Entry	77.63	Entry	77.53				($50)
		Exit	77.59	Exit	77.59
Nov 25 for Nov 28		Date	Dec-01	Date	Dec-01				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$75
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC 1683 or better (aggressive traders) or 1676 (conservative traders); stop 1665 and first target 1712, 2nd target 1724. Gold is working on congestion entrance. We also have the monthly 5/3 area, Monthly Etop, Weekly 5/2 and sundry other support setting up. Still, all markets seem correlated these days and gold is volatile, so play with caution.Video		Success	Aggressive	Hold long; The market is a bit volatile as it approached 1700 but I think higher prices are in the making ahead. We'll see... Update:11/28: We hit our first target and almost hit our second target, just $1.50 shy, which would have been another $1,050. Now all of you traders out there who were monitoring should have picked this off, right? Oh well, we'll take the first target and look to re-enter long. A good spot for that would be the Dly 6/5 at 1707. Me thinks there are higher prices ahead but I do note that both the weekly and monthly dots are above us and sloping down, so we may get a bit of congestion first. For the purposes of the Track Record we'll stand aside but aggressive traders should watch carefully and get aboard if gold takes off to the upside. UPDATE 11/30: Video
11/23/2011		Entry	1683	Entry	1676				$2,900
		Exit	1712	Exit	1702
Nov 23 for Nov 25		Date	Nov-28	Date	Nov-28				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$3,600
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US 144'200 or better, target 143'130 (Daily PLD)with a lower 2nd target at the Envelope bottom 142'280. Conservative traders can wait for a better entry 144'280 or better, stop should be above the 5/2 at 145'030 which is also the Monthly ETop. Aggressive traders should watch the flow and take action if necessary, so as to not miss the trade. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/23: Stopped out definitively at day's end. Interesting though, the first time we hit the stop it was a "poke" and I thought we might survive the day, and the market headed south; but no such luck, we ended up the day with a loss. But an object lesson for the two kinds of stops.Video
11/22/2011		Entry	144'20	Entry	144'280				($468)
		Exit	145'03	Exit	145'030
Nov 22 for Nov 23		Date	Nov-23	Date	Nov-23				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($219)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD at 1.0396 (aggressive traders); conservative traders sell at 1.0438, stop at 1.0462. First target 1.0330; then 1.0294. We're seeing an exhaust pattern into this Monthly Envelope top. Video		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/22: It's a close call but on balance I say hold short. We're moving inside the envelope, have nearby's moving sideways, and are in Monthly and weekly resistance. Counter-argument points out strong slope to daily and weekly envelopes.Video Update 11/23: Stopped out. Definitively. Not much to say except that the counter-argument won.
11/21/2011		Entry	1.0396	Entry					($629)
		Exit	1.0462	Exit
Nov 21 for Nov 22		Date	Nov-23	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 143'020 or better (aggressive traders) or 143'130 (conservative traders), with a stop over the 1-1 hi at 143'240 Target is the Ebot at first, and then 141'200, three dots back.		Loss	Aggressive	update 11/21 We were stopped out on the flight-to-quality rally. We'll continue watching this market for opportunities to short, we're in nose-bleed territory in my book.
11/18/2011		Entry	143'02	Entry	145'13				($687)
		Exit	142'24	Exit	143'240
Nov 18 for Nov 21		Date	Nov-21	Date	Nov-21				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($344)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES at the envelope bottom 1220 (aggressive traders) or at the 6/5 1232(conservative traders) stop goes above the daily dot at say 1244. Target 1182, which is the Monthly dot, dly 5/2 up.		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/18 Hold short. Just missed getting short at the conservative entry but we'll take this and sit tight. Close is weak but not definitive, nevertheless odds are that lower prices lie ahead. Update 11/21 We hit our target and are out at 1182. The slope of the daily envelope says that lower prices lie ahead, but we'll stand aside for the moment. Video
11/17/2011		Entry	1220	Entry					$1,900
		Exit	1182	Exit
Nov 17 for Nov 18		Date	Nov-21	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at market (aggressive traders) or at the 1-1 low 76.88 (conservative traders). Stop at 76.76; First Target 77.36 (three dots back and Monthly PLDot) further targets weekly Etop at the 78.00 area. This has been a tough trade to get established in but when it happens it will be good fro a very long time. We have monthly outside/inside, and now quarterly the same, and looking to get the daily and weekly dots behind us, an if all that happens, we're on the way.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/17: Hold long. This is one tough market but as long as it does not break to the downside I am content to take a bit of risk and wait and see. Update 11/18: An untoward break took us out at our stop; stop was reasonable, and market spent a long time below that, and so we were appropriately protected. I like the strong close however and so those who are so inclined to fight with windmills can get long again. Methinks the yen will not stay at this level forever, it is too painful for the Japanese economy.
11/16/2011		Entry	71.02	Entry					($338)
		Exit	76.76	Exit
Nov 16 for Nov 17		Date	Nov-18	Date					Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 141'240 (aggressive traders) just below nearby daily resistance; conservative traders sell at 142'090 or better, stop for both at 142'210, yesterday's 5/2. First target 140'180, near the 1-1 low; 2nd target 139'290 near the 5/2up.		Scratch	Aggressive	Well this is annoying. Clearly the bonds don't want to go down yet. Some traders more patient than I might hang in and see but I vote for exiting at a scratch and looking for other opportunities. Flow is not in our favor, so we're out. One of these days there will be the greatest trade on earth shorting bonds. But, not yet apparently. Exit at market or hold for a bit to get the couple of ticks, fielder's choice. For TR purposes we're out.
11/15/2011		Entry	141'24	Entry	142'090				($375)
		Exit	142'12	Exit	142'120
Nov 15 for Nov 16		Date	Nov-16	Date	Nov-16				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($98)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @GC at 1788, bottom of nearby-resistance and near the daily Etop; stop 1806 (aggressive traders), Conservative traders sell at 1800. Target 1743 near the weekly dot. Gold is volatile and tomorrow is a big report day so be careful out there. Watch the flow and apply flow-based stops if appropriate to your situation.		NoTrade	Aggressive	Wow! Today's action just goes to show you how powerful the DG numbers and levels can be; we came within 20 cents of of our predicted entry (our entry was 1788 and the day's high was 1787.80!). An experienced DG trader monitoring this session would have surely been able to trade the range and taken profits as price moved between the low of the day (which was very close to the 5/9 up) and the daily resistance we flagged as our entry. But, our stated trigger points were not hit and so it goes in the books as a "no trade" for the day. Such is life, and on we go to another day.
11/14/2011		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Nov 14 for Nov 15		Date		Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1786
		Exit		Exit	1769				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Nov-16				$1,700
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at the Etop area, 1.3750 or better (aggressive traders) or just below the 1-1 high at 1.3830 (conservative traders) with a stop at 1.3840. I note the weekly live dot position, the monthly strong negative main channel line, and Friday's thin trading which may have exaggerated the up move.		Success	Aggressive	update 11/14. We got short at the gap open at 1.3801. The market moved with us textbook fashion all day and hit what I forgot to say was the first target, 1-1 low at 1.3616; second target would be the weekly 1-1 low area, 1.3533 or so. Conservative traders can take profit here at 1.3632; aggressive traders can hold short or even better take some profits here and look to re-short at a higher level, perhaps the daily 6/1, weekly 6/6 level, or daily Etop if it gets that high. Update 11/15: Aggressive traders who held short hit the second target today at 1.3533; this brought them an additional $970 for a total of $2660 for the aggressive trader profit on this trade. We take note of this additional win but add it only as a "directional trade" and not as a "recommended trade" since we took profits on the conservative trade yesterday.
11/11/2011		Entry	1.3801	Entry	1.3801				$2,660
		Exit	1.3533	Exit	1.3632
Nov 11 for Nov 14		Date	Nov-15	Date	Nov-14				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$ 1,690
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at just above daily Ebot, 77.53, Stop below the 5/2 up 77.42. Target? Monthly Etop 78.40. Lots of little signs, including dots swinging, Monthly dot area, Daily dots out/in, etc. In other markets: interested in GC if it gets down to the dly 5/2 area; CL strong but a dotted line setting up; interested in selling US on strength, watch 142'15 or higher area.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/11: Stopped out. Not the day for dollar longs. Thin trading due to the holiday.... perfect time for the JG Bank to step in. I retain my belief that might higher prices lie ahead, but we're premature for sure.
11/10/2011		Entry	77.53	Entry	77.53				($142)
		Exit	77.42	Exit	77.42
Nov 10 for Nov 11		Date	Nov-11	Date	Nov-11				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($142)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDCAD at 1.0200 or better (aggressive traders) or 1.0160 or better (conservative traders) with a stop at 1.0140, target of 1.0400 area. I am impressed with the strength of the dollar move today, and note the triple dot-push from the weekly and daily and monthly dots. I anticipate congestion exit to the upside, and the question in my mind is how much if any retracement we get before the move occurs. I'm betting on some.... Naturally this has a lot to do with the number and timing of European panic attacks, and these while certain to occur, cannot be foretold as to timing. Still, the USD looks increasingly attractive. Note also the relative strength of crude in this environment. Many opportunities for the nimble trader these days.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/10: If aboard, hold long. We missed the conservative entry by a couple of ticks, and so conservative traders not aboard can get long at opening. Update 11/11: Stopped out. The dollar will have its day, just not today.
11/09/2011		Entry	1.02	Entry	1.01				($576)
		Exit	1.014	Exit	1.0140
Nov 9 for Nov 10		Date	Nov-11	Date	Nov-11				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($268)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at the daily envelope top 96.45 or better. Stop 95.90 below the Monthly Etop. Target? $101 or so. This is a pretty aggressive trade, and is based on the developing monthly c-wave on top of the existing daily and weekly c-waves. Aggressive traders can be aboard shortly after the open at market if a serious run to the upside develops. But the is hardly a low-risk trade so be quick to flee if the idea does not work out. Alternate trade for quieter souls: buy USDCAD on open for a move up to PLDot or Etop in congestion.		Loss	Aggressive	A quick verdict: we wuz wrong. Stopped out overnight. Ironically we were dead-on right in our alternate trade; USDCAD moved rapidly to the top of the congestion range overnight, a profit of about $1,030 if we take the envelope top as an exit point. But that was not an official recommendation and so does not go in the books as a win, just as a "wow that would have been great if we had done it" trade.
11/08/2011		Entry		Entry	96.45
		Exit		Exit	95.90
Nov 8 for Nov 9		Date		Date	Nov-09				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($550)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @es at 1255 or better conservative traders) with a stop of 1250; aggressive traders can get long at the open or as soon thereafter as possible (currently trading at 1260). Target is 1282 at the daily 5/9 for now. I note the double dot-push of today.		Loss	Aggressive	In at the open and out on the open of the night session. There is probably a little more in this trade but we are in exhaust territory and I wish to stand aside and assess. Note that the stop was penetrated for 15 minutes by a couple of points, and thus is categorized as a "poke" rather than a complete stop violation. Nevertheless it happened in the middle of the night at a difficult time to monitor and take corrective action and so we put this in the books as a loss...
11/07/2011		Entry	12.58	Entry	12.55				($400)
		Exit	12.5	Exit	12.5
Nov 7 for Nov 8		Date	Nov-08	Date	Nov-08				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($250)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC at 1746 (aggressive traders); conservative traders can enter at 1733 just above the 5/9up; stop below the 5/9 at 1728; first target at 1813 and then the 1840 area. Alternate trade: Sell @US at the Daily 6/5 141'030 (aggressive traders); Conservative traders can enter just below the 1/1 high at 141'230. Target for now, the weekly dot at 138'290, and stop at 142'200 above the Daily ETop. Working on movies, and enhanced Track Record displays. Stay tuned....		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Update 11/7: We have an excellent Directional Trade going; this hot market did not retrace to our entrance but gave clear flow-based indications to get long, which we did at 1763 or so, third bar of flow-monitored breakout in the evening session and moving over the envelope top. Short-term-orientd traders and conservative traders can take profits here or slightly higher at 1804 (bottom of nearby resistance tomorrow. I note also in support of this exit the 5/9 level tomorrow and tons of 5/9s in the area, as well as the location daily zone 6. HOWEVER this move is not over and aggressive traders can hang in there and/or look to reset and add to the trade on a retracement to the envelope top, and/or be prepared to get long again if they elect to exit and it proves to be premature and this move continues apace. Update 11/8: we were able to pick up a second contract at the envelope top at 1785, and exited both the first and second contracts at 1804 in nearby daily resistance. We bank
11/04/2011		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Nov 4 for Nov 7		Date		Date					Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1763
		Exit		Exit	1785				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Nov-08				$ 6,000
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD between the weekly dot at 1.0107 and the daily dot at 1.0132, or better. Conservative traders can enter close to the 1-1 high at 1.0172. Target 1.0003 daily 5/2, and then the weekly Ebot at 1.0004. Stop? 1.0227, above the Daily envelope, but watch flow if definitive against the trade, etc.		Success	Aggressive	Update 11/4: Hold short, we're a few pips above the conservative entry point but I like the way things are developing. Note that the stop level was penetrated by one pip for a few minutes before the market retreated: this does not constitute a stop being hit in my book and fits the definition of a "poke" in the stops comments on the side-bar. We'll do a video on this one of thee days soon. Target for Monday: Daily Ebot area. Update: Hold Short, move target up TO 1.0087 for now. Update 11/8: Hit target and out at 1.0087
11/03/2011		Entry	1.0137	Entry	1.0172				$432
		Exit	1.0087	Exit	1.0087
Nov 3 for Nov 4		Date	Nov-08	Date	Nov-08				Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$817
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES at 1227 or better, looking for a target of the Weekly Live Etop at 1775 or so. Stop below the 1/1 low at 1220, and as always watch the flow in these times of European hi-jinks and parliamentary cloak-room mutterings. Also looking at USDJPY (remember my "Revenge trade"? I'm still aboard and doing very well!) If the Japanese central bank has put a floor under the yen then this neighborhood might be a low-risk long entry. I stop short of an official recommendation here however, recognizing my bias and not wishing to spread a personal infection among the group.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 11/03. Ok I know. I set the stop too tight, should have been below the Daily Nearby at 1203. But you saw that, didn't you? WELL DIDN'T YOU???? OK, I said what I said and so it goes in the books as a loss. Those traders who monitor the flow were long from the reversal out of support this morning at 1221 to the close tonight at 1255, a nice profit of $1,700.
11/02/2011		Entry		Entry	1227
		Exit		Exit	1220
Nov 2 for Nov 3		Date		Date	Nov-03				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($350)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @US 141'210 or better (aggressive traders) or 140'150 (conservative traders). Stop 139'160, and watch the flow if you are in this wild market. Target: Monthly E-top in the 145 area.		Scratch	Aggressive	Update 11/2: We're aboard at the aggressive entry, and missed a really good conservative entry by only a few ticks, but that's the breaks. First target 143'130 but the real target for this move remains 145'050. Monitor flow for stop and keep your "911" stop at 139'160. Update 11/03: another annoying trade in that we missed the excellent entry but still showed good profits intraday; yet the market reversed overnight on European volatility and we took the flow-based stop at 7:00 a.m. crashing back to our entry point in an unambiguous hourly c-wave against us. Goes in the books as a scratch, folks. Take those Greeks out behind the barn and shoot 'em.
11/01/2011		Entry	141'21	Entry					0
		Exit	141'21	Exit
Nov 1 for Nov 2		Date	Nov-02	Date					Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @GC on open (aggressive trader) or on a dip to 1704 level (top of daily nearby support). Our structural stop (some call it the "911 stop)has to be below the 5/2 at 1678 which is very large so our functional stop has to be based on hourly flow and the breaking of nearby hourly support on a continuing pattern moving through daily 1/1 low. We note the daily 5/9 level, and the locations of the Weekly and Monthly PLDots, and the generally bullish nature of gold these days. Alternate trades tonight: look at buying the AUDJPY at the 6/5 to daily Etop. Lots of over-extended markets now due to the extreme moves of the weekend and today. Note our new Trade Status Page in the side panel. Check there for updates on open trades.		Success	Aggressive	Exit on open; We are moving into the daily PLD rolling over and could see some downdraft in these volatile times. There will be much more on the upside for gold I am sure, but times are a bit dangerous with the Europeans all a-flutter, so we stand aside for the moment. The thought is that one might reset a long position in Gold between 1690 and 1708. Update 11/2: If anyone says I tend to get out of trades too soon, they would be right. But, "take the money and run away, live to trade another day." Traders looking to re-enter at 1708 missed it by a few ticks; those who followed the flow may have done well. But I would not chase gold at present levels, though I could get interested if we see 1721-1725 offered tomorrow.
10/31/2011		Entry	1730	Entry	1704				($370)
		Exit	1721.5	Exit	1721.50
Oct 31 for Nov 1		Date	Nov-02	Date	Nov-02				Conservative
	@GC	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$ 1,750
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDACD on open (aggressive traders) or at .9888 (conservative traders) with stop .9840 or indisputable hourly flow against the trade. Rationale: we have a confirmed daily exhaust down into monthly and quarterly PLDots, and with both those envelopes sloping up, and the Monthly MCL strongly supportive. Further, we are low in the Daily and weekly zone structure. However, the counter argument is the strength of the downward movement itself, and have not moved inside the daily envelope yet, and so we need to be cautious here and monitor the trade carefully, as the world has become very volatile these days and there are a lot of emotional traders cluttering the highways. Nevertheless we give this trade a whirl; the technicals do support it.		Success	Aggressive	Update 10/31: hold tight. SO far so good.. Update 11/1: exit on open, take profits and look to re-enter on retracement, most likely to 1.0125 area. Very aggressive folk who can withstand a retracement can hold long.
10/28/2011		Entry	0.09906	Entry					$2,812
		Exit	1.02	Exit
Oct 28 for Oct 31		Date	Nov-01	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US at 136'290, which is the live Ebot as well as the 5/9 level (now broken) and seems to be a good spot to try and get aboard this breakout. Very conservative traders can move their entry point back to the 6/5 at 137'250. In these volatile markets a flow-based entry is also always a possibility for those experienced and well-capitalized traders. Stop is above the dot at 138'130 and also watch the flow. All correlations go to one these days when the world shifts and as he Europeans feign togetherness the risk trade is on again; those so inclined can look at very similar trades to this one by buying AUDJPY, selling USDCAD, Buying CL, Buying GC, etc. In each case look for appropriate pull-backs since the market has moved a lot very quickly. But if the Europeans accord holds, then the world has changed and we need to act accordingly.		Loss	Aggressive	Update 10/28: OK so far; in small profit at day's end, and the market reacted as expected. Now the question is: Will this confirmed exhaust hold or will we see a continuation to the downside ion future days. Hold tight and anticipate lower prices in the future but stay aware of the flow in case this exhaust holds. Interim target 135'130 and thereafter maybe the Monthly block level. Update 10/31: OK, the jury is in, and the Europeans accord is deemed flawed. Thus all correlations hold and the bonds take off again. We take the conservative entrance and our stop for the trade records.
10/27/2011		Entry	136'29	Entry	137'250				($1,500)
		Exit	138'13	Exit	138'130
Oct 27 for Oct 28		Date	Oct-31	Date	Oct-31				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($625)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at or below the Daily dot at 76.09 or better. Note that we are located at the Weekly envelope bottom, first target weekly PLD and thereafter the Monthly PLD. Stop below the daily 5/2 up at 75.68, or significant adverse hourly flow against the trade direction. Aggressive traders can enter at market.		Scratch	Aggressive	Boy that didn't take any time at all; we were as wrong as could be and the flow was unrelenting against us in the European trading hours as the EU convinced the market that they have their act together... for now. We exited on the strong flow against us as an attempted reversal was decisively rejected. This tiny loss goes in the books as a scratch.
10/26/2011		Entry	76.1	Entry	76.09				($153)
		Exit	76.04	Exit	76.04
Oct 26 for Oct 27		Date	Oct-27	Date	Oct-27				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($66)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at the Daily ETop-1-1 hi areas at 1.3961 or better (conservative trader) or at opening (aggressive trader). Stop 1.3990 over the dly nearby resistance; target daily Ebot and then weekly PLD at 1.3624. Also take a look at selling the @es, buying USDJPY, and buying @US. Seems like a lot of trades are on offer tonight.		Success	Aggressive	We hit our target and took profits, classic congestion trade, confines of congestion forming the top and bottom of the range. Sort of inclined to do it again ...
10/25/2011		Entry	1.3906	Entry	1.3961				$860
		Exit	1.382	Exit	1.3820
Oct 25 for Oct 26		Date	Oct-26	Date	Oct-26				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,410
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL at the monthly PLD, in the 89.50 area; this is also near tomorrow's live dot. Target the monthly ETop, Quarterly PLD area; stop 88.18 below the 1-1 low, 6/5. So, having had our hat handed to us on yesterday's CL short, now we listen to the market more closely and if the world is more optimistic that we are, why argue? One might also look at @us from the short side, looking to sell above the 6/5 and below the daily PLD. Apologies for a the late posting tonight; just got off an airplane and traffic was not what I wished it to be. On we go.		Success	Aggressive	Market did not retrace to our desired entry point but we got long on flow-based directional at a much less advantageous price, but aboard we are in any case. We approached target area and backed off, but the trade is still valid at this writing. Watch the flow for your stop if you are in this trade. Update 10/26: we exited on a strong reversal in flow for a small profit.
10/24/2011		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Oct 24 for Oct 25		Date		Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	92.48
		Exit		Exit	93.03				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Oct-26				$580
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @CL Crude Oil at 88.62 or better, just below the 1-1 high (conservative traders) or at 87.60 near the 5/1 (aggressive Traders). First target is the Monthly live dot at 84.92, stop has to be 90.81 above the 5/2 which is pretty big and so watch your flow intraday if you are in this trade. Markets are confused these days and we could see a positive break-out in the "risk trade" with all commodities taking off. This is obviously a bet against that happening just yet.		Loss	Aggressive	After moving in our direction for some hours overnight we stopped out using our flow-based stop as the hourly took off on a tear through the 1-1 high.
10/22/2011		Entry	87.6	Entry	88.62				($1,880)
		Exit	89.48	Exit	89.48
Oct 21 for Oct 24		Date	Oct-24	Date	Oct-24				Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($860)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES market (aggressive traders) and/or at 1219 (conservative traders). Target is 1159 areas (Wk PLD) and stop is 1230 in the 5/9 area (but watch your flow as well; see the expanded comments on stops in the sidebar "How to use the service" notes.) Seems like most of the markets we follow here are waiting for something to happen, and so we wait too. Those who yearn for more action can consider shorting gold (sell the envelope bottom or if very cautious sell the 6/5) or shorting Crude Oil (go market or sell the 6/5, fielder's choice depending on your pucker factor). Work is about complete on our "Trade Status" Tools, and we will post details tomorrow.		Loss	Aggressive	We were stopped out by our flow criteria as we moved sharply and steadily upwards from the get-go on Friday. We take the flow exit after multiple bars of flow against us after the conservative entry was triggered. Price action is characteristic of a breakout and so it will be interesting to watch the market on Monday. As we said, the markets have been waiting for something, and now the question is, is this "something" definitive or no?
10/20/2011		Entry	1203	Entry	1219				($1,100)
		Exit	1225	Exit	1225
Oct 20 for Oct 21		Date	Oct-21	Date	Oct-21				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($300)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY in support. Aggressive traders can enter here at the opening or slightly below, at 78.50; conservative traders wait for a better entry nearer the the EBot/6-1, say 77.75. Target 81.14 area for starters, the Monthly PLD, near the dly 5/9. Stop (conservative) just below the ebot; more aggressive stop below the 5/9 up at 77.15. Lots of markets are showing this same pattern, and if the general economic sentiment starts to favor risk again (as I believe it may), then we will see CL ES and CAD also strengthen.		Success	Aggressive	Our specific entry number of 77.75 was not hit but we will take the entry at the 6/1 since we mentioned that. Update 10/21: waiting, waiting, waiting. Hang in there. Update 10/22: move stop up a bit to 77.93 below the 1-1 low and hang in there. update 10/24 OK so far so good, hang in there. Update 10/25 No reason not to hang in there for target. Update 10/26; I exit the trade here and take profits. There could very well be more in this trade but I am not liking the emotional and rumor-driven nature of the market today, waiting for whatever mythical salvation that may emerge from the European confabs. Best to put something in the bank and stand aside methinks. We can always re-enter long another time if things look good.
10/19/2011		Entry	78.5	Entry	77.89				$918
		Exit	79.2	Exit	79.20
Oct 19 for Oct 20		Date	Oct-26	Date	Oct-26				Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$1,718
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at market (aggressive traders) or at the dly dot (conservative traders, target 5/2 at 1.3529, or weekly dot at 1.3513.at the dot, stop 1.3917 above the 5/9. We could be wrong of course but it looks as if the rally in the Euro is running outta steam and rolling over. We were stopped out of the e-mini trade on a late afternoon rally but flow-based intraday traders might well have made a better exit. A note re the service: we're working hard behind the scenes to bring better trade status and track record tools and these should be available in another day or two. Beefed up movies and explanation on using the Dashboard also in the works, stay tuned.		Loss	Aggressive	10/19 update: hold short. No big move but no bad news either. 10/20 update: More of the same 10/22 update: we're at the top of the range and really close to our stop point but not there yet; hang in there, keeping stop intact but watch what happens if hit; this could be a bull trap and depending on what happens in Europe one thinks price could move sharply back into the range. 10/24 stopped out. Not a happy camper here. But, if that's the way the world is going to be then one would like to look at this market from the long side, maybe buying at the live dot...
10/18/2011		Entry	1.375	Entry	1.3787				($1,670)
		Exit	1.3917	Exit	1.39177
Oct 18 for Oct 19		Date	Oct-24	Date	Oct-24				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($1,300)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES on open (aggressive traders) or at dot-to-main-channel-line areas, 1201 to 1207 (Conservative traders). Stop over the Etop at 1223. Target 1159 Wkly Dot. Lots of markets correlated tonight as the universe wheels together; EURUSD and AUDJPY had similar trades, and 2US and USDCAD show similar tendencies. Our USDJPY trade got stopped out for a small loss but I hung in there on my personal account; I think "one of these days I will be right about the Yen" (and yes, I do note this psychic revenge trade is a dangerous attitude for a trader, but I indulge myself as I am perfectly aware of my bias and am amused by myself. But don't do as I do on this one....)		Loss	Aggressive	We were stopped out of the e-mini trade on a late afternoon rally but flow-based intraday traders might well have made a better exit.
10/17/2011		Entry	1188	Entry	1207				($1,850)
		Exit	1223	Exit	1223
Oct 17 for Oct 18		Date	Oct-18	Date	Oct-18				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($800)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy USDJPY at 77.03 or better (the daily PLDot). Stop 76.82, first target, just below the dly 52 at 77.57, thereafter the 5/9 77.81 We've missed getting aboard a few times in this slowly rising market; methinks if we can get a trade established it might be one of those that goes for a long time.		Loss	Aggressive	Our USDJPY trade got stopped out for a small loss but I hung in there on my personal account; I think "one of these days I will be right about the Yen" (and yes, I do note this psychic revenge trade is a dangerous attitude for a trader, but I indulge myself as I am perfectly aware of my bias and am amused by myself. But don't do as I do on this one....)
10/15/2011		Entry		Entry	77.03
		Exit		Exit	76.82
Oct 15 for Oct 17		Date		Date	Oct-17				Conservative
	USDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($273)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell EURUSD at opening, (aggressive traders) or at the ETop-to-1-1 Hi (conservative Traders.) 1st Target 1.3640 (Ebot) and thereafter 3-d-ts-back or 5/9up. Stop a bit above the 1-1 hi. Other enticing trades beckon tonight; Buy USDJPY, Buy USDCAD, Sell ES, Buy the US (in each case take into consideration the appropriate su/r levels if you are inclined to participate.) Our Crude Oil trade is acting reasonably well although I wish I had set the first target at 2-3- dots back; still it looks like there is more to the downside. Conservative traders can exit here at market and take their profits; aggressive traders can hold short; really aggressive folk can add another at the dot 85.14; this is pretty aggressive trading and so bring the stop down to 85.77, just above the 1-1 hi.		Loss	Aggressive	Directional move looked good at first but did not hold, and we were stopped out. Oh well, we love those small losses as they prove our humanity. Entered half-way between Etop and 1-1 high per conservative entry guidance, stopped out 1.3850, ten pips above 1-1 hi per stop set. Note our expanded and enhanced discussion of stops, entrances, targets and-monitoring in the side bar. (If you are new to DG analysis and need some help with the lingo and basic concepts then I recommend our "Short Course." It should get you oriented in short order.)
10/13/2011		Entry	1.3774	Entry	1.3834				($760)
		Exit	1.385	Exit	1.3850
Oct 13 for Oct 14		Date	Oct-18	Date	Oct-18				Conservative
	EURUSD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($160)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @cl market on open (aggressive traders) or above the dot but below the 6/1 down at 86.00 (for conservative traders). Stop 87.15, first target the 5/9 at 82.50, 2nd target the Monthly dot. We were stopped out of @ES for a small loss. USDCAD moved short nicely, hit first target and we are out at the close today (second target was the 5/9, weekly env bot and all you superlative traders should have exited then but I didn't specify it and so we're out at close instead). USDJPY is one of those trade examples where a stop is hit but is valid for only a few moments and then we must re-enter based on flow. A quick look at the 5 minute chart will show you what I mean. We take the trade from our original entry of 76.50 to the first target of 77.40. I think there is more in the trade, and this is the start of something longer term, but those who are sick of the trade can exit now and look to re-enter on retracements. I am hanging in there for the moment. Those who bought gold in the neighborhood of the daily dot per last night's suggestion (let's say you got in at 1665) have a nice profit of about $2500 assuming an exit at the natural and obvious target of the Daily 5/2 down. But that was a bonus trade and does not go in the track record.		Success	Aggressive	exited at close (conservative exit)
10/12/2011		Entry	84.93	Entry					$700
		Exit	84.23	Exit
Oct 12 for Oct 13		Date	Oct-13	Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @ES market (aggressive traders) or 1195 to 1197(conservative traders); Trade is based on outside/inside, dots swinging etc. Stop 1205, Target 1143 and then we'll see. USDCAD: Hold short, first target 1.0254, stop 1.0338. USDJPY: hard to imagine a market more in balance. Conservative traders can exit for a scratch and aggressive traders roll the dice looking for an upside move, keep a tight stop. One of these days there will be a big move here, in one direction or another. I'm betting the Bank of Japan will eventually move for a weaker currency. Aggressive traders should also take a look at GC from the long side.		Loss	Aggressive	We were stopped out of @ES for a small loss.
10/11/2011		Entry	1182	Entry	1197				($1,150)
		Exit	1205	Exit	1205
Oct 11 for Oct 12		Date	Oct-12	Date	Oct-12				Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		($400)
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell USDCAD 1.030 or better, target 1.0135, stop above the 1-1 high at 1.037. We hit our target today on the AUJPY (76.50). I didn't set a second target but those who want to pursue this trade could consider getting aboard on a retracement to the 6/5 buy, entry 75.65 or better. I suspect we will see more to the upside on this trade over time, eventually reaching the 5/3 at 79.50 or the Monthly PLD at the 81 area. For the moment the "Risk Trade" is on, as evidenced by today's strong moves in CL, GC, ES, and AUDJPY, and well as US and USDCAD to the downside, and it looks as if there is some room in all of these trades, so watch for retracements to get aboard using our DG trend-trade tactics with tight stops (i.e. buy at the daily ETop in an uptrend, etc.).		Success	Aggressive	10/11 Hold short, tight stop. 10/12 USDCAD moved short nicely, hit first target and we are out at the close today (second target was the 5/9, weekly env bot and all you superlative traders should have exited then but I didn't specify it and so we're out at close instead).
10/10/2011		Entry	1.03	Entry					$1,286
		Exit	1.0175	Exit
Oct 10 for Oct 11		Date	Oct-11	Date					Conservative
	USDCAD	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy AUDJPY 74.92 or better (aggressive traders ) or 74.427 (conservative Traders) Stop 73.67, Target 76.50		Success	Aggressive	Hit Target.
10/09/2011		Entry	74.92	Entry					$2,034
		Exit	76.50	Exit
Oct 7 for Oct 10		Date	Oct-10	Date					Conservative
	AUDJPY	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy 1136 or better ("aggressive traders")or 1128 or better (conservative traders). We hit the second target today and are looking to re-enter for a continuation of the move. We might hold long except for the big report tomorrow; expectations are for a good number but nobody knows really, or what might happen if the number is indeed good. So we are conservative. Therefore traders who might have gotten aboard the Crude trade can exit the @CL, the direction was correct and those who entered with the flow have a good profit and are just shy of target. Aggressive traders can re-enter or add to the trade at 80.02 to 80.73. Our @US trade hit the target today; aggressive traders can re-short at 143'230 with a target of 141 and change.		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Trade entry not triggered but direction very much correct and so those who entered with the flow after the jobs report did very well. If you were long at days end then could have on until a close inside the daily envelope on 10/13, for a win of $2050. Granted, the E-mini is volatile and not many twitchy e-mini traders could bring this off. Still, the flow was there, and we had the direction correct.
10/06/2011		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Oct 6 for Oct 7		Date		Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	1151
		Exit		Exit	1192				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Oct-13				$ 2,050
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @CL 78.45 or better, target 83.25, stop 77.48 or serious hourly flow against the trade. Alternate or additional trade Sell USDCAD at the daily dot, target weekly E-top. @ES hit our first target; those were trading one contract are out, those with larger position a re presumably still in the trade. Next target 1152. Hold @US short for target; move stop to just below break-even at 146'030. We will set 142'250 as a target on Bonds but prudence says it might be a good thing to be out of the trade in any case before the jobs report Friday morning at 8:30 ET; said report is unpredictable and can spark huge moves. USDJPY is an unexciting trade but I like the way the daily and weekly dots are aligned which can give rise to large moves once the move gets going; move stop to 76.45 and let the trade ride; should the upside get moving the potential is large, and the risk not all that great. First target still 77.40.		Directional/Bonus Trade	Aggressive	Entry price not triggered but excellent flow; those who entered on the flow are very happy campers. Exit recommended at close 10/6 stepping aside before major jobs report 10/7. Flow entry reasonable set at 80.00, exit at close 82.59, = directional trade profits based on flow $2,590.
10/05/2011		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit
Oct 5 for Oct 6		Date		Date					Conservative
	@CL	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry	80
		Exit		Exit	82.59				Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date	Oct-06				$ 2,590
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	BUY	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Buy @ES on open (aggressive traders ) or at 1098 (conservative traders) initial target 1130, next target 1152. Stop 1086 or serious hourly flow against the trade. Hold @US short, Hold USDJPY long.		Success	Aggressive	10/5 First Target hit and second target looks likely. Aggressive traders holding for target. 10/6 Second target hit.
10/04/2011		Entry	1114	Entry					$1,900
		Exit	1152	Exit
Oct 4 for Oct 5		Date	Oct-06	Date					Conservative
	@ES	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date
DATE	SYMBOL & ACTION	TRADE STATS				TRADE RECOMMENDATION	STATUS	RESULT	PROFIT/LOSS	TRADE COMMENT
	SELL	Aggressive 1		Conservative		Sell @US on open (for aggressive traders) or at 146'050 for conservative traders. Stop 146'180. USDJPY hold long but watch your stops; these are days of high emotion and the flight-to-quality moves are hitting both the yen and the dollar and so it is a bit hard to predict. Keep your stop intact at 76.39.		Success	Aggressive	Our entry worked perfectly. Target hit 10/6
10/03/2011		Entry	145'160	Entry	146'050				$2,719
		Exit	142'25	Exit	142'250
Oct 3 for Oct 4		Date	Oct-06	Date	Oct-06				Conservative
	@US	Aggressive 2		Directional			Trade is Closed		$3,378
		Entry		Entry
		Exit		Exit					Directional/Bonus
		Date		Date